Congrats climate changers: your efforts are making poll #s go down

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ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
32,324
15,123
136
I would prefer incremental change brought about by research and supply/demand. No need to shit all over our economy, it is in the toilet already.

You and others have repeated this but it's a meaningless sentence. What are you taking about? What policies exactly, would shit all over the economy?

And what do you mean by research? There is plenty of it out there and you still don't believe it so what would change?
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
16,843
13,774
146
More global warming fail.

Prediction of slight decrease in crop production from 2000 to 2015:



Reality, more than 25% increase in crop production since 2000:



Fuck it, stupid internet. Do a google search of worldwide+crop+yields+by+year to see the graph. It show every class of crop skyrocketing in the last 15 years.

Their models don't even make good toilet papers. And we buy this shit? One would expect higher temps and higher levels of CO2 to increase productivity and objective evidence bears this out. THEY STILL HAVE THE CAJONES to tell us that it is hurting crop yields. White is black, 2+2=5, as long as they have a model, we fucking believe these prophets.

Looks like your talking out your ass again. Got any links that shows these increases were caused by warming and increasing CO2 and not a result of more and better farming.

I'll wait.
 

sm625

Diamond Member
May 6, 2011
8,172
137
106
Yes they did change raw data. Here you can read all about it:
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/storie...owdown-in-global-warming-in-recent-years.html

Now why don't you follow the link in the news article to the published research in Science and then get back to us with your own analysis of their work. Please rely on facts when contrasting your work with theirs.

Once you can prove what they did is actually wrong then you can see about proving political manipulation.

Until then stop shoveling BS.

This is the kind of BS that I'm talking about. YOU are shoveling BS. You think that you are going to "outfox" me by posting some BS link to some BS article and that's the end of it. OMG you so erudite. Sorry but it dont work that way. I HAVE actually read that article. What does the paper that this article is based on actually say:




The red line is before that paper was published, the black line is after. Do you understand what that graph is telling you? No, obviously not. What that graph is telling you is that this paper (Science aaa5632) is making extremely minor corrections that are irrelevant to the broader picture of climate change. Absolutely irrelevant. That paper isnt making the claim that there is now an uptrend where there previously wasnt one. That is pure lies, pure manipulation, pure BS. That article is complete misinformation, designed to feed nothing but idiocy. Check the facts yourself, do the actual research, instead of posting links to puerile articles which cite papers that you obviously have not read.

I was pouring over ice core data back in 2007. I spent a dozen hours researching just the Vostok ice core data. What I found is nothing short of breathtaking manipulation of data. It's the same story over and over. Notice how all these "corrections" are almost always tilted in one direction. That right there tells any rational thinking person that there is a serious problem. But that's what they've been doing. Constantly making small corrections to the data, and almost always in one direction. Not always, but the money favors the studies which provide any "scientifically plausible" explanation for correcting the data. That is what all of this is about, it is a corruption of science. If there is a billion dollars waiting around to fund studies which can scientifically justify a method of correcting the data upwards, then the charts will trend upwards. Go look at the studies on smoking from 60 years ago. Dont talk about conspiracies. Go look at the studies, and understand what those studies are telling you vs what you now know with 100% certainty to be true about the effects of smoking. It is the same thing now with globull warming. It's not science that is the issue at all. It has nothing to do with science at all. You give me a billion dollars and I can come up with hundreds of perfectly valid scientific theories on how the temperature record could be altered upwards or downwards. And I could test them all, and simply throw out the research that doesnt fit the script and still have dozens that do, through nothing but sheer brute force. And most or even all would pass the peer review process. That is science! Science is not some magical ointment that cures all ailments. It cannot overcome large pools of money. That is what people need to come to terms with. A scientific mind can easily prove that you live longer if you smoke, and that unemployment is the same now as it was in 2007. But its not the truth, its just money talking.
 
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Eli

Super Moderator | Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
50,422
8
81
There are still people that deny AGW?

You can argue about what we should do about it all you want, but to deny AGW is to deny the consensus science. It's seriously like arguing against gravity, or that the Earth is round. It's basic science that was discovered in 1824. Doesn't that make you feel a little silly? Maybe by 2024, a full 200 years after discovery of the greenhouse effect, there will finally be public consensus on it.

Besides the unprecedented attack on scientists, do you think they have anything to worry about, regarding their data? The idea is ludicrous. Do any of you know what peer reviewed even means?

Saying "zOMG they maniuplated teh numberz!!!!" is just simply a gross misunderstanding of what is actually happening and the scientific process in general. You can't just.. change a data set, without good reason and explanation. People tend to notice. If the data is wrong, it will get corrected through the scientific process because it won't pass the scrutiny of peer review.

This is nothing but arm waving by the GOP. They will be made to look like like the ignorant fools they are.
 

Eli

Super Moderator | Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
50,422
8
81
I was pouring over ice core data back in 2007. I spent a dozen hours researching just the Vostok ice core data. What I found is nothing short of breathtaking manipulation of data. It's the same story over and over. .

Were you now? Certainly you must have all of this profound study documented? I would love to see it.

You should publish your work! I am sure it would be accepted to any of the peer reviewed scientific journals. You would be rich! Imagine all of the interviews.

You. Single handedly, outsmarting every other scientist on the planet. Imagine the book deals. They could make a movie!

Give me a fucking break lol.
 

sm625

Diamond Member
May 6, 2011
8,172
137
106
You can argue about what we should do about it all you want, but to deny AGW is to deny the consensus science.

I cant speak for every so called "climate denier", but I for one can and will deny consensus science. Consensus science said that smoking was good for you, once upon a time. That's a fact. I'm not making that up. The same goes for the consensus on cholesterol science, and many many other topics of serious consequence. You are never going to win any sort of fact based argument with "climate deniers", because there is a valid case which goes beyond science. Science is not perfect. Yes, the data will ultimately be corrected more towards the truth, whatever that is, eventually. The problem is that policy is being set, right now, that can and will cost millions of jobs and trillions in lost productivity solely to enrich a privileged few who either jumped in early into the carbon exchange racket, or have positioned themselves in other ways such as moving their operations to countries which will NEVER accept this sort of financial suicide pact. That is the situation, and you arent going to change it by talking about consensus as if it is sacrosanct. It is not, and never will be. It has nothing to do with denying science, and more to do with battling against those who are apparently blind to human nature and human ambitions.
 
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sm625

Diamond Member
May 6, 2011
8,172
137
106
Were you now? Certainly you must have all of this profound study documented? I would love to see it.

You should publish your work! I am sure it would be accepted to any of the peer reviewed scientific journals. You would be rich! Imagine all of the interviews.

You. Single handedly, outsmarting every other scientist on the planet. Imagine the book deals. They could make a movie!

Give me a fucking break lol.

So you read the first two sentences and reached the limit of your ability to conduct intellectual discourse? Can we go back a few steps just to clarify something: Do you deny that once upon a time, scientific concensus clearly favored the notion that smoking is beneficial to health? Or is it too much to ask that you answer one single question?
 
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Eli

Super Moderator | Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
50,422
8
81
So time will tell, right?

The problem is that it's yelling, and it isn't getting any quieter. Do you think the consensus will be different in 25 years?

The scientists doing this work are far smarter than you or I in their respective fields. The truth will come out, I have no doubt about that.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
16,843
13,774
146
This is the kind of BS that I'm talking about. YOU are shoveling BS. You think that you are going to "outfox" me by posting some BS link to some BS article and that's the end of it. OMG you so erudite. Sorry but it dont work that way. I HAVE actually read that article. What does the paper that this article is based on actually say:




The red line is before that paper was published, the black line is after. Do you understand what that graph is telling you? No, obviously not. What that graph is telling you is that this paper (Science aaa5632) is making extremely minor corrections that are irrelevant to the broader picture of climate change. Absolutely irrelevant. That paper isnt making the claim that there is now an uptrend where there previously wasnt one. That is pure lies, pure manipulation, pure BS. That article is complete misinformation, designed to feed nothing but idiocy. Check the facts yourself, do the actual research, instead of posting links to puerile articles which cite papers that you obviously have not read.

I was pouring over ice core data back in 2007. I spent a dozen hours researching just the Vostok ice core data. What I found is nothing short of breathtaking manipulation of data. It's the same story over and over. Notice how all these "corrections" are almost always tilted in one direction. That's right there tells any rational thinking person that there is a serious problem. But that's what they've been doing. Constantly making small corrections to the data, and almost always in one direction. Not always, but the money favors the studies which provide any "scientifically plausible" explanation for correcting the data. That is what all of this is about, it is a corruption of science. If there is a billion dollars waiting around to fund studies which can scientifically justify a method of correcting the data upwards, then the charts will trend upwards. Go look at the studies on smoking from 60 years ago. Dont talk about conspiracies. Go look at the studies, and understand what those studies are telling you vs what you now know with 100% certainty to be true about the effects of smoking. It is the same thing now with globull warming. It's not science that is the issue at all. It has nothing to do with science at all. You give me a billion dollars and I can come up with hundreds of perfectly valid scientific theories on how the temperature record could be altered upwards or downwards. And I could test them all, and simply throw out the research that doesnt fit the script and still have dozens that do, through nothing but sheer brute force. And most or even all would pass the peer review process. That is science! Science is not some magical ointment that cures all ailments. It cannot overcome large pools of money. That is what people need to come to terms with. A scientific mind can easily prove that you live longer if you smoke, and that unemployment is the same now as it was in 2007. But its not the truth, its just money talking.

Sorry all I see here is a lot of innuendo and unsubstantiated ramblings.
 

Eli

Super Moderator | Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
50,422
8
81
So you read the first two sentences and reached the limit of your ability to conduct intellectual discourse? Can we go back a few steps just to clarify something: Do you deny that once upon a time, scientific concensus clearly favored the notion that smoking is beneficial to health? Or is it too much to ask that you answer one single question?

Wait what?

I was trying to have intelligent conversation. I was being dead fucking serious. If you've done what you've said you've done, you would be famous.

If you've done what you've said you've done, you should be able to publish your work and have it stand up to the scrutiny of everyone else on the planet.

Can you show me that science as a whole ever showed that smoking was good for you? That's ludicrous.

I understand what you're trying to say, but do you know what consensus means? There are dozens of other lines of science that would converge against any study purporting that smoking is good for you. Which is what happened. Smoking isn't good for you, very easy to prove.

Releasing gigatons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere of our planet is going to have an affect. Physics tells us what that effect will be. How can you disagree?

I find it highly ironic that you're trying to use the manipulation of scientific data by the tobacco companies as a tool to say that AGW data has been manipulated, lol.

The oil companies have used the same tactic the tobacco companies used in the first place. Yes, the truth will come out. And it isn't going to be through this congressional probe lol.

Unfortunately, it's pretty obvious that we will change only when we're forced to change - because it's so glaringly obvious that there is no alternative that it's basically too late to effectively do anything about it.

Yay.
 
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glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
So time will tell, right?

The problem is that it's yelling, and it isn't getting any quieter. Do you think the consensus will be different in 25 years?

The scientists doing this work are far smarter than you or I in their respective fields. The truth will come out, I have no doubt about that.

I'm guessing the consensus will be exactly the same in 25 years - the voting public will overwhelmingly reject any of your proposals that involve higher taxes or anything which costs them money or impacts their standard of living, while being open to unspecified "climate change agreements" that other people pay for. Hell, I'll bet that's the consensus for the infinite future until technology makes your 'solutions' moot and obviously counter-productive in retrospect.
 

Eli

Super Moderator | Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
50,422
8
81
What is your solution then?

Do you believe we can burn the 2,500 gigatons of additional carbon currently on the books and not suffer any dire consequences?

What about the fact that the world has already agreed that we need to keep the warming to below 2C? Doesn't the fact that, you know, all of the world leaders on the planet have convened to discuss this issue mean that it's actually an issue?

I mean do you folks not understand why this has reached such a critical state? It's simple math.

We only need to release another ~500 gigatons of carbon to hit the 2C mark. That's ~15 years at our current rates.

And yet we have more than 2,500 gigatons of carbon on the books and are spending billions of dollars to find more.

Something is going to break, and it's going to be our fossil fuel infrastructure. It has to change. We don't want mother nature to change it for us, that will be far more costly.
 
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buckshot24

Diamond Member
Nov 3, 2009
9,916
85
91
We only need to release another ~500 gigatons of carbon to hit the 2C mark. That's ~15 years at our current rates.
Why haven't we seen 2 degrees warming the last 15 years? Or are you saying from some past point and not present temperature?
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
So time will tell, right?

The problem is that it's yelling, and it isn't getting any quieter. Do you think the consensus will be different in 25 years?

The scientists doing this work are far smarter than you or I in their respective fields. The truth will come out, I have no doubt about that.

Crop yields are LITERALLY SCREAMING.... MORE Warming and MORE CO2 IS REAL FUCKING GREAT. What are you really scared of brah? Too much food? We are going to be just fine no matter how scary the prophets portray the future. And just so you know, the science is settled when the predictions are VALIDATED. By definition, that validation process will take at least a century. Before validation it might as well be from the Bible, it is just another fucking hypothesis.

I love how you disregard the manufacturers, political scientists and economists (far smarter in their field than you or I) when they warn of the cataclysmic effects of draconian carbon regulations on the Western world. They don't count I guess?
 
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Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
16,843
13,774
146
Crop yields are LITERALLY SCREAMING.... MORE Warming and MORE CO2 IS REAL FUCKING GREAT. What are you really scared of brah? Too much food? We are going to be just fine no matter how scary the prophets portray the future. And just so you know, the science is settled when the predictions are VALIDATED. By definition, that validation process will take at least a century. Before validation it might as well be from the Bible, it is just another fucking hypothesis.

I love how you disregard the manufacturers, political scientists and economists (far smarter in their field than you or I) when they warn of the cataclysmic effects of draconian carbon regulations on the Western world. They don't count I guess?

So where was that supporting data showing our record crops are due to increased CO2 instead of more and improved farming?

Oh and those economists said ALL CO2 regulations will ruin the economy. I'll wait on those links too. :whiste:
 

dank69

Lifer
Oct 6, 2009
35,588
29,291
136
This is the kind of BS that I'm talking about. YOU are shoveling BS. You think that you are going to "outfox" me by posting some BS link to some BS article and that's the end of it. OMG you so erudite. Sorry but it dont work that way. I HAVE actually read that article. What does the paper that this article is based on actually say:




The red line is before that paper was published, the black line is after. Do you understand what that graph is telling you? No, obviously not. What that graph is telling you is that this paper (Science aaa5632) is making extremely minor corrections that are irrelevant to the broader picture of climate change. Absolutely irrelevant. That paper isnt making the claim that there is now an uptrend where there previously wasnt one. That is pure lies, pure manipulation, pure BS. That article is complete misinformation, designed to feed nothing but idiocy. Check the facts yourself, do the actual research, instead of posting links to puerile articles which cite papers that you obviously have not read.

I was pouring over ice core data back in 2007. I spent a dozen hours researching just the Vostok ice core data. What I found is nothing short of breathtaking manipulation of data. It's the same story over and over. Notice how all these "corrections" are almost always tilted in one direction. That right there tells any rational thinking person that there is a serious problem. But that's what they've been doing. Constantly making small corrections to the data, and almost always in one direction. Not always, but the money favors the studies which provide any "scientifically plausible" explanation for correcting the data. That is what all of this is about, it is a corruption of science. If there is a billion dollars waiting around to fund studies which can scientifically justify a method of correcting the data upwards, then the charts will trend upwards. Go look at the studies on smoking from 60 years ago. Dont talk about conspiracies. Go look at the studies, and understand what those studies are telling you vs what you now know with 100% certainty to be true about the effects of smoking. It is the same thing now with globull warming. It's not science that is the issue at all. It has nothing to do with science at all. You give me a billion dollars and I can come up with hundreds of perfectly valid scientific theories on how the temperature record could be altered upwards or downwards. And I could test them all, and simply throw out the research that doesnt fit the script and still have dozens that do, through nothing but sheer brute force. And most or even all would pass the peer review process. That is science! Science is not some magical ointment that cures all ailments. It cannot overcome large pools of money. That is what people need to come to terms with. A scientific mind can easily prove that you live longer if you smoke, and that unemployment is the same now as it was in 2007. But its not the truth, its just money talking.
Proof that there is a "billion dollars waiting around to fund studies which can scientifically justify a method of correcting the data upwards"? Proof that grant money is provided for research that supports MMCC and denied for research that contradicts it? The truth is that the government provides funding regardless of the findings but there are plenty of companies willing to pay for any research that contradicts MMCC. So your assumptions are exactly backwards. If climate scientists were just in it for the money they would be better served doing research for the fossil fuel industry.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
We only need to release another ~500 gigatons of carbon to hit the 2C mark. That's ~15 years at our current rates.

14 years 11 months now. Tick tock. Time for the next in the series of monthly scare threads.
 

unokitty

Diamond Member
Jan 5, 2012
3,346
1
0


New York Times: Where’s the money?
Six years ago in Copenhagen, Hillary Clinton, then secretary of state, brought the moribund negotiations on a deal to slow climate change back from the dead with a single promise of $100 billion a year to help the world’s poor nations.

The world’s advanced industrial nations committed to “mobilizing jointly $100 billion a year by 2020, to address the needs of developing countries.” The money was to come from “a wide variety of sources, public and private, bilateral and multilateral, including alternative sources of finance.”

... But where’s the money?

A World Resources Institute report estimated that $10 billion to $14 billion in government money for climate finance on top of the $17 billion deployed in 2012 would be enough to seal a deal.

“There has to be additional concessional public climate finance,”...”

As for the United States... Pledging cash is not enough. Money must be appropriated.
Your politicians have already committed billions of your dollars.

Mr. Xi Jinping wants to know where his money is...

Benigno Aquino III wants to know where his money is...

Africa wants to know where their money is...

New York Times also wants to know 'Where's the money?'

Who could possibly object to higher taxes so that US politicians can redistribute billions of US taxpayer dollars to third world politicians?

I mean, if you believe the politicians, they have no choice if you want them to save the planet.

Anyway, where is the money?

Uno
 
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bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
So where was that supporting data showing our record crops are due to increased CO2 instead of more and improved farming?

I showed you THEIR prediction for the first 15 years of this century and they were way off. The missed very low. Their prediction was that total crop production would fall slightly and it skyrocketed. They are interested in only one thing and one thing alone. They don't give a shitstain about the truth.

What the 25% boost in crop production in the last 15 years does prove beyong ANY fucking doubt is: Globlal Warming and CO2 production do NOT harm crop production in any meaningful way AND in all likelihood help crop production. The global warming theorists have little to no interest into researching this particular issue because it completely demolishes their ability to fear-monger.


The leaves of soybeans grown at the elevated carbon dioxide levels predicted for the year 2050 respire more than those grown under current atmospheric conditions, researchers report, a finding that will help fine-tune climate models and could point to increased crop yields as CO2 levels rise.

https://news.illinois.edu/blog/view/6367/206046
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
Remember when CO2 was going to kill off all the plankton? The "new problem" is that the opposite is happening.

http://www.techtimes.com/articles/1...ton-growth-how-this-harms-the-environment.htm


I am starting to hate these cretins. There is literally no depth that they are unwilling to plumb.

Start out fear-mongering about a coming imposion of plankton predicted by their "scientific" models. When the exact opposite effect occurs, immeditalely begin fear-mongering about the explosion of plankton which their models did NOT predict.

No accountability, no useful predictions, just plain fear-mongering about everything.

GAWD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

DAMN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

IMMA GONNA RAGE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
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Eli

Super Moderator | Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
50,422
8
81
14 years 11 months now. Tick tock. Time for the next in the series of monthly scare threads.

Tick tock indeed.

You folks have any idea how long the CO2 being emitted right now will affect our biosphere?

You have 3 guesses.
 

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
Tick tock indeed.

You folks have any idea how long the CO2 being emitted right now will affect our biosphere?

You have 3 guesses.

A massive explosion of bio-diversity and total plant tonnage?

Punctuated equilibrium predicts massive jumps in speciation events in the face of rapidly changing environments. Or.... perhaps all that evolution theory is just a fucking myth.
 
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Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
16,843
13,774
146
I showed you THEIR prediction for the first 15 years of this century and they were way off. The missed very low. Their prediction was that total crop production would fall slightly and it skyrocketed. They are interested in only one thing and one thing alone. They don't give a shitstain about the truth.

What the 25% boost in crop production in the last 15 years does prove beyong ANY fucking doubt is: Globlal Warming and CO2 production do NOT harm crop production in any meaningful way AND in all likelihood help crop production. The global warming theorists have little to no interest into researching this particular issue because it completely demolishes their ability to fear-monger.




https://news.illinois.edu/blog/view/6367/206046

If globally the effort put in to boost crops 25% should have boosted them by 30% without the effects of MMGW then it had a negative impact.

I'm not saying that's the case. I'm saying you haven't proved dickall other than you'll jump to conclusions.
 
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