Originally posted by: LokeanSon
Originally posted by: gsellis
OK, I have waited long enough for all of you to get it out of your systems. If you really want Linux to take over over Windows, start hoping that Mt. Rainer destroys Redmond. That is about the only scenario that had good odds that I could come up with. Next on the list was a asteroid impact
I can think of a more likely scenario... We enter into a prolonged global recession, or God forbid, a depression, and that could and very likely would, barring some miracle must have innovation on Microsofts part, be the beginning of the end for Windows.
Well... with the OSDL meeting there was a company called 'NeoWare' that was hired by large retailer to roll out desktop changes. They replaced around 20,000 Windows desktops with Linux desktops in a large retail chain.
http://kegel.com/osdl/da05.html
Costs ended up being 1/4th of what it cost in Windows. The company saved as much money as it cost to open up a entire new retail outlet.
All stuff is done from central management. No user filesare stored on the desktop so to install Linux they forced a netboot on the clients that ran a script that formatted Windows away and installed Linux.
The future of Linux desktop in the business could be something similar to this.
For instance you have the 'Stateless Linux' project from Fedora/Redhat people. It should be in the next release of Fedora Core 5. As well as Xen and other neat stuff.
Basicly the goal is to run your desktops in a easy to manage way.
You'd have several levels. Some people would use X terminals. Other people would have 'fatter' clients that run similar to Knoppix. You do a read-only root that is booted and installed over the network and you use local disk space for user files and configurations.. then all that stuff is backed up. Then you'd have people that have similar things with laptops, but are setup to run seperated from the network.
The idea is that you could walk up to any random PC, grab it out from infront of somebody, toss it out the window, and then put a new one in front of them.. that would boot, install the OS, and then have the user log in and be like nothing ever happenned with no data loss or loss in configuration. All within a few minutes.
(with hardware that has good support by open source drivers this is dead easy, but you just can't take any random stuff and expect it to work so well.)
If they get all that running well and get good central user management setup then it would be considurably cheaper and easier to deploy Linux on a large number for desktops then Windows.
Customizability and central management is the key. X Windows helps with this, no licensing hell helps with this, virtualization technology helps, open source helps with this, disposable hardware helps with this.
But there are a lot of 'ifs' there and it's not going to help much for home desktop in the short term.
In the long term the idea is that people want to use what they have at work at home. People would ask about Linux compatability when buying computers and would ask about Linux compatability with games and such. It would give manufacturers and ISVs bigger reasons to support linux at home desktops.