taltamir
Lifer
- Mar 21, 2004
- 13,576
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Originally posted by: Greg04
Originally posted by: Hulk
Based on past progress where do you think we'll be as far as desktop processor performance in 10 years, 50 years, and 100 years? How far will the performance be pushed?
Will desktop processors be capable of "supercomputer" performance in the near future?
10 years ago the fastest computer of the day was the Pentium II 450. In CPUmark99 that processor did about 34. A fast (say 3.2GHz) quad core C2D running four instances of CPUmark99 could score about 1800. That's about a 50x increase in performance in 10 years. Could we see another 50x increase in performance in the next 10 years? 1M Superpi times in a fraction of a second? HD video compressed at 50x realtime? Compress a two hour movie in two minutes?
Of course these are all really rough estimates but I'm curious as to what other people in this forum think will happen in the next 10, 50, or 100 years? I can't even begin to estimate how fast cpu's will be in 50 or 100 years.
It doesn't matter how fast CPUs get, Microsoft will be there to trip up even the fastest one. I can see it now, WINDOWS AEON (WINDOWS 22) Minimum System Requirements: 100 Core AI Gel Cubes, 40PB Holographic Storage, and at least a 500TB RAM Array (with 1KW of power dedicated to lighting the Bill Gates laser memorial on the moon). Of course, consumers will continue to revolt against this bloatware, and XP will have reached Service Pack 279 (where *almost* all the bugs have been worked out).
Funny you should say that.. I have been experimenting with linux and solaris recently.. Linux is significantly slower then vista. And solaris is the slowest behemoth I have EVER seen. Solaris litterally chugs along at 1/4th the speed vista does. And I was wishing vista was as responsive as XP.. HAH!