Debt ceiling to be raised again very shortly

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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: blackangst1

Better qualify that with a member of your family under your roof, or that is in the same budget you operate your household in.

I'd like to see what % is internat and external. I looked for a few minutes but couldnt find a definitive answer.

It's approximately 73% internal, 27% external.

Not according to the treasury. 13.399 trillion external as of 3/31/09 (link on prev page

and CIA lists it is 12.5 trillion as of 2007 <a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2079rank.html">https://www.cia.gov/library......rder/2079rank.html</a>

This is incorrect. Nowhere does your article say that the 13-odd trillion in debt is externally held, it lists the total debt of the government both internal and external. The CIA factbook does the same. Are you confusing this with intragovernmental debt vs. public debt? Internal debt means internal to the United States, external debt means debt owed to foreign entities.
 

bamacre

Lifer
Jul 1, 2004
21,030
2
61
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: Skitzer
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: Zensal
Look, it doesn't matter what party you belong to, this is insane!!! We cannot keep deficit spending. $12.1 Trillion dollars. Thats $12,100,000,000,000. A quick google search puts the GDP at $13.84 trillion dollars. I do not think that we will ever be able to pay this back.

And IIRC, this does not include the debt owed to the Social Security Trust Fund.

The vast majority of this debt is owed internally. If you owe your wife $20 or vice versa, does it actually matter from a family finance perspective if she 'pays you back' or not?

Vast majority? Are you sure about that? Where do you get your figures from?

Yes, I'm quite sure. The vast majority. People always talk about how China has this stranglehold over the US due to how much of our debt it holds, when in reality it has about 10% of it. (not that this isn't an issue, just not nearly as large of one as people think.)


"49.37% Federal Reserve and Intragovernmental Holdings"

Where do they get the money to loan to the gov't?

 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Originally posted by: alchemize
Actually I'm with you Eskimospy. We just write off all that "family debt", stop paying social security, medicare, TARP, all that other public/private welfare bullshit and we're free and clear. Great idea!

Inflate it away...

I have no idea what you're talking about, and I get the feeling you don't either. Internal debt isn't 'written off', but people frequently confuse government debt to its citizens as being something like debt is to you, and they are nothing alike. This is how you get people saying things like 'we're giving this debt to our kids', which is silly. (at least for the internal debt) The US ran up a huge internal debt during WWII, but as far as I am aware of we did not send productivity from the 1950's back in time to pay the 'borrowed productivity'.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Originally posted by: bamacre
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: Skitzer
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: Zensal
Look, it doesn't matter what party you belong to, this is insane!!! We cannot keep deficit spending. $12.1 Trillion dollars. Thats $12,100,000,000,000. A quick google search puts the GDP at $13.84 trillion dollars. I do not think that we will ever be able to pay this back.

And IIRC, this does not include the debt owed to the Social Security Trust Fund.

The vast majority of this debt is owed internally. If you owe your wife $20 or vice versa, does it actually matter from a family finance perspective if she 'pays you back' or not?

Vast majority? Are you sure about that? Where do you get your figures from?

Yes, I'm quite sure. The vast majority. People always talk about how China has this stranglehold over the US due to how much of our debt it holds, when in reality it has about 10% of it. (not that this isn't an issue, just not nearly as large of one as people think.)


"49.37% Federal Reserve and Intragovernmental Holdings"

Where do they get the money to loan to the gov't?

No offense, but I'm not interested in getting into a discussion with you on the Federal Reserve.
 

blackangst1

Lifer
Feb 23, 2005
22,914
2,359
126
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: blackangst1

Better qualify that with a member of your family under your roof, or that is in the same budget you operate your household in.

I'd like to see what % is internat and external. I looked for a few minutes but couldnt find a definitive answer.

It's approximately 73% internal, 27% external.

Not according to the treasury. 13.399 trillion external as of 3/31/09 (link on prev page

and CIA lists it is 12.5 trillion as of 2007 <a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/library......rder/2079rank.html"><a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/library/pu...ankorder/2079rank.html"><a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2079rank.html">https://www.cia.gov/l............9rank.html</a></a></a>

This is incorrect. Nowhere does your article say that the 13-odd trillion in debt is externally held, it lists the total debt of the government both internal and external. The CIA factbook does the same. Are you confusing this with intragovernmental debt vs. public debt? Internal debt means internal to the United States, external debt means debt owed to foreign entities.

Uh, on the CIa like, let me cut and paste a few things for you.

This entry gives the total public and private debt owed to nonresidents repayable in foreign currency, goods, or services. These figures are calculated on an exchange rate basis, i.e., not in purchasing power parity

Debt - external (with the 12.5 trillion listed immediately under it)

In the treasury link, it clearly says "Table A: Gross External Debt Position*: March 31, 2009"

Tell me what Im missing? If "external" doesnt really mean external, what does it mean?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: blackangst1

Better qualify that with a member of your family under your roof, or that is in the same budget you operate your household in.

I'd like to see what % is internat and external. I looked for a few minutes but couldnt find a definitive answer.

It's approximately 73% internal, 27% external.

Not according to the treasury. 13.399 trillion external as of 3/31/09 (link on prev page

and CIA lists it is 12.5 trillion as of 2007 <a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/l............9rank.html"><a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/libr........./2079rank.html"><a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/library......rder/2079rank.html"><a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/library/pu...ankorder/2079rank.html"><a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2079rank.html">https://www.cia.gov/l............ml</a></a></a></a></a>

This is incorrect. Nowhere does your article say that the 13-odd trillion in debt is externally held, it lists the total debt of the government both internal and external. The CIA factbook does the same. Are you confusing this with intragovernmental debt vs. public debt? Internal debt means internal to the United States, external debt means debt owed to foreign entities.

Uh, on the CIa like, let me cut and paste a few things for you.

This entry gives the total public and private debt owed to nonresidents repayable in foreign currency, goods, or services. These figures are calculated on an exchange rate basis, i.e., not in purchasing power parity

Debt - external (with the 12.5 trillion listed immediately under it)

In the treasury link, it clearly says "Table A: Gross External Debt Position*: March 31, 2009"

Tell me what Im missing? If "external" doesnt really mean external, what does it mean?

It means all debt owed by US persons to creditors outside the US, not just the debt owed by the US government to creditors outside the US.
 

blackangst1

Lifer
Feb 23, 2005
22,914
2,359
126
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: blackangst1

Better qualify that with a member of your family under your roof, or that is in the same budget you operate your household in.

I'd like to see what % is internat and external. I looked for a few minutes but couldnt find a definitive answer.

It's approximately 73% internal, 27% external.

Not according to the treasury. 13.399 trillion external as of 3/31/09 (link on prev page

and CIA lists it is 12.5 trillion as of 2007 <a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/l............9rank.html"><a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/libr........./2079rank.html"><a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/library......rder/2079rank.html"><a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/library/pu...ankorder/2079rank.html"><a target=_blank class=ftalternatingbarlinklarge href="https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2079rank.html">https://www.cia.gov/l............ml</a></a></a></a></a>

This is incorrect. Nowhere does your article say that the 13-odd trillion in debt is externally held, it lists the total debt of the government both internal and external. The CIA factbook does the same. Are you confusing this with intragovernmental debt vs. public debt? Internal debt means internal to the United States, external debt means debt owed to foreign entities.

Uh, on the CIa like, let me cut and paste a few things for you.

This entry gives the total public and private debt owed to nonresidents repayable in foreign currency, goods, or services. These figures are calculated on an exchange rate basis, i.e., not in purchasing power parity

Debt - external (with the 12.5 trillion listed immediately under it)

In the treasury link, it clearly says "Table A: Gross External Debt Position*: March 31, 2009"

Tell me what Im missing? If "external" doesnt really mean external, what does it mean?

It means debt external to the government, not to the United States.

Got a link showing that?
 

blackangst1

Lifer
Feb 23, 2005
22,914
2,359
126
Well I found this which seems to contradict what you are saying:

http://www.treasurydirect.gov/...blicdebt.htm#DebtOwner

From their FAQ: What is the Debt Held by the Public?
The Debt Held by the Public is all federal debt held by individuals, corporations, state or local governments, foreign governments, and other entities outside the United States Government less Federal Financing Bank securities.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Originally posted by: eskimospy

It means debt external to the government, not to the United States.

Got a link showing that?

I phrased it badly/incorrectly in my original post. As for the link saying that, you can use your own CIA factbook link that you quoted.

This entry gives the total public and private debt owed to nonresidents repayable in foreign currency, goods, or services.
The US government's debt is public debt, if you owe someone in England $20, that's private debt. External debt in that article is counting both, but we are only discussing US government debt here.
 

blackangst1

Lifer
Feb 23, 2005
22,914
2,359
126
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Originally posted by: eskimospy

It means debt external to the government, not to the United States.

Got a link showing that?

I phrased it badly/incorrectly in my original post. As for the link saying that, you can use your own CIA factbook link that you quoted.

This entry gives the total public and private debt owed to nonresidents repayable in foreign currency, goods, or services.
The US government's debt is public debt, if you owe someone in England $20, that's private debt. External debt in that article is counting both, but we are only discussing US government debt here.

See my post above yours. Public in this case DOES mean owed to others OUTSIDE the Federal gov't.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Well I found this which seems to contridict what you are saying:

http://www.treasurydirect.gov/...blicdebt.htm#DebtOwner

From their FAQ: What is the Debt Held by the Public?
The Debt Held by the Public is all federal debt held by individuals, corporations, state or local governments, foreign governments, and other entities outside the United States Government less Federal Financing Bank securities.

No it does not at all. You are confusing the external debt of the entire United States with the public debt owed by the government. They are two very different things.

The US 'public debt' is the total debt owed by the government to all the entities you mentioned. This includes both internal debt owed to citizens and external debt owed to foreign entities of any kind. This is currently $12-13 trillion.

The US 'external debt' is the debt owed by all of us, the government included, to foreign entities. This is also currently around $13 trillion, but of that $13 trillion only about $4 trillion (or so) is government owed, the remaining $9 trillion is owed by corporations, or by you and me.
 

blackangst1

Lifer
Feb 23, 2005
22,914
2,359
126
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Well I found this which seems to contridict what you are saying:

http://www.treasurydirect.gov/...blicdebt.htm#DebtOwner

From their FAQ: What is the Debt Held by the Public?
The Debt Held by the Public is all federal debt held by individuals, corporations, state or local governments, foreign governments, and other entities outside the United States Government less Federal Financing Bank securities.

No it does not at all. You are confusing the external debt of the entire United States with the public debt owed by the government. They are two very different things.

The US 'public debt' is the total debt owed by the government to all the entities you mentioned. This includes both internal debt owed to citizens and external debt owed to foreign entities of any kind. This is currently $12-13 trillion.

The US 'external debt' is the debt owed by all of us, the government included, to foreign entities. This is also currently around $13 trillion, but of that $13 trillion only about $4 trillion (or so) is government owed, the remaining $9 trillion is owed by corporations, or by you and me.

Im tired at looking at google searches only to find what Ive found so far. Can you provide a link backing up what youre saying? Its not that I dont believe you, its that everything Im reading is saying something different.
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: alchemize
Originally posted by: eskimospy

Unless your mortgage lender is a member of your family, you might want to hold up on calling someone idiotic.
Oh, so the US debt is held by various family members who are just going to forgive it? :roll:

To other posters, IIRC it's about 75% US 25% foreign.

No, they aren't going to forgive it... it just doesn't matter. If your family operates in the same way that most families do, it operates as a cohesive economic unit. If you owe your wife $20 and you pay her back, the net worth of your family changed by zero dollars. If your family owes this to an external entity like say, a mortgage bank, when you pay them back your net worth decreases. When the US government pays a US citizen $20, the net worth and productivity of the US does not change. When the US pays China $20, we lose $20. Foreign owned debt is actual borrowed productivity from somewhere else. Internally owed debt is not.

This isn't a perfect analogy (as people are not entirely economically contained within countries, etc... etc.), but you get the idea.
So wouldn't it make sense for the US gov to lend only internally? And at that, to step it up? Certainly there is a drawback to a vast internal debt.

If we change scales from internal (domestic) and external (say, China), to internal being the planet earth and external being the universe, we could say that all of the debt is internal. The reason this would not appease concerns is that the debt ultimately has to be paid, still, from the US to China, even if there is no net loss between them (should we consider them "on the same team"). Similarly, with things as they are now, the US government still has to pay money from its revenue stream (taxes) to who it owes debt to (even if they are internal), thus weakening its finances and by extension the finances of those it consists of. Now, it consists of people who it owes money to, in part, and chances are they are going to pay disproportionately high taxes anyway due to their wealth, but then on the other hand if the US pays money to China, this makes China wealthier and in turn more liable to buy from the US.

Crap I don't even know where I was going with this. OK I'm going here: nobody has mentioned yet the practical implications of domestic vs foreign debt.

 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Well I found this which seems to contridict what you are saying:

http://www.treasurydirect.gov/...blicdebt.htm#DebtOwner

From their FAQ: What is the Debt Held by the Public?
The Debt Held by the Public is all federal debt held by individuals, corporations, state or local governments, foreign governments, and other entities outside the United States Government less Federal Financing Bank securities.

No it does not at all. You are confusing the external debt of the entire United States with the public debt owed by the government. They are two very different things.

The US 'public debt' is the total debt owed by the government to all the entities you mentioned. This includes both internal debt owed to citizens and external debt owed to foreign entities of any kind. This is currently $12-13 trillion.

The US 'external debt' is the debt owed by all of us, the government included, to foreign entities. This is also currently around $13 trillion, but of that $13 trillion only about $4 trillion (or so) is government owed, the remaining $9 trillion is owed by corporations, or by you and me.

Im tired at looking at google searches only to find what Ive found so far. Can you provide a link backing up what youre saying? Its not that I dont believe you, its that everything Im reading is saying something different.

Your own links are telling you everything you need to know, just gotta bold things a little differently. In the treasury link that you quoted it says:

The Debt Held by the Public is all federal debt held by individuals, corporations, state or local governments, foreign governments, and other entities outside the United States Government less Federal Financing Bank securities.

That link shows that public debt is only 'federal debt'... ie: money owed by the US government.

The link from the CIA factbook that I quoted earlier says external debt is:
the total public and private debt owed to nonresidents repayable in foreign currency, goods, or services.

That means it's all the federal debt owed by the government of the US along with all the private debt that anyone else hanging out here has happened to accumulate to a foreign entity.

So 'external debt' and 'US government external debt' are two very different things, as US govt. debt is only one component of total external debt.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Originally posted by: Skoorb
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: alchemize
Originally posted by: eskimospy

Unless your mortgage lender is a member of your family, you might want to hold up on calling someone idiotic.
Oh, so the US debt is held by various family members who are just going to forgive it? :roll:

To other posters, IIRC it's about 75% US 25% foreign.

No, they aren't going to forgive it... it just doesn't matter. If your family operates in the same way that most families do, it operates as a cohesive economic unit. If you owe your wife $20 and you pay her back, the net worth of your family changed by zero dollars. If your family owes this to an external entity like say, a mortgage bank, when you pay them back your net worth decreases. When the US government pays a US citizen $20, the net worth and productivity of the US does not change. When the US pays China $20, we lose $20. Foreign owned debt is actual borrowed productivity from somewhere else. Internally owed debt is not.

This isn't a perfect analogy (as people are not entirely economically contained within countries, etc... etc.), but you get the idea.
So wouldn't it make sense for the US gov to lend only internally? And at that, to step it up? Certainly there is a drawback to a vast internal debt.

If we change scales from internal (domestic) and external (say, China), to internal being the planet earth and external being the universe, we could say that all of the debt is internal. The reason this would not appease concerns is that the debt ultimately has to be paid, still, from the US to China, even if there is no net loss between them (should we consider them "on the same team"). Similarly, with things as they are now, the US government still has to pay money from its revenue stream (taxes) to who it owes debt to (even if they are internal), thus weakening its finances and by extension the finances of those it consists of. Now, it consists of people who it owes money to, in part, and chances are they are going to pay disproportionately high taxes anyway due to their wealth, but then on the other hand if the US pays money to China, this makes China wealthier and in turn more liable to buy from the US.

Crap I don't even know where I was going with this. OK I'm going here: nobody has mentioned yet the practical implications of domestic vs foreign debt.

Domestic debt does have its drawbacks, mainly inflation. Mild inflation is fine, but were the government just to borrow/create zillions of new dollars that would create problems similar to what Weimar Germany endured... and that's a catastrophe. (no, we're nowhere near that) It's not that internal debt has no downsides, it's just that they are less than is normally assumed, and they are downsides of an entirely different sort.
 

JTsyo

Lifer
Nov 18, 2007
11,774
919
126
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: alchemize
Originally posted by: eskimospy

Unless your mortgage lender is a member of your family, you might want to hold up on calling someone idiotic.
Oh, so the US debt is held by various family members who are just going to forgive it? :roll:

To other posters, IIRC it's about 75% US 25% foreign.

No, they aren't going to forgive it... it just doesn't matter. If your family operates in the same way that most families do, it operates as a cohesive economic unit. If you owe your wife $20 and you pay her back, the net worth of your family changed by zero dollars. If your family owes this to an external entity like say, a mortgage bank, when you pay them back your net worth decreases. When the US government pays a US citizen $20, the net worth and productivity of the US does not change. When the US pays China $20, we lose $20. Foreign owned debt is actual borrowed productivity from somewhere else. Internally owed debt is not.

This isn't a perfect analogy (as people are not entirely economically contained within countries, etc... etc.), but you get the idea.

We didn't really lose $20 since we borrowed the money in the first place. That money was used in the US and included in our economy.
 

LegendKiller

Lifer
Mar 5, 2001
18,256
68
86
Originally posted by: JTsyo
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: alchemize
Originally posted by: eskimospy

Unless your mortgage lender is a member of your family, you might want to hold up on calling someone idiotic.
Oh, so the US debt is held by various family members who are just going to forgive it? :roll:

To other posters, IIRC it's about 75% US 25% foreign.

No, they aren't going to forgive it... it just doesn't matter. If your family operates in the same way that most families do, it operates as a cohesive economic unit. If you owe your wife $20 and you pay her back, the net worth of your family changed by zero dollars. If your family owes this to an external entity like say, a mortgage bank, when you pay them back your net worth decreases. When the US government pays a US citizen $20, the net worth and productivity of the US does not change. When the US pays China $20, we lose $20. Foreign owned debt is actual borrowed productivity from somewhere else. Internally owed debt is not.

This isn't a perfect analogy (as people are not entirely economically contained within countries, etc... etc.), but you get the idea.

We didn't really lose $20 since we borrowed the money in the first place. That money was used in the US and included in our economy.

It's amazing to me that people like Eskimospy even exist.

All debt is is bringing future wealth into the current period. Doing so allows investment NOW as opposed to investment TOMORROW. The investment now should have returns greater than the interest the debt bears. Thus, if you can invest now, earning 5% growth rate, while paying 3% interest, you make 2%. Thus, your net worth will not be $0, it will be...

Debt*2%*#years = new net worth.

Now, naturally, if you are borrowing to PREVENT something, such as a financial collapse, the return cannot be measured as a % of spread, other measurements must be gathered.

Of course, one has to ask whether the US has invested well. The answer seems to be pretty evident as we still have the world's largest economy.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: JTsyo
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: alchemize
Originally posted by: eskimospy

Unless your mortgage lender is a member of your family, you might want to hold up on calling someone idiotic.
Oh, so the US debt is held by various family members who are just going to forgive it? :roll:

To other posters, IIRC it's about 75% US 25% foreign.

No, they aren't going to forgive it... it just doesn't matter. If your family operates in the same way that most families do, it operates as a cohesive economic unit. If you owe your wife $20 and you pay her back, the net worth of your family changed by zero dollars. If your family owes this to an external entity like say, a mortgage bank, when you pay them back your net worth decreases. When the US government pays a US citizen $20, the net worth and productivity of the US does not change. When the US pays China $20, we lose $20. Foreign owned debt is actual borrowed productivity from somewhere else. Internally owed debt is not.

This isn't a perfect analogy (as people are not entirely economically contained within countries, etc... etc.), but you get the idea.

We didn't really lose $20 since we borrowed the money in the first place. That money was used in the US and included in our economy.

It's amazing to me that people like Eskimospy even exist.

All debt is is bringing future wealth into the current period. Doing so allows investment NOW as opposed to investment TOMORROW. The investment now should have returns greater than the interest the debt bears. Thus, if you can invest now, earning 5% growth rate, while paying 3% interest, you make 2%. Thus, your net worth will not be $0, it will be...

Debt*2%*#years = new net worth.

Now, naturally, if you are borrowing to PREVENT something, such as a financial collapse, the return cannot be measured as a % of spread, other measurements must be gathered.

Of course, one has to ask whether the US has invested well. The answer seems to be pretty evident as we still have the world's largest economy.

What on earth are you talking about? I'm not sure how you could possibly think that my posts indicated that borrowing money couldn't have positive returns or that it wasn't a desirable thing in many situations. Are you so used to the people on here freaking out about debt and lending that you reflexively thought I was one of them?

My posts specifically centered only on the difference between money borrowed inside of the US and money borrowed outside of it, and how money circulating inside of our economy is considerably different than money being sent to an outside economy that interacts with ours in a more limited way.

EDIT: In simple terms I was trying to illustrate how paying interest to ourselves is much different than paying interest to an outside entity.
 

sandorski

No Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
70,131
5,658
126
Originally posted by: Zensal
Look, it doesn't matter what party you belong to, this is insane!!! We cannot keep deficit spending. $12.1 Trillion dollars. Thats $12,100,000,000,000. A quick google search puts the GDP at $13.84 trillion dollars. I do not think that we will ever be able to pay this back.

And IIRC, this does not include the debt owed to the Social Security Trust Fund.

True and many of us were saying the same thing since 2000. Unfortunately, now is not the time to be slashing spending.
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: Zensal
Look, it doesn't matter what party you belong to, this is insane!!! We cannot keep deficit spending. $12.1 Trillion dollars. Thats $12,100,000,000,000. A quick google search puts the GDP at $13.84 trillion dollars. I do not think that we will ever be able to pay this back.

And IIRC, this does not include the debt owed to the Social Security Trust Fund.

The vast majority of this debt is owed internally. If you owe your wife $20 or vice versa, does it actually matter from a family finance perspective if she 'pays you back' or not?

A better analogy might be borrowing money from your families retirement account.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Originally posted by: Darwin333
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: Zensal
Look, it doesn't matter what party you belong to, this is insane!!! We cannot keep deficit spending. $12.1 Trillion dollars. Thats $12,100,000,000,000. A quick google search puts the GDP at $13.84 trillion dollars. I do not think that we will ever be able to pay this back.

And IIRC, this does not include the debt owed to the Social Security Trust Fund.

The vast majority of this debt is owed internally. If you owe your wife $20 or vice versa, does it actually matter from a family finance perspective if she 'pays you back' or not?

A better analogy might be borrowing money from your families retirement account.

It's really not, because government debt and private debt are totally different things.
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: Darwin333
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: Zensal
Look, it doesn't matter what party you belong to, this is insane!!! We cannot keep deficit spending. $12.1 Trillion dollars. Thats $12,100,000,000,000. A quick google search puts the GDP at $13.84 trillion dollars. I do not think that we will ever be able to pay this back.

And IIRC, this does not include the debt owed to the Social Security Trust Fund.

The vast majority of this debt is owed internally. If you owe your wife $20 or vice versa, does it actually matter from a family finance perspective if she 'pays you back' or not?

A better analogy might be borrowing money from your families retirement account.

It's really not, because government debt and private debt are totally different things.

The point I am trying to make is I think your analogy is oversimplified. The internal debt we hold isn't like my wife loaning my $20 out of her (or the families) disposable income and therefor not effecting future obligations. We are spending money that must be paid back in order to meet our obligations. We will either have to raise taxes or issue bonds to cover it and unfortunately, I don't see how we could possibly raise taxes enough.

 

BoberFett

Lifer
Oct 9, 1999
37,563
9
81
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: LegendKiller
Originally posted by: JTsyo
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: alchemize
Originally posted by: eskimospy

Unless your mortgage lender is a member of your family, you might want to hold up on calling someone idiotic.
Oh, so the US debt is held by various family members who are just going to forgive it? :roll:

To other posters, IIRC it's about 75% US 25% foreign.

No, they aren't going to forgive it... it just doesn't matter. If your family operates in the same way that most families do, it operates as a cohesive economic unit. If you owe your wife $20 and you pay her back, the net worth of your family changed by zero dollars. If your family owes this to an external entity like say, a mortgage bank, when you pay them back your net worth decreases. When the US government pays a US citizen $20, the net worth and productivity of the US does not change. When the US pays China $20, we lose $20. Foreign owned debt is actual borrowed productivity from somewhere else. Internally owed debt is not.

This isn't a perfect analogy (as people are not entirely economically contained within countries, etc... etc.), but you get the idea.

We didn't really lose $20 since we borrowed the money in the first place. That money was used in the US and included in our economy.

It's amazing to me that people like Eskimospy even exist.

All debt is is bringing future wealth into the current period. Doing so allows investment NOW as opposed to investment TOMORROW. The investment now should have returns greater than the interest the debt bears. Thus, if you can invest now, earning 5% growth rate, while paying 3% interest, you make 2%. Thus, your net worth will not be $0, it will be...

Debt*2%*#years = new net worth.

Now, naturally, if you are borrowing to PREVENT something, such as a financial collapse, the return cannot be measured as a % of spread, other measurements must be gathered.

Of course, one has to ask whether the US has invested well. The answer seems to be pretty evident as we still have the world's largest economy.

What on earth are you talking about? I'm not sure how you could possibly think that my posts indicated that borrowing money couldn't have positive returns or that it wasn't a desirable thing in many situations. Are you so used to the people on here freaking out about debt and lending that you reflexively thought I was one of them?

My posts specifically centered only on the difference between money borrowed inside of the US and money borrowed outside of it, and how money circulating inside of our economy is considerably different than money being sent to an outside economy that interacts with ours in a more limited way.

EDIT: In simple terms I was trying to illustrate how paying interest to ourselves is much different than paying interest to an outside entity.

If paying interest to ourselves is OK, then shouldn't you be OK with high profit margins? We're just paying profit to ourselves. But you sure do find ways to complain about how much insurance or oil companies make.

So which is it? Does the destination of income matter or not? If the US debt is held by the wealthy, then doesn't paying them interest equal further concentration of wealth by borrowing from them and paying them interest?

Make up your mind.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Originally posted by: BoberFett

If paying interest to ourselves is OK, then shouldn't you be OK with high profit margins? We're just paying profit to ourselves. But you sure do find ways to complain about how much insurance or oil companies make.

So which is it? Does the destination of income matter or not? If the US debt is held by the wealthy, then doesn't paying them interest equal further concentration of wealth by borrowing from them and paying them interest?

Make up your mind.

Huh? I have no problem with high profit margins, nor have I ever. There are other considerations present with profits the same as there are with debt, but the principle is most certainly one that I am not against.

The distribution of income definitely matters to me, but since government spending disproportionately favors the not-so-wealthy at rates notably higher than the interest rates of treasury securities as compared to yearly deficits, I haven't the slightest idea why interest payments would cause me to oppose government deficit spending on a concentration of wealth principle.

Stop making up things for me to say?
 
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