[Digitimes] Kaveri delayed

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Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,118
59
91
What is a concern is that we've seen nothing at all from Intel on 14nm. For as long as I can remember they have been showcasing their node advances as soon as there has been silicon to show, but so far they haven't shown anything on 14nm. I'll be surprised if Broadwell doesn't slip into H2 2014 as Intel puts everything behind Atom.

The decision to withhold Broadwell from the desktop market and only deploy it to the mobile segments is highly suggestive of 14nm having issues getting the drive currents and reliability where they need to be in order to field broadwell chips that are reasonably clocked (comparable to Haswell/Ivy at least).

14nm might be spanking Intel's R&D team at the moment, at least enough for them to effectively delay releasing the high-performance portion with Skylake to the desktop and instead adding in a "haswell refresh".
 

NTMBK

Lifer
Nov 14, 2011
10,269
5,134
136
The decision to withhold Broadwell from the desktop market and only deploy it to the mobile segments is highly suggestive of 14nm having issues getting the drive currents and reliability where they need to be in order to field broadwell chips that are reasonably clocked (comparable to Haswell/Ivy at least).

14nm might be spanking Intel's R&D team at the moment, at least enough for them to effectively delay releasing the high-performance portion with Skylake to the desktop and instead adding in a "haswell refresh".

Is it necessarily that, though? I would suspect more that Intel is prioritising their initial fab capacity, and giving it to the 14nm Atom instead of a desktop Broadwell. Remember we're only seeing 22nm Atom after 2 desktop releases at 22nm- could they not just have switched their priorities, and given "first dibs" to their ultramobile parts?
 

dbcoopernz

Member
Aug 10, 2012
68
4
71
Shipping to begin in December was pretty much expected, no? The DigiTimes rumour is more about when there will be enough volume shipped to allow retail sales?
 

rainy

Senior member
Jul 17, 2013
508
427
136
Vr-zone reported a delay too.

Not exactly - your second link doesn't work (at least for me).

Btw, in my opinion you should add a question mark to the name of topic because the title of that news from DT is
AMD Kaveri supply may be delayed to early 2014
.
 

mikk

Diamond Member
May 15, 2012
4,173
2,211
136
It just looks like an uncited copy of the digitimes report to me, however. That said I wouldn't be surprised if Kaveri was delayed a few months.


Vr-zone published earlier than digitimes. They also mentioned a different month, albeit it's not clear what they mean: launch, mass production, shipment...
 

beginner99

Diamond Member
Jun 2, 2009
5,223
1,598
136
I bet they need to focus on the console APUs.

Also this was pretty much expected else they could have saved the effort of creating richland if kaveri would have been available early 2014. They probably knew this quiet a while back already.
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,118
59
91
Is it necessarily that, though? I would suspect more that Intel is prioritising their initial fab capacity, and giving it to the 14nm Atom instead of a desktop Broadwell. Remember we're only seeing 22nm Atom after 2 desktop releases at 22nm- could they not just have switched their priorities, and given "first dibs" to their ultramobile parts?

Think about it for a minute, Intel does things to make money.

They aren't going to prioritize a lower ASP and lower profit SKU like Atom over the possibility of selling higher profit and higher margin chips like the broadwell equivalent of a 4770K...unless something is preventing them from financially benefiting from selling that broadwell equivalent of a 4770K (like low yields or unobtainable clockspeeds).

When Plan A isn't working to plan and you find yourself falling back to Plan B, you don't tell the world they are getting Plan B. You tell them you meant to do Plan B all along.

Prioritizing Atom at the expense of delaying desktop Broadwell only makes financial sense of the yields for broadwell on 14nm are going to be so low that the cost and margins of a desktop broadwell end up worse than the margins for a low-ASP chip like Atom. (which is basically what I am assuming is the root reason for the sudden slip in desktop Broadwell plans)
 

NTMBK

Lifer
Nov 14, 2011
10,269
5,134
136
Think about it for a minute, Intel does things to make money.

They aren't going to prioritize a lower ASP and lower profit SKU like Atom over the possibility of selling higher profit and higher margin chips like the broadwell equivalent of a 4770K...unless something is preventing them from financially benefiting from selling that broadwell equivalent of a 4770K (like low yields or unobtainable clockspeeds).

When Plan A isn't working to plan and you find yourself falling back to Plan B, you don't tell the world they are getting Plan B. You tell them you meant to do Plan B all along.

Prioritizing Atom at the expense of delaying desktop Broadwell only makes financial sense of the yields for broadwell on 14nm are going to be so low that the cost and margins of a desktop broadwell end up worse than the margins for a low-ASP chip like Atom. (which is basically what I am assuming is the root reason for the sudden slip in desktop Broadwell plans)

Atom may be a lower ASP part, sure, but think about the strategic significance of it. Intel is well aware that the desktop market is in a slump (potentially for the foreseeable future), and the mobile phone market is exploding. Getting their latest and greatest mobile part out on their world-beating process as fast as they possibly can will give them the best chance of making inroads into this new, high-volume market.

The strategic incentive for creating a mobile part on the newest, lowest powered process and finally cracking the mobile market is far higher than the incentive to slightly improve margins on the enthusiast-oriented desktop parts.
 
Aug 11, 2008
10,451
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Atom may be a lower ASP part, sure, but think about the strategic significance of it. Intel is well aware that the desktop market is in a slump (potentially for the foreseeable future), and the mobile phone market is exploding. Getting their latest and greatest mobile part out on their world-beating process as fast as they possibly can will give them the best chance of making inroads into this new, high-volume market.

The strategic incentive for creating a mobile part on the newest, lowest powered process and finally cracking the mobile market is far higher than the incentive to slightly improve margins on the enthusiast-oriented desktop parts.

IDC could in fact be correct, or you, obviously I dont really know. However I agree with your logic of prioritizing Atom, even though it may be a less profitable part, makes strategic sense. Intel is already behind in tablet/phones, and every day that they dont have a competitive product, ARM just becomes more firmly entrenched. The ARM ecosystem is so popular now, x86 may have a serious problem cracking the market, even if they have superior hardware, and every month delay just increased this problem.

On the desktop/server side, OTOH, intel still firmly has the lead, Kaveri is late as well, and who knows what will happen to the FX lineup, so they may not feel the need to prioritize this market.
 

pelov

Diamond Member
Dec 6, 2011
3,510
6
0
Prioritizing Atom at the expense of delaying desktop Broadwell only makes financial sense of the yields for broadwell on 14nm are going to be so low that the cost and margins of a desktop broadwell end up worse than the margins for a low-ASP chip like Atom. (which is basically what I am assuming is the root reason for the sudden slip in desktop Broadwell plans)

I think we're relatively close to the point where delaying desktop Broadwell makes a good bit of sense, plan B or not. Something like 2/3-to-3/4 of PC sales are laptops, and the entire PC industry has slowed but the desktop segment in particular.

The more interesting question here is the overlap of Atom and Broadwell on the mobile side and the obvious discrepancy in price, performance, and potential design wins for either. Personally, I just don't see people flocking to $1000 convertibles and consequently Broadwell. Furthermore, Win8 still sucks and the sales of these new devices are extremely poor. I just don't see much room for Broadwell outside of laptops unless something drastic happens in the Windows landscape, whereas prioritizing Atom could see them win some key design wins in Android (maybe even windows?) and make a significant dent in the smartphone/tablet market share, which is something they desperately need at the moment.

As to the rumors regarding a delay being the reason here:
http://www.eetimes.com/author.asp?section_id=36&doc_id=1266255

An issue with the process and/or the downturn in PC sales would both make sense.
 
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Mar 10, 2006
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Why should AMD listen to an Intel fan?

Because this "Intel fan" (and AMD shareholder) understands that AMD is sinking untold millions into R&D for big chips that don't sell. That money can be saved since the Jaguar chips will probably sell like gangbusters and actually be profitable.

While everybody else cheers that AMD's chips are super duper cheap, I cringe knowing that the company is selling 315mm^2 dies into <$200 chips.
 
Mar 10, 2006
11,715
2,012
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Think about it for a minute, Intel does things to make money.

They aren't going to prioritize a lower ASP and lower profit SKU like Atom over the possibility of selling higher profit and higher margin chips like the broadwell equivalent of a 4770K...unless something is preventing them from financially benefiting from selling that broadwell equivalent of a 4770K (like low yields or unobtainable clockspeeds).

When Plan A isn't working to plan and you find yourself falling back to Plan B, you don't tell the world they are getting Plan B. You tell them you meant to do Plan B all along.

Prioritizing Atom at the expense of delaying desktop Broadwell only makes financial sense of the yields for broadwell on 14nm are going to be so low that the cost and margins of a desktop broadwell end up worse than the margins for a low-ASP chip like Atom. (which is basically what I am assuming is the root reason for the sudden slip in desktop Broadwell plans)

There will be a desktop Broadwell - just not an LGA Broadwell. ALL of the notebook parts will have the PCH on-package, so it'd be a lot of extra money to develop a version to plug into the external PCH on the current Z87 motherboards. Why waste the money designing + validating these new chips on existing chipsets, when everyone will whine and moan about how they don't care about an iGPU improvement?



Also, in the all-in-one space, Intel will be trying to sell Broadwell GT4, which it can actually command a nice premium for.

No LGA Broadwell makes perfect sense.
 

NTMBK

Lifer
Nov 14, 2011
10,269
5,134
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Personally, I just don't see people flocking to $1000 convertibles and consequently Broadwell.

Speak for yourself I'd be quite keen on a convertible with 1080p screen, decent iGPU and a powerful dual-core Broadwell to replace my netbook- I'm starting to get sick of this low-res screen, and the number of games that just don't work properly on it. (If you can't actually see all the entries on a menu, clicking on them is pretty hard...)
 

pelov

Diamond Member
Dec 6, 2011
3,510
6
0
I'd like to buy one too, but the current flock leave a lot to be desired. If I'm going to fork over >$1000 I want an SSD (256GB), Wacom digitizer, 1080p IPS panel, 10hr+ battery life (when docked), 8GB RAM, and decent GPU and CPU performance. Unfortunately, getting all of that from a tablet/convertible means paying upward of $1500. The majority of the convertibles available are utterly worthless to me unless they can do everything I want, and given the price tag I expect them to. If I wanted a tablet that can't do everything I ask it to, I'd just save >$1000 and buy an Android tablet. What's the point of Windows and x86 unless I can use it like Windows and x86? Am I really going to be paying ~$1500 for a juiced up netbook with a touchscreen?

I'm not asking such a device to do something that's on any extreme end of the spectrum. This is exactly why I use a laptop for work and the above is roughly what the specs are. I upgraded the SSD on my laptop, and though it lacks a Wacom Digitizer, it's got a much more precise input method via trackpoint. When it was new I got ~13hrs of battery life while web browsing. I paid ~$800 for the package, so why in the world would I pay double for the same specs but with a touch screen and digitizer? These convertibles/tablets are very much a case of 'pay more for less.' And, forgive me, but I don't see the point.

Although I was speaking personally, I was also speaking for the public at large and the sales figures seem to coincide with that. The Win8 convertibles haven't struck a chord with consumers. Whether it's a combination of price, features, and/or the lackluster reception of Win8, the end result is the same. There's only been a small uptick in sales of touch-enabled laptops, but nowhere near enough to make up for the dip in sales.
 
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mikk

Diamond Member
May 15, 2012
4,173
2,211
136
There will be a desktop Broadwell - just not an LGA Broadwell.

No LGA Broadwell makes perfect sense.



Consumer desktop yes. I'm not sure anymore regarding the Xeon E3 lineup because the graphics driver has workstation and server models listed. If these exist, they are surely not BGA but LGA. I would be surprised if Xeon E3 would be BGA only but who knows what Intel is planning...
 

beginner99

Diamond Member
Jun 2, 2009
5,223
1,598
136
Think about it for a minute, Intel does things to make money.

They aren't going to prioritize a lower ASP and lower profit SKU like Atom over the possibility of selling higher profit and higher margin chips like the broadwell equivalent of a 4770K...unless something is preventing them from financially benefiting from selling that broadwell equivalent of a 4770K (like low yields or unobtainable clockspeeds).

When Plan A isn't working to plan and you find yourself falling back to Plan B, you don't tell the world they are getting Plan B. You tell them you meant to do Plan B all along.

Prioritizing Atom at the expense of delaying desktop Broadwell only makes financial sense of the yields for broadwell on 14nm are going to be so low that the cost and margins of a desktop broadwell end up worse than the margins for a low-ASP chip like Atom. (which is basically what I am assuming is the root reason for the sudden slip in desktop Broadwell plans)

Or it makes financial sense to build less 14 nm fabs because you can supply desktop cpus from your old 22 nm fabs. And when mobile chips move to 10 nm, desktop can use the 14 nm fabs and so forth. Makes perfect sense to me.
 

ShintaiDK

Lifer
Apr 22, 2012
20,378
145
106
Or it makes financial sense to build less 14 nm fabs because you can supply desktop cpus from your old 22 nm fabs. And when mobile chips move to 10 nm, desktop can use the 14 nm fabs and so forth. Makes perfect sense to me.

But they dont build less, they build more.
 

Meekers

Member
Aug 4, 2012
156
1
76
Speak for yourself I'd be quite keen on a convertible with 1080p screen, decent iGPU and a powerful dual-core Broadwell to replace my netbook- I'm starting to get sick of this low-res screen, and the number of games that just don't work properly on it. (If you can't actually see all the entries on a menu, clicking on them is pretty hard...)

I would love a $1000 convertable with decent performance using something sort of dock to hit the higher performance. I have not bought a tablet yet and do not plan to until I find something that can completely replace my laptop.
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
3,974
0
76
They aren't going to prioritize a lower ASP and lower profit SKU like Atom over the possibility of selling higher profit and higher margin chips like the broadwell equivalent of a 4770K...unless something is preventing them from financially benefiting from selling that broadwell equivalent of a 4770K (like low yields or unobtainable clockspeeds).

What if Intel is interested in a tour de force in the mobile market?

Intel is late to the mobile race and they can't really afford to not have an excellent product there. While I agree that you might be right and Intel could be having a hard time in raising clocks with 14nm chips, I wouldn't discard the hypothesis of Intel going full steam on mobile in order to gain share quickly there, meaning high volumes and eating some margins with their 14nm node.
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,546
13,113
136
It must be one hell of a terrible contract AMD has with GF.

Dont take GF volume and pay penalities.
If GF cant produce volume.... pay penalities.

Sign here : moar coars.
 
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