Disappointed by AMD

Page 8 - Seeking answers? Join the AnandTech community: where nearly half-a-million members share solutions and discuss the latest tech.

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,167
3,862
136
Ok. Two things need to happen now.

1. Provide a BOM for both AMD FuryX and Nvidia 980Ti.
2. Provide credible reasoning why said BOMs for each allows, or prohibits said GPU from being competitive at a 649.00 price point.

Otherwise you guys will go round robin for eternity
.

Lol to the bolded....

Where is your such requirements for the post i answered to, did it include :


1. Provide a BOM for both AMD FuryX and Nvidia 980Ti.
2. Provide credible reasoning why said BOMs for each allows, or prohibits said GPU from being competitive at a 649.00 price point.

There was nothing of the sort, but i guess that some wild speculations are bought at face value if ever they fuel some beliefs..

So my estimation is no worse than the opposite and apparently accepted ones, i would say i m even much more on the money since i can point that the PCB is smaller, that s already a valuable argument...
 

railven

Diamond Member
Mar 25, 2010
6,604
561
126
Lol to the bolded....

Where is your such requirements for the post i answered to, did it include :




There was nothing of the sort, but i guess that some wild speculations are bought at face value if ever they fuel some beliefs..

So my estimation is no worse than the opposite and apparently accepted ones, i would say i m even much more on the money since i can point that the PCB is smaller, that s already a valuable argument...

If you know how much it cost to make an Fury X, I'd love to know. Specifically the chip+HBM. From what I'm understanding, thing is crafted by two or three different vendors?

I'm assuming the chip is TSMC, the memory Hynix, and then final assembly - where? And who makes the interposer?
 

ShintaiDK

Lifer
Apr 22, 2012
20,378
145
106
Both GM200 and Fiji is around the same size. So assume same cost. However 980ti is the cutdown version. So cheaper 980ti.

Fury X needs interpsoer=extra cost and made at UMC?

HBM1 cost more than GDDR5. I dont think anyone wants to argue about that.

Fury X uses expensive water cooling solution.

980Ti got bigger PCB, but PCB is pennies.

So unless someone got something magic to show for the Fury X. The BOM is higher.
 

Enigmoid

Platinum Member
Sep 27, 2012
2,907
31
91
Ok. Two things need to happen now.

1. Provide a BOM for both AMD FuryX and Nvidia 980Ti.
2. Provide credible reasoning why said BOMs for each allows, or prohibits said GPU from being competitive at a 649.00 price point.

Otherwise you guys will go round robin for eternity.

Thank you Skintai for illustrating something incredibly obvious that should have been visible at first glance.

Both GM200 and Fiji is around the same size. So assume same cost. However 980ti is the cutdown version. So cheaper 980ti.

Fury X needs interpsoer=extra cost and made at UMC?

HBM1 cost more than GDDR5. I dont think anyone wants to argue about that.

Fury X uses expensive water cooling solution.

980Ti got bigger PCB, but PCB is pennies.

So unless someone got something magic to show for the Fury X. The BOM is higher.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,167
3,862
136
Thank you Skintai for illustrating something incredibly obvious that should have been visible at first glance.

Re lol, let s see what is that first glance based on :


Both GM200 and Fiji is around the same size. So assume same cost. However 980ti is the cutdown version. So cheaper 980ti.

So i take a 600mm2 chip, i disable part of it and it magically become cheaper to produce..?.

Quite a stretched logic, but at first glance it seems to be convincing for some people...

Fury X needs interpsoer=extra cost and made at UMC?

3-4$ at most...

Fury X uses expensive water cooling solution.

It s less expensive than a conventional cooler, there s less machining...


980Ti got bigger PCB, but PCB is pennies.

Much less reliable given the huge soldered points count due to RAM, more rejects anyway..


So unless someone got something magic to show for the Fury X. The BOM is higher.

No need of magical formulaes but of rational logic, we can add that AMD manage to make some margin on the RAM while in usual designs the full revenue go to memory manufacturers.
 
Last edited:

ShintaiDK

Lifer
Apr 22, 2012
20,378
145
106
Please provide edvidence that water cooler is cheaper than air coolers. Because thats certainly not what we can see in the retail channel, both for complete products and parts.

Also show me that an interposer is "3-4$ at most". An interposer is wafer based and its quite big.

And yes, when you can use chips with and without a defect, yield is higher and its cheaper to make.

In case you didnt know. AMD got nothing to do with memory production. They are simply a customer like any other. But they can only buy from SK Hynix for a low volume new product. So I would like to see how you make that one cheaper as well, against GDDR5 thats highly matured, high volume and with multiple manufactors.

And then I spare you about what happens if a 2.5D product got a defect.
 
Last edited:

Keysplayr

Elite Member
Jan 16, 2003
21,209
50
91
Bottom line, nobody knows what costs what. Deductive reasoning goes out the window. especially if you don't even know if AMD and Nvidia pays the same for a wafer of GPUs. The most likely don't. Quantity. Who knows what other outliers.
 

Keysplayr

Elite Member
Jan 16, 2003
21,209
50
91
Lol to the bolded....

Where is your such requirements for the post i answered to, did it include :




There was nothing of the sort, but i guess that some wild speculations are bought at face value if ever they fuel some beliefs..

So my estimation is no worse than the opposite and apparently accepted ones, i would say i m even much more on the money since i can point that the PCB is smaller, that s already a valuable argument...

Funny thing is you sound like you think I was disagreeing with your last posts. I was not.
I wasn't agreeing with them either. Nor Enigmoid's.
 

railven

Diamond Member
Mar 25, 2010
6,604
561
126
Bottom line, nobody knows what costs what. Deductive reasoning goes out the window. especially if you don't even know if AMD and Nvidia pays the same for a wafer of GPUs. The most likely don't. Quantity. Who knows what other outliers.

Was going to post this. Seems neither knows.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,167
3,862
136
Funny thing is you sound like you think I was disagreeing with your last posts. I was not.
I wasn't agreeing with them either. Nor Enigmoid's.

Granted, but the question was asked only once i stepped in IIRC...


Please provide edvidence that water cooler is cheaper than air coolers. Because thats certainly not what we can see in the retail channel, both for complete products and parts.


Also show me that an interposer is "3-4$ at most". An interposer is wafer based and its quite big.

And yes, when you can use chips with and without a defect, yield is higher and its cheaper to make.

In case you didnt know. AMD got nothing to do with memory production. They are simply a customer like any other. But they can only buy from SK Hynix for a low volume new product. So I would like to see how you make that one cheaper as well, against GDDR5 thats highly matured, high volume and with multiple manufactors.

And then I spare you about what happens if a 2.5D product got a defect.


I would say that there s more margins made in WCloops, that said small systems like the one of the Fury doesnt seem to be costly, much less than custom solutions like below..

The interposer is 100% dark silicon used only as support for metallic conductors, the cost is negligible since they can use silicon that would be improper for etching transistors.

RAM need no plastic packaging like DIL siblings, as for HBM it is no different than GDDR5 process wise.













http://www.computerbase.de/2015-06/...ersten-kuehleralternativen-setzen-auf-wasser/
 

Enigmoid

Platinum Member
Sep 27, 2012
2,907
31
91
Re lol, let s see what is that first glance based on :

So i take a 600mm2 chip, i disable part of it and it magically become cheaper to produce..?.

In reality no. Effectively, strange as it sounds, yes.

Large chips, even on a mature 28nm process are quite defect prone. Requiring a perfect chip lowers the percentage of chips that are able to be sold. For instance, using purely hypothetical numbers to illustrate this point say chip A gets 90% perfect yields and of that 10% of that failed 5% can be 'feature binned' (usable with deactivated cache, core, compute unit, etc.).

Requiring a perfect chip gives only 90% yields. Requiring a functional with units disabled chip gives 95% yields. Thus selling the disabled chip is cheaper per wafer. This gets muddied a bit with multiple SKUs and such but in effect disabled chips, all other things being equal, enjoy higher yields (as damaged chips which would not otherwise be usable can be used) and thus lower costs.

AMD's partially disabled chips will be in the Fury (non X).

3-4$ at most...
http://www.anandtech.com/show/9266/amd-hbm-deep-dive/3
Of course the interposer does come with a drawback as well, and that’s cost. While AMD is not talking about costs in great detail – this is a technology deep dive, not an analyst meeting – the fact that the interposer is essentially a very large, partially developed silicon chip means that it’s relatively expensive to produce, especially compared to the very low costs of PCBs and traditional substrates. Mitigating this is the fact that interposers don’t need to go through the most complex and expensive phases of photolithography – the actual front-end lithography – so the cost is only the silicon wafer itself, along with the work required to create the metal layers, with the final interposer only being some 100 microns thick. Furthermore this doesn’t require cutting-edge fabs – old, fully amortized 65nm equipment works quite well – which further keeps the costs down. The end result is that the interposer is still a significant cost, but it is not as bad as it initially seems. This ultimately is why HBM will first be introduced on high margin products like high-end video cards before potentially making its way down to cheaper devices like APUs.
http://electroiq.com/blog/2012/12/lifting-the-veil-on-silicon-interposer-pricing/

http://semiaccurate.com/2015/05/19/amd-finally-talks-hbm-memory/

Its probably in the range of $1 per 100 mm^2. PCB is pennies though

Bottom line, nobody knows what costs what. Deductive reasoning goes out the window. especially if you don't even know if AMD and Nvidia pays the same for a wafer of GPUs. The most likely don't. Quantity. Who knows what other outliers.

Was going to post this. Seems neither knows.

You can make an educated guess. Remember no one is predicting exact costs and you do NOT need exact costs to conclude: " Costs are significantly higher for one." Many things point to the BOM of the Fury X being more expensive than the 980 Ti.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,167
3,862
136
In reality no. Effectively, strange as it sounds, yes.

L For instance, using purely hypothetical numbers to illustrate this point say chip A gets 90% perfect yields and of that 10% of that failed 5% can be 'feature binned' (usable with deactivated cache, core, compute unit, etc.).

Requiring a perfect chip gives only 90% yields. Requiring a functional with units disabled chip gives 95% yields. Thus selling the disabled chip is cheaper per wafer.


That s flawed logic, it doesnt cost less, it cost the same and you dont even sold it at a same price, so its cost is actualy more...



You can make an educated guess. Remember no one is predicting exact costs and you do NOT need exact costs to conclude: " Costs are significantly higher for one." Many things point to the BOM of the Fury X being more expensive than the 980 Ti.

Saying "many things" is like saying "i think", that s a blank statement with no factual evidence, it can be an opinion but is not even an educated guess...
 

Enigmoid

Platinum Member
Sep 27, 2012
2,907
31
91
That s flawed logic, it doesnt cost less, it cost the same and you dont even sold it at a same price, so its cost is actualy more...

It costs less because you can sell the defective ones. Therefore per wafer you may get 85 dies instead of 82 because the defective ones can be sold as well. Again it gets messy when SKUs and such come into play.

Saying "many things" is like saying "i think", that s a blank statement with no factual evidence, it can be an opinion but is not even an educated guess...

It is an educated guess. If the reasoning is there and it is sound then the point has some merit. I purposely hedge my statements because I will not attempt to pass off my predictions as absolute truth.

The 'many things' were clearly detailed earlier in my post and earlier in this thread.
 

MagickMan

Diamond Member
Aug 11, 2008
7,537
3
76
It's hard to believe that this will be the case.

AMD must have known where the card stood against the 980ti.

AMD must have known that overclocking was the key.

It's difficult to accept the idea that the card overclocks very well, but this was restricted at release due to driver instability.

AMD could simply have said, "We also have this beta driver, so you can see what sort of overclocks Fury can achieve. It's beta, so don't use it for anything but testing. We will release a more mature version soon."

It's more about the voltage unlocking than anything, which is why I said it first. Its cooler can handle much more than the GPU puts out now.
 

LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
However you want to put it, I can't see why it couldn't have been allowed with a caveat about it not being ready for prime time yet.

Well, I can see one possible reason.

HBM may be easily damaged by too much voltage, and the trick is to allow some increases, but totally prevent people from going too far.
 

ocre

Golden Member
Dec 26, 2008
1,594
7
81
I dont care about the debate, but i want to know exactly what you mean by this:
It s less expensive than a conventional cooler, there s less machining...

.

HUH?
what the????

So here are some drawings->
Big picture:



Radiators:


and remember, those arrows are metal tubes connected to fins





zoomed in


then the pump- its is not only machined parts, but ......

dont forget the moving parts
 

ocre

Golden Member
Dec 26, 2008
1,594
7
81
and the dual layer tubing

and the liquid:

and 120mm fan



Vs----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

this:




fins and a small fan?



Are you for real?
 

ocre

Golden Member
Dec 26, 2008
1,594
7
81
if you are talking about the cover, it is still no big deal



fury has a metal shroud too



plus many many more critical and intricate components

Your statement, "It s less expensive than a conventional cooler, there s less machining..."

it makes no sense. Not logical!
 
Last edited:

thehotsung8701A

Senior member
May 18, 2015
584
1
0
AMD can't complete with Nvidia no more. They haven't in a while. I heard rumor that Intel was going to join the GPU market, but I guess either that was a rumor or they decided against it.

This is not a good time to be a PC gamer not when the market could soon be a monopoly.
 

Sheep221

Golden Member
Oct 28, 2012
1,843
27
81
AMD can't complete with Nvidia no more. They haven't in a while. I heard rumor that Intel was going to join the GPU market, but I guess either that was a rumor or they decided against it.

This is not a good time to be a PC gamer not when the market could soon be a monopoly.
I highly doupt Intel will ever be making discrete video cards, it's all focused on processor graphics now.
 

ShintaiDK

Lifer
Apr 22, 2012
20,378
145
106
The i740 is one of many reasons why Intel won't be making any more dGPUs.

Too low ASP.

But again, when you gain 3-4% graphics markethare per year and already sit on ~3/4th of the share. Dying dGPUs isnt something you worry about.
 

Headfoot

Diamond Member
Feb 28, 2008
4,444
641
126
AMD can't complete with Nvidia no more.

What a joke. AMD quite obviously competes with nVidia. Their last single gpu is within a few percent at 4k. And they still have the fastest single card (295x2). Fury X doesnt win generally, but that doesnt mean its not competitive. A price drop and it would be highly competitive. AMD's CPUs on the other hand are not competitive. In short, no, you're 100% wrong.
 

beginner99

Diamond Member
Jun 2, 2009
5,223
1,598
136
It costs less because you can sell the defective ones. Therefore per wafer you may get 85 dies instead of 82 because the defective ones can be sold as well. Again it gets messy when SKUs and such come into play.

And AMD will sell the defective ones as Fury and nano. So actually 3 SKUs. therefore one could argue they get even higher yield and hence cheaper than 980Ti going by the original argument.

In the huge rumor thread there was link to the company fabbing the interposer. ShintaiDK was all over that thread and he for sure saw that too as it was discussed. So yeah, now he is intentionally playing dumb. The cost of the interposer really is in the $3-4 range and will only get cheaper. AFAIK it's fabbed at 65 nm and you only need the cheapest few steps of that process. it's not at all comparable to fabbing a CPU or GPU.
 
sale-70-410-exam    | Exam-200-125-pdf    | we-sale-70-410-exam    | hot-sale-70-410-exam    | Latest-exam-700-603-Dumps    | Dumps-98-363-exams-date    | Certs-200-125-date    | Dumps-300-075-exams-date    | hot-sale-book-C8010-726-book    | Hot-Sale-200-310-Exam    | Exam-Description-200-310-dumps?    | hot-sale-book-200-125-book    | Latest-Updated-300-209-Exam    | Dumps-210-260-exams-date    | Download-200-125-Exam-PDF    | Exam-Description-300-101-dumps    | Certs-300-101-date    | Hot-Sale-300-075-Exam    | Latest-exam-200-125-Dumps    | Exam-Description-200-125-dumps    | Latest-Updated-300-075-Exam    | hot-sale-book-210-260-book    | Dumps-200-901-exams-date    | Certs-200-901-date    | Latest-exam-1Z0-062-Dumps    | Hot-Sale-1Z0-062-Exam    | Certs-CSSLP-date    | 100%-Pass-70-383-Exams    | Latest-JN0-360-real-exam-questions    | 100%-Pass-4A0-100-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-300-135-exams-date    | Passed-200-105-Tech-Exams    | Latest-Updated-200-310-Exam    | Download-300-070-Exam-PDF    | Hot-Sale-JN0-360-Exam    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Exams    | 100%-Pass-JN0-360-Real-Exam-Questions    | Dumps-JN0-360-exams-date    | Exam-Description-1Z0-876-dumps    | Latest-exam-1Z0-876-Dumps    | Dumps-HPE0-Y53-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-HPE0-Y53-Exam    | 100%-Pass-HPE0-Y53-Real-Exam-Questions    | Pass-4A0-100-Exam    | Latest-4A0-100-Questions    | Dumps-98-365-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-98-365-Exam    | 100%-Pass-VCS-254-Exams    | 2017-Latest-VCS-273-Exam    | Dumps-200-355-exams-date    | 2017-Latest-300-320-Exam    | Pass-300-101-Exam    | 100%-Pass-300-115-Exams    |
http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    | http://www.portvapes.co.uk/    |