Don’t talk to aliens, warns Stephen Hawking

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Matthiasa

Diamond Member
May 4, 2009
5,755
23
81
You know for those saying that our radio stuff is out 70ish years, you do realize that it would be at about the level of noise at those distances?
 

manowar821

Diamond Member
Mar 1, 2007
6,063
0
0
Just think how much more advanced we would be if we were constantly at war with other States? Or, at least, cold war.



I don't argue that progress can only happen during war, but right now, our best progress is born out of such. The Cold War serves as a key example in recent progress.

But competition in general is what is necessary for progress. Our best hope is peaceful, friendly competition. A world government residing over all the states, removing the anarchistic variable from international politics, would help bring this change to our civilization.

How? The way I see it, if a world government unites everyone under a single banner, states can trade competitively, but not born out of necessity. Multiple parties would be invited to work on the same project, parties that span multiple states and include a large number of participating citizens - be them scientists, engineers, or whatever. This more friendly competition, with large groups working to one solution, would bring not only a great deal of new solutions, but also multiple solutions - solutions that can be used as stepping stones to even greater progress.

And space-traveling species is likely to come across other species. Conflicts will happen due to the nature of sentience.

A species that runs into us, needn't be an aggressor to spell trouble for our way of life. But it could also mean great things to our progress, regardless of the outcome - unless of course it is total annihilation.

If we meet a species that has met other species in war, it could still be a species that has brought united peace to its people. Hell, it could be an extremely peaceful species in general - to be peaceful does not have to equate to being a pacifist, as to uphold peace might require a show of force. Universal politics is something we have no clue over - aggressors could be a very rare thing for all we know, as it could spell trouble for said species in the wide universe. But they arguably exist, as it's simply a product of an anarchistic environment.



For all we know, we may have been monitored for thousands of years, and the united intergalactic body has ordered all species to refrain from contacting our planet. I certainly would - let that miserable planet sort itself out, see if the species can prove themselves fit for their planet as a united species, let alone fit for the stars.

Would you want to invite us to the Assembly of the Universe, knowing how little we can cooperate with each other? I'd say, let them prove their worth, we'll invite them when they are ready.

We are so very young, us humans. Luckily, we do have curiosity on our side, and a yearning to be close to one-another, whether or not we like to admit it.
 

JTsyo

Lifer
Nov 18, 2007
11,774
919
126
...

Also you need to realize that the universe is like the far west without a sheriff. Destroying other civilizations is risky just because you never know who is watching you and who is out there. If some aliens destroy us to "protect themselves" as a sort of preemptive strike then any and all other alien civilizations that notice this will make it their sole purpose to destroy them in order to protect themselves. The universe is so big and so unknown that the only real viable strategy for even massively advanced civilizations is to hide.

This series is in such an universe

When looking at risks you look at what's the likelihood of something happeing and what is the consequences if it does happen. When the consequence is the end of the human species, it's best to be prudent. We probably have a while yet though since our signals would have to reach them and then them us. As long as they're not FTL that is.
 

Dark4ng3l

Diamond Member
Sep 17, 2000
5,061
1
0
It's only a big bullseye if these aliens venture within 70 light-years of Earth. Otherwise, as far as they're concerned we may as well not exist at all.

You assume that they have technology that is in the realm of what we understand is possible to engineer right now. There a couple of problems with that.

First of all it's almost impossible to know what our technology will look like in 100 years let alone 500 or 50 000. Also the rate of advancement of technology in a hypothetical civilization can vary greatly depending on many many factors. For example life span. If I copied humanity and our environment but gave humans 20% longer life span we would have a much faster rate of advancement. What I mean here is that there could be older civilizations with inferior technology to us just as much as there could be some that are much younger but could be way way ahead. The right context could result in a civilization that is say only 500 years older than us but has advanced to a point that we would take an extra 2000 years to reach. You can't just use the age of the universe to judge how advanced aliens can be vs us based on the amount of time they have had to evolve to that point.

Then you get into the limitations of being human. We are the smartest species on earth no doubt about it. But we aren't evolved in a way that is meant to give us the ability to understand the universe. The goal was survival. My dog is not a stupid being but no matter what you could never teach it general relativity. It's likely that some concepts of the universe are just not possible for us to comprehend because of the way we are wired whereas some aliens might understand them. On the other side we might have some understanding of the universe that these hypothetical aliens could never come up with because of similar limitations.

I could go on and on but my entire point here is that you need to stop thinking about what a potential alien would look like, think like or would want based on us. The same way you can't assume that alien technology would be anything like ours even if they were not "more advanced" in the strict sense. Basically if you can assume that FTL travel is possible there is no reason to assume that aliens can't detect us from farther out than 70 light years.
 

disappoint

Lifer
Dec 7, 2009
10,137
382
126
My take on stuff like our broadcasting of EM data into space:
Imagine a naive mouse on a grassy plain, which didn't know of the existence of hawks. It decides to start singing loudly while wearing a bright orange leaf as a vest.
It's instantly targeted, and eaten.

It's just natural selection - civilizations which decide that "shut the hell up" is the best way to live, those are the ones which survive to greater technological prowess. Those which announce their presence are picked off quickly, and are thus weeded out of the galactic gene pool.

If aliens had a desire to, or needed to eat humans the way a hawk does a mouse, you'd already be eaten. So the very fact you're here to make this post suggests you have made an erroneous one.
 

Jeff7

Lifer
Jan 4, 2001
41,599
19
81
Your take is stupid. You are comparing natural selection, to the food chain, to interstellar communication? The hawk is a predator, the mouse is the prey. The hawk needs the mouse to survive. Even if the mouse does not sing, the mouse will be targeted, and may be eaten.

There is nothing to suggest that aliens out there are on the search for us, then again, there is nothing to suggest aliens out there aren't. We just don't know. Speculating is dumb unless you play it by the numbers, and that's what Hawking has done.
And likewise, to that ignorant mouse, there is nothing to suggest that there is a hawk circling 500 feet above.
Yes, it may well be targeted anyway, but there are probably other mice in that field. It doesn't help its chances by making itself extremely obvious.

And hey, speculating is amusing.


Furthermore, there is nothing to suggest that aliens will have a desire to destroy us just because on Earth, humans behave in the manner where the more technologically advanced civilization eradicates the other. But then again, there is nothing to suggest aliens will have desires at all, there is nothing to suggest aliens will be biological, maybe they will be mechanical. There is nothing to suggest they will be mortal, that will be doubly weird.
And again, no, we literally have no idea what's out there.
Life out there might not give a damn about the organic film covering parts of this planet, or some of its electromagnetic chatter. Or for all we know, the Wraith are out there preying on other civilizations, and our Stargate program isn't even up and running yet.



"An organism that can't be killed won't think killing is right or wrong, it simply wouldn't have a concept of it." -Sphere.
Quite true. Our system of reproduction just happens to be the path that life on this planet took in order to survive in an environment which is utterly hostile to it. This planet is going to try to kill you, so you need to replicate yourself so that a new one can continue to live, while you wither and die. We accept it as normal, and even glorify it. But yeah, if you've got an organism capable of self-repair, the only death it might know is if it got vaporized somehow.




Let's just all go back to playing video games and watching Science Fiction movies. Going to watch the Abyss for the first time tonight. you are all welcome to join me.
Don't forget your unobtanium-insulated beverage holder.
 

grrl

Diamond Member
Jun 21, 2001
6,204
1
0
Wow, the hyper-arrogant, know-it-all Britisher finally accepts the fact that there is a good possibility of extraterrestrial life, and intelligent life too!

If you people used what you have inside your skulls, assuming you do have something in there, you would know that it is a mathematical certainty for extraterrestrial life to exist; even intelligent life. <snip>....


Some trolls aren't even worth that much of a response.
 

disappoint

Lifer
Dec 7, 2009
10,137
382
126
How guilty would you feel if you did crush an anthill?

/Contact

What difference does it make how guilty I'd feel if I crushed an anthill by accident? First of all the point I was making is that we do not seek to destroy anthills hence aliens might not seek to destroy us. But we are not ants and aliens are not humans, so the analogy only goes so far.

I doubt any alien race that can reach us has the desire to destroy us or we wouldn't be here right now. I see no need to worry about an alien race that can't reach us either.
 

disappoint

Lifer
Dec 7, 2009
10,137
382
126
...What then can be said to be truly "universal"? The drive for survival. If a species didn't have that basic instinct it would have lost out to competition. Darwin would apply everywhere...

I'm not sure where you get the idea that the drive for survival is a universal necessity? Lost out to competition? What competition? Sure we have that on Earth but why is that necessarily so elsewhere?

Look, we are visible (to us) matter material. Most of the universe is actually made up of dark matter, totally foreign to us. We can't even begin to comprehend what may lie therein nor assume Earthly concepts such as Darwin's evolution does.
 

Gunslinger08

Lifer
Nov 18, 2001
13,234
2
81
Ignoring crazy technology that violates the known laws of physics (a big assumption, I know), I don't know that we will ever make contact with another intelligent civilization unless our existence depends on it. No individual, corporation or single government is going to be able to afford the type of investment it would take to search even 1&#37; of the universe. Even with infinite resources and infinite time, it's going to be incredibly difficult to motivate people to search the entire universe.

Which is more unsettling to you? Another intelligent civilization that may want to destroy/use us, or us being the only intelligent civilization in the universe?
 

IGBT

Lifer
Jul 16, 2001
17,956
137
106
Sounds like someone has been watching to much TV.


do you think they let him? the crap on tv is bad but for someone who has complications expressing him self due to disease it may be especially harmful.
 

Hayabusa Rider

Admin Emeritus & Elite Member
Jan 26, 2000
50,879
4,266
126
I'm not sure where you get the idea that the drive for survival is a universal necessity? Lost out to competition? What competition? Sure we have that on Earth but why is that necessarily so elsewhere?

Look, we are visible (to us) matter material. Most of the universe is actually made up of dark matter, totally foreign to us. We can't even begin to comprehend what may lie therein nor assume Earthly concepts such as Darwin's evolution does.

Evolution is driven by environment and competition. Now unless we're talking an advanced civilization popping up through a quantum fluctuation intelligence develops because of need. A creature had to stay ahead of another. If it were to be a rock eater and had unlimited resources it would not need to develop intelligence or advance to a more complex organism than is necessary. All things must obey the underlying physics of complex systems and thermodynamics. Entropy is universal or else the universe falls apart.

You mention that we would already be "eaten" if space faring civilizations that were aggressive exist. Well there are cows next to my property. That cows live means I don't eat beef. Well no. What it means is that no one has gotten around to eating it. Also the universe is a big place. Your assumption presupposes that we have been discovered, however we haven't been making our presence known for less than a heartbeat compared to the age life could exist. There's not been much time for us to have been seen, and unless we have somehow been able to affect space ahead of the speed of light only a tiny volume of it could reveal or presence.

Simply put it's most likely we haven't been spotted yet.
 

Maximilian

Lifer
Feb 8, 2004
12,603
9
81
Well if they attack we just send jeff goldblum and the fresh prince of bel air to their mothership to give it a virus with a gameboy or something.
 

SphinxnihpS

Diamond Member
Feb 17, 2005
8,368
25
91
Hawking should stick to physics and math. Any intelligent life sufficiently advanced to travel interstellar space will not require the resources of biological life.
 

rudder

Lifer
Nov 9, 2000
19,441
86
91
pretty much i guess, if an alien race masters the ridiculous tech to travel from star to star quickly we would stand no chance against that.

unless they are drone insect like aliens. Then we can put them in their own little district.
 
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