- Sep 3, 2004
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predictions now closed
Ok, there are 7 days until polls close.
the purpose in this thread it to lay down your electoral vote prediction. I'll quote your prediction in the OP, and whoever is closest to the final result wins some e-cred. No new predictions will be taken after Sunday. If you want to provide a breakdown or explanation go ahead, but i'll only be tracking your actual prediction.
If a mod wants to sticky this that would be cool, I've never had a stickied thread before.
i'll start:
I think the 'enthusiasm gap' is going to show up much stronger than people think, and results will show up 1-3 points stronger than the mean polls generally show. I think the current infighting in the republican party will hurt turnout as well.
Obama wins all the tossup states on pollster.com (MT, ND, mo, in, nc, go, fl) as well as Arizona (!!?) and 1 of Nebraska's votes. I couldn't decide on Mississippi which i think might be in play, so I'm hedging it against Arizona.
407 Obama, 131 Mccain
Prediction list
miketheidiot - obama 407 mccain 131
Jpeyton - Obama 344 McCain 194
Ironwing - Obama 371 McCain 167
Profjohn - Obama <300 McCain ~250 make up your mind
Balt - Obama 338 McCain 200
musicman64 - Obama 349 McCain 189
Rike - Obama 278 McCain 260
umbrella39 - Obama 337 McCain 201
Duddy - Obama 364 McCain 174
SSSnail - Supreme court
Vic - Obama 338 Mccain 200
Cyclowizard - McCain 270 Obama 268
Viditor - Obama 364 McCain 174
Farang - Obama 364 Mccain 174
Eeezee - Obama 375 Mccain 163
dmcowen674 - Tie
Evan - Obama 375 McCain 163
Ballatician - Obama 306 McCain 232
Skoorb - 355 Obama 183 McCain
Siddhartha - Obama 311 McCain 227
davestar - Obama 348 McCain 190
Theb - Tie
Blackjack200 - Obama 381 McCain 157
Sheik Yerbouti - Obama 364 McCain 174
MikeyLSU - Obama 290 McCain 248
BW86 - Obama 311 McCain 227
ElFenix - Obama 375 Mccain 163
ArizonaSteve - Obama 364 McCain 174
eits - 364 obama 174 mccain
techs - 291 obama 247 mccain or 318 obama 220 mccain make up your mind
AstroManLuca - 338 obama 200 mccain
SP33Demon - 322 obama 216 mccain
evident - 364 obama 174 mccain
alexruiz - 274 obama 264 mccain
Pens1566 - Obama 353 McCain 185
winnar111 - Obama 311 McCain 227
badnewcastle - Mccain 273 obama 265
lunarray - 313 obama 225 mccain
dbk - Obama 291 247 McCain
phreakah - 333 obama 205 mccain
Insomniator - McCain 271 Obama 267
the unknown - Obama 344 McCain 194
rockyct - 338 Obama 200 McCain.
OrByte - 311 Obama 227 mccain
SlingXShot - 282 obama 256 mccain
ultimatebob - 295 obama 243 mccain
Starbuck1975 - Obama 288 McCain 250
DLeRium - 364 obama 174 mccain
shira - Obama 353 McCain 185
Useful Sites
realclearpolitics
pollster
538
Early voting stats
270towin
washington Post - Pick Your President
Ok, there are 7 days until polls close.
the purpose in this thread it to lay down your electoral vote prediction. I'll quote your prediction in the OP, and whoever is closest to the final result wins some e-cred. No new predictions will be taken after Sunday. If you want to provide a breakdown or explanation go ahead, but i'll only be tracking your actual prediction.
If a mod wants to sticky this that would be cool, I've never had a stickied thread before.
i'll start:
I think the 'enthusiasm gap' is going to show up much stronger than people think, and results will show up 1-3 points stronger than the mean polls generally show. I think the current infighting in the republican party will hurt turnout as well.
Obama wins all the tossup states on pollster.com (MT, ND, mo, in, nc, go, fl) as well as Arizona (!!?) and 1 of Nebraska's votes. I couldn't decide on Mississippi which i think might be in play, so I'm hedging it against Arizona.
407 Obama, 131 Mccain
Prediction list
miketheidiot - obama 407 mccain 131
Jpeyton - Obama 344 McCain 194
Ironwing - Obama 371 McCain 167
Profjohn - Obama <300 McCain ~250 make up your mind
Balt - Obama 338 McCain 200
musicman64 - Obama 349 McCain 189
Rike - Obama 278 McCain 260
umbrella39 - Obama 337 McCain 201
Duddy - Obama 364 McCain 174
SSSnail - Supreme court
Vic - Obama 338 Mccain 200
Cyclowizard - McCain 270 Obama 268
Viditor - Obama 364 McCain 174
Farang - Obama 364 Mccain 174
Eeezee - Obama 375 Mccain 163
dmcowen674 - Tie
Evan - Obama 375 McCain 163
Ballatician - Obama 306 McCain 232
Skoorb - 355 Obama 183 McCain
Siddhartha - Obama 311 McCain 227
davestar - Obama 348 McCain 190
Theb - Tie
Blackjack200 - Obama 381 McCain 157
Sheik Yerbouti - Obama 364 McCain 174
MikeyLSU - Obama 290 McCain 248
BW86 - Obama 311 McCain 227
ElFenix - Obama 375 Mccain 163
ArizonaSteve - Obama 364 McCain 174
eits - 364 obama 174 mccain
techs - 291 obama 247 mccain or 318 obama 220 mccain make up your mind
AstroManLuca - 338 obama 200 mccain
SP33Demon - 322 obama 216 mccain
evident - 364 obama 174 mccain
alexruiz - 274 obama 264 mccain
Pens1566 - Obama 353 McCain 185
winnar111 - Obama 311 McCain 227
badnewcastle - Mccain 273 obama 265
lunarray - 313 obama 225 mccain
dbk - Obama 291 247 McCain
phreakah - 333 obama 205 mccain
Insomniator - McCain 271 Obama 267
the unknown - Obama 344 McCain 194
rockyct - 338 Obama 200 McCain.
OrByte - 311 Obama 227 mccain
SlingXShot - 282 obama 256 mccain
ultimatebob - 295 obama 243 mccain
Starbuck1975 - Obama 288 McCain 250
DLeRium - 364 obama 174 mccain
shira - Obama 353 McCain 185
Useful Sites
realclearpolitics
pollster
538
Early voting stats
270towin
washington Post - Pick Your President