End of ISIS?

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Blue_Max

Diamond Member
Jul 7, 2011
4,223
153
106
You're not a "glass is half full" type of person are you?

He's being realistic based on the events of the recent past. Pure optimism doesn't help you in any way.

Remember the boy scout motto: "Hope for the best, prepare for the worst."
 

agent00f

Lifer
Jun 9, 2016
12,203
1,242
86
Have you been following the daily news? They've lost tons of men and vehicles to airstrikes, banks holding their money destroyed, mobile oil refineries destroyed, ground attacks in Iraq taking territory away from them, and they admit in their own magazine that they're out of money and can't pay their troops. I think technically they still hold most of their territory but since they're broke they're obviously aware that the hold is tenuous.

Selling a limited amount of oil was their major industry and the sauds were arguably responsible for the price crash, so if anyone deserves credit, even if it probably wasn't intentional.

But I suppose conservatives can pick this up as yet another example of islamist on islamist crime, emblematic of their culture of violence.
 
Nov 25, 2013
32,083
11,718
136
He's being realistic based on the events of the recent past. Pure optimism doesn't help you in any way.

Remember the boy scout motto: "Hope for the best, prepare for the worst."

That's not the Boy Scout motto. It's simply "Be prepared"
 

werepossum

Elite Member
Jul 10, 2006
29,873
463
126
Go ahead, be an apologist for Syria. Totally ignore what Clinton and Obama did there.

As for Iraq, the agreement can be altered when half the country falls to genocide.
Methinks you missed his point. It's true that Clinton and Obama royally screwed the pooch on Syria. I cannot remember the last American President who didn't have to learn the hard way that our intervention is not going to bring Western values, just a different set of assholes on top. But ISIS in Iraq is squarely on Bush and even more so, on the Iraqis themselves. Bush agreed to pull out, and Obama agreed to honor that agreement, because to do otherwise would invalidate our entire justification for the regime change. If we are truly doing this to remove the oppressing dictator, then when they are ready for us to leave we HAVE to leave, regardless of whether we think they are ready to stand on their own. That isn't a shortcoming of Bush or Obama, it's an inherent limitation of being the good guys. We HAVE to treat them as equals, or we're no longer the good guys.

Thankfully Obama did not allow us to be fully pulled back in. He agreed that we would do the things they cannot do, intelligence and precision airstrikes and logistics, but the point of the spear, the ground combat where by far the bulk of the casualties are incurred, he insisted that they take on. Even though we are a LOT better at it, because better the Iraqis take 10,000 casualties than we take a hundred. Better for us, obviously, but just as much better for the Iraqis too - they have to learn to fight or be swallowed by radical Islam.

Agreed. As much as I'd love to believe the "good news", didn't ISIS control enough land to almost class as a small country, as well as captured some oil fields? (I'm no expert... just bits I remember reading here and there.) That's a lotta' people, resources and money... where'd it all go?
Some of it has been destroyed, some of it has been recaptured, and some they still control but we have drastically reduced their ability to sell. Oil you cannot get to market is simply pollution, once any internal ability to refine has been recaptured or destroyed. Even if you can make gasoline, diesel and JP4, you cannot eat it or pay fighters in it, so if you cannot get those products to market then anything beyond your own consumption is pollution.

My "meh" wasn't for these claims, but rather for the claim that they are now going to turn to desperation attacks and terrorism. As long as radical Islam exists, there will be terror attacks, but without the resources of a nation, their ability to export terror becomes much less than that of Saddam or Asad or Iran.

I don't believe that for a second and neither should you. We just had the largest gun massacre in American history from a single Muslim nutter. The ideology is a far far greater threat than ISIS ever was. The ideology is still alive and thriving. Engaging ISIS only fans the flames of that ideology. I simply do not hold the view that this ideology is something that we can engage with militarily to any meaningful effect. Can you explain how things will get better if ISIS is toppled? What do you expect to replace them? If the entity that replaces them is the same or worse, what should we do? How many people do we have to bomb and kill before the Middle East is fixed?
What replaces them will be Iraq and Syria. While both have been exporters of terrorism, Iraq at least seems to have stopped. As far as ideology, that WAS supported with all the resources of a small and moderate wealthy oil-producing nation. That is rapidly being destroyed. They can easily use the Internet to encourage radical Islamists, but without their oil-producing wealth, they have a much-degraded ability to help them, to set up training camps, bribe officials, procure and ship military-grade weapons and explosives and train radical Islamists in their use. That is a massive win for the West, and for good people everywhere who now have a smaller chance of being shot, blown up, or incorporated into a radical Islamic theocracy. Granted, the ideology is still present and still dangerous, but it's now a LOT less dangerous, because it's ability to project terror has been greatly downgraded.
 

Sonikku

Lifer
Jun 23, 2005
15,745
4,563
136
Radical Islam would be easier to deal with if America did not arm them so much. But we gotta justify a gigantic military budget for the contractors sakes so we gotta prop up the Bogeyman.
 

ALIVE

Golden Member
May 21, 2012
1,960
0
0
Radical Islam would be easier to deal with if America did not arm them so much. But we gotta justify a gigantic military budget for the contractors sakes so we gotta prop up the Bogeyman.

it would be easier to handle if we did not take all these poor refuges in europe and in usa.

how many of these refuges are in fact agents of isis trying to spread their hate speech???

you know that many european women were transform into isis fighters travel in middle east and become the religion police for the females?? few of them escape come back in the west and report all the tortures they done to the rest female population to comply as true muslim??

was nor in orlando a priest in the mosque a few days before the shooting saying and there is a video in youtube, that the penalty for homosexuality is death and that penalty we will carry out for compassion to them??

west civilization and islam can not mix they are opposites you can have one but not the other.

ban islam from west and then fanatic islam will be easier.

the problem is that they are not radical islams, or they do not understand the koran, or misinterpreter it
they are true belivers and follow what the religion of islam belives in,
global domination , intolerance
 

Artdeco

Platinum Member
Mar 14, 2015
2,682
1
0
Radical Islam would be easier to deal with if America did not arm them so much. But we gotta justify a gigantic military budget for the contractors sakes so we gotta prop up the Bogeyman.

Russia and China provide more arms etc than we do.
 

MongGrel

Lifer
Dec 3, 2013
38,466
3,067
121
Methinks you missed his point. It's true that Clinton and Obama royally screwed the pooch on Syria. I cannot remember the last American President who didn't have to learn the hard way that our intervention is not going to bring Western values, just a different set of assholes on top. But ISIS in Iraq is squarely on Bush and even more so, on the Iraqis themselves. Bush agreed to pull out, and Obama agreed to honor that agreement, because to do otherwise would invalidate our entire justification for the regime change. If we are truly doing this to remove the oppressing dictator, then when they are ready for us to leave we HAVE to leave, regardless of whether we think they are ready to stand on their own. That isn't a shortcoming of Bush or Obama, it's an inherent limitation of being the good guys. We HAVE to treat them as equals, or we're no longer the good guys.

Thankfully Obama did not allow us to be fully pulled back in. He agreed that we would do the things they cannot do, intelligence and precision airstrikes and logistics, but the point of the spear, the ground combat where by far the bulk of the casualties are incurred, he insisted that they take on. Even though we are a LOT better at it, because better the Iraqis take 10,000 casualties than we take a hundred. Better for us, obviously, but just as much better for the Iraqis too - they have to learn to fight or be swallowed by radical Islam.

I won't quote the whole post, but it was all well stated I thought.

:thumbsup::thumbsup:
 

agent00f

Lifer
Jun 9, 2016
12,203
1,242
86
That isn't a shortcoming of Bush or Obama, it's an inherent limitation of being the good guys. We HAVE to treat them as equals, or we're no longer the good guys.

"Good guys" don't kill a few hundred thousand people for some ideology ego trip, and a dumb ideology at that. Even dumber are people who faithfully believe these proclamations of the state, more so than not really understanding modern science.

The main reason the US ever pulled out was due to waning public support, particularly for the cost involved, but of course embarrassing reasons for institutions need pr cover to save face.
 

MongGrel

Lifer
Dec 3, 2013
38,466
3,067
121
"Good guys" don't kill a few hundred thousand people for some ideology ego trip, and a dumb ideology at that. Even dumber are people who faithfully believe these proclamations of the state, more so than not really understanding modern science.

The main reason the US ever pulled out was due to waning public support, particularly for the cost involved, but of course embarrassing reasons for institutions need pr cover to save face.

You really are not up on your politics if you think half of what you just posted is true.
 

agent00f

Lifer
Jun 9, 2016
12,203
1,242
86
You really are not up on your politics if you think half of what you just posted is true.

The post is entirely correct. The neocons were true believers, the kind who think nothing of brutality or whatever else is necessary in service of their cause.

It's also true that mounting public discontent (reaching a crescendo during the election) coincided exactly with withdrawal, not exactly unlike with Vietnam except the US has gotten better at avoiding embarrassment from previous experience.

Just be aware that the "politics" shown tv is meant for mass consumption of the lowest common denominator.
 
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