It's another way of saying "the biggest effect on climate change". Think of it as like the equivalent of a Main Volume knob on some sort of audio device. Sure, those other knobs can affect inputs or various ranges of sound, but that main volume knob makes the biggest change when affected.
Stupid question -- “Do you believe that it’s been proven that CO2 is the primary control knob on climate?”. What does that even mean, primary control knob on climate? The term "climate" includes a whole lot of things, which ones specifically are they asking about, or are we to assume that CO2 is the "control knob" for everything? Or, does "climate" now only refer to temperature?
I'm going to pretend you are legitimately asking a question here and build on what Aikouka posted.
Earths climate is a heat engine. All aspects of climate are driven directly or indirectly by heat. Climate change is being driven by a heat energy imbalance. More energy is reaching Earth
The term, "Primary Control Knob on Climate" refers to which factor is driving the measured heat energy imbalance
The sun is the primary driver of global temperatures. It has two "control knobs" neither of which we control. Distance to the sun will increase or decrease the amount of heat Earth receives. This changes on the order of 10s of 1000s of years. (See Milankovitch Cycles)
The other is the sun cycles its output slightly. We measure this directly with satellites. Solar output correlates strongly with sun spots. Astronomers have been counting suns spots for centuries giving us a long direct baseline. Prior to human observations indirect evidence is used.
Neither of these "knobs" is capable of producing the measured heat energy imbalance in the timeframe we've been measuring.
When visible sunlight reaches the Earth some is reflected and some is absorbed and reradiated as infrared light.
The amount of light reflected is governed by the Earths albedo. Albedo is another "knob", one we have some limited control over.
Lighter portions of Earth like snow, ice, and clouds reflect more light. Darker portions absorb more light. Humans removing forests, building cities and other changes change albedo. Melting ice caps also change albedo which makes it a feedback for a warming world.
Analysis of albedo changes show it is causing some of the change but not enough by itself to cause the measured imbalance.
The last set of knobs are atmospheric gasses. Without an atmosphere opaque to infrared radiation the Earth would be an ice ball. We don't receive enough sunlight to average a temperature above freezing.
The primary gases that make up the atmosphere, N2 and O2, are transparent to visible sunlight and reradiated infrared and are not knobs.
Some trace gases in the atmosphere however are opaque to infrared light but transparent to visible light. These are the greenhouse gases and they all can act as knobs.
- CO2
- Methane
- Nitrogen Oxides
- Water Vapor
- Other trace gases
Each GHG has some capacity to absorb and reradiated infrared light. Each spends a certain amount of time in the atmosphere. They also occur in different concentrations, some have anthropogenic sources, some natural and many have both.
Methane and Nitrogen Oxides are both much stronger GHGs than CO2 but CO2 has concentrations 200X higher than methane and 10,000X higher than the Nitrogen Oxides. CO2 is also increasing faster than the others.
Water vapor is a potent GHG but it's overall concentration is a function of the temperature of the atmosphere. It acts as another feedback. One that partially mitigates itself due to reflective nature of cloud cover.
We know how much CO2 and other GHGs are in the atmosphere. We know how the concentrations change each year. We even know how much of each we are putting into the air on a yearly basis vs how much natural processes add or subtract, (commodities markets and isotope analysis).
With all this information we know how much each knob has been turned and in what direction. By far it's CO2 and the evidence is overwhelmingly our hand that did the turning.