Facebook IPO

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Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
38,548
349
126
The writing was on the wall (street)....

Any second rate investor knew that this IPO was an unique
opportunity to massively short sell this fiat stocks....

Funny how few posted that confidently here in advance.

I posted in favor of shorting it in the long term, but said that I wasn't sure enough to risk money on it, or what time frame.

It's hard to sort out a lot of things including how investors will view the stock - it could have gone way up - or profit taking by these insiders to get real cash etc.

What I saw was a lot of hype to buy it.
 

conehead433

Diamond Member
Dec 4, 2002
5,566
890
126
The writing was on the wall (street)....

Any second rate investor knew that this IPO was an unique
opportunity to massively short sell this fiat stocks....

Try reading the rules about shorting an IPO. The average investor would have to wait thirty days. And anyone wanting to do so would still have to be able to borrow the shares.
 

IGBT

Lifer
Jul 16, 2001
17,956
137
106
I don't know, I am not sure if that is a good way to go about thinking about it. What I'd want to see isn't a lower price, but a better way for them to make money. Facebook needs to take their talent and reapply it, or get some bodies on board that can make it happen. As it is now, it seems like they are just trying to squeeze more blood out of a turnip. Actually, I don't even see how doing an IPO would help them with that anyway. Is it like they need extra money to enact their plans? The way I understand an IPO is that you want to grow, and you have a plan to do it but not enough money to do so. So you go to the public, sell some shares, and you get money to do what you want. When you're successful with your plans, your investors get something nice in the way of dividends and/or better stock prices.

But I dunno, I haven't really dug too hard on the facebook thing. Maybe they really do have some sort of a plan.


people that use social network are cheapskates. They are looking for "free". So find a way to make money off "free" then you might have something.
 

her209

No Lifer
Oct 11, 2000
56,352
11
0
Facebook down to $35, if you bitched about not being able to "get in on" the IPO, now's your chance!!!

ROFL
Everyone was anticipating the stock to go up on Friday. Those who were allowed to purchase stock before everyone else was given the opportunity to profit when the stock price increased. The stock price may be lower now than the IPO price, but the opportunity isn't what it was on Friday.
 

YoungGun21

Platinum Member
Aug 17, 2006
2,551
1
81
This is how IPO's work. The underwriters deal with the people they trust. Nothing wrong happened.
 

Pr0d1gy

Diamond Member
Jan 30, 2005
7,775
0
76
How many ATers will admit they lost money on FB?

None, but some will pretend they made millions when it spiked to $45 and those who lost will keep giving me shit as if my saying it wouldn't be great caused this to happen...lol
 

trenchfoot

Lifer
Aug 5, 2000
14,682
7,181
136
So the underwriters have no trust in an "open" and "free" market?

The way businessmen have forever been attempting to legally monopolize every market possible since they fashioned a way to profit from its mere existence, there has never ever been an open and free market in the USA.
 

rchiu

Diamond Member
Jun 8, 2002
3,846
0
0
Not true, from what I read on the internet fora most were skeptical of the high valuation.

Yeah, as crazy as Apple and Google stocks are, their PE ratio are in the teens. FB on the other hand, is like close to 100 with their initial IPO price.

Also many people have already mentioned, people used FB because it's free, and most likely won't like any revenue generating move like more ad. Gonna be tough for FB to justify this valuation without steady revenue/profit stream.
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
38,548
349
126
Not true, from what I read on the internet fora most were skeptical of the high valuation.

Well, it is true that what I mostly saw was hype about it.

But you're saying you saw internet forums skeptical. Any mainstream news shows?
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
38,548
349
126
The way businessmen have forever been attempting to legally monopolize every market possible since they fashioned a way to profit from its mere existence, there has never ever been an open and free market in the USA.

Anywhere? I don't think so.
 

Abwx

Lifer
Apr 2, 2011
11,169
3,864
136
Funny how few posted that confidently here in advance.

I posted in favor of shorting it in the long term, but said that I wasn't sure enough to risk money on it, or what time frame.

It's hard to sort out a lot of things including how investors will view the stock - it could have gone way up - or profit taking by these insiders to get real cash etc.

What I saw was a lot of hype to buy it.

Looking at the financial datas it is clear that FB share
is worth a handfull $ at best ...

To be worth 100bn$ , a society has to make at least
5bn net profit , while FB barely reach 10% of this sum....

Try reading the rules about shorting an IPO. The average investor would have to wait thirty days. And anyone wanting to do so would still have to be able to borrow the shares.

It was possible using dedicated options...
 

blankslate

Diamond Member
Jun 16, 2008
8,660
491
126
Heard FB is down a bit more so far today.

Fuck yeah. Circle-jerking and stalking are all FB is good for.
 

ShawnD1

Lifer
May 24, 2003
15,987
2
81
Same here..I bought at 42 and dumped at 45 for a tidy profit.
My hat goes off to you. You had the balls to try this and you succeeded.

As for the idiots who bought it and lost money, I have no sympathy at all. Right now Google Finance shows Facebook as having a PE ratio of roughly 100. That means their profit is 1%. Would you invest in a company where your profit is $1 for every $100 you put in? Apparently a lot of people answer with a loud YES and put their money where their mouth is. Unbelievable. People being horrible at math is why the sub-prime lending thing was such a major problem. Astrophysicist Neil DeGrasse Tyson expressed this feeling in one of his speeches; he was making a point about the importance of math and education.
 
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DucatiMonster696

Diamond Member
Aug 13, 2009
4,269
1
71
So the underwriters have no trust in an "open" and "free" market?


You do understand that "open" and "free" markets have very little to do with how contracts are created and issued out between 2 parties right?.

In this case FB contracted out the selling of their shares to Morgan Stanley who is then under a contract to attempt to sell those shares so that it benefits FB, Morgan Stanley and so it provides those who are willing to pay a premium or have been offered shares before hand as a form of payment the opportunity to also benefit from FB's IPO offering. Never mind that IPO's are not guaranteed to be successful and it is completely possible that FB's shares could be worth nothing in a day, week, month, year, etc and all those parties involved that got first dibs would end up with worthless scraps of paper.

NVM...obviously I'm talking to a child who probably doesn't understand the meaning of risk or contractual obligations toward clients (aka fiduciary duties).
 
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ShawnD1

Lifer
May 24, 2003
15,987
2
81
You do understand that "open" and "free" markets have very little to do with how contracts are created and issued out between 2 parties right?.

In this case FB contracted out the selling of their shares to Morgan Stanley who is then under a contract to attempt to sell those shares so that it benefits FB, Morgan Stanley and so it provides those who are willing to pay a premium or have been offered shares before hand as a form of payment the opportunity to also turn a benefit from FB's IPO offering. Never mind that IPO's are not guaranteed to be successful and it is completely possible that FB shares could be worth nothing in a day, week, month, year, etc all those parties involved that got first dibs would end up with worthless scraps of paper.

NVM...obviously I'm talking to a child who probably doesn't understand the meaning of risk or contractual obligations toward clients.
blah blah blah. I wanted to buy a car from this dude and he decided to sell it to his son instead. Total bullshit. We need the government to enforce the free market so there are no "preferred" buyers or sellers.
 

DucatiMonster696

Diamond Member
Aug 13, 2009
4,269
1
71
blah blah blah. I wanted to buy a car from this dude and he decided to sell it to his son instead. Total bullshit. We need the government to enforce the free market so there are no "preferred" buyers or sellers.

LOL - Government enforcing a free market.
 

DucatiMonster696

Diamond Member
Aug 13, 2009
4,269
1
71
A free market means I come and shoot you and take your stuff. Got a problem with it?


Bzzz....Wrong.

A "Free Market" means winners and losers are allowed to exist and that barriers to competition are removed in a Capitalist based economy.
 
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Exterous

Super Moderator
Jun 20, 2006
20,431
3,537
126
As for the idiots who bought it and lost money, I have no sympathy at all. Right now Google Finance shows Facebook as having a PE ratio of roughly 100. That means their profit is 1%. Would you invest in a company where your profit is $1 for every $100 you put in? Apparently a lot of people answer with a loud YES and put their money where their mouth is. Unbelievable. People being horrible at math is why the sub-prime lending thing was such a major problem. Astrophysicist Neil DeGrasse Tyson expressed this feeling in one of his speeches; he was making a point about the importance of math and education.

Honestly I was a bit suprised at the media surrounding the FB IPO. At least from my vantage point it seemed decidedly less positive than the coverage of a lot of the other recent IPOs. Perhaps people are starting to catch on that IPOs typically don't do that well for your average investor at the start. Doesn't mean people are actually putting the time and effort into figuring out the basics on what to buy beyond 'Facebook? Hey I use that I should buy some!" but it does give me a glimmer of hope
 

TheSlamma

Diamond Member
Sep 6, 2005
7,625
5
81
Funny how few posted that confidently here in advance.

I posted in favor of shorting it in the long term, but said that I wasn't sure enough to risk money on it, or what time frame.

It's hard to sort out a lot of things including how investors will view the stock - it could have gone way up - or profit taking by these insiders to get real cash etc.

What I saw was a lot of hype to buy it.
I posted in the OT stock thread on Saturday.. no replies.. people still clamoring away to buy.

I'm also seeing what Pr0d1gy noted about people claiming to have made $$$ on the spike.. yeah right lol.
 
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