Fact checking Obama's news conference.

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hal2kilo

Lifer
Feb 24, 2009
24,247
10,899
136
The Washington Post pretty much tears up Obama's recent news conference.
Seems that most of Obama's main talking points don't really match up with reality or at least the impression he gives.

For example
" “The tax cuts I'm proposing we get rid of are tax breaks for millionaires and billionaires, tax breaks for oil companies and hedge fund managers and corporate jet own"

Sounds fine and dandy till you start to add up the numbers.
The Jet loophole is worth $300 million a year, and that is million with an M
Hedge fund loophole is worth $1.5 billion a year. No where near the amount some members around here seem to think it would be worth.
Oil taxes are worth another $4 billion a year.

So we are looking less than $6 billion a year and yet Obama wants us to think that these rich evil jet flying oil using hedgefund managers are keeping kids from getting an education or seniors from getting medical care...

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs...ference/2011/06/29/AGpQMPrH_blog.html?hpid=z2

His over use of the coporate jet narative was unfortunate, but pretty much everything else was spot on.

I think it's funny how you love to quote the Washington Post because you thinks it's a liberal newspaper. The Post, unfortunately seems to be competing with the Moony Washington Times for who's the most right wing these days. It's editorial page is even worse these days.
 

ProfJohn

Lifer
Jul 28, 2006
18,161
7
0
In response to multiple posts here is part of the transcript:
There’s been a lot of discussion about revenues and raising taxes in recent weeks, so I want to be clear about what we’re proposing here. I spent the last two years cutting taxes for ordinary Americans, and I want to extend those middle-class tax cuts. The tax cuts I’m proposing we get rid of are tax breaks for millionaires and billionaires; tax breaks for oil companies and hedge fund managers and corporate jet owners.

It would be nice if we could keep every tax break there is, but we’ve got to make some tough choices here if we want to reduce our deficit. And if we choose to keep those tax breaks for millionaires and billionaires, if we choose to keep a tax break for corporate jet owners, if we choose to keep tax breaks for oil and gas companies that are making hundreds of billions of dollars, then that means we’ve got to cut some kids off from getting a college scholarship. That means we’ve got to stop funding certain grants for medical research. That means that food safety may be compromised. That means that Medicare has to bear a greater part of the burden. Those are the choices we have to make.

So the bottom line is this: Any agreement to reduce our deficit is going to require tough decisions and balanced solutions. And before we ask our seniors to pay more for health care, before we cut our children’s education, before we sacrifice our commitment to the research and innovation that will help create more jobs in the economy, I think it’s only fair to ask an oil company or a corporate jet owner that has done so well to give up a tax break that no other business enjoys. I don’t think that’s real radical. I think the majority of Americans agree with that.
How do you read what is above and tell me that Obama is not being disengenuous?
He mentions corporate jets three times (must have some serious poll data about that) and yet reality tells us that the jet loophole is so small they can't even guess at how much revenue it will generate.

Obama lists a bunch of taxes we need to increase and suggests that if we keep them then bad things will happen to student loans, medicare etc etc.

But as the Washington Post points out ALL of Obama's tax cuts put together add up to $6 billion per year.

While student financial assistance alone is $42 billion per year.
Medicare is $494 billion next year.

$6 billion in additional revenue vs $500 billion in spending?? This is how we balance the budget?
 

werepossum

Elite Member
Jul 10, 2006
29,873
463
126
"Before we ask our seniors to pay more for health care, before we cut our children's education, before we sacrifice our commitment to the research and innovation that will help create more jobs in the economy, I think it's only fair to ask an oil company or a corporate jet owner that has done so well to give up that tax break that no other business enjoys.” - Obama

The irony here is that Obama reauthorized the private jet tax break as part of his "stimulus" package...unbelievable.
http://blog.heritage.org/2011/06/29/obama-blasts-private-jet-tax-breaks-created-by-his-own-stimulus/
That's hilarious. But it's worth saying that one big reason we're in this mess is that as a nation we've adopted the attitude that $300 million is insignificant.

Personally I'm ready to repeal the Bush tax cuts for EVERYONE, with an additional increase on the highest income bracket, just as soon as Congress and the White House spend a couple years demonstrating that they can and actually will significantly cut spending. Until that time I'm going with P. J. O'Rourke's statement that giving money and power to politicians is like giving liquor and car keys to teenage boys.
 

ProfJohn

Lifer
Jul 28, 2006
18,161
7
0
I think it's funny how you love to quote the Washington Post because you thinks it's a liberal newspaper.
I use the post a lot because they do good work.

Also, the biggest indicator of media bias is selection bias. It is not in the stories you read, but in the stories you never see in the first place. Perfect example would be the fact that the NY Times did not run one story on Kucinich's Syrian remarks. NOTHING! Not even an editorial like every other major US news source. If you only read the NY Times you would not know one thing about the Kucinich controversy.
 

woolfe9999

Diamond Member
Mar 28, 2005
7,153
0
0
I use the post a lot because they do good work.

Also, the biggest indicator of media bias is selection bias. It is not in the stories you read, but in the stories you never see in the first place. Perfect example would be the fact that the NY Times did not run one story on Kucinich's Syrian remarks. NOTHING! Not even an editorial like every other major US news source. If you only read the NY Times you would not know one thing about the Kucinich controversy.

I thought the entire MSM had a "liberal bias." Is it just the New York Times now? This would be the same NY Times who gave scandalously pro-military coverage of the invasion of Iraq, correct? That New York times? I just want to make sure we're clear about this, because we won't know who does and doesn't have the bias until you tell us.
 

Throckmorton

Lifer
Aug 23, 2007
16,829
3
0
I like when we're talking about spending, like healthcare reform, it's always "over the next 10 years", but when it's tax cuts, it's "per year".
 

ProfJohn

Lifer
Jul 28, 2006
18,161
7
0
I like when we're talking about spending, like healthcare reform, it's always "over the next 10 years", but when it's tax cuts, it's "per year".
It should always be per year IMO.


The 10 year things makes people think they are actually doing something when they aren't. 10 year projections are worthless.

Who the hell thinks in 10 year increments anyway? Other than retirement etc. My 10 year weight loss plan. My 10 year remodeling plan. etc etc.
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
38,548
350
126
In response to multiple posts here is part of the transcript:

How do you read what is above and tell me that Obama is not being disengenuous?
He mentions corporate jets three times (must have some serious poll data about that) and yet reality tells us that the jet loophole is so small they can't even guess at how much revenue it will generate.

Obama lists a bunch of taxes we need to increase and suggests that if we keep them then bad things will happen to student loans, medicare etc etc.

But as the Washington Post points out ALL of Obama's tax cuts put together add up to $6 billion per year.

While student financial assistance alone is $42 billion per year.
Medicare is $494 billion next year.

$6 billion in additional revenue vs $500 billion in spending?? This is how we balance the budget?

No, you just keep lying. For example, there are estimates of the revenue from closing the corporate jet loophole - you in fact already posted them when that suited before your purpose before you decided saying they don't exist suited your purpose - something that's a very good idea, but which you have only posted that they're a small amount of revenue, but not once said you support doing that I've seen.

The Joe Biden led negotiations had reached a point of 83% spending cuts, 17% revenue increases, with no tax rate increases, when Republicans walked out.

Funny enough, the Republicans had said THEIR position was that the effective ratio was 85% spending cuts, 15% tax increases. Now, when Bill Clinton did this, it was 50-50.

When Democrats said 'ok, 83-17', Republicans said 'not what you agree we're opposed to our plan of 85-15 and demand zero tax loophole and subsidy closing'.

Democrats agreed to trillions in spending cuts over the next decade. The real issue is that Republicans have no business threatening the credit of the US as they are doing.

Should Obama threaten to nuke Texas if the Republicans don't give in to his demands? To audit all the Republicans' tax returns, to sic the NSA on them, to put them in jail?

That sort of abuse of power is like what the Republicans are doing in threatening to not pay our bills. It's an irresponsible outrage not being called what it is in the media.

They just report the horse race details of the dealing and the harm it would do, with little if any comment about the outrageous threatening of the US.

It'd be like reporting Pearl Harbor as "many ships exploded" without any mention of the Japanese doing the attack - just that they and the US had a dispute while it happened.

'The US and Japan didn't reach agreement on their dispute, and because they could not agree, the ships blew up in a major disaster. Each side blames the other.'

Most Democrats I'm hearing say Obama should not link any deficit reduction to the debt ceiling renewal and let Republicans either pay our bills, or choose to harm the country.

The deficit reduction can be dealt with as its own issue. Obama didn't do that.
 

werepossum

Elite Member
Jul 10, 2006
29,873
463
126
No, you just keep lying. For example, there are estimates of the revenue from closing the corporate jet loophole - you in fact already posted them when that suited before your purpose before you decided saying they don't exist suited your purpose - something that's a very good idea, but which you have only posted that they're a small amount of revenue, but not once said you support doing that I've seen.

The Joe Biden led negotiations had reached a point of 83% spending cuts, 17% revenue increases, with no tax rate increases, when Republicans walked out.

Funny enough, the Republicans had said THEIR position was that the effective ratio was 85% spending cuts, 15% tax increases. Now, when Bill Clinton did this, it was 50-50.

When Democrats said 'ok, 83-17', Republicans said 'not what you agree we're opposed to our plan of 85-15 and demand zero tax loophole and subsidy closing'.

Democrats agreed to trillions in spending cuts over the next decade. The real issue is that Republicans have no business threatening the credit of the US as they are doing.

Should Obama threaten to nuke Texas if the Republicans don't give in to his demands? To audit all the Republicans' tax returns, to sic the NSA on them, to put them in jail?

That sort of abuse of power is like what the Republicans are doing in threatening to not pay our bills. It's an irresponsible outrage not being called what it is in the media.

They just report the horse race details of the dealing and the harm it would do, with little if any comment about the outrageous threatening of the US.

It'd be like reporting Pearl Harbor as "many ships exploded" without any mention of the Japanese doing the attack - just that they and the US had a dispute while it happened.

'The US and Japan didn't reach agreement on their dispute, and because they could not agree, the ships blew up in a major disaster. Each side blames the other.'

Most Democrats I'm hearing say Obama should not link any deficit reduction to the debt ceiling renewal and let Republicans either pay our bills, or choose to harm the country.

The deficit reduction can be dealt with as its own issue. Obama didn't do that.
When Clinton did it, the ratio was 100% tax increases with ever-increasing deficits as far as the eye could see. After the Republicans took over Congress in '94, every Clinton budget was DOA. The Dems wouldn't even bring them up for votes most years, so the Republicans had to introduce them and vote them down. Every Clinton veto was to decrease the spending cuts, to force the Pubbies to not cut as much. (Or more accurately, to not cut the rate of growth as much in the vast majority of cases; few departments' budgets actually declined year to year, with most cuts existing only in the miracle of baseline budgeting.)

Clinton deserves a bit of credit for the balanced budget, because he could have been even worse, but only a very little bit.
 

Hayabusa Rider

Admin Emeritus & Elite Member
Jan 26, 2000
50,879
4,266
126
Obama lies and the apologists are out. In other news water is wet. Oh, making 250-300k people just as much disposable income as Bill Gates, flying around in that jet.

Then again I suppose if Obama has to lie to get support, the end justifies the means.

Yeah.

Oh, for the apologists, please put this on your T-Shirts.

 

HendrixFan

Diamond Member
Oct 18, 2001
4,646
0
71
When Clinton did it, the ratio was 100% tax increases with ever-increasing deficits as far as the eye could see. After the Republicans took over Congress in '94, every Clinton budget was DOA. The Dems wouldn't even bring them up for votes most years, so the Republicans had to introduce them and vote them down. Every Clinton veto was to decrease the spending cuts, to force the Pubbies to not cut as much. (Or more accurately, to not cut the rate of growth as much in the vast majority of cases; few departments' budgets actually declined year to year, with most cuts existing only in the miracle of baseline budgeting.)

Clinton deserves a bit of credit for the balanced budget, because he could have been even worse, but only a very little bit.

Stop with this. Clinton won the budget battles because the populace sided with Clinton after the government shutdown. Clinton campaigned in 92 on eliminating the deficit, and got the ball rolling with his tax hike.

http://www.americanprogress.org/pressroom/releases/2011/03/newt_budget_balance.html

All together, OBRA plus direct economic factors, plus even higher than expected revenues from their interaction combined to produce a $311 billion fiscal improvement. That $311 billion wiped away more than 85 percent of the deficit. No help from Newt Gingrich required.

http://www.factcheck.org/2007/12/clinton-and-economic-growth-in-the-90s/

Clinton’s major contribution was pushing through the 1993 budget bill, which began to reduce what had become a chronic string of federal deficits. Republicans denounced it as the "largest tax increase in history," though in fact it was not a record and also contained some cuts in projected spending. Republican Rep. Newt Gingrich predicted: "The tax increase will kill jobs and lead to a recession, and the recession will force people off of work and onto unemployment and will actually increase the deficit." But just the opposite happened. Fears of inflation waned and interest rates fell, making money cheaper to borrow for homes, cars and investment. What had been a slow economic recovery turned into a roaring boom, bringing in so much unanticipated tax revenue from rising incomes and stock-market gains that the government actually was running record surpluses by the time Clinton left office.

As Clinton said it best:

Eight years ago, when our party met in New York, it was a far different time for America. Our economy was in trouble, our society was divided, our political system was paralyzed. Ten million of our fellow citizens were out of work. Interest rates were high. The deficit was $290 billion and rising. After 12 years of Republican rule, the federal debt had quadrupled, imposing a crushing burden on our economy and our children.

First, we proposed a new economic strategy: Get rid of the deficit to reduce interest rates. Invest more in our people. And sell more American products abroad.

We sent our plan to Congress. It passed by a single vote in both houses. In a deadlocked Senate, Al Gore cast the deciding vote. Not a single Republican supported it. Their leaders said it would increase the deficit, kill jobs, and give us a one-way ticket to recession. Time has not been kind to those predictions.

The Republicans said then they would not be held responsible for the results of our economic policies. I hope the American people will take them at their word.

Today, we are in the midst of the longest economic expansion in our history. More than 22 million new jobs, the lowest unemployment in 30 years, the lowest female unemployment in 40 years, the lowest Hispanic and African American unemployment on record, the highest home ownership rate in our history. In 1995, we turned back the largest cuts in history in Medicare, Medicaid, education, and the environment; and proved two years later that we could find the way to balance the budget and protect our values. Today, we have gone from the largest deficits in history to the largest surpluses in history - and if we stay on course, we can make America debt-free for the first time since 1835.
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
Welcome to the Democratic position.

Lawrence O'Donnell had a good segment on this but I can't find the clip.

Yup. They just made the biggest cuts in history not long ago. What was it, like 2% of the deficit? Whatever it was it was absurdly insignificant.

One side has got to call the others bluff on this issue as both are way to partisan right now to actually work together. Propose your bills with BOTH tax increases AND significant spending cuts and make the other side vote on it. Hell, I would propose the bills separately, one with the tax increases and one with the spending cuts if I was the Dems. Make them vote for one and not the other and then challenge them on their stance on the deficit come election time.
 

deadrats

Junior Member
Jul 3, 2008
8
0
0
first of all, you can't trust any politician, from any party to be 100% honest. consider that a presidential candidate spends tens of millions of dollars to get elected to an office that "only" pays 250 grand a year and that right there should tell you that there's something rotten in the state of denmark.

it's also obvious that none of these guys really want to make any serious changes, if they did they would switch to a vastly simpler tax code, something along the lines of a flat 10-15% income tax rate for everyone, including corporations, with almost all deductions, exceptions and loopholes eliminated; perhaps only the charity exemptions could stay BUT charities would no longer enjoy tax free status with the same applying to everyone; no more tax free status for any reason.

we could also eliminate all state income taxes and sales taxes and instead replace them with an across the board value added tax (VAT), perhaps 10%; eliminate all the ridiculous license and vehicle registration renewal fees, basically really make some meaningful changes.

but no politician wants that, and even if one or two actually did they could never get anywhere near enough support for such a thing, so we're forced to put up with bull from both sides.
 

Doppel

Lifer
Feb 5, 2011
13,306
3
0
Don't you get bored of towing the party line, PJ? If you're not actually paid for these I feel bad for you. You must get all these stories from some "conservative" (I double-quoted because republicans aren't conservatives at all) website, don't you? I know you see yourself as some kind of counter-weight to liberalism here, but you don't have to do that.
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
38,548
350
126
Yup. They just made the biggest cuts in history not long ago. What was it, like 2% of the deficit? Whatever it was it was absurdly insignificant.

One side has got to call the others bluff on this issue as both are way to partisan right now to actually work together. Propose your bills with BOTH tax increases AND significant spending cuts and make the other side vote on it. Hell, I would propose the bills separately, one with the tax increases and one with the spending cuts if I was the Dems. Make them vote for one and not the other and then challenge them on their stance on the deficit come election time.

Some Republicans seem to think all that matters for 2012 is the economy being bad to make people vote Republicans and it doesn't matter if it's clear it's Republicans' fault.

Rep. DeFazio today said he 'yearns for the days of the Gingrich Republican revolution that shut down the government' because they were more reasonable.

If there's a default it's Democrats' fault for not finding a way to make a deal.

Unfortunately they're probably right. It's Obama's fault because he's President, period.
 

lupi

Lifer
Apr 8, 2001
32,539
260
126
I'll just go watch his debate clips where he promised us no tax increases.
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
38,548
350
126

ProfJohn

Lifer
Jul 28, 2006
18,161
7
0
Stop with this. Clinton won the budget battles because the populace sided with Clinton after the government shutdown. Clinton campaigned in 92 on eliminating the deficit, and got the ball rolling with his tax hike.
The bolded part is completely false.

Bill Clinton NEVER mentioned eliminating the deficit until AFTER the Republicans took over congress and the government shut down that lead to the budget deal.

Read his inaugural address and his first 2 state of the unions. In all three cases he talks about 'lowering' the deficit, but never talks about a balanced budget.

And then AFTER the budget deal he starts to talk about the balanced budget.

You can also look at his Federal budgets. His first two (maybe 3) budgets did not do anything to eliminate the deficit. It was only after the budget agreement that he presented one that showed a balanced budget.

The facts are clear as can be. Had the Republicans not taken over in 1994 Clinton would have NEVER worked on a balanced budget.

But you can give him credit for the tax increases.
 

PeshakJang

Platinum Member
Mar 17, 2010
2,276
0
0
The Joe Biden led negotiations had reached a point of 83% spending cuts, 17% revenue increases, with no tax rate increases, when Republicans walked out.

Funny enough, the Republicans had said THEIR position was that the effective ratio was 85% spending cuts, 15% tax increases. Now, when Bill Clinton did this, it was 50-50.

When Democrats said 'ok, 83-17', Republicans said 'not what you agree we're opposed to our plan of 85-15 and demand zero tax loophole and subsidy closing'.

Please link to this specific information.
 

HendrixFan

Diamond Member
Oct 18, 2001
4,646
0
71
The bolded part is completely false.

Bill Clinton NEVER mentioned eliminating the deficit until AFTER the Republicans took over congress and the government shut down that lead to the budget deal.

Read his inaugural address and his first 2 state of the unions. In all three cases he talks about 'lowering' the deficit, but never talks about a balanced budget.

And then AFTER the budget deal he starts to talk about the balanced budget.

You can also look at his Federal budgets. His first two (maybe 3) budgets did not do anything to eliminate the deficit. It was only after the budget agreement that he presented one that showed a balanced budget.

The facts are clear as can be. Had the Republicans not taken over in 1994 Clinton would have NEVER worked on a balanced budget.

But you can give him credit for the tax increases.

Didn't read through any of the links I see. They show that the majority of the money that made the surplus was from money brought in through his 93 tax increase. The links also show that much of the republican compromised budget actions actually worked against lowering the deficit. Read through it and hopefully it will help you better understand the situation.

Clinton campaigned on lowering the deficit but didn't feel that it could be done within an 8 year window. He talked about a 15 year plan to get the country into the black and paying down the national debt. He talked about paying off most of the debt eventually. Did he say he was going to eliminate the deficit in his term? No. But that was the ultimate goal he was working towards. He was a fiscal conservative whether you like it or not.

As his tax cuts and growth-targeted spending plans went into affect, they had a much better impact than the CBO anticipated and allowed for a balanced budget down the road. The tax increase that Clinton passed, that Republicans said would be the downfall of the economy were the most important piece of the balanced budget.
 

ProfJohn

Lifer
Jul 28, 2006
18,161
7
0
Didn't read through any of the links I see. They show that the majority of the money that made the surplus was from money brought in through his 93 tax increase. The links also show that much of the republican compromised budget actions actually worked against lowering the deficit. Read through it and hopefully it will help you better understand the situation.

Clinton campaigned on lowering the deficit but didn't feel that it could be done within an 8 year window. He talked about a 15 year plan to get the country into the black and paying down the national debt. He talked about paying off most of the debt eventually. Did he say he was going to eliminate the deficit in his term? No. But that was the ultimate goal he was working towards. He was a fiscal conservative whether you like it or not.

As his tax cuts and growth-targeted spending plans went into affect, they had a much better impact than the CBO anticipated and allowed for a balanced budget down the road. The tax increase that Clinton passed, that Republicans said would be the downfall of the economy were the most important piece of the balanced budget.
Don't fall for the false narrative or some piece from a liberal site like American progress.

Go and look at the real actual budgets and speeches and learn the truth yourself.

Clinton never used the term balanced budget pre-Republican take over.
From the NY Times 1995
http://www.nytimes.com/1995/02/03/u...t-clinton-s-1996-budget-message-congress.html
"Under my plan, the deficit will continue to fall as a percentage of G.D.P. to 2.1 percent, reaching its lowest level since 1979."
Notice he didn't say it will be balanced, he just said it will keep falling.

And again the NY Times 1995
http://www.nytimes.com/1995/02/03/u...s-budget-falls-well-short-of-gop-demands.html
"Although his Budget Message boasts that his economic policies have sharply reduced the deficit from record levels, he says the deficit will probably stay in the range of $190 billion through 2005."
Remember this was 1995 and Clinton was calling for $190 billion deficits for the next ten years.

So please stop with the wishful thinking of liberal magazines who don't want to admit that it was the arrival of the Republican congress that led to a balanced budget.
 

Craig234

Lifer
May 1, 2006
38,548
350
126
The bolded part is completely false.

Well, then, let's bold your post to fit that.

You can also look at his Federal budgets. His first two (maybe 3) budgets did not do anything to eliminate the deficit. It was only after the budget agreement that he presented one that showed a balanced budget.

The facts are clear as can be. Had the Republicans not taken over in 1994 Clinton would have NEVER worked on a balanced budget.

A while ago I looked this up - the Dems totally controlled both houses and the Presidency Clinton's first two years.

So were they just drunken sailors, tax and spend, more tax and spend, until Republicans took the House, and that's when deficit reduction began?

No.

My recollection is that the Democrats began reducing the deficit *immediately*, those first two years, reversing the Republican increases to high deficits their 12 years.

The deficit was cut about the same those first two years as the later six, eventually leading to a balanced budget.

And as Clinton said, Republicans TOTALLY OPPOSED his budgets that had that deficit reduction. When they got total control under Bush, they showed us their policies.

Big increases to the deficit under Republican before Clinton, and after Clinton. Ya.

And ya, as I recall the facts of the deficit reduction, you simply said the opposite of the actual facts to fit a partisan lie favoring the Republicans.

And it's not an innocent mistake - I've repeatedly posted this same correction to you. Normally I'd post the numbers. Been there, done that. You should have. Wonder why you didn't.
 
Last edited:

woolfe9999

Diamond Member
Mar 28, 2005
7,153
0
0
Whatever the machinations of Clinton and the republicans, Clinton got a lot of credit for balancing a budget when the primary reason for it was an economic boom. The converse is Obama getting bashed when the primary reason for deficit expansion is a severe recession. You can't feasibly cut spending, certainly not aggressively, when you're facing 10% unemployment.

I find it beyond irritating that anyone would even discuss deficits and budget balancing out of context with overall economic conditions. Yet is is repeatedly done by people pushing one agenda or another. How is it *ever* valid to discuss a complex issue and ignore variables which have a huge impact on it?

What would the deficit situation be right now if there was no recession such that tax revenues are adjusted accordingly (upward), mandatory recession related spending is reduced accordingly (downward), and there is no need for a $900b stimulus?

Lying by ommision is still lying.

- wolf
 
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sandorski

No Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
70,231
5,807
126
Since all these are such minor amounts, passing a Bill eliminating should be a done deal then, no?

$36 billion seems small in light of the Deficit, but $36 billion is still $36 billion.
 
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