Fancy That.... Iran's youth turning atheist....

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
72,685
6,195
126
I guess God works in mysterious ways. As any person of faith must know, not one atom disobeys the will of Allah. If God has turned the youth of Iran against Him it is by His Will, right? Nothing can stand against the Will of God.
 

pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
13,273
8,198
136
I'd like to be cheered, but I've been hearing about how 'the youth' of Iran are 'turning against the Mullahs' every few years for decades now. It's like the 'vinyl is making a comeback' story. Seriously, it's come up so many times, only to be followed by another victory for the 'hard-liners'. And I always have the same thought that I did the first time (maybe back in the late 80s?). Which is 'are you sure you aren't only talking to educated urban middle-class youth?'. It has seemed to me for a long time that the media attach disproportionate weight to that demographic when discussing Iran, and neglect what goes on among the large numbers outside that group.

Which isn't to say that Iran might not be experiencing a slow growth of that very demographic, which might have a positive outcome. I just think change there might depend more on bread-and-butter economic things than abstract ideas.


Edit - I absolutely agree that dropping bombs on Iran would be a really, really bad idea, and that that approach hasn't worked out terribly well where it's been tried so far.
 

R0H1T

Platinum Member
Jan 12, 2013
2,582
162
106
I'd like to be cheered, but I've been hearing about how 'the youth' of Iran are 'turning against the Mullahs' every few years for decades now. It's like the 'vinyl is making a comeback' story. Seriously, it's come up so many times, only to be followed by another victory for the 'hard-liners'. And I always have the same thought that I did the first time (maybe back in the late 80s?). Which is 'are you sure you aren't only talking to educated urban middle-class youth?'. It has seemed to me for a long time that the media attach disproportionate weight to that demographic when discussing Iran, and neglect what goes on among the large numbers outside that group.

Which isn't to say that Iran might not be experiencing a slow growth of that very demographic, which might have a positive outcome. I just think change there might depend more on bread-and-butter economic things than abstract ideas.


Edit - I absolutely agree that dropping bombs on Iran would be a really, really bad idea, and that that approach hasn't worked out terribly well where it's been tried so far.
You must;ve missed every other decade, or half a decade, the US threatens to dismantle the Axis of evil? Funny that since Israel & the Saudis have done more harm to the middle east than Iran & other such nations combined.
 
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pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
13,273
8,198
136
You must;ve missed every other decade, or half a decade, the US threatens to dismantle the Axis of evil? Funny that since Israel & the Saudis have done more harm to the middle east than Iran & other such nations combined.

Not at all sure what your point is. I'm no fan of US foreign policy. Though working out exactly how to appropriation blame for the harms of the region is beyond me. Western colonialism clearly was a massive contributor, though there seems a danger of being patronising and naive if you erase all the involvement of those who live there. Heck, you could go all the way back to the Mongols and what they did to the area.

My point is merely that the Islamic regime, however unpleasant is is in many ways, seems to have had more popular support than its over-optimistic Western opponents have tended to acknowledge. It is partially a democracy, after all. In fact, maybe the Western distorted view has something in common with how journalists missed the rise of Trump or of Brexit. Same problem of talking only to those like themselves.
 

R0H1T

Platinum Member
Jan 12, 2013
2,582
162
106
Not at all sure what your point is. I'm no fan of US foreign policy. Though working out exactly how to appropriation blame for the harms of the region is beyond me. Western colonialism clearly was a massive contributor, though there seems a danger of being patronising and naive if you erase all the involvement of those who live there. Heck, you could go all the way back to the Mongols and what they did to the area.

My point is merely that the Islamic regime, however unpleasant is is in many ways, seems to have had more popular support than its over-optimistic Western opponents have tended to acknowledge. It is partially a democracy, after all. In fact, maybe the Western distorted view has something in common with how journalists missed the rise of Trump or of Brexit. Same problem of talking only to those like themselves.
The aggressive or passive aggressive stance that US has had wrt Iran, ever since the Tehran hostage crisis, has allowed the mullahs to rule over them, not to forget installing Shah & then giving him refuge after he fled to the US.

The US tends to take a hardline stance, whenever it sees a nation not support US' world view like Cuba for instance? Of course, pleasing the Israelis & the Saudis is also a reason for the anti Iran stance.

Now are you telling me that those two are better than Iran, just because? What about Pakistan, you essentially paid for their development & arms for better part of 60 years?

My point is Iran isn't a bad place, even if it's ruled by Mullahs. There are much worse places in the vicinity, the cultural affliction is in part due to what the West did to Iran, in the past, & their present alignment with the Saudis or Israelis. I mean how can anyone justify the manufactured pandemic in Yemen, by Saudis, & yet Iran should be held to a different standard?
 
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cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,535
13,109
136
If there is anything that demonstrably proves that intervention of the USA in the Middle East does far more harm than good, this is it. One of Muslim countries that we did not drop bombs on and raze to the ground and look what is happening... You fight the war of ideas with words... not bombs.

http://mpc-journal.org/blog/2016/04/04/tsunami-of-atheism-in-iran/

Thats friggin awesome... I just wanna point out that oldie but goodie "Correlation does not imply causation"
 
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pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
13,273
8,198
136
The aggressive or passive aggressive stance that US has had wrt Iran, ever since the Tehran hostage crisis, has allowed the mullahs to rule over them, not to forget installing Shah & then giving him refuge after he fled to the US.

The US tends to take a hardline stance, whenever it sees a nation not support US' world view like Cuba for instance? Of course, pleasing the Israelis & the Saudis is also a reason for the anti Iran stance.

Now are you telling me that those two are better than Iran, just because? What about Pakistan, you essentially paid for their development & arms for better part of 60 years?

My point is Iran isn't a bad place, even if it's ruled by Mullahs. There are much worse places in the vicinity, the cultural affliction is in part due to what the West did to Iran, in the past, & their present alignment with the Saudis or Israelis. I mean how can anyone justify the manufactured pandemic in Yemen, by Saudis, & yet Iran should be held to a different standard?

Not sure what you mean by 'better than' in that context. Nations don't line up in some simple league table of goodness, measured by one ordinal number. The world is what it is and the question is deciding what to do in practice, not ranking countries in a list. And quite obviously there is a lot more to Iran than mullahs and anger at the West - it has quite a long history as a nation, after all. Still, they don't treat minorities terribly well, and it would be nice if that somehow changed. But clearly they are like they are because of history, which includes - while not being limited to - very destructive Western imperialist meddling.

Absolutely there are strategic conflicts going on, conflicts-within-conflicts even, and the US has somewhat lined up with Saudi and Turkey against Iran (though it seems as if Turkey has gone off-message recently and the Western elite support for Erdogan and his Islamists-its-OK-to-like seems to have cooled rather). I am not myself enamoured of this situation, but I don't see a revolution coming any time soon.

And it's complicated, not least because those involved change sides all the time, because there are a lot more than two sides, as your mention of Pakistan demonstrates.
 
Sep 12, 2004
16,852
59
86
It may take 50 more years, or 100, or 200. But eventually the youths will destroy ignorance of religion in the ME. Will it be destroyed completely? Of course not. Much like in the US there were always be true believers because it's easier to to have faith in a god that allegedly explains everything than to comprehend science and natural facts.

Some people tend to take the easy way out.
 

pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
13,273
8,198
136
It may take 50 more years, or 100, or 200. But eventually the youths will destroy ignorance of religion in the ME. Will it be destroyed completely? Of course not. Much like in the US there were always be true believers because it's easier to to have faith in a god that allegedly explains everything than to comprehend science and natural facts.

Some people tend to take the easy way out.

I doubt religion will ever go away, it's too central to the structure and meaning of many people's lives. And non-believers have far fewer children than believers and really hard-line believers have the most children of all.

But it's possible it will evolve into a more benign form. Non-believers need to be supportive of the gentler kind of believers, not act like they believe they are superior to them. Non-oppressive people of all faiths and none have to find the things they have in common against the headbanging narcissists who think they alone know exactly what God wants.
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,535
13,109
136
Common sense implies causation. Make people desperate enough and you have given an extremist preacher an audience.
Japan? . If there is ooone country... Though not muslim or ME... I think the point is when you decide that dropping bombs is the only path forward then you stick around for the endgame... something that has been thoroughly neglected in ME affairs.
 
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J.Wilkins

Platinum Member
Jun 5, 2017
2,681
640
91
Japan? . If there is ooone country... Though not muslim or ME... I think the point is when you decide that dropping bombs is the only path forward then you stick around for the endgame... something that has been thoroughly neglected in ME affairs.

Yeah, you need to actually defeat the enemy, not just pretend like you have and then leave the population with a situation where they have to negotiate with them or submit.
 

GagHalfrunt

Lifer
Apr 19, 2001
25,297
2,001
126
Common sense implies causation. Make people desperate enough and you have given an extremist preacher an audience.

Common sense most definitely does not imply causation.

First, you're using the word "implies" wrong. And second, anyone using common sense would demand to see the testing methods and the sample size before INFERRING anything from an article like that.
 

J.Wilkins

Platinum Member
Jun 5, 2017
2,681
640
91
Common sense most definitely does not imply causation.

First, you're using the word "implies" wrong. And second, anyone using common sense would demand to see the testing methods and the sample size before INFERRING anything from an article like that.

First, I'm using the word semi correctly (common sense suggests/implies the cause) and second, it has nothing what so ever to do with any article. If you do what we did in Afghanistan and Iraq, bomb the shit out of their nations, destroy their homes and kill their family members and then leave them with the Islamist extremists they will become radialized.

Meanwhile, secularization flourishes in peaceful times as does the idea of liberal democracy. You can look at Iran or Afghanistan for an example of that.
 
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raildogg

Lifer
Aug 24, 2004
12,884
569
126
If there is anything that demonstrably proves that intervention of the USA in the Middle East does far more harm than good, this is it. One of Muslim countries that we did not drop bombs on and raze to the ground and look what is happening... You fight the war of ideas with words... not bombs.

http://mpc-journal.org/blog/2016/04/04/tsunami-of-atheism-in-iran/
The American and Western imperialists have been talking about how evil Iran is for a long, long time.

Since Israel has a lot of power and control over certain American politics, the supposed Iranian "threat" will continue to be pushed. Israel doesn't want any competitors in the Middle East. That's why Netanyahu has been going around the world to the major world leaders to convince them how "evil" Iran is.
 
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MovingTarget

Diamond Member
Jun 22, 2003
9,001
113
106
Hardly unexpected. The separation of church and state is beneficial for both church and state in the long run, regardless of the particular religion or government in question. When the two are intertwined, it de-legitimizes both.
 
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senseamp

Lifer
Feb 5, 2006
35,787
6,195
126
Iran is going to be a beacon of light in the region once the Islamic revolution is over. They have the culture and the human capital for it. Arab dictatorships are jealous, but their future is not very bright. No way they transition to modernity as well as Iran.
 
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raildogg

Lifer
Aug 24, 2004
12,884
569
126
Iran is going to be a beacon of light in the region once the Islamic revolution is over. They have the culture and the human capital for it. Arab dictatorships are jealous, but their future is not very bright. No way they transition to modernity as well as Iran.
Even if their future might be bright, certain interests in this world will always stir up trouble in that part of the world. It's been that way for a long time now.
 
Reactions: DarthKyrie
Sep 12, 2004
16,852
59
86
I doubt religion will ever go away, it's too central to the structure and meaning of many people's lives. And non-believers have far fewer children than believers and really hard-line believers have the most children of all.

But it's possible it will evolve into a more benign form. Non-believers need to be supportive of the gentler kind of believers, not act like they believe they are superior to them. Non-oppressive people of all faiths and none have to find the things they have in common against the headbanging narcissists who think they alone know exactly what God wants.
Religion will disappear eventually amongst the majority but it will take centuries to happen. Science cannot be denied. Will religion disappear completely? Never. There will always be those willing to take the easy way out because science and the universe, for some, can be difficult to comprehend. And those people will be the hard-core types.

Fortunately, their numbers are dwindling.
 

Oric

Senior member
Oct 11, 1999
888
61
91
Are there any news/studies about Israeli youth going atheist ? Please provide a link.
 

pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
13,273
8,198
136
Religion will disappear eventually amongst the majority but it will take centuries to happen. Science cannot be denied. Will religion disappear completely? Never. There will always be those willing to take the easy way out because science and the universe, for some, can be difficult to comprehend. And those people will be the hard-core types.

Fortunately, their numbers are dwindling.

I'm absolutely not a believer, and I struggle to avoid getting into arguments with those who are (at least on-line, it's far easier in real life, at least in a country where religious people aren't that fervent). But I really can't go all the way with Dawkins-style anti-theism. While I don't think religion is 'true', I don't think anyone can get through life without some beliefs that aren't strictly based on logic and evidence. We aren't Vulcans, we all have our sustaining delusions. I'm still going to confine my hopes to religion becoming less toxic. (And that's going to be a result of changes to sociological, economic, and political reality rather than arguing about abstract ideas)
 
Last edited:

bshole

Diamond Member
Mar 12, 2013
8,315
1,215
126
I'm absolutely not a believer, and I struggle to avoid getting into arguments with those who are (at least on-line, it's far easier in real life, at least in a country where religious people aren't that fervent). But I really can't go all the way with Dawkins-style anti-theism. While I don't think religion is 'true', I don't think anyone can get through life without some beliefs that aren't strictly based on logic and evidence. We aren't Vulcans, we all have our sustaining delusions. I'm still going to confine my hopes to religion becoming less toxic.

I bet there have been untold billions of "Darwins'" who destroyed the religious fantasies of billions of worlds throughout the universe. This has to be the process for intelligent life. We need knowledge and are unable to obtain so we invent it with religion. Eventually we discover how to acquire knowledge and in doing so destroy religion.
 

ch33zw1z

Lifer
Nov 4, 2004
37,989
18,333
146
Religion will disappear eventually amongst the majority but it will take centuries to happen. Science cannot be denied. Will religion disappear completely? Never. There will always be those willing to take the easy way out because science and the universe, for some, can be difficult to comprehend. And those people will be the hard-core types.

Fortunately, their numbers are dwindling.

Believers can humbly take a back seat, and await whatever end time scenario they subscribe to.

Heck, I even want them to have healthcare, and productive happy lives.

I have no problem with that. What we are seeing right now is not that.
 
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