But they are positioning FX-6100 series vs. 2500k. There is no way FX-4170 will be able to compete with 2500k. I am pretty sure FX-4170 will be aimed against lower end i3-2120/2130 CPUs to take over X4 980 positioning. FX-4170 would be a great alternative to 2C/4T i3s.
They wouldn't need to. The Phenom II X4 965 already competes nicely with the Core i3 2120, and the 970 with the 2130. But then again, if you remember earlier news, AMD will be releasing an A8-3870 Black Edition. The A8-3850 is already a good match for the Core i3 2100, so I can see it being a good fight. AMD is supposed to introduce some IGP-less Llanos to make all their products 32nm at last.
Llano is at least 50% slower in IPC vs. SB. Intel G840 2 cores 2.8ghz is almost as fast as a 4 Core Llano A8-3650 2.6ghz!! 2500k 3.3ghz is 66% faster than A8-3850 2.9ghz. Even if you adjust for clock speeds, SB is again at least 50% faster.
This again. Testing in multi-threaded applications skews the results. Again, 39% higher IPC from Sandy Bridge in comparison to Deneb/Thuban. In comparison to Llano, around 35%.
AMD is definitely well behind in this metric, though. They need all the IPC increase they can get.
8 core vs. 4 core? Obviously. An overclocked X6 1100T can't even beat an overclocked 2500k in rendering, video encoding, encrypting despite having 2 more cores. So if you add 2 more cores on top of the X6, even with the same IPC of Phenom II (worst case scenario), it will easily beat Intel's 4 core SB in multi-threaded apps.
A Phenom II X6 1055T will overclock to 4GHz on average and it costs $150. A Core i5 2500K will overclock to 4.5GHz on average and it costs $220. We know that in encoding, 3D rendering, and content creation it matches or beats slightly the Core i5 both at the same clock speed. Given that, it should be 10-15% slower both OCed to their average on multi-threaded applications. Not bad considering it costs 45% less, if you ask me.
But BD isn't just supposed to be competitive for the next 6 months. This architecture is supposed to be 2-3 years forward looking. So what's going to happen once Intel eventually launches 6 core Sandy/IB processors at $300 in 2-3 years? Is AMD going to give us a 10-12 core CPU then? If they keep neglecting IPC, eventually they'll be relegated to <Sub $200 and lower price levels as IB brings way higher clock speeds. Doesn't sound promising.
They'll continue trading multi-threaded performance for single-threaded, then. I wouldn't call Intel a winner simply because they have higher single-threaded performance. If AMD delivers much higher multi-threaded performance I'd rather go that route, as long as IPC is increased to near Nehalem levels.