Fudzilla: New AMD Zen APU boasts up to 16 cores (plus Greenland GPU with HBM)

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Mar 10, 2006
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I thought that slide was talking about the markets as a whole, not AMD's slice of them? (Didn't listen to the talks, so could be wrong)

Nah, that's for AMD. Talking about op margin for the underlying markets isn't really useful as this number would be unique per company.
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
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They arent just bowing out of ultramobile. They are pretty much abandoning the entire cpu market to intel except for HEDT and servers, which is the only place I see for gpu-less Zen. Does anybody seriously think amd can keep refreshing the same APUs that are getting slaughtered already by intel, while intel brings out Broadwell, Skylake, and probably Cannonlake before any Zen apus come out, and still maintain any semblance of competitiveness. Honestly this roadmap is bad, bad news, almost worst possible case bad news, and it is still being spun into a positive.

Yep, they sure are. What else can they do? I can imagine the executive warroom, peeps be looking to the left at core-m at 4.5watts, screw that, looking to the right at HPC, still ef'ed but not impossible. So here goes nothing.
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
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I thought that slide was talking about the markets as a whole, not AMD's slice of them? (Didn't listen to the talks, so could be wrong)

Nope, it's for AMD. FWIW despite all the talk about Zen they don't think their revenue with it will grow on the consumer market, and Excavator/Beema already set a pretty low bar for it.
 

Vesku

Diamond Member
Aug 25, 2005
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Lisa Su was heavily pushing the "become a design house" strategy before being appointed CEO. While it may reduce their exposure to being compared directly to Intel by OEMs it won't magically fix the management and structural issues AMD has. Even then it looks like Intel is eyeing that space as conventional PC and laptop market appears to have reached a peak. The AMD slides show this retrenching into custom designs is still their main survival plan.

The +40% IPC of Zen while nice to see is a bit dampened if they are departing from the CMT concept as that's a low hanging 10-20% IPC in exchange for some die space. At least they seem to be putting resources into improving their cache configuration. I don't think I've ever seen that much of an acknowledgement of "we really should have put more effort into this sooner" from AMD slides.
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
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Lisa Su was heavily pushing the "become a design house" strategy before being appointed CEO. While it may reduce their exposure to being compared directly to Intel by OEMs it won't magically fix the management and structural issues AMD has. Even then it looks like Intel is eyeing that space as conventional PC and laptop market appears to have reached a peak. The AMD slides show this retrenching into custom designs is still their main survival plan.

Nope, it's quite the opposite. The semi-custom area is now rated as a mild growth area. Big growth comes from GPUs and servers. Servers they come from a very low base, but I'm wondering whether they are serious about taking on Nvidia. They already proved that they can't build a healthy CPU business, but there is no reason to not be able to follow Nvidia's lead and build a healthy GPU business.
 

JoeRambo

Golden Member
Jun 13, 2013
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Really ?? so an 85W TDP Opteron will cost more to cool than a 95W TDP Intel XEON ???

Didnt know that

If those 85w Opterons are so good, then why we can't find them in data centers? Put it simple, Intel has amazing perf/watt and great perf density. So that is whu AMD has currently zero presence in the minds of decision makers.
 

Vesku

Diamond Member
Aug 25, 2005
3,743
28
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Nope, it's quite the opposite. The semi-custom area is now rated as a mild growth area. Big growth comes from GPUs and servers. Servers they come from a very low base, but I'm wondering whether they are serious about taking on Nvidia. They already proved that they can't build a healthy CPU business, but there is no reason to not be able to follow Nvidia's lead and build a healthy GPU business.

My understanding was AMD and others expect a good chunk of the server market growth to be in semi-custom designs. Hence Intel's public statements to being open to more extensive custom deals as well as their partnership with Altera.
 
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mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
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My understanding was AMD and others expect a good chunk of the server market growth to be in semi-custom designs. I don't see how their estimates of semi-custom business replacing lost revenue from their traditional sources would pencil out without including the server/cloud/datacenter market.

AFAIK their semi-custom offers will be placed on the semi-custom basket despite of what market they are serving, while their off-the-shelf server offers will go to the server basket.
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
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If those 85w Opterons are so good, then why we can't find them in data centers? Put it simple, Intel has amazing perf/watt and great perf density. So that is whu AMD has currently zero presence in the minds of decision makers.

Putting Opteron in a datacenter is the quickest way to get yourself fired.
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
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If those 85w Opterons are so good, then why we can't find them in data centers? Put it simple, Intel has amazing perf/watt and great perf density. So that is whu AMD has currently zero presence in the minds of decision makers.

Did you see me talking about performance or perf/watt here except cost of cooling a single CPU ??? What mrmt was saying was pure BS, he has no idea about cooling a cpu.
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
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Putting Opteron in a datacenter is the quickest way to get yourself fired.

You better stop now while you can still walk away,

http://www.moorinsightsstrategy.com/whos-processors-are-used-in-the-giant-verizon-cloud/

The answer is both, we are using the Intel Xeon class processors and a bunch of our infrastructure is using the Intel. Recently we switched to AMD Opterons, and as you wonder why, one of the things we are looking for is increasing the memory per host and the Opterons allow us in a single socket configuration to address more memory, and so all of the new deployments we are putting out there are carrying 64GB per host and the 8-core Opteron processors.
 

ShintaiDK

Lifer
Apr 22, 2012
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Verizon is your only argument. And they did it solely for memory.

There is a reason why AMDs server share is essentially 0. And AMD will try to "re-enter" the segment with Zen.

Even AMD says your favourite CPU of today is a complete failure.
 

R0H1T

Platinum Member
Jan 12, 2013
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Verizon is your only argument. And they did it solely for memory.

There is a reason why AMDs server share is essentially 0. And AMD will try to "re-enter" the segment with Zen.

Even AMD says your favourite CPU of today is a complete failure.
Probably because they're still at 32nm or do any of you deny that? Also Intel's process lead will shrink to zero sometime in 2016 when Zen launches, if 14nm is anything to go by then Cannonlake will not be the home run that everyone is expecting it to be & that gives AMD a good 6~12 months to try & rebuild some bridges in the server & semi-custom markets.
 

ShintaiDK

Lifer
Apr 22, 2012
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Probably because they're still at 32nm or do any of you deny that? Also Intel's process lead will shrink to zero sometime in 2016 when Zen launches, if 14nm is anything to go by then Cannonlake will not be the home run that everyone is expecting it to be & that gives AMD a good 6~12 months to try & rebuild some bridges in the server & semi-custom markets.

SB is also 32nm and killed of any hope for AMD they had left after Nehalem/Westmere.
 

R0H1T

Platinum Member
Jan 12, 2013
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SB is also 32nm and killed of any hope for AMD they had left after Nehalem/Westmere.
This is all water under the bridge, you're basically equating the worst phase in AMD's (recent) history to that of the start of Intel's domination of the server market. Hell even an Excavator based 28nm Opteron would give a good fight to the SB Xeons at the low end, perf/$ mostly since I can't extrapolate power usage based on pure conjecture, but that would require a tonne of (R&D) money for very little ROI.
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
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Probably because they're still at 32nm or do any of you deny that? Also Intel's process lead will shrink to zero sometime in 2016 when Zen launches, if 14nm is anything to go by then Cannonlake will not be the home run that everyone is expecting it to be & that gives AMD a good 6~12 months to try & rebuild some bridges in the server & semi-custom markets.

32mm certainly makes things worse for AMD, but it was SNB-EP that wiped out AMD server business, and AMD was on the same node back then. The node is just part of the issue, the gap in performance/watt is what matters, and even small differences on the server market can have devastating effects on the NPV of a given processor, and that's why SNB-EP mopped the floor with Bulldozer servers, even if the advantage at the time wasn't nowhere near of what it is today.
 

R0H1T

Platinum Member
Jan 12, 2013
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32mm certainly makes things worse for AMD, but it was SNB-EP that wiped out AMD server business, and AMD was on the same node back then. The node is just part of the issue, the gap in performance/watt is what matters, and even small differences on the server market can have devastating effects on the NPV of a given processor, and that's why SNB-EP mopped the floor with Bulldozer servers, even if the advantage at the time wasn't nowhere near of what it is today.
Two things here, see my post above for reference, the perf/$ wasn't competitive when BD launched & perf/watt was abysmal. The fact that it was a delayed launch made it a losing battle for AMD, one that they'd never win.

If BD launched circa 2009/10 & then was improved upon till Excavator, say in 2013, it would've given AMD something to work with. The lack of (relative) performance as compared to the competition, SB at that time, is what killed it in the server space & the perf/watt goof up was the cherry on top.

With Zen, if what they say is true, they'll get some much needed perf & efficiency boost to counter the Xeon juggernaut. It's not like Intel is the choice of many businesses that employ those chips, I'd argue it's because it's the only choice & that's where AMD can hit hard & fight back for everyone's sake.
 

Enigmoid

Platinum Member
Sep 27, 2012
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No it doesn't, especially not when Intel will be on 10nm (likely delayed as well) as perf/$ also matters, quite a lot in fact. If they can deliver ~80% of Xeon E7's perf at a similar TDP, probably ~90% as efficient, whilst costing only ~60% as much I believe they will have a winner with Zen. The Intel server margins are egregious & small & medium sized firms would like to avoid that price premium upfront as & when they upgrade their systems.

You think it's easy to maintain profitability when you're essentially paying double for hardware that could cost far less when bought from another competitor, AMD in this case ? The likes of FB, Google, Twitter, MS, Amazon don't care much about the cost of their hardware because they have an even higher margin (being software/services firm) than Intel & with the truckload of server farms they have efficiency is paramount to their cause, as for the rest they can certainly do with something ~10% less efficient but costing only two thirds

Actually that looks like a looser. The Xeon performs 25% better meaning you can get away with 25% less servers completely erasing any cost advantage on the CPU. The infrastructure cost (floor space, RAM, mobo, storage, software) compounded by the 11% higher power usage means you would be pretty dumb to go with the opteron unless there was some other reason.

Really ?? so an 85W TDP Opteron will cost more to cool than a 95W TDP Intel XEON ???

Didnt know that

No but that fact that you need two to match the xeon will.

Without a performance and/or power context, perf/watt is only a marketing metric.

Example, We need a server that can produce 100fps

Server A performance = 100fps
Server A power = 200W

Server A perf/watt = 0.5
----------------
Server B performance = 80 fps
Server B power = 80W

Server B perf/watt = 1
Server B has double the perf/watt than Server A but server B doesnt fulfill the performance guidelines.

Yep, a lot of tasks have a minimum performance threshold (webservers for instance) if it takes too long to perform the task it doesn't matter how cheap or power efficient it is (barring extremes).
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
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This is all water under the bridge, you're basically equating the worst phase in AMD's (recent) history to that of the start of Intel's domination of the server market. Hell even an Excavator based 28nm Opteron would give a good fight to the SB Xeons at the low end, perf/$ mostly since I can't extrapolate power usage based on pure conjecture, but that would require a tonne of (R&D) money for very little ROI.

perf/$ is irrelevant, at least when the $ part is restricted to acquisition costs. That's why AMD didn't even bother to launch excavator on the server market. The CMT family was a real unmitigated failure on this one.
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
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If BD launched circa 2009/10 & then was improved upon till Excavator, say in 2013, it would've given AMD something to work with. The lack of (relative) performance as compared to the competition, SB at that time, is what killed it in the server space & the perf/watt goof up was the cherry on top.

I don't think you are recalling the things correctly.

- Bulldozer didn't compete with Sandy Bridge at the time of its launch, but with Westmere. Only two quarters after Bulldozer was launched SNB-EP arrived, and AMD still lost share to Westmere-EP with Bulldozer.

- Bulldozer wasn't launched in 2009 because the 45nm Bulldozer sucked so hard that it couldn't even beat Thuban, so AMD canned the thing and went to the 32nm shrink. We can only wonder how bad that chip was.

- Raw performance wasn't the real issue when Bulldozer was compared to Sandy Bridge, it wasn't an order of magnitude different like it is today. In fact, Intel sold plenty of server SKUs with the same raw performance levels of Bulldozer SKUs, but with *much* improved perf/watt.
 

R0H1T

Platinum Member
Jan 12, 2013
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Actually that looks like a looser. The Xeon performs 25% better meaning you can get away with 25% less servers completely erasing any cost advantage on the CPU. The infrastructure cost (floor space, RAM, mobo, storage, software) compounded by the 11% higher power usage means you would be pretty dumb to go with the opteron unless there was some other reason.
So paying ~70% more for ~25% more perf, btw only ~12% more efficient, is good economics for you? Glad you don't advise small businesses cause that is an unmitigated disaster of epic proportions. Also I mentioned performance relative to a single core Xeon (obviously) & we don't know how many cores the top Zen SKU will be equipped with. Even after disregarding my other worldly predictions for the Zen there's no way any small or medium business is going to dole out even 50% more for a chip that performs only 25% better, that doesn't work & at least not in my part of the world.
perf/$ is irrelevant, at least when the $ part is restricted to acquisition costs. That's why AMD didn't even bother to launch excavator on the server market. The CMT family was a real unmitigated failure on this one.
Is that irrelevant for everyone that buys a Xeon or only those firms where the cooling costs exceed the hardware (server) costs? If that's a market AMD can exploit then that is where they can succeed & surely that must equal something like ~20% of the current market where Xeon operates.
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
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Is that irrelevant for everyone that buys a Xeon or only those firms where the cooling costs exceed the hardware (server) costs? If that's a market AMD can exploit then that is where they can succeed & surely that must equal something like ~20% of the current market where Xeon operates.

It is irrelevant for every single datacenter out there, including the high growth cloud business. Now if we are talking about SMBs with a very small and simple server infrastructure, then upfront costs take some precedence. I think AMD is targeting this type of market, which is not very small by any standards, and that also helps to explain the low margin profile that AMD is forecasting in their long term. On a sidenote this is exactly the type of business the cloud service providers want to capture and they can offer a much better value proposition for SMBs, that's why I wouldn't have much hopes for Zen.
 

Phynaz

Lifer
Mar 13, 2006
10,140
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So paying ~70% more for ~25% more perf, btw only ~12% more efficient, is good economics for you? Glad you don't advise small businesses cause that is an unmitigated disaster of epic proportions. Also I mentioned performance relative to a single core Xeon (obviously) & we don't know how many cores the top Zen SKU will be equipped with. Even after disregarding my other worldly predictions for the Zen there's no way any small or medium business is going to dole out even 50% more for a chip that performs only 25% better, that doesn't work & at least not in my part of the world.Is that irrelevant for everyone that buys a Xeon or only those firms where the cooling costs exceed the hardware (server) costs? If that's a market AMD can exploit then that is where they can succeed & surely that must equal something like ~20% of the current market where Xeon operates.

If your position was correct, AMD would have greater than the 1.5% market share in the server space they currently have.
 
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