Full House vote on impeachment inquiry rules to be held Thursday

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JEDIYoda

Lifer
Jul 13, 2005
33,982
3,318
126
Passing Impeachment in the Senate requires two thirds. So... 66 or 67 Senators have to support impeachment. I haven't found the exact number yet.

When is the last time a single party had that many Senators? It is not possible to impeach without the President's own party at least partially in agreement.

True, but did you know that what you are quoting is only part of the truth?
I heard a Republican last night night state that was not entirely accurate. It takes 2/3 rds of how ever many are in attendance at any given time.....so hypothetically speaking Trump very well could be impeached by the senate if for some reason a lot of Republican senators were to all of a sudden not show....
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,821
29,574
146
If it's an incumbent the person you're voting for thinks the president should be able to weaponize the country's foreign policy against whoever might run against him. Is that the side you want to be on?

Can I answer for them?
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,821
29,574
146
That's one way to look at the goings on during his admin. Looks like Barr is about to set the record straight on Obama's scandal free reign.

I'll file this under "Easily observable bullshit that you will never return to for an update, let alone a simple explanation as to what in this galaxy that you could possibly be referring to."
 
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z1ggy

Lifer
May 17, 2008
10,004
63
91
Have you considered a third option, that months of exposure for criminal activity hurts Trump instead of helping him, even if he isn't convicted?

I don't buy the 'it will fire up his base' argument as they are turning out anyway. I remember the same argument happened before the 2018 elections and, well, his base DID turn out and Republicans got slaughtered anyway. What's important is how the rest of the country takes it and my bet is that it's not a positive for Trump even if he isn't convicted.



Yeah but what happened in the 2000 election after that?
In an ideal world, yes all this "bad publicity" works against Trump but then again... how the hell did he even become President anyway? He's had literal non stop bad publicity since before the elections because he is an absolute garbage human, yet... here he is. He and his campaign are MASTERS are turning bad things that they do, and flipping it around on their accusers. He basically embraced the whole "grab her by the pussy" line and it turned out to have 0 effect on him ultimately becoming President. And we all thought that was the end.

I just feel like it's every time something "big" comes up that's going to sink his ship, and it doesn't. The Mueller probe was supposed to be this big giant thing that took him and his crew down, but... it's not even being considered for the inquiry as far as I've seen.

The Right and Trump are experts are dividing us up It's left vs right, me vs him, socialism vs freedom, so on and so on. Using history to try and predict the future doesn't always work that great. If it did, I'd be a billionaire from making crazy gains off stock options or something. Just because impeachments didn't turn out well for other POTUS' doesn't mean it will hurt Trump. He's a totally different animal and we are living in a totally different day and age. I want him gone as much as the next (non trumper) person, but I'm just worried that in some kind of wacky way, this actually will end up empowering him.
 

nOOky

Platinum Member
Aug 17, 2004
2,900
1,919
136
Meh. It's always all about money. If trump gets impeached in the house, but the Senate doesn't vote to remove then he has a great chance at another 4 years. The only real chance he's out is if the economy goes south, and his trade war and horrible policies are to blame. If the overall state of the economy and unemployment remains stable we're screwed for another term. This isn't my wish, it's just what likely could happen imho.
 

HomerJS

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
36,289
28,144
136
In an ideal world, yes all this "bad publicity" works against Trump but then again... how the hell did he even become President anyway? He's had literal non stop bad publicity since before the elections because he is an absolute garbage human, yet... here he is. He and his campaign are MASTERS are turning bad things that they do, and flipping it around on their accusers. He basically embraced the whole "grab her by the pussy" line and it turned out to have 0 effect on him ultimately becoming President. And we all thought that was the end.

I just feel like it's every time something "big" comes up that's going to sink his ship, and it doesn't. The Mueller probe was supposed to be this big giant thing that took him and his crew down, but... it's not even being considered for the inquiry as far as I've seen.

The Right and Trump are experts are dividing us up It's left vs right, me vs him, socialism vs freedom, so on and so on. Using history to try and predict the future doesn't always work that great. If it did, I'd be a billionaire from making crazy gains off stock options or something. Just because impeachments didn't turn out well for other POTUS' doesn't mean it will hurt Trump. He's a totally different animal and we are living in a totally different day and age. I want him gone as much as the next (non trumper) person, but I'm just worried that in some kind of wacky way, this actually will end up empowering him.
When in doubt do the right thing. 65% of the country knows what that is. I blame the deplorables more then Trump because it should never have happened. His scam was very easy to spot. His people voted for evil just to get a win.
 

akenbennu

Senior member
Jul 24, 2005
686
264
136
In an ideal world, yes all this "bad publicity" works against Trump but then again... how the hell did he even become President anyway? He's had literal non stop bad publicity since before the elections because he is an absolute garbage human, yet... here he is. He and his campaign are MASTERS are turning bad things that they do, and flipping it around on their accusers. He basically embraced the whole "grab her by the pussy" line and it turned out to have 0 effect on him ultimately becoming President. And we all thought that was the end.

I just feel like it's every time something "big" comes up that's going to sink his ship, and it doesn't. The Mueller probe was supposed to be this big giant thing that took him and his crew down, but... it's not even being considered for the inquiry as far as I've seen.

The Right and Trump are experts are dividing us up It's left vs right, me vs him, socialism vs freedom, so on and so on. Using history to try and predict the future doesn't always work that great. If it did, I'd be a billionaire from making crazy gains off stock options or something. Just because impeachments didn't turn out well for other POTUS' doesn't mean it will hurt Trump. He's a totally different animal and we are living in a totally different day and age. I want him gone as much as the next (non trumper) person, but I'm just worried that in some kind of wacky way, this actually will end up empowering him.

I'm hoping the 2016 election was a case of candidates no one really cared for and Dems wil actually come out and support whoever the nominee whoever it turns out to be.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
In an ideal world, yes all this "bad publicity" works against Trump but then again... how the hell did he even become President anyway? He's had literal non stop bad publicity since before the elections because he is an absolute garbage human, yet... here he is. He and his campaign are MASTERS are turning bad things that they do, and flipping it around on their accusers. He basically embraced the whole "grab her by the pussy" line and it turned out to have 0 effect on him ultimately becoming President. And we all thought that was the end.

I mean he's the most enduringly unpopular president in history and in election matchups he's currently losing by basically double digits to all his likely challengers. That seems bad!

I just feel like it's every time something "big" comes up that's going to sink his ship, and it doesn't. The Mueller probe was supposed to be this big giant thing that took him and his crew down, but... it's not even being considered for the inquiry as far as I've seen.

It is part of the inquiry.

The Right and Trump are experts are dividing us up It's left vs right, me vs him, socialism vs freedom, so on and so on. Using history to try and predict the future doesn't always work that great. If it did, I'd be a billionaire from making crazy gains off stock options or something. Just because impeachments didn't turn out well for other POTUS' doesn't mean it will hurt Trump. He's a totally different animal and we are living in a totally different day and age. I want him gone as much as the next (non trumper) person, but I'm just worried that in some kind of wacky way, this actually will end up empowering him.

I mean it's certainly possible as there's no way to know the future I just don't think it's particularly likely. All in all nationally televised hearings for months about how you are a criminal are probably bad.
 

woolfe9998

Lifer
Apr 8, 2013
16,189
14,102
136
All in all nationally televised hearings for months about how you are a criminal are probably bad.

Hey, maybe the GOP should have thought of that before they started complaining about everything happening behind closed doors. Doh!

That being said, I get where z1ggy is coming from here. Trump really has endured a metric crap-ton of negative publicity starting during the campaign and continuing on and on during his presidency but he just keeps on ticking.

I hope those head to head polls actually mean something this time. They showed Clinton ahead of Trump in 2016.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Passing Impeachment in the Senate requires two thirds. So... 66 or 67 Senators have to support impeachment. I haven't found the exact number yet.

When is the last time a single party had that many Senators? It is not possible to impeach without the President's own party at least partially in agreement.

It's 2/3 of those present for the vote, so 67 if they all show.
 

z1ggy

Lifer
May 17, 2008
10,004
63
91
I mean he's the most enduringly unpopular president in history and in election matchups he's currently losing by basically double digits to all his likely challengers. That seems bad!



It is part of the inquiry.



I mean it's certainly possible as there's no way to know the future I just don't think it's particularly likely. All in all nationally televised hearings for months about how you are a criminal are probably bad.
I thought Pelosi specifically said it was only basing the inquiry proceedings on the Ukraine scandal?

Also, I just did a fast google search for polls about impeachment. Honestly I have no idea if this site is using legit data or what, but... if I just take this at face value, it's still about a 50/50 split as far as the country goes about if Trump should be removed, and only 10% of R's think he should be removed. Sample size doesn't seem massive for these polls and I have no idea how they were conducted. I've never heard of these pollsters before but it's all I had time to look at real fast.


It will be interesting to see how the opinions change, especially as you say if these hearings go full public. Most R's I know (like my Dad) bury their heads in the sand with typical right wing propaganda, so they may not hear the full story. All I know is that we have never been more politically divided as a country right now (at least for my generation) and I just hope whatever the case may be, this nightmare ends at the end of 2020.
 

Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
10,455
7,067
136
Meh. It's always all about money. If trump gets impeached in the house, but the Senate doesn't vote to remove then he has a great chance at another 4 years. The only real chance he's out is if the economy goes south, and his trade war and horrible policies are to blame. If the overall state of the economy and unemployment remains stable we're screwed for another term. This isn't my wish, it's just what likely could happen imho.

Have you seen his numbers in swing states?

He won by 0.3% in 3 swing states because people didn't like Hillary and didn't think he would win.

He got crushed in 2018 based on running anti-immigration.

What's the plan for 2020? Witchhunt?
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
Hey, maybe the GOP should have thought of that before they started complaining about everything happening behind closed doors. Doh!

That being said, I get where z1ggy is coming from here. Trump really has endured a metric crap-ton of negative publicity starting during the campaign and continuing on and on during his presidency but he just keeps on ticking.

I hope those head to head polls actually mean something this time. They showed Clinton ahead of Trump in 2016.

I don't think they are particularly meaningful at this stage but it's what we have to go on and it doesn't look good for him. I think the most meaningful thing we know at the moment is that in the 2016 election independents broke massively for Trump and now he is extremely unpopular among them. Considering his entire margin of victory was about 0.5% he can't afford to lose anyone, much less independents to such a large extent.

As far as the publicity goes I'm not so sure about that. I think he got a lot of bad publicity but one of the big problems is that he DIDN'T get more bad publicity than his opponent. That's one of the things I'm most worried about in 2020 is that the media hasn't learned the lesson of 2016 where they seemed to think that 'balance' meant reporting negatively on both candidates equally instead of reporting based on the information available.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
I thought Pelosi specifically said it was only basing the inquiry proceedings on the Ukraine scandal?

Also, I just did a fast google search for polls about impeachment. Honestly I have no idea if this site is using legit data or what, but... if I just take this at face value, it's still about a 50/50 split as far as the country goes about if Trump should be removed, and only 10% of R's think he should be removed. Sample size doesn't seem massive for these polls and I have no idea how they were conducted. I've never heard of these pollsters before but it's all I had time to look at real fast.


It will be interesting to see how the opinions change, especially as you say if these hearings go full public. Most R's I know (like my Dad) bury their heads in the sand with typical right wing propaganda, so they may not hear the full story. All I know is that we have never been more politically divided as a country right now (at least for my generation) and I just hope whatever the case may be, this nightmare ends at the end of 2020.

I don't think the hearings will massively change public opinion although I would love to be wrong about that. We don't really need that much of a shift though as like I said Trump won by about the narrowest margin possible. Even a tiny loss of support likely dooms him.
 

interchange

Diamond Member
Oct 10, 1999
8,022
2,872
136
I think the majority of people on either side haven't had an actual look at the evidence. Technically, no one aside from committee members has, but I'm referring to what has been publicly reported on. When we receive these things piecemeal, unless you have a genuine sustained interest in it, you tend not to remember any details and form clear impressions without even realizing a deficit in where those impressions come from.

Ideally, the public will be able to hear a cohesive narrative from start to finish elucidating the allegations and the underlying evidence which may substantiate those allegations. The public won't generally commit that evidence to memory, but I feel there are a lot of folks currently defending Trump with no real idea why who would have trouble countering that narrative.

I would allow any presentation of exculpatory evidence or alternate theory of events which does not fit the presented narrative, although technically in corollary to a criminal proceeding that manner of defense is supposed to happen at trial (Senate). The House's job is to determine whether cause exists to go to trial, and that's all about what the prosecution presents. Technically, after the investigatory phase has concluded, if they have enough to feel pursuing charges is warranted, they shouldn't be looking for exculpatory evidence anyway. If the House were doing their job objectively, they should want to keep everything private and out of the hands of anyone who might seek to exonerate Trump.
 

ewdotson

Golden Member
Oct 30, 2011
1,295
1,520
136
I don't think the hearings will massively change public opinion although I would love to be wrong about that. We don't really need that much of a shift though as like I said Trump won by about the narrowest margin possible. Even a tiny loss of support likely dooms him.
And I think it's worth emphasizing that unless it's by so much that conviction in the Senate becomes a real possibility, changes of support probably matter less than changes in voter turnout. Of course, I think it's an open question who will be motivated and who will be depressed come election day.
 

ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
32,345
15,156
136
And I think it's worth emphasizing that unless it's by so much that conviction in the Senate becomes a real possibility, changes of support probably matter less than changes in voter turnout. Of course, I think it's an open question who will be motivated and who will be depressed come election day.

If you don’t like trump, would you be more or less likely to get out and vote if the impeachment vote fails along party lines?
 

ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
32,345
15,156
136
Something from Chauncey De Vega that we can pretty much all agree with:


Trump and his allies and supporters live in an imaginary realm that is “the direct opposite of the truth.”

The Democratic Party, instead of resisting at every step, has allowed itself to be dragged ever farther to the right because of its obsession with being "moderate" and “centrist” in order to win back the fabled “white working class” which has moved toward the Republicans. This has been a decades-long fool’s errand.

That’s why Democrat’s should always run on doing what’s right and what’s good policy as opposed to who’s more progressive or more liberal.

Good policy doesn’t care about ideology.
 
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Indus

Lifer
May 11, 2002
10,455
7,067
136
That’s why Democrat’s should always run on doing what’s right and what’s good policy as opposed to who’s more progressive or more liberal.

Good policy doesn’t care about ideology.

But we're in a period where people don't care about good policy, they care about wrecking the system because capitalism isn't working.
 
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ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
32,345
15,156
136
But we're in a period where people don't care about good policy, they care about wrecking the system because capitalism isn't working.

Then they should highlight that. “Vote for me because the other choice is to burn it all down and let me explain how that will negatively impact you”.

Would you hire someone who hates the very thing you are hiring them for?
 
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Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
72,722
6,201
126
What's interesting about these arguments is that none of them address the actual substance of the allegations here. Now of course we know why that is, because the substance is damning, but it's still interesting. Even if the Democrats had devoted 100% of their energies to finding something to impeach Trump on that doesn't change the fact that, well, they found one.

It's also depressing because this line of defense indicates that Republicans know what Trump did is indefensible on the facts but instead of helping to remove him from office they've decided to defend him anyway because he's on the team.
Yes but imagine being so frightened to face reality that you can actually find fault with those who made just that discovery, as if just the will to see criminal activity was itself a sin of some mysterious kind. Their detachment from reality is extreme and they don't even see it.
 
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