Game Day Thread: Iowa Caucuses

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Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Already explained, and not a difficult concept to grasp:

So what? The votes were already cast. It's absurd to claim that any information released after the fact could change the outcome. It's obvious that there was no clear winner in Iowa although there were obvious losers.
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,659
12,782
146
So the knowledge that the outcome was preordained suppressed only Sanders' turnout? Why wouldn't it suppress both? Also, why was he always losing in the polling as well? Did the superdelegates make people not want to tell pollsters they preferred him too? lol.

It's frankly just funny at this point watching you guys spin up ludicrous theories as to why Sanders didn't lose because fewer Democrats wanted him to be the nominee. Surely it must be anything other than he lost because millions and millions more people wanted Clinton to win.
It's possible he would have lost the primary anyhow, but pre-announcing any kind of 'winner' is just trash, it taints decision making. Literally no winners should be announced for any state prior to all votes being collected.
 

Blackjack200

Lifer
May 28, 2007
15,995
1,685
126
So the knowledge that the outcome was preordained suppressed only Sanders' turnout? Why wouldn't it suppress both? Also, why was he always losing in the polling as well? Did the superdelegates make people not want to tell pollsters they preferred him too? lol.

It's frankly just funny at this point watching you guys spin up ludicrous theories as to why Sanders didn't lose because fewer Democrats wanted him to be the nominee. Surely it must be anything other than he lost because millions and millions more people wanted Clinton to win.

Just going to sit there like a fucking imbecile and pretend that the energy of a winning campaign doesn't matter, that people don't make up their minds at that last minute, favor stronger candidates, or are more likely to vote if they believe their preferred candidate is winning.
 

Blackjack200

Lifer
May 28, 2007
15,995
1,685
126
It's possible he would have lost the primary anyhow, but pre-announcing any kind of 'winner' is just trash, it taints decision making. Literally no winners should be announced for any state prior to all votes being collected.

This is obvious to everyone, a basic concept, and not even really disputed any more. I like how Bernie Bros have the shit reputation but it's cool to gaslight people about how there was nothing wrong with the 2016 process. People like fskimospy are really no better than Trump supporters.
 

ewdotson

Golden Member
Oct 30, 2011
1,295
1,520
136
The rules were created so that the party establishment could override the voters. The superdelegates came out in support of Clinton early and that depressed turnout in the rest of the primary since it created a mountain that was essentially impossible for Sanders to climb. At this point anyone that pretends to not understand this is not arguing in good faith.
It's funny how the superdelegates coming out early for Clinton in 2008 didn't stop Obama.
 
Reactions: Zorba and ivwshane

Blackjack200

Lifer
May 28, 2007
15,995
1,685
126
So what? The votes were already cast. It's absurd to claim that any information released after the fact could change the outcome. It's obvious that there was no clear winner in Iowa although there were obvious losers.

Already explained. Go huff some paint.
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,659
12,782
146
People like fskimospy are really no better than Trump supporters.
I'd argue with this, there's a difference between not thinking critically and willfully ignorant sycophant. Now we could argue which one @fskimospy falls into I guess, but I'd consider them to be in the former, not the latter.
 

Zorba

Lifer
Oct 22, 1999
14,875
10,300
136
That's not the point. It's the content of the interview.
I didn't watch Tulsi on Hannity, and don't believe I ever commented on it. But from my understanding she was agreeing with him on many point. Wallace, however, interviewed candidates, not trying to get them to undermine other democrats.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
It's possible he would have lost the primary anyhow, but pre-announcing any kind of 'winner' is just trash, it taints decision making. Literally no winners should be announced for any state prior to all votes being collected.

I genuinely have no idea what you’re talking about.
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,659
12,782
146
I genuinely have no idea what you’re talking about.
What I mean is, primaries should be a nation-wide vote, followed by nation-wide announcement, nothing beyond 3rd party polling permitted beforehand. No states announcing winners in their realm before all primary votes are cast.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Just going to sit there like a fucking imbecile and pretend that the energy of a winning campaign doesn't matter, that people don't make up their minds at that last minute, favor stronger candidates, or are more likely to vote if they believe their preferred candidate is winning.

Like I said it’s just funny now how the reason why Bernie lost the primary by millions and was losing in every poll was because of every reason other than that fewer people wanted him to win, haha.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
What I mean is, primaries should be a nation-wide vote, followed by nation-wide announcement, nothing beyond 3rd party polling permitted beforehand. No states announcing winners in their realm before all primary votes are cast.

While I would support a national primary the evidence strongly suggests Clinton would have won that handily too.
 

ewdotson

Golden Member
Oct 30, 2011
1,295
1,520
136
What I mean is, primaries should be a nation-wide vote, followed by nation-wide announcement, nothing beyond 3rd party polling permitted beforehand. No states announcing winners in their realm before all primary votes are cast.
That would be great. Unfortunately, it's another of the long list of things that would fairly obviously improve things but will never happen.
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,659
12,782
146
While I would support a national primary the evidence strongly suggests Clinton would have won that handily too.
And that's fine, I have no issue with the winner being the winner, I just take issue with anything interfering with an individual's choice in the matter, to include things that could easily be argued as social engineering or mental manipulation.

I'd consider pre-announcement of winners in another state prior to a given person voting in theirs to be both.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
The rules were created so that the party establishment could override the voters. The superdelegates came out in support of Clinton early and that depressed turnout in the rest of the primary since it created a mountain that was essentially impossible for Sanders to climb. At this point anyone that pretends to not understand this is not arguing in good faith.

Please document the alleged "depressed turnout". Otherwise it's just a contrived argument. You're also engaging in revisionist history.

On June 6, both the Associated Press and NBC News reported that Clinton had sufficient support from pledged and unpledged delegates to become the presumptive Democratic nominee.[125] Clinton's campaign seemed reluctant to accept the mantle of "presumptive nominee" before all the voting was concluded,[126] while Sanders' campaign stated it would continue to run and accused the media of a "rush to judgement."[127] Six states held their primaries on June 7. Clinton won in California, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota. Sanders won Montana and North Dakota, the latter being the only caucus contest held on that day.[128] Clinton finally declared victory on the evening of June 7, as the results ensured that she had won a majority of the pledged delegates and the popular vote.


None of the superdelegate support expressed for Hillary up to that point was official in any way. It seems highly unlikely that they would have tipped the nom to Clinton had Sanders won the most pledged delegates. The contention is ridiculous. Which won't stop you from making it, obviously.
 

Zorba

Lifer
Oct 22, 1999
14,875
10,300
136
It's possible he would have lost the primary anyhow, but pre-announcing any kind of 'winner' is just trash, it taints decision making. Literally no winners should be announced for any state prior to all votes being collected.
I actually voted for Bernie as a protest to how the entire party fell behind Hillary the second she announced, I'm sure others did too. Do you have any real data to show Bernie lost solely because people guessed at how the super delegates would vote? Remembering, not a single on had cast a vote during the primaries.

I also voted for him hoping to drag Hillary to the left.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,527
136
Just straight up lying about easily researched facts is definitely a form of gaslighting. Guy is basically no different than a Trump supporter.


There is no point at which Clinton trailed Sanders in the RCP polling average.


Jesus Christ dude, stop digging. You sound insane.
 

Blackjack200

Lifer
May 28, 2007
15,995
1,685
126
Please document the alleged "depressed turnout". Otherwise it's just a contrived argument. You're also engaging in revisionist history.

So turnout wasn't down from 2008?


None of the superdelegate support expressed for Hillary up to that point was official in any way. It seems highly unlikely that they would have tipped the nom to Clinton had Sanders won the most pledged delegates. The contention is ridiculous. Which won't stop you from making it, obviously.

Who cares? Literally none of that addresses the argument.
 
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