Pete-
I call ATi's parts mid- and high-end true DX9 cards, while I call the 5200 (which accounts for most of nV's claimed DX9 sales dominance) a marketing sham.
Compared to what? The R9000...? The GF4MX...? Marketing sham? Maybe you are talking about the fact that they are considered DX9 parts? People consider the KyroII a DX7 part, the FX5200's PS 2.0 performance is much, much better then the K2's EMCM performance wouldn't you say?
Remember, nVidia came to "power" in the 3D field because it was such a succeses in enthusiasts' eyes.
No, they didn't. Back in early '98 3Dfx had their V2 SLI shredding the competition in the enthusiast market(twice as fast, at least, then the next nearest competitor), nVidia had their Riva 128ZX and ATi was pushing the RagePro. At that time ATi dominated the market while in that timeframe nVidia overtook 3Dfx in terms of marketshare. nVidia's best selling part by a staggering margin is the TNT2M64 to date, nothing else is close.
They're not selling MX's and 5200's on their merits, but rather on the merits of the top-class cards that came before them, the GF2, 3, and 4Ti.
And doing that with the TNT2M64 is what made them in to the dominant player in add in graphics. This
is what nVidia has done in the past, actually it's a bit better in many respects as the 5200 at least has feature parity with the high end parts for the most part.
I agree ATi needs to work on a sub-$100 DX9 card. Rumors point to a cut-down RV350 appearing soon. 128MB 9600's are already hitting $100, albeit after rebate.
With the 5200 selling as well as it is, nV is making a sizeable rift in installed base for DX9 level parts. When EA is working on the 'Sims3' etc it will be a lot easier sell for Cg if nV owns 70% of the market, even if it is with low end parts, that is the
norm not the exception.
BTW, Ben, what do you make of this quote? Does it jibe with your info? I just read it (linked at B3D).
NPD numbers for computer hardware don't include NewEgg, most of the PriceWatch sites, or anything OEM. It's mainly B&M numbers for major retailers and that's it. You figure time to market for B&Ms etc and you are looking at BestBuy sales for the R9700 vs the small handfule of BFG 5800's they got in Given lead times for publications and NPD's posting schedules and we are looking at June's numbers, I'd say those look completely in line for that time frame for large retail B&M chains in the US.
BFG-
I'm sorry, I have very hard time believing that. Do you have a link to support your figures?
I was actually being quite conservative.
Or are you using the 5200 as your evidence? If you are that's just silly.
The statement was that the NV3X core was DOA. The NV3X core has outsold the R3XX core by a significant margin. If the NV3X core was really DOA, then what does that say about the R3xx core? I'm talking business here, nothing more or less. You were around when 3dfx imploded, you must recall the adamant defense of their business model because people liked their feature set better(and that spilled over in to 3dfx's employees also). Looking at it from a business perspective, the NV3X is far from DOA. You could say the NV3
0 was DOA, but the other chips in the line are doing fairly well and overall better then the R3xx core. They need a low cost DX9 part, for all of the 5200's problems, would you want a R9000 over it?
For practical purposes the 5200 cannot be called a DirectX 9.0 card because it's so slow. Hell, it's too slow to run DirectX 7 games for heaven's sake. Also a lot of DirectX 9 games are purposely using a DirectX 8 path through it because of that very reason.
When we see *real* DX9 games the R9800Pro is going to be too slow(as will the 5900U and everything else out now) by our standards. DooM3 is the first game we are going to see that really pushes DX7 hard(and exceeds it, the engine was built focusing on the GeForce level feature set however). What we have heard so far is *this* DX9 native feature, one of the three we use in our game, runs slow on *this* hardware with these drivers. What do you think is a better option to throw in an OEM rig, a R9000, a GF4MX or a 5200? For its market, it isn't that bad of a card(check Digit Life's vid card digest and their breakdown of best buys in the value segment).