GOP ACA Replacement Imminent....Predictions

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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,775
49,434
136
Possibly.

No possibly, most likely.

I'll ask you the same question.

If they just leave the ACA in place how many more will suffer? Millions? Tens of millions? Or will it be millions less than it is today?

Or will you admit that you just do not know?

That's an easy answer, zero. The ACA is the baseline we are measuring against because it's already the law. The question we are trying to answer is the effects of changing that law to something else.

The changes offered by the republicans so far are extremely likely to inflict suffering on millions of additional people as compared to the baseline. This is what the evidence shows and we should all be able to at least agree on a shared set of facts.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
And millions are going to suffer regardless of which bill is passed or even if we leave the ACA in place.

Yes.

And you call me pedant.

Correct, and obfuscational. The issue is more or less, with our Repub Congress obviously favoring more sufferers in order to provide mega billionaire tax cuts.

I understand the nature of greed & lust for Power at the top. What I don't understand is everyday people acting as their white knights. It's not like the uber Rich can't take care of themselves or that progressive taxes will render them not Rich, either.
 

pcgeek11

Lifer
Jun 12, 2005
21,512
4,607
136
No possibly, most likely.



That's an easy answer, zero. The ACA is the baseline we are measuring against because it's already the law. The question we are trying to answer is the effects of changing that law to something else.

The changes offered by the republicans so far are extremely likely to inflict suffering on millions of additional people as compared to the baseline. This is what the evidence shows and we should all be able to at least agree on a shared set of facts.

Nice dodge.
 

SMOGZINN

Lifer
Jun 17, 2005
14,218
4,446
136
They all are terrible, even the ACA which was never viable long term IMO.
I would seriously like to know what part of the ACA do you think made it non-viable in the long term? For the most part the ACA is just a few rules about insurance along with a subsidized exchange to help people get insurance. Is there specific rules or a unbalance you think point at a unstable system? As far as I can tell the only reason the ACA is failing is because of an intentional campaign of sabotage by Republicans done almost exclusively for political gain.

I think all of those idiots in DC needs to be horse whipped for refusing to work with one another. I am talking about BOTH Parties.

I agree to some extent, but I think the parties are too far apart on this issue to work together. They can't even agree on the basics, much less fine points. A compromise that found the middle ground between the two party's stances would probably be the worst possible solution.

At a minimum they should work towards making the ACA work, but I fear that the Democrats will not allow any meaningful changes.

I disagree. I think that the Democrats are willing to make meaningful changes to the ACA, if those changes has a chance at improving it, but the Republicans can't even decide what changes they want. What the Democrats are not willing to do is give large tax breaks to the wealthiest at the cost of the health of the poorest, which seems to be the only change the Republicans can agree on.
 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,234
701
126
I disagree. I think that the Democrats are willing to make meaningful changes to the ACA, if those changes has a chance at improving it, but the Republicans can't even decide what changes they want. What the Democrats are not willing to do is give large tax breaks to the wealthiest at the cost of the health of the poorest, which seems to be the only change the Republicans can agree on.

There was a story on Yahoo a few days ago that the GOP was considering keeping the taxes on the ACA because of the backlash. Now of course, they didn't say anything about keeping the coverages....so.....hmmm...keep the taxes but cut the payout?!?
 

senseamp

Lifer
Feb 5, 2006
35,787
6,195
126
Dems should obstruct everything, so that whatever Republicans can get through Senate reconciliation with just their own votes is mortally wounded and doomed to fail. Then use that failure to pass universal single payer.
 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,234
701
126

vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,403
8,199
126
From that article...

Overall, 44% said that the US healthcare system would be worse off under the GOP legislation, while 28% said it would improve.

I'd like to know what exactly will improve to those 28%. "Because Obama care sucks!" is not an acceptable answer.
 

First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
136
From that article...

Overall, 44% said that the US healthcare system would be worse off under the GOP legislation, while 28% said it would improve.

I'd like to know what exactly will improve to those 28%. "Because Obama care sucks!" is not an acceptable answer.
It's the only answer many of them have, sadly.
 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,234
701
126
From that article...

Overall, 44% said that the US healthcare system would be worse off under the GOP legislation, while 28% said it would improve.

I'd like to know what exactly will improve to those 28%. "Because Obama care sucks!" is not an acceptable answer.

Sure it is. I would like to see a breakdown of who the voters are in that 28%.

Obamacare is much worse that the ACA...just ask people.

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/polling-obamacare-label-makes-big-difference-n102861
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,681
136
Dems should obstruct everything, so that whatever Republicans can get through Senate reconciliation with just their own votes is mortally wounded and doomed to fail. Then use that failure to pass universal single payer.

Dems won't vote to reduce anybody's benefits, certainly not to an extent that Repubs would approve.

Given their intentions, Repubs are on their own here, snared in their own lies & insincerity.

It's kinda grim fun watching 'em sweat as they try to appease their radical right donor base w/o being obvious about screwing their constituencies. I'm not seeing an eye on that needle they're trying to thread...
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,806
29,557
146
None of us KNOW what is going to happen over the next ten years. It is all estimation and guess work.

Except over the previous 7 years we all "KNEW" that the ACA would be a complete disaster and the country would be burning in flames in some sort of socialistic hellhole of canibals and zombies and the living envying the dead, etc etc.

But of course, now we can't know these things, so far in advance, when the derp brigade is in charge, so clearly hellbent on fucking the whole cow.
 

zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,806
29,557
146
I posted this in the other thread.

GOP plan gets brutal poll results (from title)...

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/gop-healthcare-plan-just-got-150048484.html



Read that and let it sink in for a few minutes.

lol, why should the GOP care? They won seats despite a minority of votes cast for their exceedingly unpopular policies, so of course they can convince themselves that they have a "mandate" from the public to do the things that the public actually voted against them...to prevent them from doing!

strange reality we live in.
 
Last edited:

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,234
701
126
lol, why should the GOP care? The won seats despite a minority of votes cast for their exceedingly unpopular policies, so of course they can convince themselves that they have a "mandate" form the public to do the things that the public actually voted against them to prevent them from doing!

strange reality we live in.

You are very right. Hell, look at Trump.

Although people losing healthcare on both sides seems to be a very sore spot so I guess time will tell.
 

Caesar

Golden Member
Nov 5, 1999
1,684
171
106
Except over the previous 7 years we all "KNEW" that the ACA would be a complete disaster and the country would be burning in flames in some sort of socialistic hellhole of canibals and zombies and the living envying the dead, etc etc.

But of course, now we can't know these things, so far in advance, when the derp brigade is in charge, so clearly hellbent on fucking the whole cow.

LOL at that! I am going to use that now.
 

SMOGZINN

Lifer
Jun 17, 2005
14,218
4,446
136
lol, why should the GOP care? They won seats despite a minority of votes cast for their exceedingly unpopular policies, so of course they can convince themselves that they have a "mandate" from the public to do the things that the public actually voted against them...to prevent them from doing!

strange reality we live in.

And if all else fails the Republicans know that if it all backfires and they lose that in just a few years, with a little targeted misinformation and a heavy dose of paranoid conspiracies, everyone that identifies with the GOP will have forgotten and they will be able to successfully blame whoever the Dems have in office.
 
Reactions: agent00f

pcgeek11

Lifer
Jun 12, 2005
21,512
4,607
136
Except over the previous 7 years we all "KNEW" that the ACA would be a complete disaster and the country would be burning in flames in some sort of socialistic hellhole of canibals and zombies and the living envying the dead, etc etc.

But of course, now we can't know these things, so far in advance, when the derp brigade is in charge, so clearly hellbent on fucking the whole cow.

Read what Gruber said about it...
 
Jan 25, 2011
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Aaaaaaand it's dead again. Two more senators just announced they can't support it.

8 fucking years they've had to come up with something. 8 years and they can't do a damn thing now that they have total control.

The GOP can't govern. The calls for a flat repeal will grow and God help you guys if they do it as they won't be able to replace it with anything.
 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,234
701
126
Aaaaaaand it's dead again. Two more senators just announced they can't support it.

8 fucking years they've had to come up with something. 8 years and they can't do a damn thing now that they have total control.

The GOP can't govern. The calls for a flat repeal will grow and God help you guys if they do it as they won't be able to replace it with anything.

That's exactly what will happen, although there have been at least 2 GOP senators that said they would be against a repeal without same time replace because they said that the replace part will never happen in that case (and they're right).

Edit: Link to story MomentofSanity is talking about: https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/health-care-vote-delay-gives-203418577.html
 
Jan 25, 2011
16,634
8,778
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That's exactly what will happen, although there have been at least 2 GOP senators that said they would be against a repeal without same time replace because they said that the replace part will never happen in that case (and they're right).
God forbid they work with democrats to fix what's in place at this point. They would be viewed favourably if they did. Right now they own everything including Obamacare since they refuse to fix it and can't replace it.

On the plus side they wanted to do tax reform through reconciliation to cut out the democrats too. That is likely not to happen I'm betting.
 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,234
701
126
On the plus side they wanted to do tax reform through reconciliation to cut out the democrats too. That is likely not to happen I'm betting.

Tax reform will be interesting since the White House just updated the deficit projection to $99 billion higher than just two months ago on 'lower than expected tax receipts'. The article mentions that the GOP congress is wanting a much higher military budget than even Trump at the same time not cutting anything that he wanted to cut (except taxes). I would almost guess that the deficit will explode (again) over the next few years (and the O man will get the blame, of course).
 
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