I'll admit my compass was off on 2018. What I think is different this time is that the Democratic party has been pulled further left, by the likes of the squad, all the advocacy, civil unrest, etc. People want to defund the police. People have been destroying property, looting and burning, while liberal governors and mayors have pretty much sat on their hands. The picture of today's democratic party appears more fringe than mainstream. The National Association of Police Organizations has endorsed Trump, which means the Democrats have lost law enforcement personnel. Leo Terrell, a civil rights attorney and long time critic of Trump, just announced he will be voting for Trump, blaming all the things I've mentioned. I watched a closed group on FaceBook, that supports Trump go from 24,000 members to almost a million in about 3 weeks. Nobody gets in that group without an invite. Just signs everywhere. Trump has more support from black voters then he had the first time. There has been coalitions of Blacks and Hispanics recruiting new members to the Republican side, using the narrative that democrats who have been in power for decades have done nothing for them. Every election cycle, these people need reinforcement from the party, that they are victims, and falsely, that the Democrats are their saviors. It's not difficult to find many videos from black conservatives, who have awakened and are calling this out.
So, in the end, if I'm wrong again, I'm wrong again, but I hear the pot boiling and I don't think I will be this time.