House Speaker election/circus/all ages carnival - ongoing coverage

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GodisanAtheist

Diamond Member
Nov 16, 2006
7,065
7,491
136
Imagine the bizzarovervse of 10 or so Republicans voting as a block with Dems to muscle passed the MAGA caucus, with a "moderate" GOP speaker at the helm.

While I wouldn't necessarily like the prospects for any disruptive legislation moving through that group, maybe they can at least act as caretakers (prevent shutdowns, keep funding going to Ukraine) until the next congress has been seated.

As outrageous as it sounds, it almost feels like the only "golden path" left open at the moment. If only by some miracle egos and tribalism take a back seat for a while.

I would even go so far as to "reward" one of those Pubs with a vote (primary and general) if they happened to represent my district (which none do).
 
Feb 4, 2009
34,703
15,951
136
You don't get to be a Republican by being trustworthy.
Not many are however I am confident there are a handful. Otherwise remember our system is built upon compromise if no compromise can be attained Gov Shuts down because no spending bill.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,582
7,645
136
I would even go so far as to "reward" one of those Pubs with a vote (primary and general) if they happened to represent my district (which none do).
I would rather see a Dem in those seats, but protecting them against MAGA in the primary would be a huge priority.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,818
49,514
136
If moderate Republicans were smart, especially those who reside in districts Biden won, if they want to neuter the freedom caucus they need to pinpoint an issue or two where they are comfortable joining with Democrats to issue a discharge petition and vote it into law.

If they aren't willing to break with their caucus on anything they are willingly giving veto power on every decision to the handful of craziest Republicans. I predict they are not willing to break with their caucus on anything.
 
Feb 4, 2009
34,703
15,951
136
If moderate Republicans were smart, especially those who reside in districts Biden won, if they want to neuter the freedom caucus they need to pinpoint an issue or two where they are comfortable joining with Democrats to issue a discharge petition and vote it into law.

If they aren't willing to break with their caucus on anything they are willingly giving veto power on every decision to the handful of craziest Republicans. I predict they are not willing to break with their caucus on anything.
Exactly
 

Dave_5k

Golden Member
May 23, 2017
1,664
3,224
136
Imagine the bizzarovervse of 10 or so Republicans voting as a block with Dems to muscle passed the MAGA caucus, with a "moderate" GOP speaker at the helm.

While I wouldn't necessarily like the prospects for any disruptive legislation moving through that group, maybe they can at least act as caretakers (prevent shutdowns, keep funding going to Ukraine) until the next congress has been seated.

As outrageous as it sounds, it almost feels like the only "golden path" left open at the moment. If only by some miracle egos and tribalism take a back seat for a while.

I would even go so far as to "reward" one of those Pubs with a vote (primary and general) if they happened to represent my district (which none do).
It is far more likely that the last ~10 republicans that actually have a conscience will instead cave in to the crazies, and vote in an ultra-MAGA speaker to end the stalemate, rather than even try to vote with any Democrats for what passes as a moderate ("moderate" republican = extreme far right, but still sane).
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
21,969
20,227
136
It is far more likely that the last ~10 republicans that actually have a conscience will instead cave in to the crazies, and vote in an ultra-MAGA speaker to end the stalemate, rather than even try to vote with any Democrats for what passes as a moderate ("moderate" republican = extreme far right, but still sane).
100,000,000%
 
Dec 10, 2005
24,434
7,356
136
It is far more likely that the last ~10 republicans that actually have a conscience will instead cave in to the crazies, and vote in an ultra-MAGA speaker to end the stalemate, rather than even try to vote with any Democrats for what passes as a moderate ("moderate" republican = extreme far right, but still sane).
Yep. We shouldn't rely on magical thinking to presume that some "moderate" Republicans are suddenly going to break rank and push for a Democratic Party speaker.
 

GodisanAtheist

Diamond Member
Nov 16, 2006
7,065
7,491
136
I would rather see a Dem in those seats, but protecting them against MAGA in the primary would be a huge priority.

-I'm a registered Republican precisely so I can vote for the least crazy person in my local primary. Made more sense when I lived in a more conservative part of the state where the Primary was really the defacto election since there was often no Dem opposition for the seat.

Makes less sense now that I am in one of the bluest counties of the state but I maintain the affiliation for the insane GOP mailers I get.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,818
49,514
136
Yep. We shouldn't rely on magical thinking to presume that some "moderate" Republicans are suddenly going to break rank and push for a Democratic Party speaker.
There's no way Republicans are going to elect a Democratic speaker. No fucking way. What MIGHT be possible is for moderate Republicans to team up with Democrats to elect a less crazy Republican. Even that's hard to see though.
 
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K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,880
34,834
136
If moderate Republicans were smart, especially those who reside in districts Biden won, if they want to neuter the freedom caucus they need to pinpoint an issue or two where they are comfortable joining with Democrats to issue a discharge petition and vote it into law.

If they aren't willing to break with their caucus on anything they are willingly giving veto power on every decision to the handful of craziest Republicans. I predict they are not willing to break with their caucus on anything.

They're going to make Jim Jordan speaker and then grouse to the media bout how things aren't working out lol.
 
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GodisanAtheist

Diamond Member
Nov 16, 2006
7,065
7,491
136
Yep. We shouldn't rely on magical thinking to presume that some "moderate" Republicans are suddenly going to break rank and push for a Democratic Party speaker.

-Dem party leader? No. But if the Dems and a handful of Pubs go with a moderate Pub that makes a deal to just keep things open and funded until the new congress is seated I can see that potentially working.

- Everyone gets to say they made a deal to keep things running.
- Pubs still have the speakership as a feather in their cap, while Dems get to keep playing to oppo party card.
- MAGA Caucus is completely castrated of any power, which is good for Dems, Good for "mainstream" Pubs, and good for the country.

Granted those handful of Pubs might get their shit pushed in when their seats are up again, but if they're in Biden districts they might be able to weather the storm.
 
Feb 4, 2009
34,703
15,951
136
They're going to make Jim Jordan speaker and then grouse to the media bout how things aren't working out lol.
This is a believable prediction.
I say fuck it let Rs bicker until the end of time, Biden can order the treasury coin.
Only real bummer is Ukraine however I am sure some of our NATO boys could carry the load and I imagine the current situation is “no new Aid” coin would fix the on going aid.
 
Dec 10, 2005
24,434
7,356
136
-Dem party leader? No. But if the Dems and a handful of Pubs go with a moderate Pub that makes a deal to just keep things open and funded until the new congress is seated I can see that potentially working.

- Everyone gets to say they made a deal to keep things running.
- Pubs still have the speakership as a feather in their cap, while Dems get to keep playing to oppo party card.
- MAGA Caucus is completely castrated of any power, which is good for Dems, Good for "mainstream" Pubs, and good for the country.

Granted those handful of Pubs might get their shit pushed in when their seats are up again, but if they're in Biden districts they might be able to weather the storm.
I doubt Democrats will readily help Republicans fix their house issues. It's not in Democrats' interests, and Republicans in general have shown themselves to be filthy liars. Republicans would have to give concrete concessions to pull some Democrats along, and they are not ready to give those.

Plus, Republican dysfunction is electorally good for Democrats: they can point to this all the time and state that this is what happens when you elect clowns: you get a circus.
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,639
12,767
146
-Dem party leader? No. But if the Dems and a handful of Pubs go with a moderate Pub that makes a deal to just keep things open and funded until the new congress is seated I can see that potentially working.

- Everyone gets to say they made a deal to keep things running.
- Pubs still have the speakership as a feather in their cap, while Dems get to keep playing to oppo party card.
- MAGA Caucus is completely castrated of any power, which is good for Dems, Good for "mainstream" Pubs, and good for the country.

Granted those handful of Pubs might get their shit pushed in when their seats are up again, but if they're in Biden districts they might be able to weather the storm.
Are there 10 R seats in Biden districts that won't get primaried by the (what I suspect is now officially) third MAGA party?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,818
49,514
136
Are there 10 R seats in Biden districts that won't get primaried by the (what I suspect is now officially) third MAGA party?
Most or all of them would definitely face a primary challenge. The thing is if they actually made a deal with Democrats to get the House under control they could probably extract a promise from Democrats not to run someone against them and then run as an independent.

This is of course all predicated on the fact that enough Republicans want to do this, which I am skeptical of.
 
Reactions: [DHT]Osiris

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,639
12,767
146
Most or all of them would definitely face a primary challenge. The thing is if they actually made a deal with Democrats to get the House under control they could probably extract a promise from Democrats not to run someone against them and then run as an independent.

This is of course all predicated on the fact that enough Republicans want to do this, which I am skeptical of.
Untrustworthy people tend to not expect deals to be held, so they don't accept them. You're now asking for 10 trustworthy R's in Biden districts that don't expect to get primaried into oblivion, to have a chance at keeping their job. Strains credulity.

I'm personally finding the 'no consensus on day 45 followed by a coin mint EO on day 46' scenario to be more likely.
 
Reactions: Fanatical Meat

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,818
49,514
136
Untrustworthy people tend to not expect deals to be held, so they don't accept them. You're now asking for 10 trustworthy R's in Biden districts that don't expect to get primaried into oblivion, to have a chance at keeping their job. Strains credulity.

I'm personally finding the 'no consensus on day 45 followed by a coin mint EO on day 46' scenario to be more likely.
I don't think minting the coin would help as that would only allow Biden to pay for spending already authorized and in this case it would be no spending authorized.

There's no way out of a government shutdown other than a new set of appropriations or...well... something novel happening.
 
Reactions: [DHT]Osiris

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,639
12,767
146
I don't think minting the coin would help as that would only allow Biden to pay for spending already authorized and in this case it would be no spending authorized.

There's no way out of a government shutdown other than a new set of appropriations or...well... something novel happening.
There is no "mint the coin" process here. Money needs to be authorized and appropriated by an act of Congress.
Fair enough. Maybe he can EO spending to each department? Lotta paperwork but most of congress has seemed happy to offload their job to the executive, not sure why this would be different
 

evident

Lifer
Apr 5, 2005
11,938
538
126
Imagine the bizzarovervse of 10 or so Republicans voting as a block with Dems to muscle passed the MAGA caucus, with a "moderate" GOP speaker at the helm.

While I wouldn't necessarily like the prospects for any disruptive legislation moving through that group, maybe they can at least act as caretakers (prevent shutdowns, keep funding going to Ukraine) until the next congress has been seated.

As outrageous as it sounds, it almost feels like the only "golden path" left open at the moment. If only by some miracle egos and tribalism take a back seat for a while.

I would even go so far as to "reward" one of those Pubs with a vote (primary and general) if they happened to represent my district (which none do).
My congressment is "Problem Solvers" Brian Fitzpatrick. He somehow bamboozles a ton of democrats in bucks county to vote for him. in 2020 there was a significant voters that voted Biden and then Fitzpatrick as the rep. He'll vote with dems on shit that is insignificant to boost his "bipartisan" appeal but when it comes down to it he is lockstep with the R's. Might be a time for him or someone like him to step up to the plate and throw their hat into the ring.
 
Dec 10, 2005
24,434
7,356
136
Fair enough. Maybe he can EO spending to each department? Lotta paperwork but most of congress has seemed happy to offload their job to the executive, not sure why this would be different
Trying to use EO to appropriate money would be very unconstitutional. Any reading of the Constitution notes that appropriating money is explicitly a power of Congress.

No doubt a shutdown would be painful for people, but that's also the result of electing shitbags that think they should govern with a philosophy of "owning the libs". Republicans made their bed in the pigpen, now they can wallow in their shit.
 
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