House Speaker election/circus/all ages carnival - ongoing coverage

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pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
13,285
8,207
136
To be elected speaker, a candidate must receive a majority of votes from the members present and voting. If no candidate wins a majority, the roll call is repeated until a speaker is elected. Looks like Jeffries will get about 49%, Jordan about 46%, and others make up the rest of the votes. No one got a majority (over 50%). Jeffries will get a plurality (most votes but not over 50%).

So it has to be a majority (of those voting), not just a plurality - and there's no system of elimination rounds (such that the pool of candidates gets progressively smaller till there are only two choices, if necessary)

If nobody gets a majority the vote just starts again from scratch? Slightly surprised, given that system, that it hasn't frequently gotten into this mess.

I suppose if the system allows people to just vote "present", you could still fail to elect someone even with only two candidates, but if you had elimination rounds _and also didn't count people voting 'present' without making a choice_, then there would have to be an outcome eventually.

It's quite reminiscent of the parliamentary farrago we had post-Brexit. Conservatives in general seem to have lost interest in actually governing, they seem to just love chaos. But it also seems to reveal flaws in the systems.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,818
49,514
136
So it has to be a majority (of those voting), not just a plurality - and there's no system of elimination rounds (such that the pool of candidates gets progressively smaller till there are only two choices, if necessary)

If nobody gets a majority the vote just starts again from scratch? Slightly surprised, given that system, that it hasn't frequently gotten into this mess.

I suppose if the system allows people to just vote "present", you could still fail to elect someone even with only two candidates, but if you had elimination rounds _and also didn't count people voting 'present' without making a choice_, then there would have to be an outcome eventually.

It's quite reminiscent of the parliamentary farrago we had post-Brexit. Conservatives in general seem to have lost interest in actually governing, they seem to just love chaos. But it also seems to reveal flaws in the systems.
I guess I’m not surprised this doesn’t happen more - it’s a unique and weird set of circumstances here. Basically you have:
1) Republicans with a razor thin majority and
2) a handful of crazy members who don’t care about governance.
3) most importantly though you have a party where all the non-crazy people are terrified of a primary challenge so they aren’t willing to do the obvious.

In the past freaks like Gym would be neutered because the moderates would just make a deal with Democrats. Not anymore though as compromising with democrats, even to elect a Republican speaker, is treason.
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
21,969
20,227
136
I guess I’m not surprised this doesn’t happen more - it’s a unique and weird set of circumstances here. Basically you have:
1) Republicans with a razor thin majority and
2) a handful of crazy members who don’t care about governance.
3) most importantly though you have a party where all the non-crazy people are terrified of a primary challenge so they aren’t willing to do the obvious.

In the past freaks like Gym would be neutered because the moderates would just make a deal with Democrats. Not anymore though as compromising with democrats, even to elect a Republican speaker, is treason.
It's foolish to think just a handful of crazy members don't care about governance when you had close to 200 Republicans just voting for Gym Jordan, who we all know is against any decent governance. Now the vast majority of the Republican party are those crazy members. Just look at their votes.

If you don't understand the enemy, you can't solve the problem. Thinking of the Republican party, which is beholden to Trump and people as bad as him, as just a handful of crazy members is stupid at this point. You are implying the others care about governance. That is so naive and dangerous thinking. A common problem in the pseudo-intellectual spectrum on the left.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,584
7,645
136
2) a handful of crazy members who don’t care about governance.
Is that wishful thinking?
As in... proclaim it enough times, widely and loudly, that even the Republicans might believe it and start voting against extremism?
Doesn't seem to be working thus far....

We have a razor thin number of R Congress critters who aren't' crazy.
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
21,969
20,227
136
Is that wishful thinking?
As in... proclaim it enough times, widely and loudly, that even the Republicans might believe it and start voting against extremism?
Doesn't seem to be working thus far....

We have a razor thin number of R Congress critters who aren't' crazy.

Exactly like I said he has it all backwards. If you haven't figured out the Republicans yet then there is no hope. People that understand the situation or close to it need to take charge not the completely naive wing of the party
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,640
12,767
146
I guess I’m not surprised this doesn’t happen more - it’s a unique and weird set of circumstances here. Basically you have:
1) Republicans with a razor thin majority and
2) a handful of crazy members who don’t care about governance.
3) most importantly though you have a party where all the non-crazy people are terrified of a primary challenge so they aren’t willing to do the obvious.

In the past freaks like Gym would be neutered because the moderates would just make a deal with Democrats. Not anymore though as compromising with democrats, even to elect a Republican speaker, is treason.
This is what a three party system looks like in a FPTP voting scenario. You have a primary party, a loser party, and a spoiler party making sure the loser keeps losing. The numbers are wacky right now in the house but the R's created their own spoiler party.
 
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dank69

Lifer
Oct 6, 2009
35,601
29,313
136
Is that wishful thinking?
As in... proclaim it enough times, widely and loudly, that even the Republicans might believe it and start voting against extremism?
Doesn't seem to be working thus far....

We have a razor thin number of R Congress critters who aren't' crazy.

Exactly like I said he has it all backwards. If you haven't figured out the Republicans yet then there is no hope. People that understand the situation or close to it need to take charge not the completely naive wing of the party
I was going to comment similarly but I at least recognize that non-crazy in his post was used relatively. Even knowing that, it still pisses me off to see the phrase, because there are precisely zero non-crazy Republicans.
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
21,969
20,227
136
I was going to comment similarly but I at least recognize that non-crazy in his post was used relatively. Even knowing that, it still pisses me off to see the phrase, because there are precisely zero non-crazy Republicans.
I think when you say handful of Republicans aren't interested in governance then it's a clueless statement.

Just look at the congressional house and how Jordan still got the lion share of those from the Republican caucus in the first round of voting. Look at the Republican presidential field and tell me that's a handful of crazy in regards to governance as well. Look at the supreme Court, And hell look at the majority of GQP senators. When something is bipartisan in the senate it's with a handful of Republicans, They are only a handful who are partially sane.

Saying a handful of Republicans are the crazy in any way shape or form in any part of the US government right now is just a stupid statement.
 

pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
13,285
8,207
136
So what happens if they never manage to elect a speaker? Or it takes a year or more?

Would government cease to function until some Congress people died of natural causes, to be replaced by disgruntled constituents, with more co-operative figures, thus breaking the log-jam?

I still say it's just a bad system that it can grind to a halt like this just because one party has a significant share of crazy people. Shouldn't the 'framers' have come up with a mechanism to handle cases where _nobody_ manages to get 50%?


[Edit] OK, so I should have googled first. So it goes to this 'speaker pro tempore' guy (who, weirdly it seems to me, is appointed 'secretly' by the original speaker). And from there, everybody makes it up as they go along?

 
Last edited:

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,880
34,834
136
So what happens if they never manage to elect a speaker? Or it takes a year or more?

Would government cease to function until some Congress people died of natural causes, to be replaced by disgruntled constituents, with more co-operative figures, thus breaking the log-jam?

I still say it's just a bad system that it can grind to a halt like this just because one party has a significant share of crazy people. Shouldn't the 'framers' have come up with a mechanism to handle cases where _nobody_ manages to get 50%?

I think either they're going to have to empower McHenry as temp speaker and limp along or enough Rs strike a deal with the Ds for a compromise speaker with power sharing (this has happened before).

Government funding runs out in a few weeks. The Rs can sort of afford to dick around for now but it's going to get pretty unseemly and far more public once the government shuts down.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
33,584
7,645
136
but it's going to get pretty unseemly and far more public once the government shuts down.
A concept the President should damn well ignore.

For the good of the nation, it should be the President's duty to maintain the status quo and previous directives from Congress. Until such time as Congress passes NEW legislation to provide a change in directive. If Congress fails to do so, then see you next election. It should be the entire reason we have a President in the first place.
 

brycejones

Lifer
Oct 18, 2005
26,697
25,022
136
A concept the President should damn well ignore.

For the good of the nation, it should be the President's duty to maintain the status quo and previous directives from Congress. Until such time as Congress passes NEW legislation to provide a change in directive. If Congress fails to do so, then see you next election. It should be the entire reason we have a President in the first place.
That sounds suspiciously like a “major question”. The current SCOTUS would just rule the President does not have that power. Also when it comes to the budget aka authorizing the government to spend money that power does lie with the legislative branch.

I agree with your sentiment when it comes to the debt limit. But when it comes to actually establishing the budget that is clearly the power of the legislative branch.
 
Reactions: Ken g6 and Pohemi
Dec 10, 2005
24,434
7,356
136
That sounds suspiciously like a “major question”. The current SCOTUS would just rule the President does not have that power. Also when it comes to the budget aka authorizing the government to spend money that power does lie with the legislative branch.

I agree with your sentiment when it comes to the debt limit. But when it comes to actually establishing the budget that is clearly the power of the legislative branch.
Not only that, it explicitly lies with the legislative branch - it isn't something ambiguous.

Anyway, CRs (ie, the status quo) are kind of not that great. Sure, the government doesn't shut down, but they also keep funding going to programs that might need to be ended (or have that funding reallocated), new programs can't start up, and funding levels remain flat (so effectively being cut relative to inflation).
 
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brycejones

Lifer
Oct 18, 2005
26,697
25,022
136
Not only that, it explicitly lies with the legislative branch - it isn't something ambiguous.

Anyway, CRs (ie, the status quo) are kind of not that great. Sure, the government doesn't shut down, but they also keep funding going to programs that might need to be ended (or have that funding reallocated), new programs can't start up, and funding levels remain flat (so effectively being cut relative to inflation).
Yeah it’s basically the legislative branch ignoring its responsibilities. It’s going to be a rough ride if the GOP continues to allow 4 to 8 members to throw a monkey wrench into the works at will in the House.
 
Reactions: Pohemi

eelw

Diamond Member
Dec 4, 1999
9,391
4,630
136
Yeah it’s basically the legislative branch ignoring its responsibilities. It’s going to be a rough ride if the GOP continues to allow 4 to 8 members to throw a monkey wrench into the works at will in the House.
There won’t be any repercussions from this clown show as long as the base chooses party over country
 
Reactions: Puffnstuff
Feb 4, 2009
34,703
15,951
136
If Gym can’t make it tomorrow, I bet there is a pivot to grant whoever his name is that’s the interm speaker basically the same powers as the speaker. This avoids another easily triggered toss the fucker out because he did something Matt Gates doesn’t like AND allows Republicans to get something done all while allowing their members to blame some arcane rule as to why stuff is getting done.
Similar to how they tapped out and allowed Presidents for far too long to make critical decisions under that War Powers act. Far easier to blame crap when you “don’t have power” than to actually have power and be held accountable. Also this allows them to take credit for shit they had little to do with. Perfect solution for spineless people.
 

GodisanAtheist

Diamond Member
Nov 16, 2006
7,065
7,491
136
Best thing Pubs have going for them is Dems are in charge.

Dim ass Dems are going to try to mitigate the damage caused by a Republican fuckfest shutdown instead of focusing the damage onto Republican voting demographics (Shutdown delays SS checks, Medicare payments, farm subsidies, etc).

Imagine the absolute reaming Blue states and young people would get if the shoe was on the other foot.

Dems are too focused on governing and not focused enough on winning, which means the modern American voter will see them as losers.
 
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