Originally posted by: Slew Foot
Originally posted by: BoberFett
The first item could actually obliterate the market temporarily and really seize things up. I've got an offer on the table right now to buy, but I'm probably going to pull it. Why would I buy right now at ~5% if it sounds like 4% is coming?
Same goes for number two. Right now it's a first time buyer credit so we don't qualify, but if there's a chance of getting an interest free $7500 loan I'm going to wait it out.
We'd probably be at or near the bottom of this thing already if the govt didnt try to prop the market up (and fail) every time, and we'd save a lot of taxpayer dollars in the interim.
The 4% thing is potentially disastrous, what to prevent the bank from charging 43834738% interest when they know the government is going to pick up anything above 4%?
The alt-a/option loans have already started recasting due to automatic resets when LTV hits a certain percentage, these will go strong for the next 2 years and wipe out previously not-as-hard-hit upper end areas (SF Bay Area, NY, etc..) FWIW< I think the low end subprime home market is nearing a bottom, most declines from here on out will be on the upper end.