How far away is it now?

MtnMan

Diamond Member
Jul 27, 2004
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We know that the furthest object we can see is 13.3 Billion light years away, or that is where it was when the light left there 13.3 billion years ago, and we know it has been traveling away from us for the last 13.3 billion years.

How far away is it today?
 

Micrornd

Golden Member
Mar 2, 2013
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Well unless someone's been watching it very closely that would be impossible to tell, since it hasn't been long enough to determine which way it is going. :sneaky:
 

Sattern

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Jul 20, 2014
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Depending on eyesight I bet some people can see more than that, you never know...

Also there are many galaxies that are around. Probably virtually unlimited as space is ever expanding. Life is immense, but they tend to fly under the radar.

Back on subject, it probably either increases or decreases every day by a set amount that I am unaware of.
 

Biftheunderstudy

Senior member
Aug 15, 2006
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I suspect you may be under some misconceptions about distance and cosmology.

13.3 Billion Light Years away, means that it takes the light 13.3 billion years to get here and is roughly how far away it is *now*.

When the light was emitted, the universe was much smaller and we (our galaxy, assuming it even existed then) would have been pretty close to it.

The problem is, that the universe is expanding (the expansion is in fact accelerating, but we'll ignore that for the moment), this means that the space between us and that galaxy grew over those 13.3 billion years and we are just now seeing the light from it.

Objects that are this far away are incredibly dim, there is so much space between us and many clouds of hydrogen that they are difficult to detect. They pretty much have to be emitting a stupid amount of light to be detectable, so we are biased to finding odd galaxies and objects.
 

SecurityTheatre

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Aug 14, 2011
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13.3 Billion Light Years away, means that it takes the light 13.3 billion years to get here and is roughly how far away it is *now*.

I don't think this is correct either. 13.3 billion light years is how much distance the light has traveled since it was emitted.

This is NEITHER the distance then, nor the distance now. In fact, the accepted diameter of the observable universe is approximately 93 billion light years, and this object it almost certainly much further away today than 13.3 gly.

The distance to the matter that emitted the cosmic microwave background radiation (CMBR) is approximately 46 billion light years, but when it was emitted, the observable universe was only 42 million light years across. Since this ancient star formed at approximately 4% of the age of the universe, I give an estimate that it is currently 44 billion light years distant.

Keep in mind, the current understanding of the expansion of the universe is that it is happening at FTL speed. Yeah, I know that's weird, but it seems to be true.

Edit: Wikipedia claims that the oldest galaxies are currently 46 gly distant. Reference: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Observable_universe#Size
 
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Micrornd

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Mar 2, 2013
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Bah, since mankind has not been observing the stars for that long, all of that is conjecture based on a very short term observation. :\

So here's a conversation starter -

The expanding of the known universe may have only started 5000 years ago, we have no way of knowing for sure, we only know what we assume is the rate of expansion since we have been observing the stars.

Nor do we know that our measurement of light-years is accurate, since we have no way of verifying the distance, because we are incapable of traveling that far.
Nor do we know how near or deep space actually affects light traveling through it, since we have not made the journey with it to confirm our suppositions.
The light we see from distant stars may be travelling at 1000 times what we assume is the speed of light through deep space and then slowing down to appox. 186,000mi/sec at the edge of our solar system.
The honest fact is, we have absolutely no way of knowing for sure.

Basically, all we do is make observations on our end and GUESS, at things we have no way of knowing about positively, since we can not physically confirm them.
We do experiments here on Earth and then naively scale them up assuming conditions remain constant through deep space.

That is one of the banes of scientific theory, assumptions that have to be made for conditions that are unknowable.
Einstein had the same problem, hence his failure.

As I said above, there is no way to tell which way the light producing/reflecting object is going, and neither is there any way to tell it's speed, that is actually confirmable in the time the human race remains on Earth.

We are just barely out of the cave as far as things beyond our planet's atmosphere.
Until we travel to the stars, and can verify our assumptions, it's all grand guesswork that slowly unravels, as we make progress, as a inquisitive race.
 

MtnMan

Diamond Member
Jul 27, 2004
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I suspect you may be under some misconceptions about distance and cosmology.

13.3 Billion Light Years away, means that it takes the light 13.3 billion years to get here and is roughly how far away it is *now*.
No, the light has traveled 13.3 billion light years distance, thus the galaxy that emitted the light had to be 13.3 billion light years from where when the light started it's 13.3 billion light year journey.
 

MtnMan

Diamond Member
Jul 27, 2004
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As I said above, there is no way to tell which way the light producing/reflecting object is going, and neither is there any way to tell it's speed, that is actually confirmable in the time the human race remains on Earth.
Of course we can tell which way a light producing object is going, and how fast. It is the doppler effect and commonly referred to as the red shift/blue shift, when dealing with light, and is really pretty basic science.
We are just barely out of the cave as far as things beyond our planet's atmosphere.
We actually know more about what is beyond than what is under our planet's atmosphere.
 

MrDudeMan

Lifer
Jan 15, 2001
15,069
92
91
Bah, since mankind has not been observing the stars for that long, all of that is conjecture based on a very short term observation. :\

So here's a conversation starter -

The expanding of the known universe may have only started 5000 years ago, we have no way of knowing for sure, we only know what we assume is the rate of expansion since we have been observing the stars.

Nor do we know that our measurement of light-years is accurate, since we have no way of verifying the distance, because we are incapable of traveling that far.
Nor do we know how near or deep space actually affects light traveling through it, since we have not made the journey with it to confirm our suppositions.
The light we see from distant stars may be travelling at 1000 times what we assume is the speed of light through deep space and then slowing down to appox. 186,000mi/sec at the edge of our solar system.
The honest fact is, we have absolutely no way of knowing for sure.

Basically, all we do is make observations on our end and GUESS, at things we have no way of knowing about positively, since we can not physically confirm them.
We do experiments here on Earth and then naively scale them up assuming conditions remain constant through deep space.

That is one of the banes of scientific theory, assumptions that have to be made for conditions that are unknowable.
Einstein had the same problem, hence his failure.

As I said above, there is no way to tell which way the light producing/reflecting object is going, and neither is there any way to tell it's speed, that is actually confirmable in the time the human race remains on Earth.

We are just barely out of the cave as far as things beyond our planet's atmosphere.
Until we travel to the stars, and can verify our assumptions, it's all grand guesswork that slowly unravels, as we make progress, as a inquisitive race.

There's quite a bit wrong with this post. Actually, it's almost completely wrong, especially the part about the speed of light, uncertainty about its velocity, and needing to travel to the other 'side' of something to have an accurate measurement. Serious question - what's your background?
 

Micrornd

Golden Member
Mar 2, 2013
1,288
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There's quite a bit wrong with this post. Actually, it's almost completely wrong, especially the part about the speed of light, uncertainty about its velocity, and needing to travel to the other 'side' of something to have an accurate measurement. Serious question - what's your background?

My background is in structural/mechanical engineering, where we have the ability to actually prove any theories.

As I said, it was a conversation starter, but if so much of it is wrong, how can you prove that?
Everything we base our knowledge of light on is from observations here on or near Earth, that in no way means it is absolutely the same in the rest of the universe.
To categorically state it is, is impossible to prove at this point in time, since we lack the ability to verify it.

There is no certainty of the speed of light, beyond where we have physically tested it, since all our guesstimates have been made here, within a gravitational, magnetic, electrically charged field.

We have no experience in deep space, only with signals/photons that travel through it to reach us and then only after they reach us.
We do not know what happens or how they may be affected beyond where we have been, we can only surmise.

We can not say for sure what the velocity is in deep space without being there, we can only assume we are right.

I'm not saying our estimates of the speed of light is wrong (obviously we can measure it accurately here and near earth), only that we have no positive way of confirming light-year distances using it, until we can actually travel that distance and confirm it.
 
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Micrornd

Golden Member
Mar 2, 2013
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Yep, the man was a complete an utter failure. Basically a moron, really.

No, that wasn't what I meant.
Only that one of his biggest regrets in his later years, was not being able to resolve a unified field theory, since he thought his prior work should have made it possible.
 

Micrornd

Golden Member
Mar 2, 2013
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Of course we can tell which way a light producing object is going, and how fast. It is the doppler effect and commonly referred to as the red shift/blue shift, when dealing with light, and is really pretty basic science.

That's very true, but only if you make the assumption the object has and will travel in the same direction.
With the time lag, we have no way of knowing the object hasn't accelerated or decelerated or even reversed it's travel.
Yes, I know that doesn't jive with accepted theory, since we've only been monitoring what goes on "out there" for a few thousand years we can't say for sure we "know" only that we think we do.

It wasn't that long ago (relatively) that we assumed the magnetic poles were always the same, but we now know they have reversed many times since the Earth was formed and think they will continue to do so, even though we have no real certainty of why they do so.

My only point is that we make way too many assumptions in the name of science and then take those assumptions as gospel.
Assumptions have to be made to advance our knowledge and that's not to say they are wrong, but only that until they can be proven absolutely, that they should still be open to question and interpretation.

We actually know more about what is beyond than what is under our planet's atmosphere.

That's the real shame too, since we have the ability to do more about that than what's beyond our atmosphere.
 

MrDudeMan

Lifer
Jan 15, 2001
15,069
92
91
My background is in structural/mechanical engineering, where we have the ability to actually prove any theories.

I have no idea why that's relevant because it isn't exclusive to mechanical or structural engineering. I'm an electrical and civil engineer and I could easily make the exact same statements about both fields with the same defenses you would employ for mechanical and structural. I wouldn't, though, because the statement is incorrect anyway. You can't prove every single theory in mechanical or structural engineering just because you can usually touch what you design.

As I said, it was a conversation starter, but if so much of it is wrong, how can you prove that?

I asked because you seemed to lack any theoretical knowledge or understanding of electromagnetism. Coupled with the way your post is written, here's how it sounds: "There's no way I can be wrong because we can't go there to test it." That's pretty absurd considering how many things we know that can only be tested from afar.

Everything we base our knowledge of light on is from observations here on or near Earth, that in no way means it is absolutely the same in the rest of the universe. To categorically state it is, is impossible to prove at this point in time, since we lack the ability to verify it.

There is no certainty of the speed of light, beyond where we have physically tested it, since all our guesstimates have been made here, within a gravitational, magnetic, electrically charged field.

Nope and nope. If you look at something really, really far away, the last few miles aren't going to matter for this kind of measurement. Most of the medium between here and really, really far away is deep space with a particle density as close to vacuum as is likely possible - something like 1 proton per cubic meter. People who do this stuff for a living are smart enough to figure out how to work around the issue you're trying to lay down as insurmountable. It's possible that we have the wrong value for the speed of light and it's possible that we think we know more than we do, but not for the reasons you're suggesting.

We have no experience in deep space, only with signals/photons that travel through it to reach us and then only after they reach us. We do not know what happens or how they may be affected beyond where we have been, we can only surmise.

See above. This is basically the same comment.

We can not say for sure what the velocity is in deep space without being there, we can only assume we are right.

I'm not saying our estimates of the speed of light is wrong (obviously we can measure it accurately here and near earth), only that we have no positive way of confirming light-year distances using it, until we can actually travel that distance and confirm it.

It's funny that you mention this because I designed a high accuracy laser range finder that I was able to accurately test even if I didn't walk 2000 meters away from the base station. I was able to determine if the air between the base station and the target was hot, cold, dusty, obstructed, or a host of other environmental issues without ever leaving my computer. The only thing I had to do to normalize my measurements was use the range finder in my lab. Assuming I don't point it at something that will confuse the sensor, which is a completely different issue, I don't ever need to visit a location to know how far away it is.
 

Micrornd

Golden Member
Mar 2, 2013
1,288
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You can't prove every single theory in mechanical or structural engineering just because you can usually touch what you design.
I may be missing something here, but I think we can build proof of anything that we can theorize in my fields.
'Course something's would take enormous expenditures, materials, time, and manpower.
Do you have an example in mind of something we couldn't build to prove a mechanical or structural engineering theory?
I asked because you seemed to lack any theoretical knowledge or understanding of electromagnetism. Coupled with the way your post is written, here's how it sounds: "There's no way I can be wrong because we can't go there to test it." That's pretty absurd considering how many things we know that can only be tested from afar.
Sorry, that's probably just my writing style, it was not meant to imply that I knew the answers. Only that I felt the answers we have, have in no way been proven absolutely correct, but that we make the assumption they are because we can't produce the physical proof that we demand of almost all other theories.
I do have a working knowledge of electro-magnetism, and do feel that whether it can or cannot be worked out mathematically, a unified field does exist and gravity is the major player in binding it together (no pun intended).
Nope and nope. If you look at something really, really far away, the last few miles aren't going to matter for this kind of measurement. Most of the medium between here and really, really far away is deep space with a particle density as close to vacuum as is likely possible - something like 1 proton per cubic meter. People who do this stuff for a living are smart enough to figure out how to work around the issue you're trying to lay down as insurmountable. It's possible that we have the wrong value for the speed of light and it's possible that we think we know more than we do, but not for the reasons you're suggesting.
While I can respect that opinion, I can't take it as proof.
You're looking at one end of a beam of light that has been traveling in some cases, longer than we have been observing the stars.

Just because the portion of the stream you are looking at is traveling at a fixed speed does not absolutely mean the entire stream is or has been.
If it helps think of it as a river.
The Mississippi at it's delta is normally at a fixed speed (let's discount storms, winds and floods for now, we will assume they are stuff in deep space we have no knowledge of).

As the river makes it's way to the delta from where it starts, it speeds up and slows down depending on conditions (that we of course, can't see from the delta)
Standing at the delta (Earth) we can see none of that (without physically following the river's route).
So we could naively say we know the absolute speed of the river because we observe it at the delta.
And if our observations are limited to a short time period vs how fast the river flows, we could always appear to be correct over that short time period where we were observing from.

Yet, at the same time upstream 500 miles the river is flowing twice as fast and 1000 miles upstream only half as fast, but unless something happens to change things, the speed remains constant from our point of view.

It took almost 50 years to prove that the Higgs-Boson particle actually existed and wasn't possible to prove without the Hadron Collider to physically prove it.
My point is that if it is something that we can physically do, science doesn't call it absolutely proven until we actually see or do it.
But, if it is something beyond our abilities to prove physically (presently), we theorize and call it correct, until it isn't.

By that reasoning the world was flat for eons and the theory should have not been challenged, eh :biggrin:
It's funny that you mention this because I designed a high accuracy laser range finder that I was able to accurately test even if I didn't walk 2000 meters away from the base station. I was able to determine if the air between the base station and the target was hot, cold, dusty, obstructed, or a host of other environmental issues without ever leaving my computer. The only thing I had to do to normalize my measurements was use the range finder in my lab. Assuming I don't point it at something that will confuse the sensor, which is a completely different issue, I don't ever need to visit a location to know how far away it is.
As I said, for what we do here on Earth, I'm sure you're distances are accurate and that you have compensated for all known issues.
But, that is also my point, known issues.
Without actually going there, we don't know all the issues that may or may not affect measurements using speed of light.
As far as "confusing the sensor", when we look into deep space, how can we be certain we aren't.
Without the physical aspect being involved, we can only assume.

To the best of my knowledge Einstein never imagined that we could stop light, yet as of last year we held it to a standstill for over a minute.
Current theory has it that light has an absolute speed of about 186,000mi/sec.
And it is easily proven that it does, here and near the Earth.
But, since only the naïve would believe (and not the astrophysicists I've taught to) that we have discovered all the secrets of the universe, we can only surmise what the light does it deep space or what else is in deep space beyond what limited range our instruments can reliably observe.
(kinda sounds like one of the Discovery Channels pseudo-docs, huh)

Here's a simple example to illustrate what I mean.
We all know that Einstein showed that gravity can curve the fabric of space-time and that light follows that curvature.
So, Draw a half circle
Place a dot at each end of the half circle.
Label them A and B
Measure the distance in a straight line between the dots,
and then draw a straight line that exact length, attaching it to APlace a dot at the end of the straight line and label it C.
(you should end up with something that looks like a raster side view of a spoon)

Assume the half circle is the path of light as traveled when affected by a blackhole somewhere between A and B.
So if A produces light, we measure the distance from A to C (the straight line) as X light-years.
But we measure the the distance from A to B as X+ light-years, because of the distance of the curved path.
Yet the A-B and A-C distance is in reality the same.
Not only that but the color shift caused, by the deflection, will point us in the wrong direction if we physically try to follow it back to A.
So where are we standing, on B or C ?

Yes, it is an exaggeration to make a point, but I think it is still valid enough.
While we know how to look for blackholes, we don't know how to look for things that we may not know about or know enough about.

Here's an easier one to confirm.
Until recently (2009) the nearest blackhole to Earth was pegged at approx. 16,000 light-years.
We absolutely knew the speed of light and all other conditions in deep space (or we were told we did).

Scientists have since determined that that distance is off by about a whopping 50%.
The new distance is pegged at 7,800 light-years (with a margin of error of 6%)
Apparently they underestimated how much interstellar dust affected the way the speed of light was used to measure the distance.
So what, our estimate of how dust affects optical measurements here on and near Earth doesn't apply to how it works in deep space all of a sudden?
Who knew?
And is that same interstellar dust compensation factor to be applied to other deep space objects?

They now assume they have it correct, and just may, unless they find another mitigating factor.
But IF they do have it right, why haven't they used that dust compensation factor on other deep space distances?
How possible is it, that of all the objects we observe in deep space, this single blackhole is the only object we got the distance wrong on, based on a little dust between here and there?

There is just so much we don't know, but only assume about deep space.
We predict how close asteroids and other objects will pass by us when they are great distances away, yet those distances being accurate 20% of the time once the objects are much closer is doing good.
As they get closer, passing distances are constantly calculated and recalculated and often differ greatly form the original calcs.
So what happened, somebody "forgot to carry the one" or what?
No, it's just that we don't know all we need to, all the affecting factors, to plot the course even here in near space.
Yet we are arrogant enough to assume we know more about deep space??

Heck, I know astrophysicists that are still looking for the 10th and 11th planet/planetoid based on orbit deviations of those planets we can see, and this is in near space.
We won't accept the 10th's or 11th's existence without double confirmed physical proof, but we readily accept the stuff we can only assume is going on in deep space as gospel.

BTW - Thanks for the discussion, that's kinda rare at ATOT
I'm going to end here as this has pretty much turned into an Off-Topic discussion, but I'd hate to see it moved there.
 

repoman0

Diamond Member
Jun 17, 2010
4,544
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Here's an easier one to confirm.
Until recently (2009) the nearest blackhole to Earth was pegged at approx. 16,000 light-years.
We absolutely knew the speed of light and all other conditions in deep space (or we were told we did).

Scientists have since determined that that distance is off by about a whopping 50%.
The new distance is pegged at 7,800 light-years (with a margin of error of 6%)
Apparently they underestimated how much interstellar dust affected the way the speed of light was used to measure the distance.
So what, our estimate of how dust affects optical measurements here on and near Earth doesn't apply to how it works in deep space all of a sudden?

I'm not going to / can't address most of this, but this part just doesn't make sense .. distance measurements in deep space aren't made by assuming the speed of light; it's not radar -- although I believe we can use radar to get accurate distances within the solar system. There are a variety of other methods, none of which are as accurate as a theoretical radar would be, but none of which have anything to do dust affecting the speed of light, and astrophysicists are fully aware that there is a large margin of error with these other methods .... (Look up Cepheid variables and parallax in particular, for methods which would be used at the distances you're talking about)

Basically, one of the fundamental assumptions of current astrophysics and deep space study are that the laws of physics hold constant over the whole observable universe. Yeah, it's an assumption, but it's a reasonable one and the only logical one to make, otherwise we would never have gotten anywhere in our knowledge of the universe and the physics that hold it together.
 

Biftheunderstudy

Senior member
Aug 15, 2006
375
1
81
I don't think this is correct either. 13.3 billion light years is how much distance the light has traveled since it was emitted.

This is NEITHER the distance then, nor the distance now. In fact, the accepted diameter of the observable universe is approximately 93 billion light years, and this object it almost certainly much further away today than 13.3 gly.

The distance to the matter that emitted the cosmic microwave background radiation (CMBR) is approximately 46 billion light years, but when it was emitted, the observable universe was only 42 million light years across. Since this ancient star formed at approximately 4% of the age of the universe, I give an estimate that it is currently 44 billion light years distant.

Keep in mind, the current understanding of the expansion of the universe is that it is happening at FTL speed. Yeah, I know that's weird, but it seems to be true.

Edit: Wikipedia claims that the oldest galaxies are currently 46 gly distant. Reference: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Observable_universe#Size

You are correct, somewhere between typing the distance the light traveled I missed the explanation of the Hubble expansion and proper distance calculation.

I believe Carl Sagan was once an expert witness at a trial and was asked a similar question (how do we know the laws of physics apply the same everywhere) and he had a very good answer. But for the life of me I can not dig up the quote nor remember where I heard it.

I think cosmology would completely break with a variable speed of light and the newest Planck measurements are pretty damned accurate.

There are a number of other things which are hard to explain, like "superluminal" quasar jets, variability in xray sources, supernova 1987a and the subsequent well correlated arrival of neutrinos etc. etc. that a constant speed of light is needed. Additionally, the mathematics of Maxwell's equations and building the wave equation actually requires a constant speed of light. I doubt I could reproduce that proof, but I have it in some lecture notes somewhere.
 

DrPizza

Administrator Elite Member Goat Whisperer
Mar 5, 2001
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You're forgetting that a lot of assumptions are a result of a tremendous amount of data. They are not guesses, nor whims, which you seem to be implying.

Example, you suggested that the things we see furthest away could change direction (violate Newton's 1st law?). Let's assume you are correct. Then, let's look at the evidence. Where are these very distant galaxies that show blue shift instead of red shift?

Also, you mentioned measuring the speed of light (presumably in a vacuum) near Earth. This is a bit picky, but you can't. All you can do is test the precision and accuracy of your equipment.

Many of the criticisms of what you call "assumptions" above weren't necessarily assumptions in the first place. Like good science, they are based on observations. While I do agree that the science should always be questioned, and that perhaps one or two of your criticisms may have a bit of validity, some of them are almost like saying, "how do you know all sharks are gray, white, or black? Maybe there are some plaid colored sharks in the ocean, and until you've caught every last shark, you'll never know for certain."

I'm not sure what you're talking about with the nearest black hole, since it seems to be something from memory. But, here's an article on it, that goes a little bit into why it's so difficult to measure the distance. AFAIK, speed of light didn't have anything to do with it. http://www.universetoday.com/75723/where-is-the-nearest-black-hole/
 

Biftheunderstudy

Senior member
Aug 15, 2006
375
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So, wikipedia naturally has a entry on variable speed of light: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variable_speed_of_light

The last few sections are particularly relevant. The claim is that, changing a dimensionful constant like the speed of light doesn't do anything if the value of the fine structure constant remains constant.

Interestingly, quasars (much like the ancient galaxy that started this thread) are tests of the constancy of the fine structure constant. We see quasars pretty much everywhere(everywhen) up to if I recall about redshift of 0.15 or so. This then constrains how much these constants are allowed to change by.
 

inachu

Platinum Member
Aug 22, 2014
2,387
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No constant when gravity rip tides are all around us in the cosmic ocean.

Consider each star a bell and the sound waves emanating will confuse any laser range finder as well as any gravity lensing effects. There are so many ripples that we do not have the technology to view the true measurement exactly. Only guesstimates are possible.
 
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