What suggests to you that it will be comparable to Conroe? Hope?
Yes, and the fact they need to increase IPC so they can lower frequencies to get a better watt/performance. I compare it to Conroe since Intel went from speed to higher IPC and saw a drop in freq. I am assuming the same will occur, since AMD has a limited R&D budget
So you expect 1.2x IPC at (2.6 ghz/3.7 ghz : base clocks for a10-7580k and your expected Zen) = 85% the performance of Steamroller.
Since AMD has a limited budget. Get a higher IPC design out, then work out the kinks in the next revision, make the pipeline longer, add HBM, etc. If it is 85% the performance at 50% less perf/watt it would be a good trade off. As many users say PC's have been fast enough for awhile for office and most users. Obviously we enthusiasts will suffer.
I hope for 125% performance of SR but I temper my expectations with AMD's past performance, which has been lacking the better part of the last decade.