My detailed election forecast for winning 2024:
- Trump will claim fraud at least once a week from now until election day
- The only significant number of individuals committing election fraud will be multi-voting across multiple states, for which hundreds or low thousands will be committed by Republicans from red states (which have dropped all participation in multi-state election security). And none of these deliberate double voting fraudsters will ever face more than pleaded misdemeanors, most will never even be prosecuted.
- Trump will declare victory on election day well before polls close
- Republicans will succeed in getting thousands of ballots from valid voters thrown out for technicalities
- Kamala Harris will win both the popular vote and the electoral vote
- More than 3 jurisdictions will have MAGA-planted elections officials illegally block certification past statutory deadlines.
- At least one republican controlled state legislature will illegally vote to overthrow the election, although the governor or secretary of state will ultimately follow rule of law ignoring legislature
- The election will barely be certified for Harris, with more than 2/3 of Republicans voting to overthrow the government, in a failed attempt to block certification.
Hmm, replace "Harris" with "Biden", and my forecast looks almost identical to 2020... maybe I should think up some new material. Except MAGA never changes.