dmcowen674
No Lifer
Originally posted by: rickn
Originally posted by: imtim83
Wilma looks like she could be stalled now right off the shore
She hasn't made landfall on Mexico yet totally. A good 60 to 70% of her is in the warm water still and will easily keep her at least a Cat. 3 and maybe let her even hold her own at a steady Cat. 4.
Not good.
Edit/Delete Message
it is weaking. even if the entire eye is not over land, part of it is, and the entire area of circulation is interacting with land. on the latest visisble infrared you can see it is weaking, the areas of deep red and oranges is shrinking on the western area if circulation. the water temps off of florida are about 80-83f right now. if it moves fast enough with the trough that is expected to pick it up, it simply may not have the time to regenerate
OK, the core has now reached the Gulf.
It lost a lot of forward momemtum and is now just starting lose the battle with the westerlies.
The Jet stream appaers to be finally starting to clean house over the continental U.S.
Now a line in the sand has been drawn.
If the core manages to re-spin down, Florida will be facing another Charlie or even an Andrew from the west.
If the core gets stretched it will just be a very big rain event.
The next 12 hrs will determine it's fate.
In the meantime, FEMA folks here in Louisiana have been told to start driving to staging areas set up for Florida as a FEMA friend of mine just told me.