Hurricane Wilma Thread

[AbsolutZero]

Just what we all need right now. :roll:

Its currently a tropical depression west of Jamaica, but NHC has been forecasting this to become a significant hurricane for the last 3 advisories now. Text

THE GLOBAL MODELS MAINTAIN THE CURRENT DUAL OUTFLOW CHANNEL PATTERN FOR THE
NEXT 5 DAYS... AND DECREASE THE VERTICAL SHEAR TO LESS THAN 5 KT AFTER 48
HOURS. SUCH AN ENVIRONMENTAL PATTERN IS USUALLY FAVORABLE FOR RAPID
INTENSIFICATION TO OCCUR AND FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES TO BECOME MAJOR
HURRICANES.

Official forecast track

Hurricane Track Models

10/19 852AM: Wilma lowest pressure for an Atlantic hurricane EVAR. Pressure at 8am EDT 882mb, Winds 175 MPH. :Q

10/20 430PM: Still 915mb, 145 MPH.

10/21 600AM: 929mb, 150 MPH. Eyewall tightening again.

10/21 800PM: 930mb, 140 MPH. Stationary over Cozumel. 20-40 inches of rain expected over Yucatan and Wrn Cuba

10/22 1000PM: 959mb, 100MPH.

10/23 1100PM: 957mb, 115MPH.

10/24 500AM: 950mb, 125MPH.

10/24 500PM: 954mb, 120MPH. Moving out to sea thank God.

 

[T3C]

To many damn hurricanes this year.

 

[CrackRabbit]

This is the last name in the registry, if any tropical development happens after this it will go to greek leters for designations...
Thankfuly Hurricane season is over in a few weeks.

 

[zoiks]

So we won't be seeing a Hurricane Yolanda?

 

[Insane3D]

Oh, so it's still nothing but a TD, but it *may* become a hurricane? I guess oil will only go up $5 or so a barrel tomorrow then...

 

[Nitemare]

WTF happens when they run out of letters?

 

[Viper0329]

Just keep it away from here.....please (LA).

 

[SuperSix]

Yee haw - looks like I need to ge that renter's insurance taken care of. I predict it will hit Sarasota/Naples if it hits this coast at all.

 

[yankeesfan]

Originally posted by: Nitemare
WTF happens when they run out of letters?

They go through the Greek alphabet, I believe. It's never happened, AFAIK.

 

[Rubycon]

WIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIILLLLMMMMAAAAA!

 

[AbsolutZero]

New long range model forecast takes it towards NOLA before making a sharp right town into NW FL coast north of Tampa.


Saturday
Sunday

 

[Cooler]

Looks like NO will be hit again . people should really move away from there.

 

[czech09]

Lol I live in Tampa, oh well...

 

[PurdueRy]

Originally posted by: Cooler
Looks like NO will be hit again . people should really move away from there.

ummm do you know where NO is?

 

[iamwiz82]

The 5-day forecast is putting it inline with LA and AL, with the possibility of TX to FL.

 

[ViRGE]

Originally posted by: iamwiz82
The 5-day forecast is putting it inline with LA and AL, with the possibility of TX to FL.

The 5 day forcast is clueless, the models aren't even close to a consensus on where it's going to go. Everyone in the gulf should be watching this, it could go anywhere.

 

[AbsolutZero]

Last 2 runs of the GFS now forecasting for Hurricane Wilma to turn east toward Key West and Srn FL.

Forecast

 

[sharkeeper]

Fine as long as all hurricanes die out before the 29th.

 

[ViRGE]

Originally posted by: sharkeeper
Fine as long as all hurricanes die out before the 29th.

Why the 29th?

 

[Carbo]

PSTFU with your little hurricane updates. If anyone is concerned they can turn on the Weather Channel.

 

[nakedfrog]

Originally posted by: Carbo
PSTFU with your little hurricane updates. If anyone is concerned they can turn on the Weather Channel.

I find it funny that you bumped it to say this.

 

[ViRGE]

The 5pm update just came in, winds are at 80mph, and she's still expected to make a run for major status, perhaps peaking at Cat 4. Florida isn't going to like this one...

PS Carbo, overruled

 

[ViRGE]

8pm update: Wilma has reached Super Saiyan 2 and is well on the way to hitting 3, and all of this is just since the 5pm update.

 

[ViRGE]

Oh, and here's a map of recon fixes and pressures for you to enjoy.

 

[CrackRabbit]

Originally posted by: ViRGE
8pm update: Wilma has reached Super Saiyan 2 and is well on the way to hitting 3, and all of this is just since the 5pm update.

Florida had better be prepating for one hell of a Kamehameha...