Pollster who predicted Donald Trump's 2016 win makes 2020 prediction | CNN
In 2016, Robert Cahaly of The Trafalgar Group used unorthodox polling to correctly predict five swing states and Donald Trump's electoral college tally. Rebuffing skeptics, he says undercounted voters will again elect Trump.www.cnn.com
Trafalgar says Trump has 275 already in the bag.
They play it up when the predict a win but then downplay when they are off by 9% like they were in Texas in 2018. They claim to be accurate but yet we’re 9% off in Texas, if they are off like that again Trump easily loses Texas this year.
Plus they accidentally released their cross tabs that show they are smoking crack.
Normal pollsters always post their cross tabs Traglager never does. This accidental data leak has Trump winning the youth vote by 15%, independents by 28%, and winning 25% of the African American vote as well as 30% of Dems. This isn’t based on their actual polling but how they have chosen to skew and manipulate their polls in the name of shy Trump voters.
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