If Space Shuttle is Doomed, Do You Tell Crew?

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ichy

Diamond Member
Oct 5, 2006
6,940
8
81
From someone who was actually there and who had actually been responsible for the lives of shuttle crews:

http://waynehale.wordpress.com/2013/01/13/after-ten-years-working-on-the-wrong-problem/

Jon Harpold was the Director of Mission Operations, my supreme boss as a Flight Director. He had spent his early career in shuttle entry analysis. He knew more about shuttle entry than anybody; the guidance, the navigation, the flight control, the thermal environments and how to control them. After one of the MMTs when possible damage to the orbiter was discussed, he gave me his opinion: “You know, there is nothing we can do about damage to the TPS. If it has been damaged it’s probably better not to know. I think the crew would rather not know. Don’t you think it would be better for them to have a happy successful flight and die unexpectedly during entry than to stay on orbit, knowing that there was nothing to be done, until the air ran out?”

I was hard pressed to disagree. That mindset was widespread. Astronauts agreed. So don’t blame an individual; looks for the organizational factors that lead to that kind of a mindset. Don’t let them in your organization.
After the accident, when we were reconstituting the Mission Management Team, my words to them were “We are never ever going to say that there is nothing we can do.” That is hindsight.

That is the lesson.
 

ichy

Diamond Member
Oct 5, 2006
6,940
8
81
My hang up the whole time is why they didn't have repair products on board to do a space-walk and repair the craft....ESPECIALLY after all the "tile" crap.

Failure of imagination I suppose? What's insane is that NASA should have know about the danger of debris strikes for a long time. STS-27 (only the second flight after the loss of Challenger) was nearly lost because of heat shield damage.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
16,846
13,778
146
Were they even in the right orbit to dock with the ISS? Let alone having enough fuel to get there...

They launched straight out of Kennedy while the station is at an orbital inclination of 51.6. So even if the shuttle had been at the right altitude they would have crossed the ISS's orbit with several thousand of mph difference in speed.

The shuttle does not carry enough fuel to perform a plane change of that magnitude. No crewed vehicle currently does.
 

PeeluckyDuckee

Diamond Member
Feb 21, 2001
4,464
0
0
If the ground crew knew there's absolutely nothing else that could be done I would as family of the shuttle crew like to be notified and given the chance to speak with them for one last time and say my farewells. I couldn't imagine not being told.

RIP to those who died that day.
 

ichy

Diamond Member
Oct 5, 2006
6,940
8
81
Even if they knew there was TPS damage that wouldn't mean the knew the shuttle was doomed. Previous flights (STS-27 being the worst I can think of) survived re-entry with TPS damage.
 

VulgarDisplay

Diamond Member
Apr 3, 2009
6,193
2
76
What I absolutely can't believe is that they were still launching 20 year old vehicles into space.

That is the most lamebrained stupid part of the whole incident. More a gripe about the state of space exploration for humankind. If there's one thing Gene Roddenberry got right with Star Trek it's that space flight should be uniting the world through the urge to discover what's out there.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,867
34,815
136
My hang up the whole time is why they didn't have repair products on board to do a space-walk and repair the craft....ESPECIALLY after all the "tile" crap.

Give them means to fix the craft at any given time and forget satellite images, have them space walk that sucker and LOOK at the damage themselves.

Oh well.......water under the bridge now.

Columbia didn't have the arm on board but an inspection and potential repair would have been possible though difficult. The effacy of a stopgap repair would have still been questionable. The best option on the table would have been to rush Atlantis to launch a rescue and deorbit Columbia remotely to crash into an ocean.

Carrying a large amount of material on each launch to repair the TPS is impractical.
 

drum

Diamond Member
Feb 1, 2003
6,810
4
81
reminds me of the scene in apollo 13 where the guy (to Gene) says their track is a bit off after that manual burn and asks Gene if they should tell them and Gene says, " is there anything we can do about it?" "No" "then they don't need to know"
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
16,846
13,778
146
reminds me of the scene in apollo 13 where the guy (to Gene) says their track is a bit off after that manual burn and asks Gene if they should tell them and Gene says, " is there anything we can do about it?" "No" "then they don't need to know"

Difference in that case was the Apollo 13 crew already knew they were in mortal danger and that their craft likely had heat shield damage. Plus they had had time to talk to their families.

The entry angle was just another risk that didn't change anything for the crew.
 
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ichy

Diamond Member
Oct 5, 2006
6,940
8
81
What I absolutely can't believe is that they were still launching 20 year old vehicles into space.

NASA didn't really have a big enough budget to operate the space shuttle properly, much less build a replacement.
 

Tobolo

Diamond Member
Aug 17, 2005
3,699
0
0
I dont understand if there was doubt as to the condition of the shuttle, why the astronauts couldnt have taken refuge inside the space station, and NASA would have scrambeld in emergency mode to get another shuttle to go up and bring them back? I'm sure the crew could be at the station for a few weeks at least? I read that they didnt have an emergency shuttle ready until after the disaster, but I'm sure if they busted their asses, they could have had a shuttle ready in fairly quick order?

After Columbia was built NASA installed new more powerful engines into the shuttle fleet (End., Atlantis, Discover) but the engines were never retrofitted in the Columbia. Because of that, Columbia only did low earth orbit missions, while the other Shuttle built the ISS.

So to answer your question. The SS Columbia did not have enough engine power to ever reach the ISS. They would have had to send a replacement shuttle to rendezvous with Columbia in order to bring them home, which they would not have been able to do in time.
 

phucheneh

Diamond Member
Jun 30, 2012
7,306
5
0
Columbia didn't have the arm on board but an inspection and potential repair would have been possible though difficult. The effacy of a stopgap repair would have still been questionable. The best option on the table would have been to rush Atlantis to launch a rescue and deorbit Columbia remotely to crash into an ocean.

Carrying a large amount of material on each launch to repair the TPS is impractical.

Was Columbia even equipped for 'spacewalks,' then? If they're just in low orbit and not intending to dick around with satellites, ISS, or anything else, perhaps they only had the suits they launched in and none of the 'extra' stuff.

I guess we all want to think that they've got some kind of roadside toolkit up there; but I guess the simple fact is that if their mission doesn't involve fixing something, they probably don't have much of anything. They may not have even had the resources to ziptie some spacetrash over the hole in their shuttle, I guess.:|
 

ichy

Diamond Member
Oct 5, 2006
6,940
8
81
After Columbia was built NASA installed new more powerful engines into the shuttle fleet (End., Atlantis, Discover) but the engines were never retrofitted in the Columbia. Because of that, Columbia only did low earth orbit missions, while the other Shuttle built the ISS.

So to answer your question. The SS Columbia did not have enough engine power to ever reach the ISS. They would have had to send a replacement shuttle to rendezvous with Columbia in order to bring them home, which they would not have been able to do in time.

This is incorrect. Columbia was heavier than the rest of the orbiter fleet but engines were shuffled around between shuttles. Columbia could have reached the ISS but she would have taken a significant payload hit because of extra structural weight. Before her demise there was a plan to send her on one ISS mission (this was the original STS-118) but it would have been seriously payload limited.
 

ichy

Diamond Member
Oct 5, 2006
6,940
8
81
Was Columbia even equipped for 'spacewalks,' then? If they're just in low orbit and not intending to dick around with satellites, ISS, or anything else, perhaps they only had the suits they launched in and none of the 'extra' stuff.

All shuttles had an airlock and carried at least two EMUs (spacesuits) in case there was a need for a contingency EVA. Every shuttle flight had a couple of astronauts trained to close the payload bay doors by hand in case they failed to close under their own power.
 

drum

Diamond Member
Feb 1, 2003
6,810
4
81
Difference in that case was the Apollo 13 crew already knew they were in mortal danger and that their craft likely had heat shield damage. Plus they had had time to talk to their families.

The entry angle was just another risk that didn't change anything for the crew.

your further analysis is correct, but the OP still reminds me of that scene :biggrin:.
:biggrin:
 

MagnusTheBrewer

IN MEMORIAM
Jun 19, 2004
24,135
1,594
126
Yes, you tell them. You do not have the right to keep it from them. It's the honorable thing to do.
 
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