Oil down to $27 today
It's not a matter of will it go back up, only a matter of when and dumb Americans will believe the excuses yet again.
1-20-2016
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/oil-weve-130036081.html
Oil: We've Been Here Before
Last week the price of oil broke below $30 a barrel (figures in U.S. currency) and stock markets tumbled. Now some analysts are saying a retreat to the $20 level is a real possibility as none of the major producers shows signs of reducing output.
A few are even more pessimistic. Standard Chartered, an international banking group based in London, predicted last week that oil wouldn't bottom out until it reaches the $10 a barrel range, a level not seen since 1998.
In response to the continuing rout, oil companies are once again slashing capital budgets and trimming jobs. BP announced last week it would cut its global workforce by 5%, or 4,000 positions. Today Shell announced it is slashing 10,000 jobs.
It all sounds terribly grim and the deep dive in the markets has left investors fearful of worse to come. And we're not likely to see any immediate relief. But as far as oil is concerned, don't lose sight of the fact that we've been here before and managed to survive. In fact, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil has fallen by at least 50% on five occasions since 1986. This is nothing new.
After the energy depression of 1997-98, the price remained stuck in the $20 to $30 a barrel range for several years. It only began to move sharply higher in late 2004. At that point, with demand from China growing exponentially, it rocketed all the way to $147 before the financial crisis of 2008 sent it tumbling back down to around $40.
Clearly, at current price levels many companies are facing operating losses. How long this can go on is anyone's guess but analysts (and bankers) are going to be keeping a close watch on fourth-quarter and year-end financial reports in the coming weeks. AlixPartners, a consulting company, estimates that North American producers are losing about $2 billion per week at current prices.