News Intel 1Q24 Earnings Report

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Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
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I believe Intel changed all their prior reporting to clean up their IFS financial splits, no? From the first link,



I don't know how to reconcile the two (especially as Intel does internal modeling to segregate the two), but the new "bucket" for DCAI is not the same as the old "bucket" for DCAI last year.

This is revenue only calculation. I don't see any possible way to account for an almost $1B swing in Q123 DCAI revenue due to IFS accounting change but maybe I'm just not seeing it?
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
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Intel split out Altera from DCAI this year, that's why DCAI's revenue is lower, still...

Ok, if I take out Altera's numbers from 1Q23, I get close, but still not quite there (DCAI becomes a 1% gain). Close enough I guess that additional accounting tweaks could make up the difference. I'll delete my table and put a note instead.
 

Ghostsonplanets

Senior member
Mar 1, 2024
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Glad to hear they're up to 6 clients for 18A. Hopefully it's actually a viable foundry business.
Foundry is probably the safest thing Intel has because I don't US government letting it go bust. Intel will probably be the choice of government contracts for semicon.
 

gdansk

Diamond Member
Feb 8, 2011
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Glad to hear they're up to 6 clients for 18A. Hopefully it's actually a viable foundry business.
They don't have to be the best but being better than Samsung is probably necessary if they want the spun off fabs to be a viable company. Spin off seems 'imminent' (in some number of years) after the accounting changes.
 
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Saylick

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Sep 10, 2012
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The stock price seems to be rebounding back up. Did Pat say anything on the call? I'm not (nor can) listening in to the ER.

Edit: Spoke too soon. Was just Google showing a fictitious spike lol
 

Tigerick

Senior member
Apr 1, 2022
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The stock price seems to be rebounding back up. Did Pat say anything on the call? I'm not (nor can) listening in to the ER.

Edit: Spoke too soon. Was just Google showing a fictitious spike lol
Promising, promising, promising...
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
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The stock price seems to be rebounding back up. Did Pat say anything on the call? I'm not (nor can) listening in to the ER.

Edit: Spoke too soon. Was just Google showing a fictitious spike lol

Even though it didn't bounce back up like you though, after hours after an earnings call can be very volatile as there is an initial reaction and then sentiment can change as the full report is digested and earnings call gets underway. The real test will be what happens at market open tomorrow, but I don't expect it will be good.
 
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Saylick

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They don't have to be the best but being better than Samsung is probably necessary if they want the spun off fabs to be a viable company. Spin off seems 'imminent' (in some number of years) after the accounting changes.
Not that I plan on investing in Intel, but I wonder how stock ownership will be handled if someone owned Intel stock before a hypothetical split of the Product side and Foundry side, especially if one side is doing much better than the other. When the split happens, do Intel shares get turned into some shares of the Product side and some shares of the Foundry side, with the proportion based on assumed valuation of each side independently? Just seems very unclear to me, which is why I don't plan on investing even if I think there's a fair price to buy Intel stock. I wouldn't want to get shafted banking on the Foundry side recovering but not getting a piece of it when the two halves split.
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
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Added some slides to the OP. I think last comment from me on the report (unless something comes out in the call) is that Intel had -$6B in cash flow in the quarter. I.e., Intel spent $6B more dollars than they made in the quarter. Long term debt is now at $48B. Short term debt increased from $2.3B to $4.5B.
 

Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
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Added some slides to the OP. I think last comment from me on the report (unless something comes out in the call) is that Intel had -$6B in cash flow in the quarter. I.e., Intel spent $6B more dollars than they made in the quarter. Long term debt is now at $48B. Short term debt increased from $2.3B to $4.5B.
And Zen 5 has not hit yet. When it does, if all rumors are even half true, they have even a more serious problem, desktop AND server, as well as mobil. And HEDT is non-existent for them.
 

Saylick

Diamond Member
Sep 10, 2012
3,645
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Added some slides to the OP. I think last comment from me on the report (unless something comes out in the call) is that Intel had -$6B in cash flow in the quarter. I.e., Intel spent $6B more dollars than they made in the quarter. Long term debt is now at $48B. Short term debt increased from $2.3B to $4.5B.
Gubmint subsidies will keep them afloat. Pat pretty much has a blank check to spend so long as keeping Intel alive is a national security priority. Too big to fail, baby!
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
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Added some slides to the OP. I think last comment from me on the report (unless something comes out in the call) is that Intel had -$6B in cash flow in the quarter. I.e., Intel spent $6B more dollars than they made in the quarter. Long term debt is now at $48B. Short term debt increased from $2.3B to $4.5B.

That's why I don't see how Intel can continue with the fabs long term without their 90% market server share.
 

Ghostsonplanets

Senior member
Mar 1, 2024
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That's why I don't see how Intel can continue with the fabs long term without their 90% market server share.
That'll never happen again. Not only there are more competitors with Arm designs, AMD execution and designs are best in industry. Intel will have to play catch-up and giant leaps to even start taking gains here
 

Hitman928

Diamond Member
Apr 15, 2012
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That's why I don't see how Intel can continue with the fabs long term without their 90% market server share.

They could, but then they need to attract multiple customers with high volume orders. In order to due that, they need both a competitive node and the capacity to support those customers. Problem is, Intel also needs to have capacity for their own products to at least some significant degree so there is naturally some friction there, even more so if they do actually obtain fab tech leadership again. Without a full spin-off of Intel fabs, I think their path to success is extremely narrow. We'll see how well Pat can walk a tight rope. So far, it hasn't gone that great.
 
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jur

Member
Nov 23, 2016
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Any word on SRF production? Shouldn't 20A also be in volume production now? They were targeting q2 launch.
 

Mopetar

Diamond Member
Jan 31, 2011
8,149
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People are a little too hard on Pat. There's really only so much you can do when your product lead times can be longer than the time he's been CEO.

There was no chance of having the Intel ship fully turned around by now and their only chance of looking good was everyone else failing worse than they had.

They still have a way to go before the bad decisions of the past decade stop haunting them.
 

Ghostsonplanets

Senior member
Mar 1, 2024
701
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Trying to find a reliable source, but apparently Gelsinger has said that Intel can't supply enough Intel 4/3 wafers for MTL and Q2 guidance will also be weak for client due to this.

How do they plan to reach 40M AI PCs EoY if they can't supply themselves? Are they expecting Lunar Lake to compose the majority of this 40M AI PCs sales?
Shouldn't 20A also be in volume production now?
20A is a test node with only one DT die fabbed on it. It won't be a volume node.
 
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