News Intel 2Q24 Financial Results

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FlameTail

Diamond Member
Dec 15, 2021
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My point earlier was that when Pat took the job, they needed to have a strategy that would get them their 90% server market share back.
Is that even realistically possible?

Thr resurgent AMD of today is far stronger. Even if Intel took all of AMD's marketshare (and that's a big IF), it still wouldn't be 90% of the pie. Remember that ARM also has a growing presence in servers, and all the hypercalers are using it (Amazon- Graviton, Microsoft - Cobalt, Google - Axion, etc...)
 
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DavidC1

Golden Member
Dec 29, 2023
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Is that even realistically possible?

Thr resurgent AMD of today is far stronger. Even if Intel took all of AMD's marketshare (and that's a big IF), it still wouldn't be 90% of the pie. Remember that ARM also has a growing presence in servers, and all the hypercalers are using it (Amazon- Graviton, Microsoft - Cobalt, Google - Axion, etc...)
When you lose shares because you are behind, you aren't just losing volumes, but revenue per unit sold, plus margins because you can't sell as many high end products.

So if they were competitive enough to beat AMD, then the situation would improve fast.
 

Doug S

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2020
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Why would anybody? Even if I were qualified, I wouldn't want it. Not even for $17M /year salary. That's a sinking ship.

With a depressed stock price, stock option packages are potentially worth a LOT of money if Intel turns things around. Which is more risky, trying to help a formerly great company reinvent itself for the future, or taking a 1 in 100 shot at some startup?
 

TESKATLIPOKA

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May 1, 2020
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Joe NYC

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Does it make sense to you that TSMC gave Intel a 40% discount? Why would they do that? Doesn't make any sense for them to give such a big discount.

Early in the life of N3, there were some problems / delays / lower then expected specs on N3B. Many customers (including AMD) altered their roadmaps and stayed on N5/N4.

TSMC probably had unsold capacity, a bunch of it, so they gave Intel incentives. Just my speculation.
 

TESKATLIPOKA

Platinum Member
May 1, 2020
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Early in the life of N3, there were some problems / delays / lower then expected specs on N3B. Many customers (including AMD) altered their roadmaps and stayed on N5/N4.

TSMC probably had unsold capacity, a bunch of it, so they gave Intel incentives. Just my speculation.
With 40% discount It would be cheaper than N5/N4 in my opinion.
So even with problems It should have been an interesting choice.
 

desrever

Senior member
Nov 6, 2021
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Some speculation that makes sense to me, TSMC was trying to "first ones free" Intel by giving them a bunch of N3 for "cheap" so that Intel gets addicted to using TSMC instead of their own fabs.

Also Intel booked that capacity super early and before the pandemic boom, TSMC probably didn't have that many large customers signed on N3 at that point. The 40% "discount" could just be price of N3 in 2020 vs price of N3 today.
 

Doug S

Platinum Member
Feb 8, 2020
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Does it make sense to you that TSMC gave Intel a 40% discount? Why would they do that? Doesn't make any sense for them to give such a big discount.

When Apple started using N3B reports were that the yields were in the 50-60% range, which is why Apple got KGD pricing. If they wouldn't give Intel similar KGD pricing they would have to give them some sort of discount to reflect that while N3B yields would probably improve somewhat over time they were never going to be the 90% range typical of TSMC nodes once they enter mass production.
 
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jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
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Also Intel booked that capacity super early and before the pandemic boom, TSMC probably didn't have that many large customers signed on N3 at that point. The 40% "discount" could just be price of N3 in 2020 vs price of N3 today.

N3B is like a completely different node than N3E and the future updates.
 

TESKATLIPOKA

Platinum Member
May 1, 2020
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When Apple started using N3B reports were that the yields were in the 50-60% range, which is why Apple got KGD pricing. If they wouldn't give Intel similar KGD pricing they would have to give them some sort of discount to reflect that while N3B yields would probably improve somewhat over time they were never going to be the 90% range typical of TSMC nodes once they enter mass production.
If there was a discount lets say those 40% because of poor yields, then TSMC can't just say It wants the full amount. They had to have a contract with Intel. If the contract will expire in the near future, then I can understand there won't be any more discounts and this will finally make sense to me.
 

Ghostsonplanets

Senior member
Mar 1, 2024
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Back when the Bob Swan TSMC deal was reported, there was talks that TSMC sweetened the pricing as to try to convince Intel to use their fabs exclusively.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
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All this talk about Intel regaining their previous dominant marketshare assumes /implies that it was their birthright and the natural order of things. It never was.

Precisely. It is not deserved. The market share Intel has is not thanks to merit of Intel's products. If market share reflected merit of the products, Intel would have 40% market share, not 80% market share.
 
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ondma

Diamond Member
Mar 18, 2018
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Does it make sense to you that TSMC gave Intel a 40% discount? Why would they do that? Doesn't make any sense for them to give such a big discount.
Yea, that article was long on opinion, assumptions and innuendo, but pretty short on hard facts. It certainly seems unlikely Intel would get such a large discount, and even less likely that TSMC would rescind it because somebody made a comment that offended them. If the discount was "real" wouldnt there have been some sort of contract signed that could not be voided?
 

ondma

Diamond Member
Mar 18, 2018
3,041
1,555
136
Precisely. It is not deserved. The market share Intel has is not thanks to merit of Intel's products. If market share reflected merit of the products, Intel would have 40% market share, not 80% market share.
Maybe, but how much capacity does AMD have? Can they provide chips for 40% or 60% or more of the market?
 

maddie

Diamond Member
Jul 18, 2010
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Maybe, but how much capacity does AMD have? Can they provide chips for 40% or 60% or more of the market?
AMD has no capacity.

The question should be, "how much capacity does TSMC have ?". Seeing that Intel is also using TSMC for their latest, then one could answer, "a lot", as AMD gaining will be Intel losing, so a sort of exchange.
 
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jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
15,292
5,805
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If there was a discount lets say those 40% because of poor yields, then TSMC can't just say It wants the full amount. They had to have a contract with Intel. If the contract will expire in the near future, then I can understand there won't be any more discounts and this will finally make sense to me.

Keep in mind that Intel normally sells a client product for 3 years. I suppose it's possible that the contract they signed wasn't going to cover the entire lifecycle of Arrow and Lunar.
 

Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
26,258
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When is Q3 coming ? You said Thursday, Its almost Noon Thursday PST.
 

Joe NYC

Platinum Member
Jun 26, 2021
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It doesn't change overnight. They'll keep increasing capacity and eating Intel's lunch slowly and surely.

This quarter may be a good example of that. AMD gained +26% revenue from last quarter in client while Intel is going to report far less than that QoQ. Probably up only in single digit percentage.

We will see in a couple of hours.
 

Markfw

Moderator Emeritus, Elite Member
May 16, 2002
26,258
15,390
136
This quarter may be a good example of that. AMD gained +26% revenue from last quarter in client while Intel is going to report far less than that QoQ. Probably up only in single digit percentage.

We will see in a couple of hours.
2 PM PST ??
 
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