Considering how poorly Intel are doing despite their supposedly awesome 14nm process, and that mobile guys aren't letting off steam at all, I'd say the chances are pretty large.
I find it amazing how guys like Nvidia put out so much better perf/watt gains on their GPU at the same process generation than Intel did with a process jump. So much for their process lead, when they can't take advantage of their supposedly marvelous tech.
Somebody needs to tell me how the "40% transistor performance gain" they claimed with their 14nm process isn't showing in any of their product lines, even in embarassingly parallel GPUs. That means a) Intel's process sucks b) Intel's process is good but the CPU is horrible. If their CPU sucks and process is good, than how much better are competitor designs if they were on Intel's 14nm? If Intel's process sucks and CPU is ok than they should wrap up their process guys and go send it to TSMC/Samsung.
Do you want a real proof of what a good product was? Core 2. It was genuinely faster than everything else. Synthetics, Games, "Competitor optimized" applications, 64-bit, you name it. The power use was awesome. Another decent one was Sandy Bridge, it was even priced right!
Not to speak somewhere out of line with my knowledge, but what you're saying seems a little bit... pessimistic is the word?
The process is good. There's no doubts about it. The process surpasses competitor processes in equivalent usecases. Of course, I can't provide an exactly equivalent usecase because no Intel arch is on anything but Intel process, but from the results we're getting for power consumption and performance, the process is doing it's job damn well.
The CPU, atleast in the x86 field, is the best there is for the purpose. Outside of x86 and into ARM, the only real competitor IIRC would be Apple's offerings which don't exactly compete for the same consumer base (same platform, yes, but different consumers of that platform.)
Either way, using TSMC or Samsung for Intel SKUs would oversaturate the two companies. TSMC is having trouble keeping up pumping out Apple's 20nm requests alone let alone having to handle the grotesquely large production numbers that Intel would expect. There isn't any other option for Intel really. Their own process or nothing. Every other relevant foundry is simply far too busy.
The iGP is a different story and the performance disappointments there are easily attributed to lack of experience.