Intel Cannonlake 10 nm delayed, introducing KabyLake

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Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
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First and foremost consensus isn't needed to achieve what you want, plus if you are admiting by yourself that the technologies under the same marketing name aren't the same, what's the point in comparing them? Better to ask "when will manufacturer XYZ release a node with the following parameters" than using a meaningless marketing moniker.

Sure, fair enough. But do you think TSMC/Samsung 10 nm at least will be better than Intel 14 nm in general?

In that case if TSMC/Samsung release their 10 nm before Intel releases their 10 nm, TSMC/Samsung will have the process tech crown until Intel release their 10 nm. Yes?
 
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mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
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Sure, fair enough. But do you think TSMC/Samsung 10 nm at least will be better than Intel 14 nm in general?

No, I don't. So far Samsung 14nm isn't exactly high volume (and that doesn't bode well for that incompetent partner of them) so whatever they are achieving in terms of TTM they are losing in terms of commercial viability. It's too early to talk about Samsung 10nm when their 14nm isn't exactly shining.
 

Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
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No, I don't. So far Samsung 14nm isn't exactly high volume (and that doesn't bode well for that incompetent partner of them) so whatever they are achieving in terms of TTM they are losing in terms of commercial viability. It's too early to talk about Samsung 10nm when their 14nm isn't exactly shining.

What evidence do you have to back up your statement that TSMC and Samsung 10 nm is worse than Intel 14 nm?
 

ShintaiDK

Lifer
Apr 22, 2012
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Samsung/GloFo 14nm is so bad they now need TSMC to carry 30% of A9 as well.

3 foundries to supply 1 consumer with what, 100-200 million 100m2 chips a year. Depending how many will be lastest model.

Intel outmanufactors all of them combined with ease in the latest node. And then we dont have to mention how suppair the others are in relation to Intel.
 
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mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
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What evidence do you have to back up your statement that TSMC and Samsung 10 nm is worse than Intel 14 nm?
I'm just saying that if Samsung is having trouble mastering their 14nm process 10nm won't be any easier (same for Intel)
 

Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
3,926
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Samsung/GloFo 14nm is so bad they now need TSMC to carry 30% of A9 as well.

3 foundries to supply 1 consumer with what, 100-200 million 100m2 chips a year. Depending how many will be lastest model.

This thread is about 10 nm, not 14 nm.

And what is your official source for that statement anyway? Or is it just rumors?
 

Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
3,926
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I'm just saying that if Samsung is having trouble mastering their 14nm process 10nm won't be any easier (same for Intel)

You mean just like Intel has problems mastering 14 nm, got yield problems, and kept delaying it?

An answer to the actual question I asked would be nice too...
 

ShintaiDK

Lifer
Apr 22, 2012
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What evidence do you have to back up your statement that TSMC and Samsung 10 nm is worse than Intel 14 nm?

Considering how for example TSMC outright calls a 20nm FF node for 16nm. And we already seen that transistor wise is quite bigger for both on 14/16nm vs Intels 14nm. Whats your edvidence that they wont do a PR stunt again and actually beat or at least equal Intel?
 

Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
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Considering how for example TSMC outright calls a 20nm FF node for 16nm. And we already seen that transistor wise is quite bigger for both on 14/16nm vs Intels 14nm. Whats your edvidence that they wont do a PR stunt again and actually beat or at least equal Intel?

Well, Intel 22 nm was similar when they stepped over to FinFET. The transistor density did not increase as much then either compared to 32 nm.

Anyway, I take it you have no evidence for the situation on 10 nm, just speculation based on past experiences and opinions of yours.
 
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ShintaiDK

Lifer
Apr 22, 2012
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Well, Intel 22 nm was similar when they stepped over to FinFET. The transistor density did not increase as much then either compared to 32 nm.

It would be much easier if you actually did some research first.

Intel 32nm 0.171um2 SRAM cell size.
Intel 22nm 0.092um2 SRAM cell size.

http://download.intel.com/pressroom/kits/advancedtech/pdfs/Natarajan_iedm_2008_32nm_foils.pdf
http://www.intel.com/content/dam/ww...ilicon-technology-leadership-presentation.pdf


http://www.anandtech.com/show/4313/...nm-3d-trigate-transistors-shipping-in-2h-2011
 

dark zero

Platinum Member
Jun 2, 2015
2,655
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I wonder if Intel will finally ditch nVIDIA on the Laptop segment at least on bottom to mid tier.
 

Fjodor2001

Diamond Member
Feb 6, 2010
3,926
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Yeah, sorry. I mixed that up with some other "one time penalty" aspect of FinFET. Probably that there was a discussion on the forum whether the low frequency increase we saw on 22 nm was a one time penalty when going to FinFET.
 
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jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
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The other question becomes what will Intel do for LGA desktops in 2017 given that Cannonlake is rumored to be BGA only. That is of course unless they end up skipping Cannonlake entirely and just go ahead with After Cannonlake. If OEMs demand it they could certainly release "desktop" 35?/65? W BGA models alongside a Kabylake refresh (?)
 

dark zero

Platinum Member
Jun 2, 2015
2,655
138
106
If Intel goes BGA that would be a WORSE movement than AMD Bulldozer... People wants upgradeable and replacablle chips, not crap that iis soldered. If the MoBo dies, we can move the processor on LGA,PGA while BGA is an automatic death sentence.

Only the extreme fanboy would like that suicidal movement.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
14,840
5,456
136
If Intel goes BGA that would be a WORSE movement than AMD Bulldozer... People wants upgradeable and replacablle chips, not crap that iis soldered. If the MoBo dies, we can move the processor on LGA,PGA while BGA is an automatic death sentence.

Only the extreme fanboy would like that suicidal movement.

People don't care about upgradability. It's really up to the OEMs whether they care enough to insist on future LGA models, but that's more about upselling than upgradability. In any case, the rumor only applies to Cannonlake specifically and not any future product after that.
 

ehume

Golden Member
Nov 6, 2009
1,511
73
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If Intel goes BGA that would be a WORSE movement than AMD Bulldozer... People wants upgradeable and replacablle chips, not crap that iis soldered. If the MoBo dies, we can move the processor on LGA,PGA while BGA is an automatic death sentence.

Only the extreme fanboy would like that suicidal movement.
I just had my Z97 motherboard die with an electric snap. Got another, swapped the CPU and I'm good to go. If it were soldered in, I would have lost both.
 
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