Originally posted by: cmdrdredd
Originally posted by: Pabster
Originally posted by: cmdrdredd
My argument is that the majority of people in the marketplace don't have any use for this, and won't for a long time. Dual Core I can see because it's so reasonably priced at the moment, plus there's gonna be a necessity for dual core CPUs in the not too very distant future.
True enough. It is a minority, and it will be a minority who jump on the quad-core bandwagon.
That said, quad core won't be "unreasonably priced" for long. I think 2007 will see them shift in to the mainstream and by late in the year to 2008 they'll be priced comparably to Conroe's today. IMHO, of course.
I don't think that is going to happen. I think Dual Core will be mainstream and quads will be expensive comparatively. Furthermore most everyday apps will take advantage of dual core but may not fully use a quad core to the fullest. This is how it currently works as someone said earlier. The boost from 2-4 cores wasn't very large on most apps that you would likely see in use all the time. There's really just a handful of apps that show a marked boost in performance. The same could be said about a single core to a dual core, but as I said dual core will become necessary and it's cheap enough.
And this is based on? Dual Core was introduced cheaply by Intel because their performance wasn't that good in comparison to the X2, while the X2 were priced in the 500-1000US range at first, over time they too fell to more reasonable levels.
Quad Core will be expensive at first, but will filter down to the mainstream over time, it will take somewhat longer simply because there won't be a "bad" Quad Core from either party at first. The Core 2 Extreme QX6700 will be the only Quad Core product in town hence the 999US price tag, though a Q6600 is on it's way for Q1 2007. Once Intel's hits the 45nm node then Quad Core can start filtering to the mainstream.
1 Core to 2 Cores only brought about gains in certain things, not everything either, and were only starting to go forward on more programs being desifned for 2, slowly this will shift over to 4 as well, but Intel and AMD need to continue to reduce prices on them.
Dual Core will become necessary, over time, but you can say that about Quad Core, though it's just further down the road then Dual Core.
It's as expected though at this stage of development, some programs take advantage of Dual Core on desktop, even less can take advantage of Quad Core now, this will of course change over time.