If I had to guess I would say 15-20%
I'm sorry but that's a completely uneducated guess.
Here are the facts. The Haswell architecture will heavily focus on performance/Watt, due to the ultrabook market they wish/need to expand into. Aggressively increasing the IPC compromises performance/Watt, so that is unacceptable. Sandy/Ivy Bridge are already highly tuned for performance/Watt, so there's little or no headroom for further improvement. Last but not least, they are adding AVX2 and TSX to improve performance by exploiting DLP and TLP, instead of ILP, since such technology vastly improves performance/Watt.
So please don't make any guesses without presenting any theory to support it. Exactly what architectural changes would improve IPC by as much as 15-20%, without compromising performance/Watt?
Mark my words. For some workloads Haswell will be
over twice as fast for a given power envelope. Any IPC enhancements will play a negligible role in that.