Intel Investor Meeting 2015: November 19

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dealcorn

Senior member
May 28, 2011
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4
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Intel remains late to market for a mobile SoC with integrated modem. The tone of this discussion may change once Intel delivers this functionality. Is it really a surprise than Intel's decision to outsource aspects of mobile SoC development to Spreadtrum and Rockchip results in reduced mobile R&D?
 

IntelUser2000

Elite Member
Oct 14, 2003
8,686
3,785
136
Yea, I agree. I am far from an expert on this, but IMO, intel needed 14nm to be a compelling product in mobile, cheap and efficient enough to overcome their lack of integration. Instead they got delay after delay, poor yields, and mediocre performance. Their is a lot of criticism of Sklylake for lack of performance gains, but to me, nothing is more disappointing than 14nm atom.

PCWatch's Hiroshige Goto speculates lack of 14nm yields and high variation resulted in Skylake's mediocre perf/clock gain. His reasoning is that the widened execution pipeline is essentially negated by a longer pipeline - higher clock potential also means it can clock lower for lower variation and better yields.

My guess is if its true, its not a significant increase. Maybe 10%? We may be at 18 now, very close to the post-Trace Cache stage of Pentium 4.

Do you know what designing a CPU architecture to run at twice the frequency does to density?

He could be right in a general sense. That in addition to superior execution by Apple's CPU design teams. Certainly they are delivering at a rate that should terrify Intel.

It's not all about technology. Human part probably plays an even bigger role. Apple isn't distracted by having to focus suddenly to a different market, like Intel does. Intel basically had to do a 180 degree turn(still doing it) to fit for "mobiles". That probably hurt everything from architecture to process. That's not good for people with a mindset that essentially had the same goal for its entire existence. We thought power focus with Core 2 was big, but since the introduction of the iPhone Core 2 became essentially a blip on the radar.
 
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Thala

Golden Member
Nov 12, 2014
1,355
653
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Maybe for a chip that was designed using min VCC, max length transistors, and ultra high vt cells you could double your frequency by adjusting those variables, however - You're assuming Apple is using all high-vt cells for their A9, I highly doubt that is the case.

Now this finally is an argument. We just do not know at which techology point the actual A9X operates. However beeing an around 5W TDP design it is certain that it is using a low leakage high VT cells and operates probably not much above nominal voltage. So there must be headroom.
And no, i am not talking min VCC. Min VCC to max overdrive voltage gives you much! higher factors than just 2.
Look at SoFIA (Atom X3) for example. Silvermont architecture is limited to 1.2GHz at TSMC C28LP and that is already with overdrive voltage.
With other words you are much too pessimistic.

"Just" changing VTs and voltages doesn't mean your density won't take a hit. As you say you can use overdrive voltages, but chip size is still going to increase when you have to widen your clock nets and power grid for reliability at higher voltages and when your route dominated paths don't scale anywhere close to 2x from voltage and you have to start widening or adding drive cells.

Depends on the design. Adding driving cells might or might not be necessary. I agree here that chance is you are loosing density.

Nobody bins for FF in mobile either, at least that I'm aware of. Maybe Apple has cash to burn on low yields though

Thats what i am saying. Currently no-one bins in mobile as far as i am aware of. However binning is usual for likes of Skylake and that is another option for Apple when they are shooting for higher frequencies.
 
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raghu78

Diamond Member
Aug 23, 2012
4,093
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They do. The high performance CPU 14nm process is known as P1272, and the SoC process (which offers transistor/interconnect options that span low power to high performance and very dense to not-so-dense) is known as P1273.

Do we know if Skylake Core M uses P1273(low power, high density) or P1272 (high performance) process ?
 

raghu78

Diamond Member
Aug 23, 2012
4,093
1,475
136

I think Intel would be well served with a Skylake Core M based on P1273 process. I am thinking Intel is forced to use P1272 because of the very high turbo boost clocks on the top of the line Core M m7 SKUs. We know that Intel is using the high performance process to reach those higher clocks. But in the sub 5W space Intel is better off optimizing for highest power efficiency than high turbo clocks in excess of 3 Ghz. I think with a P1273 design then Intel will be able to go after sustained peak performance without throttling rather than bursty performance.

Apple has shown with A9/A9X that a wide CPU with 1.85- 2.26 Ghz clocks built on a high density low power process is great for performance and efficiency. A9's key advantage is sustained performance without throttling even after hours of benchmarking. Intel can also go for larger caches with a high density process which would increase IPC as most apps benefit from high speed low latency caches.
 
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Mar 10, 2006
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I think Intel would be well served with a Skylake Core M based on P1273 process. I am thinking Intel is forced to use P1272 because of the very high turbo boost clocks on the top of the line Core M m7 SKUs. We know that Intel is using the high performance process to reach those higher clocks. But in the sub 5W space Intel is better off optimizing for highest power efficiency than high turbo clocks in excess of 3 Ghz. I think with a P2173 design then Intel will be able to go after sustained peak performance without throttling rather than bursty performance.

Apple has shown with A9/A9X that a wide CPU with 1.85- 2.26 Ghz clocks built on a high density low power process is great for performance and efficiency. A9's key advantage is sustained performance without throttling even after hours of benchmarking. Intel can also go for larger caches with a high density process which would increase IPC as most apps benefit from high speed low latency caches.

So what you're saying is that they should make an Atom architecture that doesn't suck and is targeted specifically at these low power levels. I agree.
 

raghu78

Diamond Member
Aug 23, 2012
4,093
1,475
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So what you're saying is that they should make an Atom architecture that doesn't suck and is targeted specifically at these low power levels. I agree.

Actually I am saying Intel should ditch Atom and use their big cores to power their entire product line from smartphones/tablets to desktops/notebooks and servers/workstations. The low power high density design should be used in phones and tablets and the high performance design should be used in the rest of the product stack. There can be CPU core level differences (like AVX 512 and other server features) for CPU cores used in server and workstation chips. But the core microarchitecture can be same across the entire product stack. It would be awesome.
 
Aug 11, 2008
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Maybe, I really dont know enough about cpu architecture to know if core architecture is suited for phone/tablet use. But the "problem" with this, is core would have to be priced quite cheaply to compete in phone/tablet uses. Having the same architecture for low end would make it awkward at best to charge 5 times as much for a bigger core chip.
 

NTMBK

Lifer
Nov 14, 2011
10,269
5,134
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Actually I am saying Intel should ditch Atom and use their big cores to power their entire product line from smartphones/tablets to desktops/notebooks and servers/workstations. The low power high density design should be used in phones and tablets and the high performance design should be used in the rest of the product stack. There can be CPU core level differences (like AVX 512 and other server features) for CPU cores used in server and workstation chips. But the core microarchitecture can be same across the entire product stack. It would be awesome.

Or alternatively, it would make the Snapdragon 810 look like the paragon of efficiency. We don't know enough about how well the core scales to know if it is any good for phones. I'm sure Intel has run the simulations.
 

dark zero

Platinum Member
Jun 2, 2015
2,655
138
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Or alternatively, it would make the Snapdragon 810 look like the paragon of efficiency. We don't know enough about how well the core scales to know if it is any good for phones. I'm sure Intel has run the simulations.

Also we don't know how Android reacts well in this.. Unless Intel ditch Android and goes PC Windows 10 all the way
 

mrmt

Diamond Member
Aug 18, 2012
3,974
0
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Actually I am saying Intel should ditch Atom and use their big cores to power their entire product line from smartphones/tablets to desktops/notebooks and servers/workstations. The low power high density design should be used in phones and tablets and the high performance design should be used in the rest of the product stack. There can be CPU core level differences (like AVX 512 and other server features) for CPU cores used in server and workstation chips. But the core microarchitecture can be same across the entire product stack. It would be awesome.

The Atom line used to be much more IP friendly than the Core line, this alone would be a deal breaker on the mobile market.
 

dark zero

Platinum Member
Jun 2, 2015
2,655
138
106
The Atom line used to be much more IP friendly than the Core line, this alone would be a deal breaker on the mobile market.
However the Atom line now is so bad that is time to put the Core line on the front lines and move the Atoms on the only place they can deal some good performance: Xeon Phi
 

witeken

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2013
3,899
193
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However the Atom line now is so bad that is time to put the Core line on the front lines and move the Atoms on the only place they can deal some good performance: Xeon Phi
Yeah, or some high density variant, like they have seperate Skylakes for Core i and Xeon.
 

AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,361
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Intel lost the Tablet and Smart-Phone wars because they didnt want to compete against their own Big cores. The badly castrated ATOM for years, especially latest 14nm ATOM could be the best CPU for the tablet market but noooo, they castrated to hell because they wanted to push Core-M.
Good lack competing against ARM CPUs using Intels big core x86 designs for the Tablet and Phone market.
 

Hans de Vries

Senior member
May 2, 2008
321
1,018
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www.chip-architect.com


At Intel's Investor meeting they tell the public that the A9 (from TSMC)
has a lower (??!!) transistor density as the A8.

One wonders if they really belief that themselves?

The L3 goes from 4MB to 8MB
The L2 goes from 1MB to 3MB

Only the extra cache brings in 360+ million transistors
increasing the transistor count by almost 20%.

Then there is the increase in GPU size from four
series 6 clusters to six series 7 clusters. A series 7
cluster is significantly more powerful clock for clock
as a series 6 cluster. Then add in all the new extra series
7 features like for instance hardware tesselation.

The real transistor density should be 15% or more higher
at least considering all the added SRAM. The image
below corrects the bar graph further using Intel's own
BDW2+2 numbers (1.3 Billion transistors on 82mm2)

Still being conservative here, A9 densities may be higher.

 
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witeken

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2013
3,899
193
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I won't agree with your conclusion, but your point basically is that Intel has not disclosed the details of their internal research, which makes it hard to do peer review or criticize the data, like you do. Simply because we don't know where it comes from. We just have to trust that Intel's reaearch is thorough.
 

krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
1,595
136


At Intel's Investor meeting they tell the public that the A9 (from TSMC)
has a lower (??!!) transistor density as the A8.

One wonders if they really belief that themselves?

The L3 goes from 4MB to 8MB
The L2 goes from 1MB to 3MB

Only the extra cache brings in 360+ million transistors
increasing the transistor count by almost 20%.

Then there is the increase in GPU increase from four
series 6 clusters to six series 7 clusters. A series 7
is significantly more powerful per cluster clock for clock
as a series 6 cluster. Then add in all the new extra series
7 features like for instance hardware tesselation.

The real transistor density should be 15% or more higher
at least considering of all the added SRAM. The image
below corrects the bar graph further using Intel's own
BDW2+2 numbers (1.3 Billion transistors on 82mm2)

Still being conservative here, A9 densities may be higher.

From a business and brand perspective the density bs from Intel seems very strange. Ofcource they know its wrong but why use this pr crap nobody with insight beliefs?

When i buy server and service provider for driving my business i buy functionality but also trust. I will absolutely not skimp on safety and uptime. Same goes for most others.

Trust comes from a history and takes years to develop. Especially in a situation on dcg where server benefit of going from 22 to 14 nm is minor why make all that pr nonsense and eroding what is absolutely most valuable on the server side; trust.

Its imo plain bad shortsighted topmanagement decision going on. The board needs to intervene and protect the brand. Intel needs to go back like it was. Real and more transparent.

But that also mean to bury Moores law. Now is a new time with new realities. Embrace it - grow from it.
 
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Mar 10, 2006
11,715
2,012
126


At Intel's Investor meeting they tell the public that the A9 (from TSMC)
has a lower (??!!) transistor density as the A8.

One wonders if they really belief that themselves?

The L3 goes from 4MB to 8MB
The L2 goes from 1MB to 3MB

Only the extra cache brings in 360+ million transistors
increasing the transistor count by almost 20%.

Then there is the increase in GPU size from four
series 6 clusters to six series 7 clusters. A series 7
cluster is significantly more powerful clock for clock
as a series 6 cluster. Then add in all the new extra series
7 features like for instance hardware tesselation.

The real transistor density should be 15% or more higher
at least considering all the added SRAM. The image
below corrects the bar graph further using Intel's own
BDW2+2 numbers (1.3 Billion transistors on 82mm2)

Still being conservative here, A9 densities may be higher.


You should contact the SEC if you believe Intel is intentionally misleading/lying to its investors.
 

PaulIntellini

Member
Jun 2, 2015
58
4
71
The A9 has 4 megabytes more L3 Cache and 2 megabytes
more L2 cache compared to the A8.

6 megabytes in total makes 48 megabits Then add extra
buffers, cache tags and so on.

Slide 19:

1) Intel claims that SRAM takes up 28% of the die area for TSMC A9, 30% for A8.
As the 16nm FinFET SRAM cell is nearly the same size as 20nm SRAM cell, there is no big overall density improvement for TSMC A9 from SRAM. FinFET SRAM also needs write assist circuits.

2.) Intel claims that TSMC A9 has 19% die for IO, while A8 is only 13%. As IO has very low density, this decreases the overall density.

3.) 13% is categorized as "other" with unknown density...

My conclusion:
Your pictures seems to suggest that L3 cache density has nearly doubled from TSMC 20nm to TSMC 16nm. How is that possible ?
Maybe A8 actually has more than 4 MB L3 ? Maybe some portion of it is used as fixed function memory.
 
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krumme

Diamond Member
Oct 9, 2009
5,956
1,595
136
Look at ss 20 and 14 nm a57 cores and read up on Andrei stuff. Is there reason to beliewe tsmc is so utterly behind ss?

There is so much technical talk in this and perf and freq plays a big part but non the less the mm2 is straightforward.

Besides why all this comparing to apple? What is that weak sauce crap? Dont they believe in their own stuff?

They are consistently turning a healthy profit. Thats what matters. Not who masters some new process tech first. There is no need to resort to that kind of cheap marketing. They should be proud and show confidence.
 

NostaSeronx

Diamond Member
Sep 18, 2011
3,689
1,224
136
You should contact the SEC if you believe Intel is intentionally misleading/lying to its investors.
It's not misleading if they are using minimum channel length in comparisons. Rather than using production nominal channel length in the comparisons.
 
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