You know, this 2.2x value was calculated by a person at SeekingAlpha, Intel didn't make any statements about 22nm vs 14nm except that it's more than usually. According to this calculation, they are ~35% ahead like they say in that slide.
They're also reducing fin count in many of their circuits. >2x is very feasible when taking that into account.Using Intel's cost per transistor formula used to calculate cost/transistor(picture bellow), if Area density is lower or at 2x ,then cost per transistor scaling is getting higher not lower. So they used 2.2X area density to arrive at higher scaling cost per transistor at 14nm.
But according of their formula, 22nm to 14nm only brings 49,4% density. That is even bellow 2X area density. :whiste:
They're also reducing fin count in many of their circuits. >2x is very feasible when taking that into account.
We'll probably see that at IEDM.That happens when you mix PR and engineering. :thumbsdown:
And what about the electrical characteristics of 14nm ??? they were only focused at area density. They had all the Ioff, IDsat Gate voltages etc illustrated for the 22nm, nothing on 14nm. :\
Intel 22nm = 7200
Intel 14nm = 3640
Intel 14nm = 49,4% smaller than 22nm
So then, Intel's 14nm didn't scale down 2.2 times over 22nm like they communicated using a different slide , but not even 2x according to Intel's own measurements ??
Those process PR wars are the worst ive seen. :thumbsdown:
1.94x (derived from a rough estimate) vs 2.2x (a claim). From someone not as qualified as Bohr, the rough estimate is reasonable but it's sort of like saying: "Oh you can roughly estimate a person's weight by his height * pants size^2 vs a reference model because everyone's a cylinder and uniform in density". Both are pretty good for getting a hand-wavy estimate.
That's how I see the 1.94x estimate. At work, my hand-wavy estimates always come with a +/- 20% (which is made up and not derived from anything) to demonstrate the typical case just to get people off my back to come up with quick estimates vs a more detailed analysis to follow. Maybe I'm just a sloppy engineer.