Intel's response to RyZen.

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LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
So when will its best be released?

Saying that is a bit of a cop-out in the electronics market!!

If we have to wait 6+ months for Skylake-X (KL stepping) then someone could turn around and say AMD's best has not been released yet, Zen+ is "only" 6 months away.


I'd reckon its fair to use that excuse if your waiting <3 months.

SL-X doesn't look like anything special to me. Certainly not a new architecture. I can't see it helping much.

I mean that this is something AMD has been working on for a long time. Whatever Intel has been working on to replace Skylake, has not been released yet.

If we go back 6 months, I wouldn't say that Vishera was AMD's best design, since at that time we knew about Zen.

I don't think Skylake is Intel's best.
 

LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
I wonder what Intel could have done if they were stuck on an inferior node for five years. The best of Intel is yet to come? Is it going to leapfrog SL/KL so that AMD plays catch-up for another five years? Wishful thinking.

Well, it will need to leapfrog SL/KL. I think that's clear.

They surely have the message now. If not, then we will have an AMD monopoly in the sector not too long from now.
 

Atari2600

Golden Member
Nov 22, 2016
1,409
1,655
136
I think Intel is a little daft with their directions if the above link is true:

- The data centre market will continue to rely on a heterogeneous architecture involving x86 CPU and a many thread accelerator (GPU/FPGA). If your x86 core becomes too uncompetitive then you'll struggle to shift your accelerator (see AMD for the past 10 years). I believe they'd be more vulnerable to market share loss in data centres if they didn't continue to innovate their CPUs than the converse.
- I believe the IoT market will end up similar to the wearables market --- folks will wake up and realise that it isn't worth it and the market size isn't anything like what the powerpoint rangers would have you believe. A bit like the tablet market - its also burst a bubble and is now a commodity market anyway.
- Memory.... traditionally a market of wafer thin margins. Is it really logical to move from the high performance x86 market with fat margins into this? I suppose it helps keep the foundaries churning and justify process upgrades, but you'd certainly like the big margin products to be running alongside.
 

moonbogg

Lifer
Jan 8, 2011
10,637
3,095
136
So what does Ryzen do to Intel's big plans to finally give the mainstream 6 cores? Sounds like that plan is tossed out the window now, right? Who wants an expensive 6 core when they can get an 8 core Zen for the same or less? Not to mention by the time coffee lake comes out, 6 cores on the main stream will be really old news by then. I think Intel has no response. I think they will still charge a ton of money for their 8 core parts and only available on the expensive, bloated HEDT platform.
 

AnandThenMan

Diamond Member
Nov 11, 2004
3,980
595
126
AMD matching and even beating Intel is not impressive to some people? Doing so with a tiny fraction of Intel's budget on an inferior node is an incredibly impressive feat of engineering. If that doesn't impress you almost nothing will. Also I recall being told over and over again that competition is not required for Intel to continue innovating and staying on the bleeding edge. I almost started to believe it.

Intel will no doubt respond and we will all be better for it. Hail competition.
 

.vodka

Golden Member
Dec 5, 2014
1,203
1,537
136
So what does Ryzen do to Intel's big plans to finally give the mainstream 6 cores? Sounds like that plan is tossed out the window now, right? Who wants an expensive 6 core when they can get an 8 core Zen for the same or less? Not to mention by the time coffee lake comes out, 6 cores on the main stream will be really old news by then. I think Intel has no response. I think they will still charge a ton of money for their 8 core parts and only available on the expensive, bloated HEDT platform.

Good point!

They'd better "copy paste" two extra cores on Coffeelake at this point if they want it to be relevant.


AMD matching and even beating Intel is not impressive to some people? Doing so with a tiny fraction of Intel's budget on an inferior node is an incredibly impressive feat of engineering. If that doesn't impress you almost nothing will. Also I recall being told over and over again that competition is not required for Intel to continue innovating and staying on the bleeding edge. I almost started to believe it.

Intel will no doubt respond and we will all be better for it. Hail competition.

It's almost as if some people don't want innovation fueled change. They'd rather be happy in stagnation.
 
Reactions: Drazick

Charlie22911

Senior member
Mar 19, 2005
614
228
116
It's interesting that the x99 systems at the AMD event only populated two memory channels.
How dependent on memory bandwidth is Broadwell-E?
 

tamz_msc

Diamond Member
Jan 5, 2017
3,865
3,729
136
It's interesting that the x99 systems at the AMD event only populated two memory channels.
How dependent on memory bandwidth is Broadwell-E?
In Cinebench the consensus is that quad-channel has no perceptible advantage over dual-channel.
 

Absolute0

Senior member
Nov 9, 2005
714
21
81
GF will have 7nm in mass production by mid 2018. So AMD can perfectly have a late launch that year on that process node. Just to clarify some people saying that they won't have access to 7nm until 2020 ( when GF has scheduled 5nm ).

GF says it will be in 7nm mass production; does not mean it is necessarily true. The lithographic processes are getting much more difficult and expensive; we have seen Intel's problems at 10nm, and 7nm is even more difficult. I am casting my doubt on GF claims as per some recommended reading:

http://semiengineering.com/pain-points-at-7nm/

http://semiengineering.com/7nm-fab-challenges/

http://semiengineering.com/battling-fab-cycle-times/

A more salient point is that AMD has specifically stated that Zen will be "Tock, tock, tock" i.e. 4 years on 14nm.
http://wccftech.com/amd-zen-ryzen-naples-processors-four-years-roadmap/

Jim Anderson, senior vice president and general manager of AMD’s Computing and Graphics business, told PCWorld “We’re not going tick-tock,” he said. “Zen is going to be tock, tock, tock.”
So regardless of when GloFo's 7nm comes out, AMD is planning on putting Zen++ on 14nm anyway.

But again, as I stated previously, GloFo will most likely release 7nm more or less "on time" because them and most fabs besides Intel really no longer abide by strictly quantitative naming conventions with these nodes. From most of the transistor density comparisons I've seen, what the other foundries are calling 7nm will be more like ~9nm If Intel named it.

https://semiaccurate.com/2016/09/26/globalfoundries-7nm-process-isnt-even-close-name/
 

rainy

Senior member
Jul 17, 2013
514
439
136
AMD matching and even beating Intel is not impressive to some people? Doing so with a tiny fraction of Intel's budget on an inferior node is an incredibly impressive feat of engineering.

I would fully agree with you about budget, however is really GlobalFoundries process inferior?
I think, it's better than expected, at least for me.

It's almost as if some people don't want innovation fueled change. They'd rather be happy in stagnation.

What they want it's domination of their team/club, nothing else, nothing more.
 

Absolute0

Senior member
Nov 9, 2005
714
21
81
I would fully agree with you about budget, however is really GlobalFoundries process inferior?

In all quantitative comparisons out there, intel's node has tighter dimensions & higher transistor densities than the "same" node from other foundries. So yes.

By adding 12 core CPU to Skylake-X lineup, Intel basically maintains very high margin on highest end part. 1700+$ 7950X will be 12 C/24T. 1099$ will be 10C/20T. 8C/16T - 599$, 6C/12T - 399$.

They have single threaded performance lead with Skylake, they still can maintain high margin prices, for their parts. From marketing point of view, countering both ends, its a masterpiece from Intel.

I think Skylake-X is supposed to be up to 10C20T which will still be handily beating Ryzen 1800X due to more cores and IPC boost of Skylake. However, I have seen nothing of 12C24T Skylake-X so this is most likely a pipedream.

By adding 12 core CPU to Skylake-X lineup, Intel basically maintains very high margin on highest end part. 1700+$ 7950X will be 12 C/24T. 1099$ will be 10C/20T. 8C/16T - 599$, 6C/12T - 399$.

They have single threaded performance lead with Skylake, they still can maintain high margin prices, for their parts. From marketing point of view, countering both ends, its a masterpiece from Intel.

I think Skylake-X is supposed to be up to 10C20T which will still be handily beating Ryzen 1800X due to more cores and IPC boost of Skylake. However, I
The 'war' between Intel and AMD has more or less ended. AMD will compete with some of Intel's product segments, but many segments will remain unopposed. Intel might lose some money, but Intel won't be massively affected.

Intel's problem is fundamentally itself. Intel is a large and profitable organization that has stagnated. Due to this stagnation they throw money at things that don't produce new knowledge/IP or ROI. Intel's graphics for example have only marginally improved, yet they add significant cost to Intel processors and take up significant space. Larrabee was an opportunity to bring needed improvement to their graphics, but gave up on it early. Intel Atom had great potential however Intel wasted the potential of it by subsidizing it rather than spending the money on improving it. Intel acquired companies like McAfee for no good reason. Intel has wasted money on 'diversity and inclusiveness' programs, which produce nothing for the company. Tech companies like Intel already are 'diverse' and have people from around the world, spending money on it for the sake of is not a good use of shareholders money. Intel is a company with lots of resources which it squanders rather than putting to good use. Intel is like that smart kid who has lots of potential but wastes it and ends up doing drugs and partying instead. Finally with Windows on ARM, ARM Chromebooks, ARM Linux Computers, Apple potentially adopting ARM, and ARM server Processors Intel has a challenger even bigger than AMD.

Intel isn't doomed, but unless they can find direction they will continue to stagnate and eventually decline.

Signed,

Signed disgruntled former Intel shareholder.

Also of note

http://www.pcworld.com/article/3022...three-pillarsand-the-pc-isnt-one-of-them.html

There is a lot of truth and good points brought up. Intel is moving onto different things and has definitely wasted a lot of their $. But I actually think the Internet of Things investment, and the self-driving cars investments, are going to pay off. Intel isn't just making the hardware solutions here, but the wireless technologies and the software too. It's not just engineering chips, it's devising platforms which can be broadly applicable.

Another (+) Intel has going for it is the 3DXP memory. The first iteration looks to target some niche market, but there is certainly the potential that the more mature iterations will become standard in every performance PC out there, and with the drive endurance they have demonstrated, may be the next BIG thing with Datacenter.
 

LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
I have a 4790K now. I kind of want to wait a few more months and see what develops with Intel. By then we should have the rest of AMD's lineup, too.

But...the itch to build something is getting strong...
 

cytg111

Lifer
Mar 17, 2008
23,999
13,522
136
And when we know how SL-X performs...

It could have edram like broadwell and clock(over) higher than kaby? We know that skylake likes fast ram, quad channel might give a few notches as well?


So what does Ryzen do to Intel's big plans to finally give the mainstream 6 cores? Sounds like that plan is tossed out the window now, right? Who wants an expensive 6 core when they can get an 8 core Zen for the same or less? Not to mention by the time coffee lake comes out, 6 cores on the main stream will be really old news by then. I think Intel has no response. I think they will still charge a ton of money for their 8 core parts and only available on the expensive, bloated HEDT platform.

- I think maybe Coffeelake *is* Intels counter to Ryzen
 
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LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
It could have edram like broadwell and clock(over) higher than kaby? We know that skylake likes fast ram, quad channel might give a few notches as well?
If it had edram, I think it would cost way too much.
 

LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
It could have edram like broadwell and clock(over) higher than kaby? We know that skylake likes fast ram, quad channel might give a few notches as well?




- I think maybe Coffeelake *is* Intels counter to Ryzen
I think so as well. I think Intel is bringing out CL early. It's probably ready to go.
However, it's supposed to have a new chipset.
I expect some leaks soon.
 

Phynaz

Lifer
Mar 13, 2006
10,140
819
126
I have a 4790K now. I kind of want to wait a few more months and see what develops with Intel. By then we should have the rest of AMD's lineup, too.

But...the itch to build something is getting strong...

I'm waiting until mid April at the latest. AMD is probably getting my $$$ this time around.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
15,177
5,717
136
I think so as well. I think Intel is bringing out CL early. It's probably ready to go.
However, it's supposed to have a new chipset.
I expect some leaks soon.

I don't think Coffee Lake is done TBH. Cannonlake yes but of course that's DC mobile only and the fabs may not be ready yet.
 

lopri

Elite Member
Jul 27, 2002
13,221
612
126
If it had edram, I think it would cost way too much.
Plus it is almost a physical impossibility. 128 MB EDRAM below (Haswell) :



128 MB is nowhere near enough for even mainstream 1080p these days. For 3D and HDR, 256 MB should be a bare minimum. For higher resolutions and multi-monitors, well, the sky is the limit.
 

LTC8K6

Lifer
Mar 10, 2004
28,520
1,575
126
I don't think Coffee Lake is done TBH. Cannonlake yes but of course that's DC mobile only and the fabs may not be ready yet.
The leaks have CL as 1H18, but moved to 2H17 now.

Even if it is 1H18, it must be darn close to ready now?

But leaks...

I would think that if Intel is going to make a move, bringing CL along early makes the most sense.
 
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itsmydamnation

Platinum Member
Feb 6, 2011
2,923
3,550
136
A more salient point is that AMD has specifically stated that Zen will be "Tock, tock, tock" i.e. 4 years on 14nm.
http://wccftech.com/amd-zen-ryzen-naples-processors-four-years-roadmap/

Jim Anderson, senior vice president and general manager of AMD’s Computing and Graphics business, told PCWorld “We’re not going tick-tock,” he said. “Zen is going to be tock, tock, tock.”
So regardless of when GloFo's 7nm comes out, AMD is planning on putting Zen++ on 14nm anyway.
They where talking about architecture its an assumption that it also means process. Just like CON cores each new chip/soc was a uarch refresh they moved form 32nm SOI to 28nm bulk in there as well.

While Anderson’s responsible for bringing Ryzen to market—“you don’t have any idea how many hours I and my team have spent on this,” Anderson said—it’s Papermaster who has to think of the future. When asked how long Zen would last, compared to Intel’s two-year tick-tock cadence, Papermaster confirmed the four-year lifespan and tapped the table in front of him: “We’re not going tick-tock,” he said. “Zen is going to be tock, tock, tock.”
http://www.pcworld.com/article/3155...hitecture-is-expected-to-last-four-years.html

The next Zen will i think 100% be 14nm LLP ( 18)
The Zen after that i think 40% 14 LLP , 40% 14 HP, 20% 7nm ( 19)
The 4th Zen i think will be 100% 7nm ( 2020)
 
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