I will calculate the density improvement of 14nm (I will refer a few times to the image above this post)
* Broadwell's die is 64.5% of Haswell's (the dies of Anand's picture).
* GT2 is 31.9% of
QC i7 die size = 56.46mm².
(If you look at the picture above, you can clearly see that the other 20 EUs are mirrored from the 20 EUs of GT2. I wonder however why I can only see 32 EUs at the die above: the 'Quad-Core' has 4 times 2 EUs and 2 times a single EU, while the 'Dual-Core' has 8 times 2 EUs without the suspected 4 times 1 EU.)
Above the EU in 'Graphics', there is a small portion that I won't count in my calculations (when I took the GT2 percentage of i7 4770's die, that protion was included, but when I subtract 56.46mm² from 181mm², I would have subtracted a non-existent portion of a GT3 die (that only exists in the GT2 portion of the die), but that portion isn't that big that I don't bother).
* If you take the 181mm² dualcore ULT GT3 die, and subtract 56.46mm² from it, and take 64.5% of that number, you get 80.33mm² indeed. Just like someone calculated.
But this isn't where the calculation ends!!!
We need to take into account the extra EUs of Broadwell to be able to calculate the density improvement of Broadwell. Broadwell will have 20% more EUs. The EUs aren't everything of the IGP, but let's assume that the architectural improvements + extra EUs make the whole IGP 30% larger.
* (2*56.46mm² * 1.3) - 2*56.46mm² = 2*16.94mm² = 33.88mm² more area. GT2 is 56.46mm², but we need to know how much extra area a Broadwell GT3 would have, so I multiplied it by 2.
* 181mm² + 34mm² = 215mm² for a 22nm GT3 Broadwell IGP (inside a 181mm² dualcore ULT GT2 Haswell processor, with the IGP replaced by a hypothetical Broadwell IGP).
-We know what the size of a dualcore Haswell with 24 Broadwell EUs is: 214.88mm²
-We know what the size of a dualcore Broadwell GT3 is: 80.33mm²
Divide those guys, and the result is: 2.675
Here you have it:
14nm will give about a 2.675 times density improvement over 22nm.
Fun facts: If you look at the pure numbers, 22nm -> 14nm would give (22nm / 14nm)² = 2.47x density improvement. Also, earlier today I was trying to calculate the improvement via Intel's infamous density slide (vs. TSMC) and I got about 2,7x improvement if I did the assumption that 32->22 would give 2x density improvement and extrapolated the 32->22nm line to 14nm and compared the result of the extrapolated line vs. Intel's 14nm forecast.
Edit: I can't believe I spent quite some time figuring out dualcore GT2 Haswell die size while Intel had already released it while I was typing... (I saw the image above this post, but didn't know it was from a new pipeline story).
Edit 2: Why does it say that ULT Haswell is 180mm²? Please don't say my calculation are wrong ;(
@Khato: Thanks for your useful insights.