Study: Gore Would Have Won Error-Free Florida Vote
12/03/00
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MIAMI (Reuters) - Democrat Al Gore would have beaten Republican George W. Bush in Florida and would now be the president-elect if all the state's contested ballots had been error-free and completely counted, according to an analysis of voting patterns published on Sunday.
The Miami Herald said the analysis it commissioned indicated the Democratic vice president would have won a flawless Florida election by 23,000 votes, capturing the state's key 25 Electoral College votes, which are now officially held by the Republican governor of Texas.
Florida state officials a week ago certified Bush as the winner of the Nov. 7 presidential election by a mere 537 votes out of some 6 million tabulated in the state.
Lawyers for Gore were trying a lawsuit on Sunday alleging flaws in Florida's balloting system and seeking a hand recount in some counties they claim would show Gore won. Other recounts opposed by Bush's lawyers have narrowed Bush's lead over Gore.
For the analysis, the newspaper said its reporters collected data for all of Florida's 5,885 voting precincts, including absentee ballots and those disqualified for such reasons as showing no vote for president or more than one vote for president.
The extra 185,000 uncounted votes were then shared out to Gore, Bush and other minor party candidates, according to ratios drawn from the official tabulations in each precinct. The newspaper said the analysis assumed all ballots included a vote for president, an idea hotly questioned by Republicans.
The newspaper quoted Republicans, who insist the bitter post-election struggle has been clearly settled in Bush's favor, as saying the analysis carried out by journalism professor Stephen Doig of Arizona State University was "statistical voodoo."
Doig told the newspaper Gore's victory statewide would narrow to 1,443 votes but would still hold up even if as much as 90 percent of the 185,000 uncounted ballots were excluded on the assumption those voters were ignoring the presidential election and were voting for just state and local offices.
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