Isaac... part deux. Or is it part trois? Guess who found his way back to the GOMEX

[EagleKeeper]

What they didn't (or the forecasters) didn't anticipate was the stalling off the coast. the bands would dump a crapload of water, head back out to sea, recharge in the gulf then dump again, it's happened off the Tampa/St Pete coast and it's the worst case scenario when/wherever it occurs. In 2008 Tropical storm Fay crossed FL into the Atlantic, regained strength in the gulf stream then came back ashore just north of Daytona, what a friggin mess, then in 2009 an unnamed storm dropped this amount of rain in 4 days, here's a pic link of what the local golf course looked like, http://s239.photobucket.com/albums/ff296/butch100_2007/?action=view&current=waterhole.jpg#!oZZ7QQcurrentZZhttp%3A%2F%2Fs239.photobucket.com%2Falbums%2Fff296%2Fbutch100_2007%2F%3Faction%3Dview%26current%3Dwaterhole.jpg

This is going to flood the lake; start to open the east & west canals to the gulf and Atlantic.

 

[DrPizza]

What they didn't (or the forecasters) didn't anticipate was the stalling off the coast. the bands would dump a crapload of water, head back out to sea, recharge in the gulf then dump again, it's happened off the Tampa/St Pete coast and it's the worst case scenario when/wherever it occurs. In 2008 Tropical storm Fay crossed FL into the Atlantic, regained strength in the gulf stream then came back ashore just north of Daytona, what a friggin mess, then in 2009 an unnamed storm dropped this amount of rain in 4 days, here's a pic link of what the local golf course looked like, http://s239.photobucket.com/albums/...ch100_2007/?action=view&current=waterhole.jpg

Uhhh, actually the storm was widely expected to stall out and not quickly move through the area. I wish I had posted a picture to it - one of the models I saw had Isaac still sitting just off shore the following day at 5pm. The point I made about the levees is very true: storm surge was predicted to be 9 to 12 feet. Some of the levees that were breached early on were built at 8 feet.

 

[BUTCH1]

That being the case then they should have just left ASAP, I didn't follow the forecast much once FL was out of the picture, it's just plain dumb to stay if the predicted surge is 2 feet over the height of a levee..

 

[BergeLSU]

Uhhh, actually the storm was widely expected to stall out and not quickly move through the area. I wish I had posted a picture to it - one of the models I saw had Isaac still sitting just off shore the following day at 5pm. The point I made about the levees is very true: storm surge was predicted to be 9 to 12 feet. Some of the levees that were breached early on were built at 8 feet.

Well I just got power back yesterday from the storm and yes, the people from Braithwaite were told to leave and should have done so. Most people understand that if you are outside the levee system in S LA then you are usually safe with storms.

LaPlace is something that no one really expected. I don't even think there was a "voluntary evacuation" recommended for St. John parish.

 

[DrPizza]

Lucy! I'm home! Look who's back in the gulf, with the potential to strengthen again. Some of the models predict passing over Florida, some into the other Gulf states. Most have him moving along some erratic paths all over the place, while potentially strengthening. Might become a tropical depression or tropical storm again. Or... who knows?

 

[Balt]

Isaac Jr. can stay away this time. I'm not eager to go without power for 6 days again.