It’s official, Donald Trump wants to finish off the Republican Party for good in 2024

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rommelrommel

Diamond Member
Dec 7, 2002
4,389
3,120
146
While a lot of us probably want a catfight between DeSantis and Trump, I have a suspicion that it will end rather quickly and DeSantis will come out on top.

Fox News and a lot of mainstream conservative media have already started their pivot to DeSantis, indictments are likely coming out against Trump, and the GOP establishment have every reason to remove the shit stain that is Trump from their beloved party. I don't think it's unfathomable that a core group of Republicans in Congress decide to sink Trump by letting those indictments fly. It would give them a very convenient reason to dump him. Once he's out of the picture, they can immediately rally around DeSantis and get their base on board. The quicker they do this, the better. More importantly, they likely know that if Trump wins the ticket, the Presidency is likely lost.

What do congresscritters have to do with indictments?

What would be more interesting is an impeachment and trial, it’s an open question if a past president could be impeached for crimes committed while he was in office. I doubt this happens tho.
 
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VRAMdemon

Diamond Member
Aug 16, 2012
6,572
7,823
136
IMO there is zero incentive for DeSantis to engage Trumps trash talking at this point. The way that DeSantis wins is if he steals away the base from Trump in a relatively seamless transition as his star rises and Trump’s star falls. Trump is trying to force a division to cut off DeSantis from his base right from the start. If DeSantis responds in kind he gives Trump what he wants. If he stays quiet, Trump looks more and more petty and desperate and DeSantis appears rational and the strong one. There’s no reason for a currently-popular 44-year-old governor to get into the mud with the orange hog. He can let Trumpy take one last dumpy on the GOP.

I believe DeSantis will run. His ego’s not much smaller than Trump’s and he’s on the upswing in the polls. If he can get Murdoch to commit to him, and Murdoch appears to be done with Trump, 2024 is his best shot. Republicans are not likely to stay excited about him if he sits this election out. And even if he’s defeated in a primary battle, he’ll still have a chance in 2028 if he stays relevant enough.

DeSantis‘ strategy might be secretly hoping the prosecutions against Trump derail Trump’s candidacy while at the same time crusading against these “politically influenced” prosecutions and setting himself up as Trump’s protector against the evil deep state as soon as he’s elected president. Trump is reduced to damsel in distress and DeSantis gets to be the knight in shining armor. DeSantis’ will move to downplay his image as a cruel, vindictive, petty would-be tyrant, he will campaign on a promise to pardon Trump, all Trumpies J6 convicts on a compassionate, “heal-the-country” “put the past behind us” program that, of course, reminds the country that Trump is a thieving POS, even as Trump abuses him on an hourly basis.

Also .... I don’t think Trump would stand for a Trump/DeSantis ticket. I think DeSantis and the so-called “saner” wing of the GOP are just waiting to see what happens when DOJ charges Trump. What will they charge him with? Will they take him into custody? If he’s granted bail (and he probably will be), what will be the conditions of that release? Gag order? How will his supporters react? Once it happens, DeSantis and others (Pence, Pompeo, Hogan, DeWine, et. al) will have a better idea of which way to jump.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,775
49,434
136
IMO there is zero incentive for DeSantis to engage Trumps trash talking at this point. The way that DeSantis wins is if he steals away the base from Trump in a relatively seamless transition as his star rises and Trump’s star falls. Trump is trying to force a division to cut off DeSantis from his base right from the start. If DeSantis responds in kind he gives Trump what he wants. If he stays quiet, Trump looks more and more petty and desperate and DeSantis appears rational and the strong one. There’s no reason for a currently-popular 44-year-old governor to get into the mud with the orange hog. He can let Trumpy take one last dumpy on the GOP.

I believe DeSantis will run. His ego’s not much smaller than Trump’s and he’s on the upswing in the polls. If he can get Murdoch to commit to him, and Murdoch appears to be done with Trump, 2024this is his best shot. Republicans are not likely to stay excited about him if he sits this election out. And even if he’s defeated in a primary battle, he’ll still have a chance in 2028 if he stays relevant enough.

DeSantis‘ strategy might be secretly hoping the prosecutions against Trump derail Trump’s candidacy while at the same time crusading against these “politically influenced” prosecutions and setting himself up as Trump’s protector against the evil deep state as soon as he’s elected president. Trump is reduced to damsel in distress and DeSantis gets to be the knight in shining armor. DeSantis’ will move to downplay his image as a cruel, vindictive, petty would-be tyrant, he will campaign on a promise to pardon Trump, all Trumpies J6 convicts on a compassionate, “heal-the-country” “put the past behind us” program that, of course, reminds the country that Trump is a thieving POS, even as Trump abuses him on an hourly basis.

Also .... I don’t think Trump would stand for a Trump/DeSantis ticket. I think DeSantis and the so-called “saner” wing of the GOP are just waiting to see what happens when DOJ charges Trump. What will they charge him with? Will they take him into custody? If he’s granted bail (and he probably will be), what will be the conditions of that release? Gag order? How will his supporters react? Once it happens, DeSantis and others (Pence, Pompeo, Hogan, DeWine, et. al) will have a better idea of which way to jump.
I think DeSantis won't be able to sit around for that long if Trump starts going after him.

That being said, if DeSantis is smart he will absolutely run in 2024. People who wait for the perfect opportunity often end up waiting forever (hi, Chris Christie) and he's got a credible shot now.
 
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VRAMdemon

Diamond Member
Aug 16, 2012
6,572
7,823
136
I think DeSantis won't be able to sit around for that long if Trump starts going after him.

That being said, if DeSantis is smart he will absolutely run in 2024. People who wait for the perfect opportunity often end up waiting forever (hi, Chris Christie) and he's got a credible shot now.

Quite possibly true. DeSantis will have to keep in mind that if he wants to lure Trumps lunatic fringe base to him, he can’t think ahead to the general election. The MAGA base don’t want policy statements. They don’t want statesmanship. They don’t want ideas, direction or plans. They want a show. They want simple slogans, insults and childish nicknames. This is what will motivate the MAGA primary voter.

He’ll need to come up with a simplistic slogan. One that demonstrates he hates the same people they do - keeping it general enough so that the hated out-group exists in the mind of the hater. He’ll need to come up with a couple of nicknames for Trump, and use them over and over again. He’ll need to show that he’s a bigger bully than Trump. That is what the MAGA voters will respond to. We'll see how he responds. But the smart thing to do will be to ignore Trumps attacks.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,775
49,434
136
Quite possibly true. DeSantis will have to keep in mind that if he wants to lure Trumps lunatic fringe base to him, he can’t think ahead to the general election. The MAGA base don’t want policy statements. They don’t want statesmanship. They don’t want ideas, direction or plans. They want a show. They want simple slogans, insults and childish nicknames. This is what will motivate the MAGA primary voter.

He’ll need to come up with a simplistic slogan. One that demonstrates he hates the same people they do - keeping it general enough so that the hated out-group exists in the mind of the hater. He’ll need to come up with a couple of nicknames for Trump, and use them over and over again. He’ll need to show that he’s a bigger bully than Trump. That is what the MAGA voters will respond to. We'll see how he responds. But the smart thing to do will be to ignore Trumps attacks.
I agree with the overall focus on culture war (and it’s clear DeSantis does too, unfortunately) If Trump decides to go after him though he will have to respond. If you let your primary opponent shit on you for six months without saying anything they will bury you.

DeSantis has the backing of a bunch of right wing media it would appear but he’s got to keep them. Right wing media much more than mainstream media does not want Trump because for mainstream media the goal is to make money (Trump = clicks) while for right wing media the goal is ideological (Trump = losing elections). Trump is very good at getting attention but very bad at winning elections.
 
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Heartbreaker

Diamond Member
Apr 3, 2006
4,262
5,259
136
Quite possibly true. DeSantis will have to keep in mind that if he wants to lure Trumps lunatic fringe base to him, he can’t think ahead to the general election. The MAGA base don’t want policy statements. They don’t want statesmanship. They don’t want ideas, direction or plans. They want a show. They want simple slogans, insults and childish nicknames. This is what will motivate the MAGA primary voter.

He’ll need to come up with a simplistic slogan. One that demonstrates he hates the same people they do - keeping it general enough so that the hated out-group exists in the mind of the hater. He’ll need to come up with a couple of nicknames for Trump, and use them over and over again. He’ll need to show that he’s a bigger bully than Trump. That is what the MAGA voters will respond to. We'll see how he responds. But the smart thing to do will be to ignore Trumps attacks.

Look at all the crazy COVID, social media laws he created in Florida. DeSantis knows how to speak to the loony Trump base, and he clearly won Florida in the mid-term, so he know how to keep them on board for an election.

Trump winning the nomination would be a gift. DeSantis winning would be a nightmare.

Unfortunately the nightmare seems much more likely.

I think Biden would beat Trump on a rematch, but I think DeSantis would beat Biden.
 
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Greenman

Lifer
Oct 15, 1999
20,633
5,323
136
Ok, I'll need some context here. Not sure what the latest narrative is in Cloud Coocooland, or WTF "Phil"is.

But... I take it the nutters are pissed bc saying he is running for 24 means he's not coming back in..22, 23, or whatever, and the fabled Storm was in fact, just madness and fakery?

..And since it's not happening now, Trump, and Phil, suck and must be burned at the stake?

... Or maybe they should consider it was fking nuts maybe? Wait, no... Definitely burn at the stake.
The Q's I chat with aren't disillusioned at all. It's still Trump
I agree with the overall focus on culture war (and it’s clear DeSantis does too, unfortunately) If Trump decides to go after him though he will have to respond. If you let your primary opponent shit on you for six months without saying anything they will bury you.

DeSantis has the backing of a bunch of right wing media it would appear but he’s got to keep them. Right wing media much more than mainstream media does not want Trump because for mainstream media the goal is to make money (Trump = clicks) while for right wing media the goal is ideological (Trump = losing elections). Trump is very good at getting attention but very bad at winning elections.
I've chatted with a few hard core Trump supporters, their view is Trump, or don't bother voting. Might turn out to be a great day for the democrats if they stick with that for two more years.
 
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VRAMdemon

Diamond Member
Aug 16, 2012
6,572
7,823
136
I agree with the overall focus on culture war (and it’s clear DeSantis does too, unfortunately) If Trump decides to go after him though he will have to respond. If you let your primary opponent shit on you for six months without saying anything they will bury you.

DeSantis has the backing of a bunch of right wing media it would appear but he’s got to keep them. Right wing media much more than mainstream media does not want Trump because for mainstream media the goal is to make money (Trump = clicks) while for right wing media the goal is ideological (Trump = losing elections). Trump is very good at getting attention but very bad at winning elections.

Your right in that if there is anything Donald hates, it’s not being the center of attention. And the reason Trump wants to declare before Garland indicts him, so he can yell “UNFAIR!” and “HOAX!” And now he gets to say his inevitable indictment is politically motivated. Obviously he should be arrested, but I think if he is running around free it will be good for the Democrats. He pretty much pivoted to Presidential primary mode the second the polls closed, and he’s set to spend the next year and a half attacking Republicans.

Running for elected office has always been a vanity project for Trump. He’s only looking for a vehicle to promote himself. He has no plans or goals. He's found that running for office is a sure-fire way for him to grift for money. As long as he's alive - Trump will never stop running for office because it’s now become a source of income for him. Eventually the donations would dry up. But Trump’s seventy-six years old. I’m pretty sure he can keep the scams going for the rest of his lifetime. He thinks the elections are "rigged" but he keeps running in them. One of his best scams.

One guess is the Republicans are now praying that the Dems prosecute Trump. Then they can all piously say how awful that was and you had better elect DeSantis to stop these evil Dems who unfairly crucified their beloved leader. In private though, they will be thrilled. Dems take the beating (politically) and feeds the Republican narrative and they are also done with the orange menace. Win/win for Republicans.

While I really want to see Trump prosecuted I also want to see him be the albatross around the republican neck. Not sure how to square that one.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,775
49,434
136
Your right in that if there is anything Donald hates, it’s not being the center of attention. And the reason Trump wants to declare before Garland indicts him, so he can yell “UNFAIR!” and “HOAX!” And now he gets to say his inevitable indictment is politically motivated. Obviously he should be arrested, but I think if he is running around free it will be good for the Democrats. He pretty much pivoted to Presidential primary mode the second the polls closed, and he’s set to spend the next year and a half attacking Republicans.

Running for elected office has always been a vanity project for Trump. He’s only looking for a vehicle to promote himself. He has no plans or goals. He's found that running for office is a sure-fire way for him to grift for money. As long as he's alive - Trump will never stop running for office because it’s now become a source of income for him. Eventually the donations would dry up. But Trump’s seventy-six years old. I’m pretty sure he can keep the scams going for the rest of his lifetime. He thinks the elections are "rigged" but he keeps running in them. One of his best scams.

One guess is the Republicans are now praying that the Dems prosecute Trump. Then they can all piously say how awful that was and you had better elect DeSantis to stop these evil Dems who unfairly crucified their beloved leader. In private though, they will be thrilled. Dems take the beating (politically) and feeds the Republican narrative and they are also done with the orange menace. Win/win for Republicans.

While I really want to see Trump prosecuted I also want to see him be the albatross around the republican neck. Not sure how to square that one.
I hear you but the right answer is to prosecute Trump regardless of the electoral implications. As someone said a coup left unpunished is practice.

Edit: also my expectation is he will try and trade his support in the general election for a pardon once he fully realizes he’s in deep shit.
 
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MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
21,912
20,202
136
This will be a good thing cuz Trump will test the dickhead Ron's commitment to being as reactionary, bigoted, sexist, and as fascist as possible.

I'm not sure if dick head Ron has enough finesse to push back against the rabid desires of the GQP base that Trump is going to unleash because he will soon seem too moderate to them.

It's going to be a really fine line for Ron to maneuver. To be as radical as Trump to rile up the base while also pushing Trump away as crazy.
 
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soundforbjt

Lifer
Feb 15, 2002
17,788
6,040
136
This will be a good thing cuz Trump will test the dickhead Ron's commitment to being as reactionary, bigoted, sexist, and as fascist as possible.

I'm not sure if dick head Ron has enough finesse to push back against the rabid desires of the GQP base that Trump is going to unleash because he will soon seem too moderate to them.

It's going to be a really fine line for Ron to maneuver. To be as radical as Trump to rile up the base while also pushing Trump away as crazy.
If Ron takes a deal from trump for a pardon, trump can help Ron study up on foreign policy by letting him read some of “trump’s” presidential documents.
 
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A///

Diamond Member
Feb 24, 2017
4,352
3,155
136
I would have thought this fat sack of shit would have a heart attack from emotional eating after his ass was popped out of the white house 2 years ago. Didn't most trumpies shit on their man because of his vaccine mandates or encouraging people to get them? trumpies are a marvel of stupidity and hypocrisy.
 
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Pens1566

Lifer
Oct 11, 2005
11,822
8,408
136
I would have thought this fat sack of shit would have a heart attack from emotional eating after his ass was popped out of the white house 2 years ago. Didn't most trumpies shit on their man because of his vaccine mandates or encouraging people to get them? trumpies are a marvel of stupidity and hypocrisy.

Give it time ...
 
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Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
72,685
6,195
126
"look what you made me do" ....lol

Maybe toss some blame where it belongs.
Happy to but first let's make sure they know I know why they think they know I am wrong.

Lets take an example that liberals and conservatives don't fully understand. Yes yes, I know. That implies that only enlightened people myself, egotistical idiots in your language most probably, would claim to see. But actually all one needs is self insight and psychological understanding. Lets look at the society and the threat of chaos.

Order is required to run a functional society. But how does society impose order. Two ways, the liberal way where the obvious self interest of any thinking person can see that submission to democratic rule is the only win win situation. This order is self imposed by enlightened agreement. I scratch your back and you scratch mine.

The other was is to impose it authoritative via threat, punishment, and fear. This is the world we live in where the self is under constant threat that someone will have advantages you don't have. Self interest here is enforced, conform of die.

As society becomes more liberal authoritarian rule is ameliorated as happened when the Soviet Union caved, but it caved at a pace that a society that had lived under repression had the pressure too quickly released. Selfish self-interest exploded as did criminal behavior at the top. People who had lived under the constant threat of violence could not adapt at a pace to ameliorate the explosion the comes when the fear of punishment for antisocial behavior is suddenly seems to disappear. The conservative reaction was to return to a strong man prison where at least order would be enforced. Out of the frying pan and into the fire.

This is how conservatives see the world. Liberal easing of repression for them, those who live have grown up behaving out of fear, will lead to disaster and that fear is very very real. Look at the homelessness we find in liberal cities. Criminal and animal behavior loves to go where the repression is least when liberal attitudes manifest uneavenly. Look what happened in Russia. You can't just bring real psychological liberty to people who only behave properly out of fear. Once that fear is lifted they act out. Naive liberals are actually dangerous and they don't see it but conservatives see it quite clearly.

But the reason that all of this chaos can happen in the first place, and this is what conservatives don't see is that all of that repression they fear being released is of their own making. They are the ones who repress out of fear and use fear and threat to keep that repression under control.

I believe that only a totality of the understanding of the problem and it's psychological roots can save us from this endless wheel of Karma. Take off the breaks, slam them on, take them off and repeat. And only a progressive liberal will, in my opinion, ever see this. But progressive is not defined that way generally, it seems to me. A progressive for me is a person who integrates opposites at a third way of seeing. Some might call it enlightenment. I call it seeing the facts without attachment.

So bottom line. Conservatives are right about what they see happening under liberal rule. There is an increase in chaos as repressed negative behavior surfaces, as people are able to get their hands on drugs that numb the memories and feelings of past repression and its pain they have experienced. This can overwhelm resources and take them from other societal needs, etc. But conservatives will just bottle humanity up to the point where it will explode anyway or create life that is just not worth living.

Hope this makes sense to you.
 

Bitek

Lifer
Aug 2, 2001
10,652
5,224
136
You pretty much have it correct. The Qanon influencers have been promising an event in which martial law would be called, the military take control and Trump installed.

Like a doomsday cult, they have been regularly predicting an EBS signal that would start the "storm."

And over and over again, that never happened.

I read stuff like this and like to think optimistically that people are just pretending to believe it to troll or be partisan or are just bored.

Not that they are that fuckin stupid. But alas, they are in fact that fuckin stupid.
 
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pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
13,273
8,198
136
Quite possibly true. DeSantis will have to keep in mind that if he wants to lure Trumps lunatic fringe base to him, he can’t think ahead to the general election. The MAGA base don’t want policy statements. They don’t want statesmanship. They don’t want ideas, direction or plans. They want a show. They want simple slogans, insults and childish nicknames. This is what will motivate the MAGA primary voter.

He’ll need to come up with a simplistic slogan. One that demonstrates he hates the same people they do - keeping it general enough so that the hated out-group exists in the mind of the hater. He’ll need to come up with a couple of nicknames for Trump, and use them over and over again. He’ll need to show that he’s a bigger bully than Trump. That is what the MAGA voters will respond to. We'll see how he responds. But the smart thing to do will be to ignore Trumps attacks.

I do like that this Trump/DeSantis hate-match is set to occur in a time where everyone-and-their-dog is able to impersonate either of them on Twitter. I really doubt Trump, at least, will have the intelligence to realise who is really DeSantis and who is someone taking advantage of the blue-check fiasco in order to stir the pot.
 
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