It is possible that Democrats will gain, not lose in November. Here's why/how.

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kage69

Lifer
Jul 17, 2003
28,019
38,496
136
it looks like the repubs didnt pay that heavy of a price for overturning roe v wade.


Yeah I too am perplexed by how you got that conclusion.

Don't be sad. Senate Dem incumbents pulled of a perfect (and unheard of) 14-0 in the midterms! Neither party has had such a turnout and since 1934.

GQP paid through the nose for Roe v Wade, and the bill isn't even close to being settled. Team Treason is petrified about the future for many reasons, their only hope is partisan perjurers on the SCOTUS completely destroying future elections with ISL.
 
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zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
110,806
29,557
146
Yeah I too am perplexed by how you got that conclusion.

Don't be sad. Senate Dem incumbents pulled of a perfect (and unheard of) 14-0 in the midterms! Neither party has had such a turnout and since 1934.

GQP paid through the nose for Roe v Wade, and the bill isn't even close to being settled. Team Treason is petrified about the future for many reasons, their only hope is partisan perjurers on the SCOTUS completely destroying future elections with ELT.
Also state by state ballot measures, even in deep red states where the GQP fascists thought they had the moral high ground, are shoving Roe v Wade back in their faces.

This is upsetting them so much that GQP state legislators are now attacking the idea of ballot measures and making it more difficult to qualify them for elections. Simply yet another example that when democracy rejects Republican policy, Republicans abandon democracy altogether and show zero shame for stomping all over their own voters.

 

kage69

Lifer
Jul 17, 2003
28,019
38,496
136
I mean, look at Trump now. Does that look like the behavior or media victory lap of someone riding high on good fortunes? The Russian asset/state secret vendor is in hiding, sulking. No one wants to interview him or go to his rallies, his support in D.C continues to evaporate. The money has already moved on to DeSantis. Now that enough talking heads have repeated the baggage and election score talking points, right wing voters seem to be slowly doing the same.

Everyone but the most rabid of magats gets it, what danger they're in, what it means when you get that kind of an asskicking in a midterm. To compound the coming Gen Z problem, current conservative voters are dying at faster rates than Dems while proving they are just fine voting for Dems over Rs infected with maga.

GenX here, and I continue to look forward to voting an all (D) ballot until Team Treason and the christofascists are removed as threats to democracy and personal liberty. The last election in particular has given me some new hope. Let's keep it rollin peoples!
 

JEDI

Lifer
Sep 25, 2001
30,160
3,302
126
Yeah I too am perplexed by how you got that conclusion.

Don't be sad. Senate Dem incumbents pulled of a perfect (and unheard of) 14-0 in the midterms! Neither party has had such a turnout and since 1934.

GQP paid through the nose for Roe v Wade, and the bill isn't even close to being settled. Team Treason is petrified about the future for many reasons, their only hope is partisan perjurers on the SCOTUS completely destroying future elections with ELT.
i guess the repub calculations for overturning roe v wade had them still gaining the House.
so not much of a cost to them in doing so.
yes, it's a smaller majority but the effect is still the same.. impeding biden's agenda.
so losing a few house seats is a small price paid in my view for a huge victory for them.

a heavy price paid, in my opinion, would be the repubs NOT gaining control of the house and the dems steamrolling the repubs on bills passed during 2022-2024.

if the repubs lose the next 4+ presidential elections because of RvW, then yes that would be a heavy price.
but right now, losing a few seats yet still able to stop biden's agenda cold is not.
 
Reactions: iRONic

Roger Wilco

Diamond Member
Mar 20, 2017
3,948
5,822
136
i guess the repub calculations for overturning roe v wade had them still gaining the House.
so not much of a cost to them in doing so.
yes, it's a smaller majority but the effect is still the same.. impeding biden's agenda.
so losing a few house seats is a small price paid in my view for a huge victory for them.

a heavy price paid, in my opinion, would be the repubs NOT gaining control of the house and the dems steamrolling the repubs on bills passed during 2022-2024.

if the repubs lose the next 4+ presidential elections because of RvW, then yes that would be a heavy price.
but right now, losing a few seats yet still able to stop biden's agenda cold is not.

Still can’t tell if serious
 

JEDI

Lifer
Sep 25, 2001
30,160
3,302
126
House speaker clown circus update:

mccarthy has a slim 4 vote margin and there are 5 repubs on record saying they'll vote against him.

And what will happen if he can’t get 218 votes? No one knows.

The last time a vote for speaker had to go to multiple ballots was in 1923. And the longest time in history it took to elect a speaker lasted two months, with a total of 133 ballots.
and mccarthy still cant get 218 votes:

those 5 repubs still oppose him.
house new session starts jan 3 which is 3 weeks away

/popcorn

hm.. interesting.. if there's no new speaker, does that mean the committees investigating trump can still do work until they are disbanded?
 

ondma

Platinum Member
Mar 18, 2018
2,771
1,351
136
i guess the repub calculations for overturning roe v wade had them still gaining the House.
so not much of a cost to them in doing so.
yes, it's a smaller majority but the effect is still the same.. impeding biden's agenda.
so losing a few house seats is a small price paid in my view for a huge victory for them.

a heavy price paid, in my opinion, would be the repubs NOT gaining control of the house and the dems steamrolling the repubs on bills passed during 2022-2024.

if the repubs lose the next 4+ presidential elections because of RvW, then yes that would be a heavy price.
but right now, losing a few seats yet still able to stop biden's agenda cold is not.
Well, one could argue that without R v W decision, the Repubs would have taken control of both the Senate and the House, as well as winning more governorships and other state/local offices. Not sure I agree with that, but that is the thinking of those who say the Repubs paid a high price for the decision. If one really looks closely, the thing that really seems to have hurt the Repubs is the election deniers and just plain lousy candidates (ahem... Herschel, Kari Lake, Dr. Oz).
 
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eelw

Diamond Member
Dec 4, 1999
9,373
4,625
136
and mccarthy still cant get 218 votes:

those 5 repubs still oppose him.
house new session starts jan 3 which is 3 weeks away

/popcorn

hm.. interesting.. if there's no new speaker, does that mean the committees investigating trump can still do work until they are disbanded?
Imagine if they can’t elect a speaker for the entire term
 

JEDI

Lifer
Sep 25, 2001
30,160
3,302
126
Imagine if they can’t elect a speaker for the entire term
does that mean the committees stay as they are? (with most of them dem controlled)
with the newly elected house members being committee less till a speaker is chosen?
 

eelw

Diamond Member
Dec 4, 1999
9,373
4,625
136
does that mean the committees stay as they are? (with most of them dem controlled)
with the newly elected house members being committee less till a speaker is chosen?
No everything is scraped each term. But is there anything that the speaker controls when forming committees? Committee seats are allocated based full house percentage
 

JEDI

Lifer
Sep 25, 2001
30,160
3,302
126
Weekly update:
McCarthy still doesnt have the votes.

Hm.. Does McCarthy actually need 218 or just a majority of people who show up on Speaker vote day (Jan 3, 2023)?
 
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eelw

Diamond Member
Dec 4, 1999
9,373
4,625
136
Weekly update:
McCarthy still doesnt have the votes.

Hm.. Does McCarthy actually need 218 or just a majority of people who show up on Speaker vote day (Jan 3, 2023)?
Lol the spineless one better hope it’s 218 and not just a majority present. Dems can pull out the rug from under him otherwise
 

JEDI

Lifer
Sep 25, 2001
30,160
3,302
126
A dem has come out saying he's confident McCarthy has votes to be Speaker


After all the sucking, swallowing and lube used the past few months, I wonder what McCarthy did to change the mind's of 1 of the 5 Repubs that vowed not to vote for him?
 

sportage

Lifer
Feb 1, 2008
11,493
3,159
136
When McCarthy stands there waiting for Pelosi to hand him the gavel I think Nancy should just refuse. Keep a tight grip on that wooden mallet and just say no.... no... its mine. You're not going to get it.
After all, isn't that the way it's done these days?
Trump denied elections, McCarthy denied Joe Biden and still does, most of the republican house who are about to take over denied Joe Biden. And Kari Lake still refuses to concede.

Why, WHY is it that democrats always end up respectful of how the game is played while republicans just thumb their nose? Republicans refuse elections, they refuse to testify at hearings, they refuse to obey subpoenas, they refuse to play the game and abide by the rules. Refuse to even respect the rules. Republicans shake their fist at democracy, at the rule of law and abiding by the US constitution. So again I ask, why should Nancy Pelosi hand over that gavel?
Instead, Nancy needs to run off to some lawyer, get an injunction halting the entire process, exactly as the republicans do. Tie the transition process up in the courts for three years. I would... Nancy should.

House democrats should stand there and shout KEEP THAt GAVEL... KEEP THAT GAVEL... KEEP THAT GAVEL...
 
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JEDI

Lifer
Sep 25, 2001
30,160
3,302
126
Trump denied elections, McCarthy denied Joe Biden and still does, most of the republican house who are about to take over denied Joe Biden. And Kari Lake still refuses to concede.

Why, WHY is it that democrats always end up respectful of how the game is played while republicans just thumb their nose?
Repubs are doing Machiavelli. (His book offers advice on how to stay in power.)
Dems are doing a HORRIBLE job of countering Machiavelli for the past decade.
 
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JEDI

Lifer
Sep 25, 2001
30,160
3,302
126
A dem has come out saying he's confident McCarthy has votes to be Speaker


After all the sucking, swallowing and lube used the past few months, I wonder what McCarthy did to change the mind's of 1 of the 5 Repubs that vowed not to vote for him?
Update:

'But McCarthy could not say whether he would have the votes for the speakership, even after giving in to some of the right's most hardline demands. '


oh wow
# Clown Circus Jan 3
<popcorn>
 

uclaLabrat

Diamond Member
Aug 2, 2007
5,578
2,912
136
When McCarthy stands there waiting for Pelosi to hand him the gavel I think Nancy should just refuse. Keep a tight grip on that wooden mallet and just say no.... no... its mine. You're not going to get it.
After all, isn't that the way it's done these days?
Trump denied elections, McCarthy denied Joe Biden and still does, most of the republican house who are about to take over denied Joe Biden. And Kari Lake still refuses to concede.

Why, WHY is it that democrats always end up respectful of how the game is played while republicans just thumb their nose? Republicans refuse elections, they refuse to testify at hearings, they refuse to obey subpoenas, they refuse to play the game and abide by the rules. Refuse to even respect the rules. Republicans shake their fist at democracy, at the rule of law and abiding by the US constitution. So again I ask, why should Nancy Pelosi hand over that gavel?
Instead, Nancy needs to run off to some lawyer, get an injunction halting the entire process, exactly as the republicans do. Tie the transition process up in the courts for three years. I would... Nancy should.

House democrats should stand there and shout KEEP THAt GAVEL... KEEP THAT GAVEL... KEEP THAT GAVEL...
Because they have different fucking constituencies, duh.

If dems could cater to the lowest fucking denominator and win elections, they would...but they cant, so they dont.

Fuck.
 

eelw

Diamond Member
Dec 4, 1999
9,373
4,625
136
Well he’s right about the dog finally catching the car. But he fails on his 233-20 record. The ones he most pushed for all basically lost. The others are in solid red districts. If his lose record were to increase, house wouldn’t have flipped.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,786
49,449
136
Well he’s right about the dog finally catching the car. But he fails on his 233-20 record. The ones he most pushed for all basically lost. The others are in solid red districts. If his lose record were to increase, house wouldn’t have flipped.
Yes, Trump endorsements are almost a guaranteed loss in any competitive race.

Regardless it’s funny that he is so insecure that every time he loses yet another election he furiously spins around in all directions trying to convince people it wasn’t his fault.

It was his fault - he’s very bad at politics.
 
Reactions: hal2kilo

CHADBOGA

Platinum Member
Mar 31, 2009
2,135
832
136
If every single pro-lifer in the U S voted for trump he’d still have lost, there aren’t that many pro-lifers in the country.
Depends on how you define pro-life.


Gallup has support for Abortions without any restrictions at 35% and Abortion illegal in all circumstances at 13%

So if there were abortion laws that allowed for abortion for incest and rape and didn't allow for 3rd trimester abortions, that may well be something that would get over 50% support.
 

MrSquished

Lifer
Jan 14, 2013
21,918
20,203
136
Depends on how you define pro-life.


Gallup has support for Abortions without any restrictions at 35% and Abortion illegal in all circumstances at 13%

So if there were abortion laws that allowed for abortion for incest and rape and didn't allow for 3rd trimester abortions, that may well be something that would get over 50% support.

Why are you posting here when you literally made a claim about a thread that exists right here in this forum, but refuse to go back and quote anything in it to backup your point?

Why do you have such an issue with facts?
 

soundforbjt

Lifer
Feb 15, 2002
17,788
6,040
136
Depends on how you define pro-life.


Gallup has support for Abortions without any restrictions at 35% and Abortion illegal in all circumstances at 13%

So if there were abortion laws that allowed for abortion for incest and rape and didn't allow for 3rd trimester abortions, that may well be something that would get over 50% support.
One very narrowly specific poll does not validate your claim. Most Polls showed only around 30% supported the Roe v Wade reversal. Also, do you have any polls you can show me what percentage of pro-lifers voted for Biden instead of trump?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,786
49,449
136
Depends on how you define pro-life.


Gallup has support for Abortions without any restrictions at 35% and Abortion illegal in all circumstances at 13%

So if there were abortion laws that allowed for abortion for incest and rape and didn't allow for 3rd trimester abortions, that may well be something that would get over 50% support.
The polling is pretty clear. No restrictions is much more popular than a full ban but support generally starts extremely high and declines as the pregnancy progresses.

The majority lands at, you guessed it, feral viability, exactly what Roe protected.

We just had an election where republicans had the worst midterm performance in a generation because America hates their views on abortion. If you want to delude yourself otherwise then enjoy continued losses.
 
Reactions: hal2kilo and iRONic
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