<< However, all of the truly inexpensive machines you list are more dangerous than the Segway. They go faster, require MUCH more skill to operate, and must be licensed and insured in order to be operated. Ostensibly, the Segway has been declared NOT to be a vehicle by the Feds. And the Honda Insight, one of which I own, may be sold well below its production cost, but it still costs an arm and a leg -- especially when you consider its carrying capacity. That particular machine is also not terribly practical for urban travel. The body is aluminum. You can get a major dent in it if someone just leans against it! And try finding a body shop to work on it!!! Don't get me wrong. I love the car. But a practical solution it ain't. I bought it because I dug the engineering. >>
Not all of the inexpensive devices go faster... the electric scooter goes about the same speed. And you don't *have* to fold it up, but it's an option. But you're right, you don't get the same benefit if you don't fold it. And they do require more skill though, which isn't necessarily a bad thing. Two untrained/unlicensed Segway users in a full-speed head-on collision is equivalent to being tackled by the other person at above the other person's full running speed. The Insight example was shown to indicate that even though they are great pieces of machinery (I considered buying one for a while), and there are government incentives, and the total cost of ownership is lower than most other cars, and they have better performance than some other cars, and they are made by an incredibly successful manufacturer/marketer with a proven reliability record, that there still is next to no demand for them. I thought it would have been perfect for urban travel/commute... light, great gas mileage, small/easy to park.
The thing is that this even though Kamen isn't trying to replace the car for all uses, it's been tried and tried. This is just the first real motorized version to use the sidewalks. The confluence of social/political/infrastructure/whatever factors can and has happened (horses -> cars) but I don't think it'll happen in the US for this.
I hope it my prediction doesn't come true also, but I think with the US desire for performance that's the way we're going. And diesel really does have a lot of potential... compression ratios can be much higher than gasoline, and it has a much higher energy content than ordinary gasoline. It's just a matter of time before a clean combustion process is developed.
<< Hey! You're not a lobbyiest for the auto industry, are you??? >>
As a matter of fact, no .
On the other hand, I think it could be very successful in Europe. The cities are generally denser and less zoned (there are smaller grocery stores in more places, rather than huge centralized shops), living spaces are generally smaller/space is at more of a premium, and people are already used to not using cars to get around. In central Athens, anecdotally I would say probably 40% of all vehicles were motorcycles, and parking was a huge deal. In Amsterdam, obviously, they have tons of bikes and bike lanes and the trolleys. So I think there is more opportunity for use and less resistance.
Also, it'd be awesome if they were standard issue at Universities: "Thanks for enrolling! Here's your room key and your Segway." Widen the paths, put in a "wheels" lane each way and a walking lane... it'd be sweet.