It's a official now. Japan in a recession.

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shady28

Platinum Member
Apr 11, 2004
2,520
397
126
Supply side economics, as has been advocated by the top 1%, has not been Keynesian in nature.

You cannot blame Keynesian policies for Europe's malaise since Europe has reacted to the depression with austerity, or at least grossly insufficient Keynesian stimulus, and as Europe enters another recession, Germany has proudly balanced its national budget, which too is against Keynesian theory for stimulus.

Facts would seem to refute your statements, both in the aggregate of EU countries as well as almost all of them individually :

See chart of public debt growth of EU countries here :

http://www.bbc.com/news/business-13361930

and here :

 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
Facts would seem to refute your statements, both in the aggregate of EU countries as well as almost all of them individually :

See chart of public debt growth of EU countries here :

http://www.bbc.com/news/business-13361930

and here :


This chart clearly shows you do not understand what Keynesian economics is.

Hint: you cannot tell if a country has pursued Keynesian economics by their debt/GDP ratio at a specific point in time.
 

shady28

Platinum Member
Apr 11, 2004
2,520
397
126
Wait, what? The Eurozone is proof in FAVOR of Keynesian economics, not against it.

Europe has been slashing budgets in the face of recession, not increasing them. They have faced terrible economic performance. It's an epic fail alright, for the opponents of Keynesian economics.

Wrong answer :



The US has not been following Keynesian policies for the last 30-40 years.

Do you know what the terms you are using mean?

Yes, but you clearly don't.

US Debt vs GDP :

 

shady28

Platinum Member
Apr 11, 2004
2,520
397
126
This chart clearly shows you do not understand what Keynesian economics is.

Hint: you cannot tell if a country has pursued Keynesian economics by their debt/GDP ratio at a specific point in time.

Which is why there is the other link that you clearly are too stupid to click on. The graph in that link can't be linked as an image.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
Which is why there is the other link that you clearly are too stupid to click on. The graph in that link can't be linked as an image.

No. Debt/expenditures to GDP ratios cannot be used to determine if someone has been employing Keynesian economics, period.

In fact, this has been one of the biggest problems with Europe's refusal to employ Keynesian economics. Austerity is so bad for a country's economy that it actually makes the spending/debt to GDP ratio worse instead of better. By your attempts to show things, if they cut spending by 10% and their economy contracted by 20% as a result, they were employing Keynesian economics. This should be a no-brainer as to why that's a dumb idea.

You clearly do not understand what Keynesian economics is. Why are you posting about something you don't understand?
 

OverVolt

Lifer
Aug 31, 2002
14,278
89
91
I think I'm turning Japanese I think I'm turning Japanese I really think so.

This is what happens when you keep trying to rollover bad debts instead of letting them default and suffer the painnnnn like in a normal economy.
 

moonbogg

Lifer
Jan 8, 2011
10,637
3,095
136
The western model has failed and everyone who emulated it is also failing. The reasons for the abandonment of rice paddies in favor of turbine rice mills is how they starve tomorrow, atop a pile of plastic cards.
 

Bitek

Lifer
Aug 2, 2001
10,658
5,228
136
Wrong answer :





Yes, but you clearly don't.

US Debt vs GDP :


What is it you think you are trying to demonstrate with those graphs?

As you have no commentary, appearently you think your point is self-evident. Debt/GDP oh noes! Keynes!! Quick fire federal workers, halt road building and raise taxes! That will fix everything!
 

Spungo

Diamond Member
Jul 22, 2012
3,217
2
81
Facts would seem to refute your statements, both in the aggregate of EU countries as well as almost all of them individually :

See chart of public debt growth of EU countries here :[/url]
What a strange chart. All of the countries with high debt are completely screwed. The countries with the lowest levels of debt seem to be doing ok. This flies in the face of Keynesian theory. If the Keynesians were correct, Greece would have the strongest economy and Norway would be the one facing bankruptcy.


We have been over all of these data points before.

You were explicitly shown why you were full of shit.
All you do is claim that everything is a right wing conspiracy. Time magazine is a conspiracy, news reports of people complaining about food prices are a conspiracy, New York Times is a conspiracy, Wall Street Journal is a conspiracy, Americans voters are a conspiracy, BLS is a conspiracy, Pew research is a conspiracy, Google Finance is a conspiracy, etc.
http://www.businessinsider.com/18-34-years-olds-living-with-parents-2014-6
Now Business Insider is part of the conspiracy against Obama.

http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2013/08/01/a-rising-share-of-young-adults-live-in-their-parents-home/
The chart on the right is interesting. Of the record number of young adults still living with their parents, only 29% of them have jobs. Obamanomics appears to be working. I hear the unemployment rate will go down if we have a theoretical war against martians (krugman frequently talks about this hypothetical situation). Bush and Obama took that idea and ran with it. War with Iraq. Attempted war with Syria. Trying to get involved in Ukraine. So far they've all failed. How many times do Keynesian need to be proven wrong before they stop trying to turn us into Greece?

BTW I don't invest in individual stocks, bonds, or anything else.
Now is a good time to start. It's just applied economics. Statistics play a role as well.
 

OverVolt

Lifer
Aug 31, 2002
14,278
89
91
What a strange chart. All of the countries with high debt are completely screwed. The countries with the lowest levels of debt seem to be doing ok. This flies in the face of Keynesian theory. If the Keynesians were correct, Greece would have the strongest economy and Norway would be the one facing bankruptcy.



All you do is claim that everything is a right wing conspiracy. Time magazine is a conspiracy, news reports of people complaining about food prices are a conspiracy, New York Times is a conspiracy, Wall Street Journal is a conspiracy, Americans voters are a conspiracy, BLS is a conspiracy, Pew research is a conspiracy, Google Finance is a conspiracy, etc.
http://www.businessinsider.com/18-34-years-olds-living-with-parents-2014-6
Now Business Insider is part of the conspiracy against Obama.

http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2013/08/01/a-rising-share-of-young-adults-live-in-their-parents-home/
The chart on the right is interesting. Of the record number of young adults still living with their parents, only 29% of them have jobs. Obamanomics appears to be working. I hear the unemployment rate will go down if we have a theoretical war against martians (krugman frequently talks about this hypothetical situation). Bush and Obama took that idea and ran with it. War with Iraq. Attempted war with Syria. Trying to get involved in Ukraine. So far they've all failed. How many times do Keynesian need to be proven wrong before they stop trying to turn us into Greece?


Now is a good time to start. It's just applied economics. Statistics play a role as well.

Rrrrrrrrright.

You know in the long-term I'm 99% sure that QE causes deflation not inflation. Japan and its plummeting money velocity (which is now on QE 8) would be strong evidence of that.

Inb4 eski, I don't care.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
What a strange chart. All of the countries with high debt are completely screwed. The countries with the lowest levels of debt seem to be doing ok. This flies in the face of Keynesian theory. If the Keynesians were correct, Greece would have the strongest economy and Norway would be the one facing bankruptcy.

I'm just quoting this to show you have zero understanding of Keynesian economics.

All you do is claim that everything is a right wing conspiracy. Time magazine is a conspiracy, news reports of people complaining about food prices are a conspiracy,

No, I'm saying we should use real statistics instead of anecdotal evidence. That's what the BLS is for.

New York Times is a conspiracy, Wall Street Journal is a conspiracy, Americans voters are a conspiracy,

Random nonsensical ranting.

BLS is a conspiracy, Pew research is a conspiracy, Google Finance is a conspiracy, etc.

WTF? Now we're on to revisionist history. You're the one that's been constantly saying the BLS is conspiring to under-report inflation. Do you even remember what you write?

http://www.businessinsider.com/18-34-years-olds-living-with-parents-2014-6
Now Business Insider is part of the conspiracy against Obama.

http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2013/08/01/a-rising-share-of-young-adults-live-in-their-parents-home/
The chart on the right is interesting. Of the record number of young adults still living with their parents, only 29% of them have jobs. Obamanomics appears to be working. I hear the unemployment rate will go down if we have a theoretical war against martians (krugman frequently talks about this hypothetical situation). Bush and Obama took that idea and ran with it. War with Iraq. Attempted war with Syria. Trying to get involved in Ukraine. So far they've all failed. How many times do Keynesian need to be proven wrong before they stop trying to turn us into Greece?

Baffling non-sequitur. Saying the US could turn into Greece shows a fundamental misunderstanding of sovereign debt between a country that issues debt in its own currency vs. another.

Now is a good time to start. It's just applied economics. Statistics play a role as well.

I do statistics for a living. I'm quite certain you don't. By the way, where did you get your applied economics education from and when?
 

mf0611

Junior Member
Nov 19, 2014
24
0
0
It is posters like eskimospy that show the vulgar Keynesian doctrine that consmption grows economies is in fact alive and well among self-professed Keynesians.

Consumption is not the cause of growth. Consumption shrinks the economic pie. It is only saving and investment that grows economies.

Yes, at the micro level producers depend on consumers for revenues which are necessary for subsequent saving and investment. However it is a fallacy of composition to assert that this is true at the level of the economy as a whole. At that level of the whole, the dependency is the other way around. At this level, which is the level under discussion, consumption as such depends on production as such.

One can easily grasp this by considering what would happen if consumer spending spending rises…and rises and rises…without there being enough of that evil saving and investment you seem to have no clue to be the cause of growing economies. If consumer spending keeps rising, it is capable of resulting in enough real consumption activity that real productive activity cannot replace what is consumed. The economy would shrink.

The only activity that adds to the economic pie is saving and investment activity. You cannot consume what has not yet first been produced, and production requires non-consumption spending. Every material, every labor hour, every machine, every means of production requires expenditures that are by definition not consumption expenditures.

Consumption shrinks the pie. Production adds to the pie. Period. End of story.

Keynesian are advocating for a poisonous, destructive activity.
 
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mf0611

Junior Member
Nov 19, 2014
24
0
0
Bush and Greenspan did exactly what Krugman suggested. They stimulated the economy and inflated new credit bubbles. It was a complete disaster. Millions more people went bankrupt.

He certainly did call for lower interest rates to increase spending on housing...

Krugman in 2001:
“In time this overhang will be worked off. Meanwhile, economic policy should encourage other spending to offset the temporary slump in business investment. Low interest rates, which promote spending on housing and other durable goods, are the main answer.”

http://www.businessinsider.com/actually-krugman-was-a-huge-advocate-of-the-housing-bubble-2009-6

Woops. More fail brought to you by Keynesian economics.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
It is posters like eskimospy that show the vulgar Keynesian doctrine that consmption grows economies is in fact alive and well among self-professed Keynesians.

Consumption is not the cause of growth. Consumption shrinks the economic pie. It is only saving and investment that grows economies.

Yes, at the micro level producers depend on consumers for revenues which are necessary for subsequent saving and investment. However it is a fallacy of composition to assert that this is true at the level of the economy as a whole. At that level of the whole, the dependency is the other way around. At this level, which is the level under discussion, consumption as such depends on production as such.

One can easily grasp this by considering what would happen if consumer spending spending rises…and rises and rises…without there being enough of that evil saving and investment you seem to have no clue to be the cause of growing economies. If consumer spending keeps rising, it is capable of resulting in enough real consumption activity that real productive activity cannot replace what is consumed. The economy would shrink.

The only activity that adds to the economic pie is saving and investment activity. You cannot consume what has not yet first been produced, and production requires non-consumption spending. Every material, every labor hour, every machine, every means of production requires expenditures that are by definition not consumption expenditures.

Consumption shrinks the pie. Production adds to the pie. Period. End of story.

Keynesian are advocating for a poisonous, destructive activity.

This is /facepalm worthy. If you have too much demand and not enough supply we don't run out of things to consume, we get inflation. Too many consumers chasing too few goods. Likewise when you have too much production for the demand you get deflation.

It isn't this bizarre question as to whether we want more consumption or more production, as either one alone is pointless. It is a question of what drives our economy to grow. Apparently you think that when people produce more everyone suddenly decides they want whatever was produced, Steve Jobs style. I would say that most often there is a demand for a product and therefore someone invests in a factory or whatever to make it, but regardless it is the interplay of the two that matters.

Currently, as shown by inflation statistics, we have too little aggregate demand.

Where did you get this silly paragraph from?
 

Bitek

Lifer
Aug 2, 2001
10,658
5,228
136
It's the "build it and they will come" economic doctrine.

What exactly are we investing in if there is no consumption? We just produce to stock inventory on shelves?
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
It's the "build it and they will come" economic doctrine.

What exactly are we investing in if there is no consumption? We just produce to stock inventory on shelves?

That's how you grow the economy! In fact, if we all just made things nobody wanted we would have no consumption and therefore the biggest economy ever. It can't possibly go wrong.

Seriously though I'm baffled at the production vs. consumption idea he tried to push there as if consumption were a bad thing.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
That's how you grow the economy! In fact, if we all just made things nobody wanted we would have no consumption and therefore the biggest economy ever. It can't possibly go wrong.

Seriously though I'm baffled at the production vs. consumption idea he tried to push there as if consumption were a bad thing.

It's still better than you, who took the joke "fake it 'til you make it" and used it as the basis for your entire economic 'philosophy' if you want to call your stupidity that. In fact, "Keynesian economics" is too gentle a term, we ought to rename it something more appropriate like "Payday Loan economics." Thank god that politicians wised up and stopped listening to assclowns like you and Krugman. You're the equivalent of quacks peddling homeopathic medicine or Scientology.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
It's still better than you, who took the joke "fake it 'til you make it" and used it as the basis for your entire economic 'philosophy' if you want to call your stupidity that. In fact, "Keynesian economics" is too gentle a term, we ought to rename it something more appropriate like "Payday Loan economics." Thank god that politicians wised up and stopped listening to assclowns like you and Krugman. You're the equivalent of quacks peddling homeopathic medicine or Scientology.

You might find your emotional ranting to be a compelling argument, but I'll take the analysis of those working at the IMF that said during the crisis fiscal multipliers were above 1. Unless you can explain how fiscal multipliers were in fact not above 1, you have no choice but to admit that Krugman was right, yet again.

What's odd is that Krugman was right and we followed his recommendations more closely than a lot of other countries. This made all of us better off, but it seems to enrage you. I get the feeling that you would rather him have been wrong and the U.S. worse off, which is weird.
 

glenn1

Lifer
Sep 6, 2000
25,383
1,013
126
You might find your emotional ranting to be a compelling argument, but I'll take the analysis of those working at the IMF that said during the crisis fiscal multipliers were above 1. Unless you can explain how fiscal multipliers were in fact not above 1, you have no choice but to admit that Krugman was right, yet again.

What's odd is that Krugman was right and we followed his recommendations more closely than a lot of other countries. This made all of us better off, but it seems to enrage you. I get the feeling that you would rather him have been wrong and the U.S. worse off, which is weird.

Oh, you mean the same IMF that says the multiplier effect is close to zero or even negative? Especially for countries like the U.S. where debt is above 60% of GDP, where is specifically says "fiscal stimulus may be counterproductive." You might want to spend some time reading through the conclusions on page 24.

http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp1152.pdf

We can see that the cumulative multiplier for high-income countries rises from an initial value of 0.37 (the impact effect) to a long-run value of 0.80. Hence, even after the full impact of a …scale expansion is accounted for, output has risen less than the cumulative increase in government consumption, implying some crowding out of output by government consumption at every time horizon.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
Oh, you mean the same IMF that says the multiplier effect is close to zero or even negative? Especially for countries like the U.S. where debt is above 60% of GDP, where is specifically says "fiscal stimulus may be counterproductive." You might want to spend some time reading through the conclusions on page 24.

http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2011/wp1152.pdf

Did you not notice that my paper is two years more recent than yours, has many more years of data to work with, and deals explicitly with this financial crisis? It refutes your paper specifically.

Here's another link to it in case you forgot:
http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2013/wp1301.pdf
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
84,825
49,526
136
So now that you accept the IMF as a source, when can I expect your admission that Krugman was right?

You should be thanking him for pushing for good economic policy, even though we had to drag conservatives toward this good policy kicking and screaming. Liberals saved you from yourselves and you hate them for it.
 

Texashiker

Lifer
Dec 18, 2010
18,811
197
106
You should be thanking him for pushing for good economic policy,

Printing money out of thin air is NOT good economic policy.

If the government "really" wanted to improve the economy, end free trade, tell apple, google, samsung, dell,,,, all their tech toys have to be made in the USA.

Overnight factories would start, people would be hired, and the economy would boom.
 
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