Job creation plan for rural America

zzyzxroad

Diamond Member
Jan 29, 2017
3,244
2,260
136
Has anyone seen a viable plan for creating jobs for rural America? Over the past 30 years we've seen industries consolidate and manufacturing moved overseas. Small factories seem to be a dying breed and even if we can attract more large manufacturing plants into the US, will they end up In cities like Beattyville, Kentucky? Is the plan ultimately to have people move to where the jobs are?
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,624
12,754
146
Has anyone seen a viable plan for creating jobs for rural America? Over the past 30 years we've seen industries consolidate and manufacturing moved overseas. Small factories seem to be a dying breed and even if we can attract more large manufacturing plants into the US, will they end up In cities like Beattyville, Kentucky? Is the plan ultimately to have people move to where the jobs are?

Manufacturing plants will not realistically bring a large number of jobs (to the US) these days, since automation will handle everything and human labor in the US is too expensive. Consolidation is natural and will continue. If you aren't a farmer, you should probably move. Eventually this won't work either, and we'll either have some kind of base income, or dystopia.
 

vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,403
8,199
126
It doesn't exist and will not exist unless rural america changes. And it won't. The infrastructure to support factories and distribution isn't there. The ....uhh....trainability of the locals is not great. It's just huge areas of population where the people have never adapted with the times and improved themselves.

Clinton said as much and it cost her a presidency. The truth hurts, but it doesn't mean it's wrong.
 
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[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,624
12,754
146
It doesn't exist and will not exist unless rural america changes. And it won't. The infrastructure to support factories and distribution isn't there. The ....uhh....trainability of the locals is not great. It's just huge areas of population where the people have never adapted with the times and improved themselves.

Clinton said as much and it cost her a presidency. The truth hurts, but it doesn't mean it's wrong.

I wouldn't even bring in the 'trainability' of locals, which frankly is fine for manual/factory labor. You can teach damn near anyone to do 90% of what humans do for money, whatever industry that happens to be. Just depends on how good the teaching is.

But yeah manufacturing ain't coming back anytime soon.
 

ivwshane

Lifer
May 15, 2000
32,332
15,128
136
You can't help people who don't want to help themselves. If they don't care about their own interest its going to be hard for me to care about them.
 
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Pens1566

Lifer
Oct 11, 2005
11,843
8,432
136
There is no legitimate "plan" that doesn't require removal of their "bubble". There's a reason metropolitan areas are growing, and it's not tax cuts. Ghost/boom towns of the modern era.
 
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zzyzxroad

Diamond Member
Jan 29, 2017
3,244
2,260
136
Manufacturing plants will not realistically bring a large number of jobs (to the US) these days, since automation will handle everything and human labor in the US is too expensive. Consolidation is natural and will continue. If you aren't a farmer, you should probably move. Eventually this won't work either, and we'll either have some kind of base income, or dystopia.


Exactly, but do the people out in rural America know this? I’m worried they think the jobs are going to come flooding in any day. I know there are a lot of angry people out in rural America but who exactly are they mad and why. I don’t blame them for being mad, most in their position would be but hope they are in touch with reality.
 

dank69

Lifer
Oct 6, 2009
35,596
29,300
136
Exactly, but do the people out in rural America know this? I’m worried they think the jobs are going to come flooding in any day. I know there are a lot of angry people out in rural America but who exactly are they mad and why. I don’t blame them for being mad, most in their position would be but hope they are in touch with reality.
Conservatives pay huge sums of money to make sure they never get in touch with reality.
 
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K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,867
34,813
136
Exactly, but do the people out in rural America know this? I’m worried they think the jobs are going to come flooding in any day. I know there are a lot of angry people out in rural America but who exactly are they mad and why. I don’t blame them for being mad, most in their position would be but hope they are in touch with reality.

Waayy deep in their cores a lot of people know this but are unable to truly face the reality of their situations. They're mad that the world changed, as it often does, and voted for the guy who literally promised to change it back (even though that is impossible).
 
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vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,403
8,199
126
There is no legitimate "plan" that doesn't require removal of their "bubble". There's a reason metropolitan areas are growing, and it's not tax cuts. Ghost/boom towns of the modern era.

That's one of the reasons I left the last place I lived. I was in Peoria, IL which was the home of Caterpillar corporate headquarters. They have a very large corporate office and ton of factory operations around central, IL. If Cat up and left that area is another rust belt victim. Well...just recently they announced they are pulling corporate from Peoria and moving to Chicago. They were in Peoria for 90 years. It's "Only" 300 corporate jobs, but those are very high paying incomes that inject a decent amount into local property taxes in the area. Plus you have the travel brought in from execs and other visitors to the headquarters. They are slowly divesting manufacturing from the area and moving that. Eventually they'll withdrawal most of the production and there's another hole of 12,000+ jobs plus all of the ancillary support that it provides. Peoria will be a shell of it's former self. I was expecting it to happen and left the region before it did.

That's just what is happening across all of much of the midwest.
 
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GagHalfrunt

Lifer
Apr 19, 2001
25,297
2,001
126
Manufacturing plants will not realistically bring a large number of jobs (to the US) these days, since automation will handle everything and human labor in the US is too expensive. Consolidation is natural and will continue. If you aren't a farmer, you should probably move. Eventually this won't work either, and we'll either have some kind of base income, or dystopia.

That. Why would anyone even try to build a factory to manufacture something in East Buttfuck Kansas? It's way cheaper to have it made somewhere else and shipped here. Doing business here sucks, taxes are killer and the labor is expensive and recalcitrant. There is no plan to "save" rural American, the people need to move to where the jobs are. It doesn't work the other way around.
 

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
69,525
27,827
136
You mention Beattyville. Kentucky has (had?) a system that allows folks to go on welfare more or less permanently if they can't find a job in their home county. Counties in Kentucky range from city park sized to really small. The economic reasons for living in many of these small towns (and in some cases, entire counties) are long gone (coal, garment factories). State government has created a perverse incentive for folks to remain in poverty in areas that will never recover. It is decades past time for folks to move.
 

Grooveriding

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2008
9,108
1,260
126
I think the honest situation is anyone currently in manufacturing is screwed. Going forward people should not pursue that work and need to go to university for a useful degree. Even that will not stave off the inevitable when STEM fields and similar are saturated.

At that point it is population control and reduction. Or socialism will be needed on a much larger scale than it currently is with universal guaranteed incomes.

Manufacturing is over and going forward even some highly technical skilled fields will be automated. Once AI takes hold, even R&D and innovation may be automated.
 

JSt0rm

Lifer
Sep 5, 2000
27,399
3,947
126
You mention Beattyville. Kentucky has (had?) a system that allows folks to go on welfare more or less permanently if they can't find a job in their home county. Counties in Kentucky range from city park sized to really small. The economic reasons for living in many of these small towns (and in some cases, entire counties) are long gone (coal, garment factories). State government has created a perverse incentive for folks to remain in poverty in areas that will never recover. It is decades past time for folks to move.

Thats insane.
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,867
34,813
136
That's one of the reasons I left the last place I lived. I was in Peoria, IL which was the home of Caterpillar corporate headquarters. They have a very large corporate office and ton of factory operations around central, IL. If Cat up and left that area is another rust belt victim. Well...just recently they announced they are pulling corporate from Peoria and moving to Chicago. They were in Peoria for 90 years. It's "Only" 300 corporate jobs, but those are very high paying incomes that inject a decent amount into local property taxes in the area. Plus you have the travel brought in from execs and other visitors to the headquarters. They are slowly divesting manufacturing from the area and moving that. Eventually they'll withdrawal most of the production and there's another hole of 12,000+ jobs plus all of the ancillary support that it provides. Peoria will be a shell of it's former self. I was expecting it to happen and left the region before it did.

That's just what is happening across all of much of the midwest.

All the company towns remaining that aren't part of a larger metro will eventually meet the same fate. The talk around here is about who will be next...John Deere is the name that comes up the most.
 

[DHT]Osiris

Lifer
Dec 15, 2015
14,624
12,754
146
Exactly, but do the people out in rural America know this? I’m worried they think the jobs are going to come flooding in any day. I know there are a lot of angry people out in rural America but who exactly are they mad and why. I don’t blame them for being mad, most in their position would be but hope they are in touch with reality.

What everyone else said. The writing is on the wall for smalltown, USA (that isn't just a general shithole with one gas station and a walmart) because there's nothing to keep money there, except for farming (which is also being consolidated).
 

K1052

Elite Member
Aug 21, 2003
46,867
34,813
136
I thought the plan was to remove illegals so that rural Republicans will work in the fields all day for subsistence wages?

A big Trump supporter at he office told me that Americans would take those jobs. I asked him if he personally knew any who would...que the blank stare.
 

JSt0rm

Lifer
Sep 5, 2000
27,399
3,947
126
I think the honest situation is anyone currently in manufacturing is screwed. Going forward people should not pursue that work and need to go to university for a useful degree. Even that will not stave off the inevitable when STEM fields and similar are saturated.

At that point it is population control and reduction. Or socialism will be needed on a much larger scale than it currently is with universal guaranteed incomes.

Manufacturing is over and going forward even some highly technical skilled fields will be automated. Once AI takes hold, even R&D and innovation may be automated.

creativity and the arts will remain. Crazy. If they wanted they could learn a craft like leather working or cobbler and do it the old ways and sell these things for a lot of money. We city people love this stuff.

I just spent $400 on a merino wool blanket made by a couple women in indiana. My boots are hand made in Massachusetts from chicago leather and my wallet was hand crafted in japan. Its a wonderful thing to buy directly from people who are passionate about making things. Those things have more meaning then some random crap bought at walmart.
 
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JSt0rm

Lifer
Sep 5, 2000
27,399
3,947
126
I thought the plan was to remove illegals so that rural Republicans will work in the fields all day for subsistence wages?

Trump literally told them that they would win so much they would be sick of winning. Now he is sending their children into another war.
 
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vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,403
8,199
126
You mention Beattyville. Kentucky has (had?) a system that allows folks to go on welfare more or less permanently if they can't find a job in their home county. Counties in Kentucky range from city park sized to really small. The economic reasons for living in many of these small towns (and in some cases, entire counties) are long gone (coal, garment factories). State government has created a perverse incentive for folks to remain in poverty in areas that will never recover. It is decades past time for folks to move.

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2017/02/kentucky-opioids/515775/

Fun facts: Clay City is 20,000 people. They filled 2.2 million doses of hydrocodone. That's 110 doses for every man, woman and child there. Who wants to put any capital into an area like that?
 

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
69,525
27,827
136
What everyone else said. The writing is on the wall for smalltown, USA (that isn't just a general shithole with one gas station and a walmart) because there's nothing to keep money there, except for farming (which is also being consolidated).
Farm consolidation is an interesting social issue. The various homesteading acts were designed to create a large class of freeholders and they worked very well in the Midwest. Now consolidation is replacing that social structure with a handful of large corporate farmers which either contract the farming out or have landless employees work the farms. While this model has been the norm in California and the southwest, it is new to the Midwest. Eventually it change how Midwesterners view themselves and their communities.
 

JSt0rm

Lifer
Sep 5, 2000
27,399
3,947
126
same with the coastal towns and fishing. They arent getting the attention but they suffer the same issues.
 

vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,403
8,199
126
All the company towns remaining that aren't part of a larger metro will eventually meet the same fate. The talk around here is about who will be next...John Deere is the name that comes up the most.

Deere is a bit of a different beast given that they have a yuuuge ag and consumer base literally wrapped around them. They stand to lose a lot more than Cat does since cat is a much more international presence than domestic one. Not saying it won't happen, but Cat had a safer exit route.
 
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