Judge: Detroit can proceed with bankruptcy -> Pension cuts are on the table

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row

Senior member
May 28, 2013
314
0
71
public sector parasites unfunded liabilities - liberal financial policies 101

ahh.. politicians promising unions the world in exchange for their votes.

should read: "democrats promising..."

"vote for the person who gives the most out of the public treasury."

should read: "vote for the democrat..."

plus the corruption and mis-management of the people running the pension.

should read: "...of the democrats..."

but should retirees be the ones to pay the price?

ah...reminds me of a couple of quotes...

"we are the ones we've been waiting for"

"chickens come home to roost"

another way to phrase the question would be, "should we be held responsible for what we put in place?" see the above quotes
 

rudeguy

Lifer
Dec 27, 2001
47,371
14
61
public sector parasites unfunded liabilities - liberal financial policies 101



should read: "democrats promising..."



should read: "vote for the democrat..."



should read: "...of the democrats..."



ah...reminds me of a couple of quotes...

"we are the ones we've been waiting for"

"chickens come home to roost"

another way to phrase the question would be, "should we be held responsible for what we put in place?" see the above quotes

Again...I think this should be a problem for the state. Our AG is very in favor of helping and I would not be surprised to see the governor come out in favor of helping. I am in favor of a vote to see if the state should bail them out. I would vote yes.
 

row

Senior member
May 28, 2013
314
0
71
Again...I think this should be a problem for the state. Our AG is very in favor of helping and I would not be surprised to see the governor come out in favor of helping. I am in favor of a vote to see if the state should bail them out. I would vote yes.

i was merely pointing out where the responsibility lies. but i'm curious as to why you would favor rewarding failure. greediness. criminal mischief, the same type thinking that leads to illegal immigrants being given a pass for breaking the law?
 

rudeguy

Lifer
Dec 27, 2001
47,371
14
61
i was merely pointing out where the responsibility lies. but i'm curious as to why you would favor rewarding failure. greediness. criminal mischief, the same type thinking that leads to illegal immigrants being given a pass for breaking the law?

Believe me...I'm not. I am never in favor of government bailouts. But these are my neighbors. People that did an honest day's work for an honest day's pay. That is why I said it's a state issue. We all need a chance to vote on it and whatever the outcome, I will accept.
 

davmat787

Diamond Member
Nov 30, 2010
5,513
24
76
Found a statement from the summer:

http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSBRE96Q0A220130727?irpc=932

Michigans constitution protects those pensions. I'm all for cutting expenses but this is not the way.

Send me the tax bill. I'll pay it.

That is cool of you to say, and you are right that it is no the pensioners fault. However, in being willing to foot the tax to bail them out, I would at the same time demand it be coupled with reform legislation to mitigate future instances of broken pension funds too.

Do you happen to know what the total pensions equal in dollars divided by the population of tax paying Michiganers is? In other words, what each would pay in taxes to help out? Just curious.
 

rudeguy

Lifer
Dec 27, 2001
47,371
14
61
That is cool of you to say, and you are right that it is no the pensioners fault. However, in being willing to foot the tax to bail them out, I would at the same time demand it be coupled with reform legislation to mitigate future instances of broken pension funds too.

Sign me up.
 

row

Senior member
May 28, 2013
314
0
71
Believe me...I'm not. I am never in favor of government bailouts. But these are my neighbors. People that did an honest day's work for an honest day's pay. That is why I said it's a state issue. We all need a chance to vote on it and whatever the outcome, I will accept.

That is cool of you to say, and you are right that it is no the pensioners fault. However, in being willing to foot the tax to bail them out, I would at the same time demand it be coupled with reform legislation to mitigate future instances of broken pension funds too.

Do you happen to know what the total pensions equal in dollars divided by the population of tax paying Michiganers is? In other words, what each would pay in taxes to help out? Just curious.

it is in fact their fault. anyone who paid attention could see the writing on the wall, it did not happen in a vacuum. imo each and everyone of us (in America) holds some responsibility for this particular problem and every other one like it. if our citizens just looked on occasion, situations of this type wouldn't happen, they are totally preventable. when i was growing up, if your neighbor was being lead astray whether by ignorance or even willfully, it was our duty as friends at the very least to attempt some minimal intervention. not wait till the fuckin barn is burnt down. like both of you i certainly have concern for the suffering that is and will be caused by this fiasco, having said that a message needs to be sent. an unmistakable one. no more.

sorry for the rant
 

Mai72

Lifer
Sep 12, 2012
11,578
1,741
126
More details would be great. In CA your Teacher pension benefit is based on number of years of service. You all of a sudden don't get a great pension after 10 years of service. My Mom was a teacher in CA and worked for almost 42 years and she does have a great pension benefit but that was for 42 years of teaching. Also I believe there is also what they call a windfall provision which reduces a public employee pension if Social Security is also collected. So if you also qualify for say $800 a month in Social Security benefits and you take it you lose $800 a month in pension benefits. This really hits hard the people that switch careers in mid-life to start teaching.

Your mom is under the old government pension system. Haven't those been replaced by 401ks? My brother works for the post office, and when he started work 15 years ago he had to go with the 401k. It's nice because the government matches what he puts into his 401k. Still, it's not the old government pension system that my father grew up with.
 

JEDIYoda

Lifer
Jul 13, 2005
33,982
3,318
126
another way to phrase the question would be, "should we be held responsible for what we put in place?" see the above quotes
still butt hurt that the Democrats own and will continue to own the White House for many more years....
 

Pneumothorax

Golden Member
Nov 4, 2002
1,182
23
81
still butt hurt that the Democrats own and will continue to own the White House for many more years....

You do realize his quotes were quite correct... And applies to almost any other state of the union that has strong public employee unions which are one of the main political contributors for dems.
 

Exterous

Super Moderator
Jun 20, 2006
20,429
3,533
126
it is in fact their fault. anyone who paid attention could see the writing on the wall, it did not happen in a vacuum.

No - the writing was very much not on the wall. Everyone involved in the pension was dedicated to making sure that writing never saw the light of day and they were quite good at it. Countless laws were broken and the multi-tier system involving politicians, trustees, lawyers, auditors, solicitors that was supposed to be a checks and balances apparatus was completely rotten as they all worked together to paint a drastically different picture of the pension status.

So Detroit knew it was a problem but it was a surmountable problem. Then Orr took over and the real cost of the unfunded liabilities was revealed at 8-12x what was originally reported. Many people have been prosecuted for the fraud but few have the money remaining to repay what was lost.

I wonder what affect the bond cuts will have on the city's future ability to float new bonds.

Fern

It will be very interesting to see what happens but I think there is some renewed confidence in investing after the veil of corruption was lifted. I think you will see more of a negative effect on other cities that are viewed as close to bankruptcy given precedent of the hair cut Detroit bond holders might have to take. I think the negative effect on Detroit itself will be less as bankruptcy has already been declared but, as usual, my crystal ball is pretty cloudy
 

JEDI

Lifer
Sep 25, 2001
30,160
3,302
126
Detroit Bankruptcy plan approved - Retirees only lose 4.5% instead of 34% due to optimistic math
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/08/us/detroit-bankruptcy-plan-ruling.html?_r=0

To make pension cuts acceptable to retirees, for example, the city based its exit strategy on an assumption that pension investments would earn average annual returns of 6.75 percent, something Ms. Kopacz said was too aggressive for a fragile city that could not afford investment losses.

But if the pension investments do not produce the returns needed, the city will have to make up the missing money.


isn't this what caused the city to go bankrupt in the 1st place!? unsustainable promises...
i dont see much got solved. basically they just kicked the can down the road.

business as usual.
sigh..
 
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Nov 8, 2012
20,828
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detroit bankruptcy plan approved - retirees only lose 4.5% instead of 34% due to optimistic math
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/08/us/detroit-bankruptcy-plan-ruling.html?_r=0

to make pension cuts acceptable to retirees, for example, the city based its exit strategy on an assumption that pension investments would earn average annual returns of 6.75 percent, something ms. Kopacz said was too aggressive for a fragile city that could not afford investment losses.

But if the pension investments do not produce the returns needed, the city will have to make up the missing money.


isn't this what caused the city to go bankrupt in the 1st place!? Unsustainable promises...
I dont see much got solved. basically they just kicked the can down the road.

business as usual.
Sigh..

bailout 2020! Vote now!!!!
 

Subyman

Moderator <br> VC&G Forum
Mar 18, 2005
7,876
32
86
My mom knew a very successful private music teacher who made very good money. All of a sudden, in her late 40's, she went back to school to get a music education degree and took a job teaching music at rural public school (state of Illinois). She went from teaching very high-level private students to babysitting rural farmboys and girls trying to clap out a proper rhythm.

Why? I don't remember the exact details, but I'm pretty sure my mom said she only needed to teach for 10 years to qualify for a very nice pension. That was probably about 7-8 years ago, so I'll have to ask my mom again about the details.

She must not care much about her profession if she'd give up something she loved doing to "babysitting rural farm boys." I'm sure there is much more to this story than money. I grew up in a small southern IL town and the teachers don't make tons of money. Certainly not more than a private school in a nice area. My aunt retired from the school system and gets around $40k a year in retirement from teaching in IL. She had to put in over 30 years though. Is your friend going to teach until they are 70?
 

rudder

Lifer
Nov 9, 2000
19,441
86
91
ahh.. politicians promising unions the world in exchange for their votes.

"vote for the person who gives the most out of the public treasury."

plus the corruption and mis-management of the people running the pension.

but should retirees be the ones to pay the price?

This is what happens with public sector unions... they keep voting in their own people who enact sweet pension plans without ever thinking about who will ultimately pay for it all. So sadly the retirees will pay the price. This will be repeated all over the nation.
 
Nov 25, 2013
32,083
11,718
136
This is what happens with public sector unions... they keep voting in their own people who enact sweet pension plans without ever thinking about who will ultimately pay for it all. So sadly the retirees will pay the price. This will be repeated all over the nation.

So, you are claiming that there are so many public sector workers that they can swing elections city/state/country wide?

There are only about 14 1/2 million unionized workers in total (public and private sectors combined) in the United States. Mind explaining how those people, scattered all over the country, are able to exert such voting power? Each union member's vote has a special tag that allows the vote to be counted 1000 times perhaps?
 

Matt1970

Lifer
Mar 19, 2007
12,320
3
0
So, you are claiming that there are so many public sector workers that they can swing elections city/state/country wide?

There are only about 14 1/2 million unionized workers in total (public and private sectors combined) in the United States. Mind explaining how those people, scattered all over the country, are able to exert such voting power? Each union member's vote has a special tag that allows the vote to be counted 1000 times perhaps?

Are you countering that unions don't have an influence in elections? Remember, they have a lot of money to donate just like corporations do.
 
Nov 25, 2013
32,083
11,718
136
Are you countering that unions don't have an influence in elections? Remember, they have a lot of money to donate just like corporations do.


"This is what happens with public sector unions... they keep voting in their own people who enact sweet pension plans without ever thinking about who will ultimately pay for it all."
 

Greenman

Lifer
Oct 15, 1999
20,642
5,329
136
Detroit Bankruptcy plan approved - Retirees only lose 4.5% instead of 34% due to optimistic math
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/08/us/detroit-bankruptcy-plan-ruling.html?_r=0

To make pension cuts acceptable to retirees, for example, the city based its exit strategy on an assumption that pension investments would earn average annual returns of 6.75 percent, something Ms. Kopacz said was too aggressive for a fragile city that could not afford investment losses.

But if the pension investments do not produce the returns needed, the city will have to make up the missing money.


isn't this what caused the city to go bankrupt in the 1st place!? unsustainable promises...
i dont see much got solved. basically they just kicked the can down the road.

business as usual.
sigh..

It appears that most of the solution is based on hope. Hope that the stock market continues to climb at a high rate, hope that business will come back to the city, hope that people won't continue to flee in droves. Mostly I'd say they hope to be out of office and collecting a fat retirement check before it implodes again.
 

Knowing

Golden Member
Mar 18, 2014
1,522
13
46
I don't expect the politicians to fix this mess, because by the time they accept that it is a mess it will be firmly out of their control. I do expect them to find the politicians that made the promises and put them on national TV so they can explain why they thought that record gains in their market vehicles short term would be sustained indefinitely and what sort of punitive measures should be taken against people who make such retarded and antisocial assumptions for votes.
 

Exterous

Super Moderator
Jun 20, 2006
20,429
3,533
126
To make pension cuts acceptable to retirees, for example, the city based its exit strategy on an assumption that pension investments would earn average annual returns of 6.75 percent, something Ms. Kopacz said was too aggressive for a fragile city that could not afford investment losses.

But if the pension investments do not produce the returns needed, the city will have to make up the missing money.

Out of curiosity I tried to look up historical pension returns but could only find 10 and 15 year numbers. It looks like the average 10 year returns were 8% and the average 15 year returns were 7.5%.

While I think 6.75% is too aggressive it is suprisingly low compared to a number of plans:

http://www.nasra.org/files/Issue%20Briefs/NASRAInvReturnAssumptBrief.pdf

Given the strong 10\15 year returns and it being well below median (7.75%) I think they would be hard pressed to go much lower

isn't this what caused the city to go bankrupt in the 1st place!? unsustainable promises...

Declining population had a far far larger effect than promises
 
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