Let me tell you, I am being optimistic, but cautiously optimistic. I know all too well how close the election was in the real world in 2020. Your reminder about how actually close 2020 was resonates a lot. I have countered a number of Democrats who have crowed repeatedly how historic Joe Biden's win was in 2020 while totally implying that's the only context, but only taking into account the non-consequential popular vote, and completely ignoring the context of how close the EC was, even when countered with that fact , which is really the only thing of consequence.
Biden did not really inspire in 2020, it was more like a a let's just find a safe moderate person to unite against Trump because we can't stray too far from that narrative and rush losing. And I think there's a decent chance that is correct. But it doesn't change the fact that his candidacy still was a practical candidacy rather than a a monumentous one, like Obama.
But that's very different this election. The seismic shift happening right now is of similar consequence, I feel, to what it was like in 2008. I'm sure part of it is myself being on threads often, which is a nice, mostly maga free social media place. It's more like a spectrum of Democrats, often seen arguing among themselves. Which is a much bigger tent than anything the Republicans have but still. That's what it is.
But the fundraising numbers and the polling changes can't be ignored. The volunteer numbers, the ways the campaign is being run, the attitude, by the campaign itself- these are tangible changes, not just palpable, and I think the widespread energy is quite real. Kamala is a far better candidate then she was in 2020, but on top of that people just needed somebody to believe in. And she's a legitimate accomplished, successful, and strong career woman and politician. And feels like a human fucking being. And inspires unlike probably the most hated two candidates that Biden and Trump were in decades. To top that off Democratic policies are actually more popular, it's just we have lacked the right messenger and message since Barack. Walz was an absolutely perfect choice. Okay we couldn't get Al Franken because we ate our own, but Tim 's not a bad second stringer to him for what we need right now.
Trump is a historically bad candidate. As I said earlier in the campaign, I do believe Biden was one of the biggest reasons Trump was still in this race, and quite competitively so.
I think this campaign team is smarter, in how to deal with the media, More nimble and more in tune to the actual political landscape beneath the Biden Trump paradigm. That are using newer media to get their ideas and message across. We've seen the media go down the tubes, and how pretentious they are while misframing so many political stories.
As someone's tweet I posted earlier from threads said today, with the media's obsession about the first interview, It seems the media is so full of themselves and could be at a similar point as to where they were poo pooing podcasts a decade ago, as a potential form of real information and news and with all the smart takes.
We don't have long to find out, just over 2 months, but I think it's looking solidly good, And the only thing that can stop this is some crazy shenanigans. Kamala will stumble, but I don't think it can be that bad. I think people are going to put in the work.